1. GII THIU V GIAO DCH FOREX Th trng giao dch ln nht th gii ngay trong tm tay bn

2. Admiral Markets GII THIU V GIAO DCH FOREX Th trng giao dch ln nht th gii ngay trong tm tay bnNi dung Chng 1 C bn v Forex .................................... 3 Chng 2 Ti sao li giao dch ngoi hi?....................... 5 Chng 3 Gi ngoi t dao ng nh th no?.................. 8 Chng 4 Cch thc giao dch ................................. 11 Chng 5 Chin lc giao dch ca bn ......................... 15 Chng 6 Trc khi bn bt u ............................... 18 Chng 7 Thng tin thm ..................................... 20Ngi chi Xin lu : kinh doanh ngoi hi mang mt mc ri ro cao, v c th khng ph hp vi tt c cc nh u t. Mc cao ca n by c th lm vic cho bn cng nh chng li bn. V vy, trc khi bt u bt k loi hnh kinh doanh ti chnh (u t) xem xt cc hu qu c th c ca thng mi. V vy, chng ti khuyn bn nn kin nhn nh gi cc chin lc FOREX v mc tiu trnh mt tin, bn khng th kh nng mt. Xin lu rng Admiral Markets khng cung cp cc dch v cho cc khch hng t M, Canada v Nht Bn. 3. Chng 1 C bn v Forex Forex l g? Forex hay FX l vit tt ph bin cho ngoi hi. Nu bn tng i du lch n nc khc, c l bn phi tm n mt gian trao i tin t ti sn bay, v sau i nhng ng tin bn c trong v hoc ti xch thnh cc loi tin t ca quc gia m bn n. Khi bn lm nh th, bn c bn tham gia vo th trng ngoi hi - bn trao i mt loi tin t khc. Hoc theo thut ng giao dch ngoi hi, gi s bn l mt ngi c thm M, bn bn la c v mua la M. Trc khi bn quay tr v nh, bn li n gian trao i tin t i la M m bn cn li v thy rng t gi hi oi thay i. l nhng thay i trong t gi hi oi cho php bn kim tin trong th trng ngoi hi. Ngoi hi l th trng ln nht v nng ng nht ca th gii. l ni cc ngn hng v cc thng nhn trao i mt lng ln ngoi t, ch yu l to iu kin thun li cho thng mi v u t gia cc quc gia. Th trng giao dch c ngy v m - ngoi tr cui tun vi khi lng giao dch khong 5 nghn t USD mt ngy. So vi khi lng tm 4-5 t USD mt ngy ca S Giao dch chng khon c hoc thm ch vi khi lng tng i nh 22 t USD mt ngy ca S giao dch chng khon New York th th trng ngoi hi l cc k ln. Con s 5 nghn t USD bao gm ton b th trng ngoi hi ton cu, nhng nu ch tnh cc thng nhn l (nh cc khch hng ca Admiral Markets) giao dch th trng3giao ngay th con s l khong 30% hoc 1,5 nghn t USD mi ngy.Ai giao dch Forex? V c bn, th trng bao gm bn nhm khc nhau. Phn trn nh ca bc thang th trng ngoi hi l th trng lin ngn hng. Bao gm cc ngn hng ln nht ca th gii, v mt s ngn hng nh, nhng ngi tham gia th trng ny giao dch trc tip vi nhau hoc thng qua Dch v Mi gii in t (EBS) hoc h thng Thomson Reuters Spot Matching. S cnh tranh gia hai cng ty - EBS v h thng Thomson Reuters Spot Matching - rt khc lit. Tt c cc ngn hng l mt phn ca th trng lin ngn hng u c th xem c t l m mi bn a ra nhng iu ny khng c ngha l ai cng c th giao dch ngoi hi mc gi . Cc mc gi ph thuc phn ln vo mi quan h tn dng c thnh lp gia cc bn giao dch. Mt s ngn hng ln nht to nn th trng lin ngn hng gm UBS, Barclays Capital, Deutsche Bank v Citigroup. Mt s chnh ph v cc ngn hng trung ng ca h, chng hn nh Ngn hng Trung ng chu u, Ngn hng Anh v Cc d tr Lin bang cng thng xuyn tham gia vo th trng lin ngn hng. Tip theo trn bc thang ngoi hi l cc chnh ph nh hn, cc qu u t, cc tp on ln, cc nh sn xut th trng bn l v cc ECN (mng li giao dch in t) nh l. K t khi cc t chc ny khng phi lun c mi quan h tn dng cht ch vi cc thnhvn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 4. vin tham gia th trng lin ngn hng, h phi thc hin giao dch thng qua cc ngn hng thng mi. iu ny c ngha rng t l ca h l hi cao hn v t hn so vi nhng ngi tham gia th trng lin ngn hng. Cc cng ty tham gia vo th trng ngoi hi nhm mc ch kinh doanh. V d, u tin Apple phi i la M thnh ng yn Nht Bn khi mua linh kin in t t Nht cho cc sn phm ca