Transcript
Page 1: Global Methanol Growth & Energy Applications · 2018-12-24 · Global Cap • IMO 硫排放: o 0.1% in 2015 in existing ECAs in NA & EU 北美和欧洲 o 0.5% in 2020 globally 全球2020

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Chris Chatterton, COO克里斯 查特顿,首席运营官

Global Methanol Growth &Energy Applications 全球甲醇增长和能源应用

2018 World ICE Conference 2018 世界内燃机大会

Low Carbon Energy and High Efficiency 低碳能源与高效利用

10-11 Nov 2018 – Wu Xi, China 2018年11月10-11日,中国无锡

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目录 关于甲醇协会

- About MI

新产能发展趋势

- Developing Trends for New Capacity

全球甲醇燃料应用

- Global Methanol Fuel Blending

甲醇船舶燃料

- Methanol as Marine Fuel

新兴市场

- New Markets

Contents

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关于甲醇协会ABOUT MI01

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• The Methanol Institute (MI) formed in 1989 创立于1989年• 40+ members internationally 超过40家国际会员

HISTORY 历史

Singapore 新加坡Washington, DC 华盛顿

Beijing 北京

Brussels 布鲁塞尔

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LEBZI HALAL

Tier 2

Tier 3

Tier 4

Tier 1

Ecofuel

MEMBERS 会员

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MSF ВЕДЕТ СВОЮ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТЬ В БОЛЕЕ ЧЕМ 60 СТРАНАХ МИРА• China Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association 中国氮肥工业协会

• Asian Clean Fuels Association 亚洲清洁燃料协会

• Chinese Association of Alcohol & Clean Ether Fuels & Automobiles (CAAEFA) 醇醚燃料及醇醚清洁汽车专委会

• Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA) 海湾国家石化联合会

• International DME Association (IDA) 国际二甲醚协会

• International Methanol Producers & Consumers Association (IMPCA) 国际甲醇生产商和消费商协会

• Peking University Center for New Global Energy Strategy Studies 北京大学世界新能源战略研究中心

• Lloyd’s Register 劳氏船级社

• International Bunker Industry Association 国际船加油协会

• Dangerous Goods Advisory Council 危险货物咨询委员会

• China Classification Society 中国船级社

MI STRATEGIC PARTNERS 战略合作伙伴

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DEVELOPING TRENDS FOR NEW CAPACITY

新产能发展趋势02

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MSF ВЕДЕТ СВОЮ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТЬ В БОЛЕЕ ЧЕМ 60 СТРАНАХ МИРА

可再生路径RENEWABLE PATHWAYS

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Small-Scale Production 甲醇小型化生产: Haldor Topsoe

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Small-Scale Production 甲醇小型化生产: Primus Green Energy

• The systems are simple and economical at scales as low as 500 MMBtu/day. 系统简单经济,规模低至每天500 百万英热单位

• Feedstocks: flare gas; stranded ethane; pipeline natural gas; excess syngas from underutilized reformers. 原料包括火炬气,不能开发的乙烷,管道天然气和多余的合成气

• Primus has developed a range of flexible gas-to-liquids systems that can produce methanol, DME or gasoline. Primus公司开发灵活的气体制甲醇、二甲醚和汽油技术

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• The GasTechno process is a non-catalytic gas-to-liquids technology that converts methane to methanol in one step. 该技术为一步法,不使用催化剂将甲烷制成甲醇

• The “Methanol in a Box” system is housed in a 40-foot shipping container. 模块化系统,整个系统类似一个40英尺的集装箱

• Designed to monetize flare gas from 50,000 cubic feet per day to 30 million cubic feet per day.用于利用火炬气,规模在5万到3000万立方英尺每天

Production 甲醇小型化生产: GasTechno

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GLOBAL METHANOL FUEL BLENDING全球甲醇燃料发展03

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数据来源/ Source: IHS Chemical, 2016 .排除甲醇制烯烃一体化 Excludes integrated methanol demand for methanol to olefins

石油替代驱动需求的增长OIL DISPLACEMENT DRIVES DEMAND GROWTH

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可行的液体燃料PRACTICAL LIQUID FUEL

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MSF ВЕДЕТ СВОЮ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТЬ В БОЛЕЕ ЧЕМ 60 СТРАНАХ МИРА

全球燃料应用进展Global Transportation Fuel Progress

以色列 Israel– 同意大利菲亚特集团合作推广 M15 Fiat 500轿车(欧六排放标准)

Cooperation with Italy Fiat to promote M15 Fiat 500 Car (Euro 6)

– 测试 M70-85 灵活燃料车 Testing M70-85 in Flex fuel vehicle’s– 2016年初正式发布全球首个M15国家标准 First M15 National

