WTP-8e_Ch10-mod 11-12

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    Campaigns and Elections

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    Types of Elections

    Primaries

    Parties choose the candidates who will run in the

    general elections

    States can also hold caucuses, in which members

    meet and vote in the open

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    Types of Elections

    General elections

    Determine who gets to hold office

    Typically draws the most voters

    Runoff elections

    If a candidate does not win a majority in the

    general election, some states hold a runoff

    between the two highest vote-getters

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    Types of Elections

    Referenda

    24 states allow citizens to vote on law directly

    through holding a referendum

    Held at the same time as an election

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    Criteria for Winning

    Majority vote: to win, the candidate must

    receive at least 50% of the votes, plus one

    Plurality vote (aka first-past-the-post): thecandidate with the greatest number of votes

    wins

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    Electoral Districts

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    Electoral Districts

    Congressional and state legislative districts

    are typically drawn every 10 years in a

    process known as redistricting

    Most districts are gerrymandered to serve a

    particular groups interest

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    Electoral Districts

    Gerrymandering

    Packing: ramming many voters of one party into a

    district to dilute their votes in other districts

    Cracking: tearing up dense pockets of party voters

    to dilute their votes in that district

    Stacking: merging two districts of the same party

    to force incumbents to run against each other

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    Electoral Districts

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    The Campaign Narrative

    The formula: What is the problem? Who are

    the villains? Who are the victims? Who are the

    heroes? What is the common sense solution?

    Republican narrative: heroes, villains, victims,

    common sense solutions.

    Democratic narrative: heroes, villains, victims,

    common sense solutions.

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    Electoral Districts

    Congressional districts should be contiguous,

    compact, and consistent with existing political

    subdivisions

    Race can no longer be the deciding criterion

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    Ballots

    Ballots can take many forms, and each state

    makes its own.

    Some differences among states are:

    Party line voting

    Electors, not the candidates names, listed first

    Party affiliations not listed

    Voting machines, paper ballots, punch cards, or

    touch screens

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    Electoral College

    Because the average citizen was not trusted

    to make the right decision in voting for

    president, the Founders created the Electoral

    College system.

    Even today, citizens do not vote for president,

    but rather for electors.

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    Electoral College

    Each state has a number of electors equal to

    its number of U.S. Representatives and

    Senators

    All states but Maine, Massachusetts and

    Nebraska allocate all electors to the popular

    vote winner

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    Distribution of Electoral Votes in the2008 Election

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    WHO ARE AMERICANS?

    Chapter 10

    WHO SUPPORTED OBAMA IN 2008?

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    WHO ARE AMERICANS?

    Who Supported Obama in 2008?

    Election Results by State Population

    SOURCE: Mark Newman, Maps of the 2008 US presidential election results, www.personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/2008/ (accessed 7/8/10).

    John McCain (R)

    Barack Obama (D)

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    WHO ARE AMERICANS?

    Who Supported Obama in 2008?

    Election Results by State Electoral College Votes

    SOURCE: Mark Newman, Maps of the 2008 US presidential election results, www.personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/2008/ (accessed 7/8/10).

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    Electoral College

    The electors vote at their respective state

    capitols the first Monday after the second

    Wednesday in December.

    If no candidate has a majority of the electoral

    votes, the House decides the result, with each

    state getting one vote.

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    American Campaign TechniquesConquer the World

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    Election Campaigns

    Campaigns: efforts by political candidates and

    their supporters to win the backing of donors,

    political activists, and voters in their quest for

    political office.

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    Election Campaigns

    The first step is to allow candidates to start

    raising money and accepting donations.