h. Bi v khi lng h giao dch nh hn nhiu hn so vi nhng ngi trong th trng lin ngn hng, nhng i tng nh vy thng hp tc vi cc ngn hng thng mi cho cc giao dch ca h. Cng ging nh cc cng ty, chnh ph ca cc quc gia nh hn s tham gia vo th trng ngoi hi cho cc hot ng, thanh ton thng mi quc t v x l d tr ngoi hi ca h. di cng ca bc thang Forex l nhng ngi giao dch nh l. Trc y cc nh u t nh l rt kh khn khi tham gia vo th trng ngoi hi, nhng nh s ra i ca Internet, cc sn giao dch in t, v nh mi gii bn l nh Admiral Markets, nhng ro cn kh khn gia nhp vo vic kinh doanh ngoi hi c g b.Tuy nhin n khng phi l mt th trng 24/7 bi v n ng ca vo cui tun. 24/5 th chnh xc hn. Th trng ngoi hi c th c chia thnh bn phin giao dch chnh: phin Sydney, phin Tokyo, phin London v phin New York. Thng thng, thi gian tt nht giao dch ngoi hi l khi khi lng ln cc loi tin t c giao dch. Ti nhng gi , nh u t c th tn dng y cc tnh thanh khon trn th trng Forex. K t khi th trng ngoi hi giao dch 24 gi mt ngy, thanh khon ln nht l khi mt s quc gia ang hot ng cng mt lc. Trong mi mi gi trn ton th gii, th trng ngoi hi hot ng 08:00-16:00. V vy, tn dng li th ca khi lng giao dch ln th vic xc nh khi no gi giao dch ngoi hi cc quc gia khc nhau chng ln nhau l rt quan trng. Khi tin t dao ng mnh nht th cng l khi nh u t c c hi tt hn to ra li nhun. Th trng dao ng nh cung cp rt t c hi li nhun, do nhng nh u t Forex thng trnh xa.Bn c th giao dch Forex khi no? Gi th trng ngoi hi ko di t sng th hai ti Sydney, Australia n chiu Th Su ti New York. Trong thi gian , th trng c m bt k ni u trn ton cu trong tt c cc gi bt k ngy hay m.4vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 5. Chng 2Ti sao li giao dch ngoi hi? Tnh thanh khon Bi v th trng ngoi hi l ton cu v bao gm tt c cc ngn hng ln nht ca th gii nn bn c th chc chn rng lun lun c mt ngi no giao dch cng ch khng ging nh th trng c phiu, bn mun mua mt c phiu c th nhng khng c ai mun bn (hoc ngc li). Kh nng giao dch ti bt k thi im no c gi l thanh khon. Tnh thanh khon cao c ngha l lun lun c mt ai giao dch v rt t nguy c c mt thng nhn hay mt php5nhn c th tc ng n gi nh c th xy ra ti cc th trng khc v d th trng chng khon.D hiu Kin thc c bn trong th trng c phiu l rt ln, do vy rt kh nm c lng phn tch cn thit. Bn cn hiu c tc, t l gi-thu nhp v lm th no nh gi cht lng qun l doanh nghip trc khi quyt nh c phiu c kh nng di chuyn theo hng no. Ngc li, forex tng i n gin. Bn ly mt loi tin t quen thuc vivn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 6. bn (nh ng la c) v nhn vo gi tr ca n so vi ng tin khc. Ch nhng loi tin t chnh mi thung xuyn c giao dch trong kinh doanh ngoi hi. Bn cn phi hc nhng g nh hng n gi ca mt cp tin t v quan trng nht l lm th no c th s dng phn tch k thut ci thin c hi thnh cng ca bn.Giao dch ti gia, trong qun cafe hay trong ngy ngh l Mt trong nhng iu m lm cho kinh doanh ngoi hi tr nn ph bin l th trng m ca 24 gi mt ngy. iu ny c ngha l bn c th giao dch sau gi lm vic, vo bui sng sm, trong ba n tra hoc thm ch qua m - bt c khi bn thy ph hp. Hn na, bn c th giao dch trc tip t bn lm vic ca bn hoc thm ch trong khi ngi qun cafe u thch vi my tnh xch tay kt ni internet. Mt s nh u t cn giao dch trn in thoi di ng. Nh cung cp dch v ngoi hi cho bn tip cn nhiu hn hoc t trc tip vo cc th trng. iu ny c ngha bn c th t phn tch v a ra cc quyt nh kinh doanh, t lnh dng l ngn tn tht ln v thc hin giao dch m thm ch khng cn n my tnh kt ni mng.tin giao dch c xc nh bi spread chnh lch gia gi mua v gi bn ca mt cp tin t c th. S chnh lch ny c th thay i theo thi gian, ty thuc vo iu kin th trng v khc nhau ty thuc vo cp tin t cng nh nh cung cp m bn s dng. i vi hu ht cc mc ch kinh doanh, chi ph mi ln giao dch khng phi l cc k quan trng cho s thnh cng ca n. Mt ngoi l p dng vi mt s