20

20

/

() / /

/ /

2015. 10. 27() 14:00~16:00

( )

20

20,000

28 12 3 Tel 02-577-8301 Fax 02-577-8302 kcern@kcern.org http://kcern.org

9 791186 480090

0 3 3 2 0

ISBN 979-11-86480-09-0

20

2015. 10. 27

Contents 20

1. 1

2. 5

3. 11

4. 63

5. 187

6. 199

1.

1.

3

20

R&D 90% . ?

. .

.

2015 10, 2 .

. , ? .

R&D GDP 1 18 .

.

R&D 27.1%, 0.8% .

,

.

,

IP

. R&D 10 .

. , .

: 2015. 10. 27() 14:00~16:00

: KT 1 ( )

: ()

:

14:0014:05 (, )

14:1014:40

14:40~14:50 ()

14:5015:45

() -

( )

()

()

()

()

()

15:45~15:55

15:55~16:00

2.

2.

7

2009

.

.

. ,

,

.

.

.

. ,

.

.

.

.

. 1.0

, 2.0 . IT

. 5

.

.

.

.

.

. . SNS

.

(Think Network)

.

.

. , , , , ,

. 1 KIST,

, , , 2

, .

8

2.

9

()

1

(13.9.24)

(, )

,

2

(13.10.22)

M&A

M&A M&A

3

(13.11.26) 3.0

,

,

4

(13.12.17)

(

)

,

5

(14.02.25)

,

/ , FDS

6

(14.03.25)

,

,

,

7

(14.04.29)

, IP()

,

8

(14.05.27)

2.0:

,

,

,

9

(14.06.24)

,

,

, First Movier(

) R&D ,

R&D

10

(14.07.15)

,

, ,

11

(14.09.23) ,

,

12

(14.10.28) ,

,

,

13

(14.11.29) ,

,

CSR,

,

SK

14

(15.02.24)IT ,

,

,

,

10

()

15

(15.03.24)

,

2016

16

(15.04.28)

()

()

, .

1000

17

(15.05.26)

,

,

4

18

(15.07.21)

19

(15.09.22)

,

M&A

M&A

M&A

M&A

(11/6)

3.

3.

13

14

3.

15

16

3.

17

18

3.

19

20

3.

21

22

3.

23

24

3.

25

26

3.

27

28

3.

29

30

3.

31

32

3.

33

34

3.

35

36

3.

37

38

3.

39

40

3.

41

42

3.

43

44

3.

45

46

3.

47

48

3.

49

50

3.

51

52

3.

53

54

3.

55

56

3.

57

58

3.

59

60

3.

61

4.

4.

65

20

2015. 10. 27

66

2015 20

: : ()

28 12 3

:

: ,

: 2015. 10. 27

: ( )

:

: , ,

: , ,

4.

67

71

. R&D, 79

. 87

2.1. () : 90

2.2. : 92

2.3. : 93

2.4. : 94

2.5. : 99

. 101

3.1. 103

3.2. 109

. 121

4.1. 123

4.2. 130

. 137

5.1. 139

(1) (K-DARPA) 139

(2) (/) 144

5.2. 146

(1) 146

(2) Two track 149

5.3. 162

(1) (K-OCS) 162

(2) OCS : R&D ( . 2015) 169

(3) K-OCS 169

. 171

175

4.

69

Executive summary

1. GDP R&D ,

OECD .

2. 1) 2)

3) .

3. ,

.

4. K-Darpa

/ .

.

5.

.

I-Corps .

.

6.

K-OCS .

3.0 .

7.

.

8. 18 R&D 10% 2

.

4.

71

4.

73

(1)

, ,

- , 2 , 6 2

2

515 7.13 2

,

- ,

- M&A

, , M&A

(2) R&D , R&D

2006 2015 R&D 140 5,000

2014 GDP 1 . R&D

74

- SCI (Science Citation Index) 2012 SCI(Science

Citation Index) 4 7066

10

- 13 7,495 12(6,676) 12.3% , *(27.1% 31.2%) 07 30%

R&D

- 7.8%

10%

* 4(, '12) 70% - (R&D ) 4.15 1.49%

(, 2014)

R&D 96%, 47.2%

1)

-

R&D ()

(3)

, ,

, ,

- 2000 2006 12

2001 - 2000 2) (NTB)

R&D

- 5

1) 2015 2 R&D 96%, 2) 2009 (KIAT, Korea Institute for Advancement of Technology)

4.