    Two methods:

    form an exploratory committee

    file papers announcing candidacy

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    Election Campaigns

    Staffing

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    Election Campaigns

    Primaries

    Personality clash: candidates policies are roughly

    the same

    Ideological struggle: candidates policies differ

    dramatically

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    The 2008 Primaries

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    Presidential Elections

    Parties select their presidential candidates by

    delegates sent from each state

    GOP: winner-takes-all

    DEM: proportional to state vote share

    Most states hold primaries, but some hold

    caucuses

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    Presidential Elections

    The primary season is earlier each election

    States seek to be influential by voting early

    Some states with late primaries are debatingabandoning them

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    Presidential Elections

    Early conventions selected the candidates

    themselves

    Primaries and caucuses were non-binding

    Deals were cut in smoke-filled rooms

    Party leaders wanted to determine candidates

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    Presidential Elections

    Contemporary party conventions

    Ratify the decisions made in primaries

    Enact any new rules for future delegate selection

    Draft party platforms

    Present candidates and the party platforms to

    voters

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    The General Election

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    General Election Campaign

    Labor-intensive v. media-intensive campaigns

    Labor-driven campaigns

    Volunteers campaigning door-to-door

    Media-intensive campaigns

    Goal is to get media attention

    Few volunteers, lots of fundraising

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    The Age of the Talk Show Campaign

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    General Election Campaign

    Free Media v. Paid Media

    Free media: coverage by the press and visits to

    talk shows

    Reach wide audiences

    Can be unpredictable

    Paid media: advertisements purchased by

    campaigns

    Expensive

    Message is controlled

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    Average House and Senate CampaignExpenditures, 19802008

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    How Voters Decide

    Three main factors

    Partisan loyalty

    Issues and policy concerns

    Candidate characteristics

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    Influence Campaigns and ElectionsBefore You Cast Your Vote

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    How Voters Decide

    Most voters who identify with a party vote for

    that partys presidential candidate

    C C fid d

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    Consumer Confidence andPresidential Elections

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    How Voters Decide

    Candidate Characteristics

    Voters tend to prefer candidates who they see as

    having characteristics similar to their own

    F d l C i Fi

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    Federal Campaign FinanceRegulation

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    Figures for 2010

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    Averages

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    Presidential Averages 2000 v 2008

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    Historical Pattern

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    Sources of Campaign Funds

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    Public Funding

    Top Donors to 527 Committees

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    Top Donors to 527 Committees,2008

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    Implications for Democracy

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    Public Opinion Poll

    Which electoral system do you believe is best?

    a) A plurality system

    b) A proportional representation system

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    Public Opinion Poll

    Do you believe it is appropriate to use race and

    ethnicity as criteria for drawing legislative district

    boundaries?

    a) Yes

    b) No

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    Public Opinion Poll

    Do you believe the Democratic and Republican Parties

    should adopt a national primary to select their

    partys presidential nominees?

    a) Yes

    b) No

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    Public Opinion Poll

    Do you believe the Internet has made electoral

    campaigns more democratic, less democratic, or

    has had no effect?

    a) More democratic

    b) Less democratic

    c) No effect

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    Public Opinion Poll

    Do you believe American political campaigns help

    voters make decisions, or do they produce more

    confusion than enlightenment?

    a) Help voters make decisions

    b) Produce more confusion

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    Public Opinion Poll

    Do you support or oppose laws requiring voters to

    produce photo identification at the polls?

    a) Strongly opposeb) Oppose

    c) Support

    d) Strongly support

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    Public Opinion Poll

    Do you believe there should be limits on the amount of

    money candidates can spend on campaigns?

    a) Yesb) No

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    Public Opinion Poll

    Do you believe there should be limits on the amount of

    money individuals can contribute to campaigns?

    a) Yesb) No

    Chapter 10: Campaigns and

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    Chapter 10: Campaigns andElections

    Quizzes

    Flashcards

    Outlines

    Exercises

    wwnorton.com/wtp8e

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    The 2008 Presidential Election

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    The 2008 Presidential ElectionSeason

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    Th El t l C ll

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    The Electoral College

    The General Election Campaign and

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    The General Election Campaign andHigh-Tech Politics

    The General Election Campaign and

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    The General Election Campaign andHigh-Tech Politics

    Th 2008 d 2010 El ti

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    The 2008 and 2010 Elections

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    Th 2010 El ti

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    The 2010 Elections