-

1041030

2

??

3

1 1.

4

1. :%:%

6

2004 4.0 10.1 8.4 3.5 2.3 2.4 6.5

2005 3.6 11.3 9.3 3.1 1.3 2.3 5.6

2006 4.1 12.7 9.3 2.7 1.7 3.5 6.0

2007 4.0 14.2 9.8 1.9 2.2 3.2 6.6

2008 1.4 9.6 3.9 -0.3 -1.1 0.3 4.3

2009 -2.1 9.2 8.5 -3.1 -5.5 -4.5 1.2

2010 4.1 10.5 10.5 2.4 4.7 2.0 8.1

2011 2.8 9.3 6.3 1.8 -0.5 1.6 4.5

2012 2.2 7.8 3.2 2.2 1.9 -0.3 5.4

2013 2.1 7.5 5.1 1.6 1.7 -0.3 4.9

2014 3.0 7.8 6.5 2.7 1.9 1.0 5.2

1785 (102815)

5

1785 (102815)/

2.

6

2004 4.01 0.47 0.15 0.96 0.24 0.74 0.12

2005 3.58 0.56 0.17 0.84 0.13 0.68 0.11

2006 4.14 0.68 0.18 0.72 0.16 1.03 0.12

2007 4.04 0.84 0.20 0.51 0.21 0.95 0.13

2008 1.43 0.61 0.08 -0.09 -0.10 0.08 0.09

2009 -2.14 0.65 0.19 -0.79 -0.50 -1.28 0.03

2010 4.07 0.79 0.26 0.61 0.42 0.56 0.18

2011 2.78 0.75 0.16 0.45 -0.05 0.45 0.10

2012 2.25 0.65 0.08 0.56 0.17 -0.08 0.13

2013 2.09 0.67 0.13 0.41 0.15 -0.07 0.12

2014 3.03 0.73 0.18 0.67 0.16 0.25 0.13

6

1785 (102815) /

3 3.

1990-2000 2000-2007 2007-2014 10 43 10 80 8 77

%

10.43 10.80 8.77 3.95 4.94 2.56 1 13 1 41 0 09 1.13 1.41 0.09 6.94 4.90 3.17

7.12 6.04 4.67* 6.70 4.61 3.03 3.44 2.45 1.13 - 2.21 0.28

5.01 5.28 5.16International Monetary Fund()

1990-2000

7

2000-20072007-2014

4. %

92 11.3 19.3 13.0 27.8 11.8 34.6 4.6

93 21 1 31 0 20 3 24 2 15 8 35 4 12 493 21.1 31.0 20.3 24.2 15.8 35.4 12.4

94 8.8 12.0 5.9 15.6 11.6 28.4 10.6

95 12.9 14.4 8.2 18.4 9.4 27.2 13.9

96 10.1 14.1 10.1 10.1 8.8 25.7 11.9

97 3.6 13.6 8.9 13.0 5.3 17.4 12.1

98 -20.3 -13.9 -25.2 -20.2 -12.2 -16.0 -18.098 20.3 13.9 25.2 20.2 12.2 16.0 18.0

99 34.8 28.3 32.1 30.4 22.5 31.3 21.1

100 12.3 19.1 7.0 16.4 10.0 20.3 16.0

101 -2.3 -1.4 -2.4 -0.3 3.2 7.9 4.3

102 1.4 2.1 -10.3 0.5 3.6 7.8 2.2

103 2.7 2.3 -3.5 -0.1 3.2 6.0 2.8

WTO

8

227 93250

(%) 2013GDP227.93

191.55 200

150

69.51

53 88

100

53.88 45.56

30.19 30.11 28.50 23.32 19.88 16.15 13.49

50

0

9

5.

()

%

1990-2000 8.46 15.81 7.31 6.93 5.05 10.70

2000-2007 7.17 15.7 -0.83 2.61 -1.47 9.73

2007-2012 4.07 3.40 3.57 0.09 0.55 9.27

2013 1 42 2 17 1 23 3 53 1 25 3 902013 1.42 2.17 1.23 -3.53 -1.25 3.90

2014 2.70 2.83 3.55 3.46 7.07 1.21

:

2008

10

6. ()

%

()

1990 12.69 12.37 18.14 32.25 10.16

2000 24.44 11.11 15.73 23.42 12.47

2007 40.70 6.46 11.61 13.00 14.72

2012 39.39 6.30 9.55 10.95 18.78

2013 39.69 6.29 9.09 10.66 19.24

2014 39.74 6.34 9.15 11.11 18.68

:

11

2007-20142000-200715.72007-20144.00

2000-2007 200024.4200740.7

2001-20077.172.1

12

20082000 20077 173 5 2000-20077.173.52010ECFA

ECFA(2010)(2007 2010)(2010 2013)(2007-2010)(2010-2013) (16.9)

(23.3) (34.6)(6 3)(6.3)

ECFA34.745

ECFA13

ECFA ECFA

5.245626.886.520156161

14

RTA

% % % %

46 34.69% 15 17.61% 33 76.52% 7* 5.24% 0 92% 4 39% 9 98% 21 60% * * 0.92% 4.39% 9.98% 21.60%

2.82% 11.06% 0.15%

0.14% 0.02% 0.06%

21.29% 1.33% 0.43% 8.81% 5.96% 0.36% 1.12% 10 0.27% (TPP) 26.78 2.3% 2.63% 11.49%

86.48% 77.15% 87.5% 26.84%

15

, Trade Map

2000 2000

( ()