75

(4) :

-

GEM(global entrepreneurship monitor)

, .

-

-

,

. /

- ,

- R&D Technology push

- R&D

- (, , , , )

,

-

76

R&D

- NIH, , JST A-STEP

3)

:

: Technology Push

Market Pull

R&D

-

.

, ,

,

-

.

-

3) 2015.08.18. HelloDD, ?

4.

77

(5)

: K-Darpa

-

- /

- DARPA

DARPA

- DARPA Director PM Trust but

verify ,

- ARPA

K-DARPA

:

- NIH ,

- R&D

-

-

- Technology push R&D

Market pull

- NSF R&D

I-Corps .

- its owl

, Industry 4.0

78

Two Track

- IP ,

- IP

R&D

: K-OCS

- R&D

- OCS

K-OCS

- 5 OCS R&D

,

4.

79

. R&D,

4.

81

. R&D,

(1)

, GDP R&D 2

- R&D 13 59.3(541.6 ) 6

, GDP 4.15% (4.21%) 2 (

, 2015)

- 2006 2015 R&D 140 5,000

[ 1] R&D GDP

: . 2013.

15

(, 2014)

- SCI(Science Citation Index) 2012 SCI(Science

Citation Index) 4 7066

10

-

82

[ 1]

Input Output

R&D 6 43

R&D GDP 1 20

6 30

4 20

: . 2015

- 2007 141 2012 172,

2007 118 2012 197

- R&D 4.6 6676

7897 ( 2008)

- ( ) 27.1%

R&D

-

- 7.8%

10%

* 4(, '12) 70% -

(STEPI, 2009)

- 2012 1.49% 3.93%

- 2012 27.1% 36.9%

4.

83

[ 2]

(B)

(%)

(B/A)

(

)

(C)

(

)

(D)

(%)

(C/D)

2008

8,004 1,293 16.2 21 3,553 0.60

6,466 1,919 29.7 81.4 4,372 1.90

14,470 3,212 22.2 102.4 7,926 1.30

17,424 4,398 25.2 2,376 44,543 5.33

2,110 595 28.2 1,015 5,204 19.50

19,534 4,993 25.6 3,391 49,747 6.82

2009

8,823 1,464 16.6 239.0 317 0.76

6,424 2,004 31.2 63.9 3,351 1.91

15,247 3,468 22.7 87.8 6,508 1.35

17,812 4,565 25.6 1,757 47,555 3.70

1,956 656 33.5 519 5,077 10.22

19,768 5,221 26.4 2,276 52,632 4.32

2010

11,403 1,576 13.8 39.5 4,644 0.85

7,036 2,683 38.1 111 5,491 2.02

18,439 4,259 23.1 150.5 10,135 1.48

18,303 4,640 25.4 1,764 52,232 3.38

1,839 580 31.5 576 5,366 10.73

20,142 5,220 25.9 2,340 57,598 4.06

2011

11,733 1,925 51.9 5,645 16.4 0.92

8,262 3,268 101.3 5,993 39.6 1.69

19,995 5,193 153.2 11,638 26.0 1.32

18,303 4,640 1,764 52,232 25.4 3.38

1,839 580 576 5,366 31.5 10.73

20,142 5,220 2,340 57,598 25.9 4.06

2012

12,482 2,431 58.3 5551.7 19.5 1.05

12,179 4,245 141.6 7860.5 34.9 1.80

24,661 6,676 199.9 13,409 27.1 1.49

19,324 7,349 1,726 53,565 38.0 3.22

2,065 549 620 6,179 26.6 10.0

21,389 7,898 2,346 59,744 36.9 3.93

: . 2014. . p36

84

(, 2014)

- 4) 2001 37 2007 47, 2010

132, 2011 133 2007

0.4, 2010 0.65, 2011 0.7

-

[ 3] (: )

2001

56 -

19 -

37 -

494 -

2007

47 0.4

555 2.9

EU 549 1.8

2010

115 1.06

17 0.18

132 0.65

546 4.83

39 1.5

585 4.24

48 1.41

EU 549 1.9

2011

97 0.81

36 0.51

133 0.7

606 4.21

37 1.54

643 3.83

50 1.35

: . 2014. . p37

4) (, 2014)

4.

85

(2)

1

.(

)

, ( )

- 11 1% 1,688 16

... 11 SCI(Science Citation Index)

1% 0.63% SCI(Science

Citation Index) 5)

- ,

-

( )

-

-

-

- ,

, 5

1) .

