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Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20

Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20. Problem Literature Review Mathematical Model Conclusion My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

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Page 1: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Ye shanshan

Friday, May 11, 2012

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Page 2: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Problem Literature Review Mathematical Model Conclusion My idea

参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling of financial supply chain, European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 211, No. 1, 47-56, 2011.

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Page 3: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Imformation Flow

DownstreamFlow of good

UpstreamFlow of cash

wholesaler

Supplier

Supplier

Supplier

Up-stream Partners

Down-stream Partners

Distributor

Distributor

Distributor

Fig.1. Supply chain of goods and cash for a wholesaler.3/20

Page 4: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Motivation & Subjective :

Focus on the upstream flow of money in the supply chain.

Develop an optimization model to schedule payments can benefit the wholesaler.

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Page 5: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Hausman(2005), Killen(2002) and SAP(2005):focus on the improvement of actual business process interactions across multiple organizations in financial supply chain systems.

Farris and hutchison(2002, 2003):show the importance of C2C as a metric in the supply chain.

Obayrak and Akgun(2006):focus on cash conversion cycle between the time a purchase or investment is made and the time of sales revenue received from goods produced by that purchase or investment.

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Page 6: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Ashford et al. (1988) and Steuer and Na(2003):give good overviews of applying operational research techniques for financial decision making including both the short term and long term cash management in investments.

Feinberg and Lewis (2007): proposed solution conditions for optimizing average cost of inventory for the cash balance problem.

Gormley and Meade (2007):presented a policy to minimize transaction cost based on cash flow forecast and uncertainty associated with the forecast.

Bar-Ilan et al. (2004):impulse control model has been developed for cash management or money demand .6/20

Page 7: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Rajamani et al. (2006):proposes a framework to analyze the cash supply chain structure and provide a framework for the physical transportation of money, similar to that of flow of materials, in a supply chain.

Gupta et al. (1987):developed an integer programming model for the loan payment policies.

Vanderknoop and Hooijmans (1989): a similar study by manipulating incoming receipts and outgoing cash-flows.

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Page 8: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

SetK = set of all invoices

Parameters:Lk= invoice amount for invoice k νk ∈ Kuk = discount rate on the invoice k’s amount ∨ k∈Kbk = the time on or before which the invoice k needs to paid to get thediscount uk ∨ k ∈ Kdk = due date for the invoice k ∨ k ∈ Kvk = penalty or interest rate per period if the invoice k is not paid on or before due date dk ∨ k ∈Ksk = time at which invoice was generated by the upstream partner ∨ k∈K,sk ≤ bk ≤ dk

r = interest rate that can be earned per day for accumulated cash by thewholesaler (r < vk)qt = total amount received from all downstream partners at time tδ= cash in hand at the beginning time 0

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Page 9: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Integer programming modeling

Consider the problem from the viewpoint of a wholesaler:

Objective: develop this model to minimize the net present value of the cash out flow to make payments to the upstream partners.

Assume the future cash in-flows from downstream partners and future invoices along their terms from upstream partners are known.

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Page 10: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Ak as the amount paid for the invoice k

PVk as the present value

Xkt =1, if k is paid on day t, 0 otherwise.

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Page 11: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

following constraints to balance the cash inflow and outflow on each day:

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Page 12: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Relax the constraints to have the following Lagrangian objective function for:

Lower bound determination

For larger problem sizes, cannot find the optimal solution, so there is no way to judge the quality of Lagrangian Relaxation solution for large size problems

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Page 13: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Interval heuristic

Create a new problem which is obtained by merging n number of time intervals of problem P into one interval.

accuracy or the problem complexity ?

For n =1 , the new problem is reduces to the original problem.

As n is increased , the accuracy of the heuristic solution reduce.

If n =7 , one interval is a week.

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Page 14: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

1 5 9 13 17 21 25 290.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

Norm

alz

ed V

alu

e

Number of Time INterval (n)

Solution Time Gap

If each interval is composed of more than 7 days will perform poorly.

For a very large size problem, even the interval heuristic problem becomes impossible to solve optimally.

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Page 15: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Dynamic invoice in-flow problem

The wholesaler has two choices: (I) pay j first and then k ;(II) pay k first and then j.

The real life situations are dynamic. The set of pending invoices is dynamic in nature because of the receipt of new invoices.

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Page 16: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

When total amount received from all downstream partners at time t are known before hand, the algorithm can be run.

For limited number of future time periods, the algorithm will perform well also.

But if all invoices are known before hand for distant future, this algorithm will not perform well.

when both the future cash in-flow and the invoice flow is dynamic and unknown, we develop an alternate heuristic.

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Page 17: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Dynamic invoice and dynamic cash in-flow problem

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Page 18: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

The above algorithm is based on the assumption that it is always better to pay the invoices that have crossed the deadline.

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Page 19: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

However, if the penalty for crossing the deadline of an invoice is very small , it may be beneficial to hold the payment of that invoice to pay for other invoices before the deadline,

Where penalty is high, the heuristic decision of the algorithm will not perform well.

Thus, if the variance in penalty of invoices is high, the result of the algorithm will not be as good as in other scenarios.

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Page 20: Ye shanshan Friday, May 11, 2012 1/20.  Problem  Literature Review  Mathematical Model  Conclusion  My idea 参考文献: Gupta, S., and Dutta, K., Modeling

Both dynamic heuristics are more time efficient than the interval heuristic.

For very large problems of several years and hundreds of invoices the dynamic heuristic may be preferred over the interval heuristic.

The research may be expanded tomultiple echelons involving several currencies.

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