16

9. GDP

%

GDP

1990-2000 6.70 6.95 8.21 4.21 9.20 9.10

2000-2007 4.61 2.94 -0.01 0.95 8.08 3.52

2007-2014 3.03 1.74 0.15 1.77 4.13 1.86

17

10. GDP

GDP

%

GDP

1990 100 64.50 33.26 25.97 -17.73

2000 100 66 01 38 25 20 50 21 632000 100 66.01 38.25 20.50 -21.63

2007 100 58.97 27.88 15.97 -2.22

2012 100 54 36 22 44 15 16 8 032012 100 54.36 22.44 15.16 8.03

2013 100 54.42 22.69 14.66 8.24

2014 100 54 01 22 84 14 60 8 562014 100 54.01 22.84 14.60 8.56

:

18

GDP GDP

70

50

60

20

30

40

(

%)

0

10

20

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

5.7 5.4 5.1 4.6 4.4 4.2 3.8 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9

2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1

37.4 36.9 34.9 33.1 30.5 30.0 28.7 27.4 26.8 26.4 26.3 26.3 25.9 26.1 26.6 25.5 27.0 28.6 29.6 30.3 31.1 30.4 30.5 29.9 33.0 33.7 34.2 34.0

0

37.4 36.9 34.9 33.1 30.5 30.0 28.7 27.4 26.8 26.4 26.3 26.3 25.9 26.1 26.6 25.5 27.0 28.6 29.6 30.3 31.1 30.4 30.5 29.9 33.0 33.7 34.2 34.0

1.8 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2

5.9 5.8 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.3 6.0 5.5 5.2 5.1 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.9 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0

4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.5

* 2 1 3 3 8 0 1 3 0 3 6 6 8 9 9 6 9 9 61 60 2 9 8 8 8 8 0 8 9 1 9 8 0 6 6 2 6 2

19

* 42.1 43.3 45.4 47.8 50.7 51.5 53.0 54.3 55.6 56.4 57.7 58.4 59.4 59.6 59.9 61.7 60.2 59.4 58.8 58.5 58.0 58.7 59.1 59.8 57.0 56.5 56.2 56.2

*

1. *2. 2007-2013

GDP (1.

2. 2007-2013GDP0.88 % 1.41%

%

1982-1990 1990-1999 1999-2007 2007-2013

%

11.67 8.59 4.30 2.07

10.01 7.71 4.53 2.20

16 71 8 08 3 12 3 82 16.71 8.08 3.12 3.82

9.25 11.76 6.80 3.93

14 63 8 90 3 31 1 41 14.63 8.90 3.31 1.41

14.09 9.94 3.72 0.88

7 90 5 59 4 81 2 75 7.90 5.59 4.81 2.75

20

11. GDP()TFP

%

Q K L TFP1990-1999 4.95 10.75 0.84 0.481999-2007 7.67 7.28 1.96 3.002007-2013 5.02 0.25 1.68 4.03

12. GDP()TFP

%

Q K L TFP1990-1999 100 82 11 71999-2007 100 47 13 402007-2013 100 3 15 82

21

(TFP)

13. GDP()TFP%

Q K L TFP1990-1999 8.59 8.79 4.28 1.631999-2007 4.31 2.57 1.34 2.242007-2013 2.07 1.56 1.69 0.44

14 GDP () TFP

Q K L TFP

14. GDP()TFP%

Q K L TFP1990-1999 100 57 22 211999-2007 100 32 14 532007 2013 100 39 39 222007-2013 100 39 39 22

(TFP)

22

2000

200220095.17%5.85% 2001

2009-1.26%-1.57%

23

16(%)

13.56

12

14

16

8

10

12

3.964

6

8

3.771.67

-

2

4

(4)

(2)

:

(4)(%) (%)

24

2000

1. 19901. 1990

2.

3 3.

4.

5 5.

6.

7. GDP

NDP1981-2012

25

SL(%) SL (%) ()

1981 59.81 68.73 9,5551981 59.81 68.73 9,555 1991 59.76 66.74 24,426 2001 54.55 68.28 38,412 2002 48 04 58 81 38 4352002 48.04 58.81 38,435 2003 46.74 56.97 39,549 2004 46.66 57.24 40,657

2005 48.32 60.11 41,858 2006 49.28 61.95 42,393 2007 47.72 60.54 43,178

2008 52.62 70.53 43,121 2009 48.90 68.11 39,125 2010 46.23 60.74 42,3002010 46.23 60.74 42,300 2011 49.27 66.09 43,316 2012 51.48 70.18 43,689

26

SLGDPSLSLGDPSL

2001-2013

27

()

0.350(2001) 0.35

0.36

0.336

0.33

0.34

0.312 0.31

0.32

0 29

0.30

0.28

0.29

28

()

(/)

0.313(2002) 0.31

0.32

0.30

0.31

0.298

0.29

0.30

0.288

0 28

0.28

0.29

0.28

29

()

()

0.55

0 42

0.56

0.46 0.48 0.46 0.46 0.50

0.60

0.33

0.42

0.27

0.33 0.28

0.36 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.31

0.36

0 260.29

0 25

0.38

0 30

0.40

0.26 0.25

0.20

0.30

0.00

0.10

30

20002008-20092009

31

2.

1) 1961 2000 1961-2000(()

2)

3) (FTA) ) ( )

4)

32

5)

6) (i)(ii)( )

7)

8)

9) ()

10)11)12)

33

13)