2) .

3) .

4) .

5) .

5

1) .

2) .

5) , 2011 11 21 ...

86

[ 2] :

3) .

4) .

.

-

:

,

SCI(Science Citation Index) ,

()

- ,

4.

87

.

4.

89

.

[ 3]

(/, )

- (, )

,

- (, )

- .

, .

- , ,

90

[ 3]

: ,

2.1. () :

/

-

-

,

- R&D ,

-

95% R&D

(, 2015)

*100% R&D 2012 89%

(, 2012)

-

4.

91

[ 4]

-

- , ,

- ,

R&D , ,

-

- 30

*

** (38%), (31%),

(25%)

*** , (46%),

, , (18%)

-

92

-

- ,

-

* ( 19),

(39.2%)

(32.2%) (, 09 ) (, 2011)

- ,

-

2.2. :

:

- , (CDMA, )

- ,

- 2000

: ,

- 90% -

-

-

-

: ,

- 4g 12ton : KIST

4g 12ton

4.

93

- (4)

, 7

- 4 6

2.3. :

, ,

(

, 2013)

-

- 31 26

- 12 118 49 ,

- .

,

- ,

* () TLO 7 () 2 , TLO

5.9( 10.4, 9.4), 1.5, 20%

(, 2011)

- 5.0 1.0

20% .

. TLO

- TLO

* TLO

* 47%

94

(TLO)

-

2.4. :

-

- 5

-

(pull model) (push

model)

- (Technology Driven)

, (saturation)

[ 5]

: 1~5

4.

95

R&D,

- ,

- . , ,

,

, ,

, , linear

->->->

-

R&D ,

(linear)

- ->->->

interactive innovation model

- :

(interactive model) 6)

[ 6]

: , ,

6) 2014.10

96

:

-

,

R&D

[ 7] R&D

: 2014

4.

97

[ 4]

4 (ICT)

1,483,

707.6 , 684

2012 TLO

1,557

900

2009~2012

651,

524

R&D

Value-up

R&BD

R&BD

2014

,

2012 3.6 13

, 64

CT R&D

(2012 98, 2009 21)

R&BD

ICTBT

- 5 () 11

(. 2014)

- ,

- R&D ,

98

2009~2012

189

2009~2012 224

,

,

,

7 2,193

, 6.57

(10

70, 11 28, 12 42)

,

, R&D

,

59%, 392.4

(R&D)

4

(09~12) 256,

29, 67

46, 146.7

,

4

(09~12) 238

,

,

886

(

130 )

: . 2014.11.

4.

99

, ,

-

- , R&D ,

, , ,

- .

-

- ,

- 5-10 ,

1.3%(10) (2

(), 10.10. 49 )

* , , (R&BD)

(10 264) (11 100)

* 1-2

, ,

- .

,

2.5. :

(, 2008)

-

() (Tassey, 1997; pp. 8790).

* (Conflict of technology value)

: &

-

(suboptimality) (Gustafsson and Autio, 2006).

100

[ 8]

[R&D ] [ ]

: , 2008

- ,

.

(M&A)

-

- , 3~4 ,

.

7

- () (bad technology drives out good one)

-

, .

- ,

.

*

- : .

4.

101

.

4.

103

.

3.1.

(1)

(, 2013)

1990

,

2000 1 ,

, ,

, .

-

(: )

(

)

1) 2)

- ,

,

13 . 2014. 1 .

-

* 2000 3

2004 11 2005 12

2009 ()

, , , ,

104

[ 5]

(5)

( ) ,

, ,

* 5

(7~14)

(NTB)

,

(15~25)

(32~34)

, ,

(352~358)

: , 2013, [Online]www.moleg.go.kr

,

,

,

4.

105

[ 6]

(3)

, ,

: , 2013

(2)

( , 2013)

(2013.2)

(: )

2000 ,

5 *

*

R&D

R&D 2000 4

,

106

- (1 ) , , NTB()

* TP TLO, RTTC

- (2 ) ,

* R&BD(),

- (3 ) ,

- (4 ) TLO

- 5 (2015~2017)

5

R&D

- 1) , 2) , 3)

, 4)

(: )

( )

, 2

(2011~2015)

* (34) 4 ,

- (1 ) 1) ,

2) TLO

() , 3)

NTIS()

2 (2011~2015)

- (2 ) 7

R&D

*2 ()

4.