Standard Released Globally

意大利 Italy– 埃尼公司和菲亚特集团合作推广A20燃料(M15+E5) ENI and

FCA cooperation to promote A20 fuel (M15+E5)– 2018年投放5辆菲亚特500型汽车投放用于共享汽车服务 5Fiat

500 cars for car sharing service in 2018– 满足欧6排放,尾气排放较E10下降3% Compliance with Euro 6

standard and 3% tailpipe emission reduction

冰岛 Iceland – 吉利M100甲醇轿车在冰岛进行测试 Geely testing M100 cars in

Iceland

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MSF ВЕДЕТ СВОЮ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТЬ В БОЛЕЕ ЧЕМ 60 СТРАНАХ МИРА

全球燃料应用进展Global Transportation Fuel Progress

丹麦 Denmark– 甲醇燃料电池做为电动车増程器 Methanol Fuel Cell for EV

range extension– 2015年8月在丹麦建成欧洲首座甲醇加注站 Europe’s first

methanol filling station in Aalborg, Denmark (Aug. 2015)

中国 China– 博能集团同东风商用车合作甲醇燃料点厢式货车获得公告

Palcan Cooperation with Dongfeng on FC Lorry with product certificate

– 国家财政对燃料电池车支持并给与最高50万元补贴 Chinese government supporting FC vehicles and max. 500K RMB subsidy

– 其他甲醇燃料电池正同国内汽车汽车合作开发多种车型 Other methanol fuel cell companies cooperating with OEMs in China to development more models

德国 Germany– MS Innogy 公司使用甲醇燃料电池作为客运船舶动力 MS

Innogy using methanol fuel cell for passenger ship– Green methanol produced from CO2 使用CO2生产的绿色甲醇

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MSF ВЕДЕТ СВОЮ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТЬ В БОЛЕЕ ЧЕМ 60 СТРАНАХ МИРАSeptember 2015, NITI Aayog formed the Methanol Economy Expert Group 2015年9月印度改革委员会成立甲醇经济专家组

Methanol production from coal and biomass, and utilize methanol and DME as transportation fuels 甲醇通过煤炭和生物质制备,使用甲醇和二甲醚作为交通燃料

September 2016, MI jointly organized a Methanol Economy International Seminar held in Delhi2016年 全球甲醇行业协会在新德里组织召开甲醇经济国际研讨会

Launching Projects: M15 fuel blending; methanol/DME buses and trucks; railway engines; inland waterways; cook stoves; industrial boilers项目启动: M15 甲醇汽油,甲醇和二甲醚客车和卡车,铁路机车,内河航运,灶具,锅炉

印度 : 甲醇经济路线图India: Roadmap to Methanol Economy

Union & Road Transport Minister Nitin Gadkari

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甲醇船舶燃料METHANOL AS MARINE FUEL04

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EMISSION CONTROL AREAS (ECAs)排放控制区

Sources: IMO

北美 North America• SOx established 2009• Enforced since 2012• New keels from 2016

NOx compliant

欧洲 Europe• SOx established 2005• Enforced since 2006• 2015: SOx < 0.1%

中国 China• 2015: HK ECZ

established for OGV• 2016: PRD ECZ• 2019: China-wide ECZ

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已经存在的排放控制区限制 Existing Emission Control Area Cap

国际海事组织现今和未来和硫排放限制IMO CURRENT & FUTURE SULPHUR LIMITS

Source: IMO

全球限制 Global Cap

• IMO 硫排放:o 0.1% in 2015 in

existing ECAs in NA & EU 北美和欧洲

o 0.5% in 2020 globally 全球2020

• 船用重油占绝大多数,但是不满足要求,甲醇不含硫Predominant shipping fuel is HFO which does not meet limits – methanol is sulphurfree

• 中国出台设立船舶大气污染物排放控制区 China phasing in regulations to reduce sulphur, NOx and PM from marine fuels over next few years

• 全球船燃市场:折合约6.5亿吨甲醇 Marine fuels global market size: 650M mtpamethanol equivalent

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FUTURE FUEL MIX

Source: Robin Meech

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FUTURE FUEL PRICING 未来燃料价格

///

////// ?

0.5% Compliant hybrids 合规混合船燃

2020

Source: Bunkerindex

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FUEL COMPARISON MODEL & ONLINE CALCULATOR 燃料对比模型和在线模拟计算

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FUEL COMPARISON MODEL & ONLINE CALCULATOR燃料对比模型和在线模拟计算

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FUEL COMPARISON MODEL & ONLINE CALCULATOR燃料对比模型和在线模拟计算

年均燃料消费和排放

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全球港口设施满足供应GLOBAL PORT TERMINAL AVAILABILITY

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数据来源: Stena / Effship Project / example for 4-stroke engines): Stena linesEmission reductions when compared to heavy fuel oil

排放效果EMISSIONS SCORECARD

• Methanol (MEOH) achieves low emissions & acts as a bridge in lowering CO2 in the future (renewable/bio methanol)

• 甲醇实现了低排放并能够建立低碳未来(可再生/生物质甲醇)

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甲醇 Methanol[1]

15,400 (mg/l)