107

[ 7]

1

(2001~2005)

(2000.1)

NTB(

)

2

(2006~2008)

(2006.12)

R&BD

3

(2009~2011)

4

(2012~2014)

5

(2015~2017)

: , 2015

-

3 , 6 , 24 , 6

- 1) 2) 3) 4)ICT

5) 6)

108

- R&D

- () R&D

- (()) *

* 1,250

*(13) 36 (17) 180

* (12) 40 (17)75, (12)103 (17) 150

2013

.

(, 2015)

[ 9]

: , 2013. , KISTEP

,

4.

109

3.2.

(1)

, , ,

,

, , , ,

( 9 )

[ 10]

: . 2014.06. , . 9

TLO, RTTC, TLO* , RTTC

*172(121, 51)

TLO(Technology Licensing)

110

TLO

- TLO

- TLO

TLO

TLO

- ,

,

31 ,

[ 11]

: . 2014.06. , . 9

- ,

- 31 32

4.

111

NTB, NTIS, IP-market,

NTB(), NTIS()

DB

NTB DB

* NTB 1.3% (KIAT, 2012), 5

() NTB R&D

IP-Market() ,

*2014 271

- (SMART3)

DB DB

- NTB, NTIS, TDB

-

2013 6 -

-

1) 2) 3)

112

, ,

[ 12]

:

2015 17

-

1:1

- (C-Lap)

.

- ICT

4.

113

[ 13]

:

- (2015 7 17 ) 250 , 125

299 171

- 1) , 2)

, 3) ,

, IP ,

- 17 99,711 (),

40 (9 ),

[ 14] 1:1

:

114

(2)

GDP 18 R&D , , ,

, ,

R&D

- TLO, ,

R&D

R&BD ,

- 1), , 2), ,

3) 4) 5)

*

*2015 , (2015.1)

, , .

- ( ) TLO ,

- ( R&BD ) (06),

(14)

- ( ) , R&D

- 2008 22.2% 2013 31.2%

-

4.

115

[ 15]

: (2013)

116

[ 8] R&D

(ICT)

()

(TLO)

,

(TLO, )

R&D

()

R&D

()

()CT

()

: . 2014

(3) R&D (2015.05)

R&D

R&D

R&D

4.

117

1) R&D 2)

R&D 3) R&D

( ) ,

( )

( )

(PBS ) *

*(15) 10,

( ) PBS ,

( ) (ETRI),,,

,,

( )

( )

( )

(Tenure)

, (35)

( ) ,

( R&D) -

118

( R&D )

( )

R&D

( )

- () R&D ,

- () R&D Fast Track (

)

() * ,

- () ,

(64 )

- () * , (BM)

- ()

( )

- ( ) early exit, moving target

- () , ,

- ( ) SCI(Science Citation Index)

- ( )

- ( ) 3 ,

- ( ) (: ZEUS)

R&D

( )

- (: )

- , ( Think Tank) (KISTEP), (STEPI)

(KISTI ) ()

4.

119

R&D

1. - ,

2. R&D

,

CSO (Chief Scientist

Office)

-

,

- ,

CSO

/

- ,

-

R&D

- ,

1.

,

(KISTEP), (STEPI)

(KISTI )

()

1.

2. R&D

-

,

(PM, Project Manager)

( ) R&D (18)

- (project manager)

(4) R&D 9 ,

120

R&D

1. ,

R&D

( )

69%

R&D

20%

-

- R&D

,

-

,

,

- ( ) early exit

(

), moving target(

)

- ( )

, ,

- ( ) SCI (Science

Citation Index)

1. ,

R&D

,

,

-

-

,

,

-

( )

- ( ) ,

, 3

- ( R&D )

,

4.

121

.

4.

123

.

- 2

-

-

-

- ,

- (ETRI)

ICT R&D ( , 2015) ,

R&D

- ,

, IP

-

4.1.

(1) :

1 2

- , 2 , 6 2

124

- (Mckinsey) (2015)

[ 16]

-

GEM 3

, ,

GDP 20,000

-

-

4.

125

-

(what) , (Why)

[ 17]

(2) :

R&D, Production, Marketing, Service

,

126

( )

7) , 3D ,

( ) ,

,

( ) , , ,

, ,

[ 18]

:

IP BM

- , , 3D , ,

- , , ,

7) IT

4.

127

,

- GRP Partenrs 5

R&D R&D

(, 2015)

- OECD(2014) R&D

- Du et al(2014) R&D

- (2012) R&D

R&D ,

[ 19] R&D

: , 2015

128

(3) : IP

S&P 500 , 1980

32% 2000 79% (Ocean Tomo)

- Cisco Intel IBM P&G , ,

20%

- 2008

[ 20] IP

,

,

- 300 Ocean Tomo 300

- Ocean Tomo

-

:

R&D, ,

- ,

4.

129

-

R&D (value

chain) ,

- R&D

- R&D

(IP)

-() IP

- () IP , ,

, , BM, TLO

- IP IP

R&D

Trott(2005) Linear models, Coupling model, Interactive

model, Network model, Open innovation, Social innovation

- Linear models Technology Push(1) and Market Pull(2)

1950 1970 R&D(1)

(2)

- Coupling model 1980 Push and Pull

R&D

- Interactive model1980 1990 R&D

(Suppliers)

- Network model 2000

,

- Open innovation

R&D

(Spin-off) Open Source( )

130

[ 21] R&D

4.2.

4

,

,

, ,

,

4.

131

[ 22]

,

-

- ,

- 20% 80% , ,

- (

2.8 )

- 20% 80%

( 90% )

- , ,

,

- High Risk High Return

- 100% 1 20%

10

132

[ 23]

[ 24] :

- ,

( )

-

() ( )

4.

133

,

-

- ,

- operation Innovation

,

-

-

-

- CEO 20

CEO

(Hambrick and Mason[1984], 2[2014])

-

-

[ 25]

134

[ 26]

,

()

- ,

(Open platform)

-

-

- Darpa

- ,

4.

135

- ,

-

-

-

, ,

- : .

- ,

,

-

[ 27]

4.

137

.

4.

139

.

[ 28]

5.1.

(1) (K-DARPA)

()

R&D R&D R&D

R&D

, R&D

-

- 3 ,

(, , , , )

- R&D

( R&D 98.1%)8)

-

R&D

8) , , (2013)

140

()

-

- 9)

-

-

-

- (2014) R&D 10

9

() DARPA, 10)

DARPA

DARPA(Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency)

(catching-up)

DARPA ,

(Hub) ,

DARPA DARPA

DARPA

DARPA ,

9) , , (2013)10) DARPA .

4.

141

- DARPA

- High risk, high pay-off

,

- PM , ,

(Under Secretary for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics and Director, Defense

Research and Engineering)

- ,

, , ,

DARPA

DARPA (Director),

(Office Director), (PM) 3

- Dr. Arati Prabhakar 7, 20,

94 219 6 (Biological

technologies office, Defense science office, Information innovation office,

Microsystems technology office, Strategic technology office, Tactical technology

office) 250 .

- DARPA ,

, ,

- ,

, .

DARPA PM(Project Manager)

PM ,

, PM

, Virtual CEO

- PM ,

142

- , PM (Technological Surprise)

.

DARPA

DARPA , ,

- ,

- , ,

,

- top-down, bottom-up

,

- DARPA

- .

DARPA

DARPA

R&D

- PM

- 20%

- 65% , 10% ,

DARPA ,

- , ,

, ,

,

- DARPA " " (End-game approach)

, DARPA

, ,

,

4.

143

- , , ,

DARPA

DARPA

- , World Wide Web , RISC , (GPS),

, (MEMS), Google , GPS, Siri, , PACS(

), Digital X-Ray, , , ,

Saturn

DARPA in-house , , ,

DARPA PM

,

peer review ,

moral hazard

DARPA

DARPA

DARPA DARPA

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, DB(https://www.google.com/url?sa=t

&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=8&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CD8QFjAHahUKEw

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, 2015. ICT R&D ,

DARPA, 2015. Breakthrough technologies for national security.

4.

177

DARPA, 2013. Driving Technological Surprise: DARPAs Mission in a Changing World.

DARPA, 2009. Strategic Plan.

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Du, J. S., Leten, B., W. Vanhaverbeke, 2014. Managing open innovation projects with

science-based and market-based partners, Research Policy, Vol 43, pp.828-840.

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Dubois, L. H., 2003. DARPA's Approach to Innovation and Its Reflection in Industry,

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Technion. (http://www.trdf.co.il/eng/kolkoreinfo.php?id= 318)

Tmura R&DFund, EraWatch (http ://erawatch.jrc.ec.europa.eu/erawatch/opencms/information/

country_pages/il/supportmeasure/ support_mig_0015)

Tmura R&DFund, EraWatch (http ://erawatch.jrc.ec.europa.eu/erawatch/opencms/information/

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178

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