Additional Source: Meyer-Werft

在环境中更安全SAFER FOR THE ENVIRONMENT

LC50 半数致死浓度, LC = LETHAL CONCENTRATION (致死浓度)Concentration in water, at which half the population died within specified test duration

Better than Diesel by a factor of 240 times

比柴油优240倍

Better than Gasoline by a factor of 1900 times

比汽油优1900倍

甲烷 重油 柴油 汽油

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船舶应用经验MARINE EXPERIENCE

• 2015年3月: Stena Germanica 船运公司– Wärtsilä 瓦锡兰甲醇发动机

- March 2015: Stena Germanica – Wärtsilä methanol-fueled marine engine

• 2016年4月: Methanex 梅赛尼斯公司的甲醇船公司– 曼恩 MAN– 甲醇/柴油双燃料船

- Apr 2016: Methanex’s Waterfront Shipping – dual-fuel MAN methanol/diesel engines

• 英国劳氏船级社 MethaShip 项目

- Lloyd’s Register MethaShip project

• LeanShips 双燃料示范

- LeanShips dual-fuel demo

• 2015 年10月: 新加坡 Billion Miles 公司开发小型船舶应用

- Oct 2015: Billion Miles Singapore develops small-marine applications

• 2016 年6月: 瑞典ScandiNAOS & FiT 绿色试点项目改造

- Jun 2016: ScandiNAOS Green Pilot Boat conversion

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• 初始投成本低于LNG,与后处理成本相当- Capital costs for ship conversion less than LNG and similar to after treatment technologies

• 甲醇已经能够在世界任何港口简易和经济地加注- Methanol is already easily and cost effectively stored at any port in the world

• 甲醇是世界前五位的海运大宗化学品,占世界海运化学品总量的35%- Methanol is one of the top 5 seaborne chemical commodities accounting for 35% of the world seaborne chemical and vegoil trade

• 世界主要发动机公司对发动机能够满足硫氧化物和氮氧化物要求抱有信心- Major engine OEMs confident engines can meet SOx and NOxrequirements

甲醇船舶燃料优势 BENEFITS OF METHANOL AS A MARINE FUEL

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IMO CONFIRMATION OF ETHYL/METHYL ALCOHOLS 国际海事组织对甲醇和乙醇的确认

CCC 2• Consider establishing WG to

develop measures for:o Ethyl/methyl alcoholo Fuel cellso Low-flashpoint diesel

• Consider re-establishing CG• Consider the need for other sub-

committees to examine drafts or parts of them and, if so, make the necessary request to the relevant sub-committee(s)

CCC 1• Establish CG to develop

measures for:o Ethyl/methyl alcoholo Fuel cellso Low-flashpoint diesel

CCC 3• Consider establishing WG

to finalize measures for:o Ethyl/methyl alcoholo Fuel cellso Low-flashpoint

diesel

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

MSC 97• Approval• Not Approved

MSC 98• Adoption, if required• Not Adopted

CCC 4• Approval• Consider establishing

WG to finalize measures for:o Ethyl/methyl

alcoholo Fuel cellso Low-flashpoint

diesel• Not Approved

MSC 99• Approval• Adoption, if

required

MSC 100• Approval• Adoption,

if required

2019

CCC 5• Approval• Consider establishing

WG to finalize measures for:o Ethyl/methyl

alcoholo Fuel cellso Low-flashpoint

diesel

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NEW MARKETS新兴市场05

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METHANOL BOILER BASICS

Source: Methanol New Energy Applications in China: Boilers and Cook Stoves

• Widely used for heating and industrial stream, new built and replacing coal 广泛用在供热和工业蒸汽,包括新建和替代燃煤锅炉

• Capacity ranged from 1 to 20 t/h 功率范围在1-20蒸吨/时

• Fuel: 100% methanol to methanol blends with methanol content over 60% in vol.燃料包括100%纯甲醇至60%甲醇的混合燃料

• One steam ton capacity consuming 110 kg of methanol, industrial use can be long hours 每蒸吨锅炉能力约消费甲醇110公斤,工业应用运行时间更长

• Estimated more than 1000 units, consuming over 2 MMTs methanol in 2016 估计2016年应用规模超过1000台,甲醇消费量超过200万吨

• Standards being developed with MI and Methanex support 标准正在甲醇协会和梅赛尼斯公司的支持下制定

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METHANOL COOK STOVES 不同的甲醇灶具

• Different forms methanol Cook Stoves: Single heating, stir fry, steaming• 形式多样

• Widely used in restaurants, central kitchens: mainly cost driven• 在餐馆、食堂大量使用,主要是价格便宜

• Simple Storage and transportation, filling the gap of NG pipeline capacity• 存储和运输简单,能够有限补充天然气供应的不足

• Fuel: 100% methanol to methanol blends (emulsified with water)• 从甲醇到与水混合的不等比例甲醇混合燃料

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非常感谢!THANK YOU