chin lc giao dch qua ngy nm bt li nhun nh. Vi khi lng giao dch l 10.000 USD m bn cn k qu ban u l 100 USD, chnh lch thng l ba pips hoc khong 3 USD. S chnh lch c th khc nhau t thp khong 0,5 pips vi nhng ngoi t mnh n 5 hoc nhiu hn cho nhng ngoi t t ph bin. Nu bn gi mt lnh hn 24 gi, bn c th mt mt khon ph nh ty thuc vo s chnh lch li sut gia hai ng tin. Mt khc, bn c th c tr mt s tin nhPh giao dch thp Trn th trng ngoi hi, giao dch trc tip hoc thng qua cc sn, chi ph ca cc ng6vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 7. cho lnh ca bn. S tin li c cng vo hoc ghi n khi lnh ca bn qua ngy hm sau. iu ny c thc hin bn c th gi lnh m khng cn tc ng n v tr ca mt cp tin t.n by Forex cho bn li nhun t mt lnh ln trong th trng cho mt chi ph tr trc nh, c gi l k qu ban u. iu ny c gi l n by. n by ti a trong th trng c phiu thng l 20:1, c ngha giao dch ca bn s gp 20 ln s tin k qu ban u. T l n by nh nht trong forex l 50:1 nhng thng l 100:1. V d, c th giao dch vi khi lng 10.000 USD, bn ch phi tr 100 USD k qu bi bn c th vay phn cn li l 9.900 USD. cho bn thy r mc li nhun ca n by, ta c th ly v d: bn mua la c v7gi tr ca ng la c tng t 1,00 $ US n 1,02 $ US. Mt ng tin c th dao ng bng s lng ny hoc hn trong mt vi gi khi th trng ang dao ng mnh. N i din cho mt s thay i l 2,2% nhng khi bn c n by 100:1, li nhun ca bn s tng ln 100 ln ca 2,2 c ngha l 220% trn s tin ban u bn phi tr. Vi khi lng n by nh vy, ngay dao ng rt nh ca mt loi tin t cng c th dn n li nhun v thua l kh ln. Bn cn phi tm hiu cc quy tc c bn ca qun l ri ro kinh doanh an ton trn th trng v lm th no t ct l cng nh lnh ch(c ngha l cc lnh dng kho lnh khi t n mc gi a ra). Bn s mt mt thi gian tm hiu v k hoch kinh doanh, t l ri ro, qun l tin bc, khi lung lnh, phn tch c bn v phn tch k thut trc khi bn bt u.vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 8. Chng 3Gi ngoi t dao ng nh th no? Cc cp tin t Mi loi tin t u c mt m s ba ch ci ph qut (m ISO) m tt c cc thnh vin tham gia giao dch ngoi hi s dng xc nh n. M cho ng la c l AUD v ng la M l USD. Tin t c yt gi theo cp, chng hn cp AUD / USD, GBP / USD hoc USD / JPY. L do ca vic yt gi theo cp l v trong tt c cc giao dch ngoi hi, bn ng thi mua mt loi tin t ny v bn mt loi tin t khc. ng tin lit k u tin bn tri ca du gch cho (/) c bit n nh8ng yt gi, trong khi ng th hai bn phi c gi l ng nh gi. Khi mua, t gi hi oi s cho bn bit bn phi tr bao nhiu n v tin nh gi mua c 1 n v tin yt gi. Khi bn, t gi hi oi s cho bn bit bn nhn c bao nhiu n v tin nh gi khi bn 1 n v tin yt gi. Lu thng tin t c bn ch l mua hay bn.Nu bn mua EUR / USD, iu ny ch n gin c ngha l bn ang mua ng tin yt gi - Euro v ng thi bn ng tin nh gi - la M.vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 9. Bn s mua cp tin t m bn tin l ng yt gi c gi tr cao hn (tng gi tr) so vi ng tin nh gi. Bn s bn cp tin t m bn ngh l ng tin yt gi c gi tr thp hn (mt i gi tr) tng i so vi ng tin nh gi. Khi bn nhn thy gi nim yt nh th ny: AUD / USD 0,9836 th bn bit rng ng ang c xc nh gi tr (ng yt gi) l la c ($ A1) v gi tr ca n s uc quy i v la M (ng nh gi ). Hu ht cc ng tin (Yn Nht, franc Thy S, la Canada...) c yt vi ng la M nh ng yt gi, c ngha l nh gi ng la M theo cc loi tin t khc, nhng c bn trng hp ngoi l ng ch : ng bng Anh (GBP), Euro (EUR), la c (AUD) v la New Zealand (NZD). Chng c yt theo cch khc. Mc d mua bng Anh ging nh bn la M, nu bn lun ngh v s dao ng ca ng yt gi khi giao dch th bn s t b nhm.Tin t mnh, yu v hng ho Thut ng Tin t mnh c s dng cp n 7 ng tin thanh khon cao nht (giao dch nhiu nht) trn th trng gm la M (USD), bng Anh (GBP), khu vc s dng ng tin chung chu u euro (EUR), ng yn Nht Bn (JPY), ng franc Thy S (CHF), ng la Canada (CAD), v ng la c (AUD). Tin t yu l cc ng tin cn li. Tin t hng ha l ng tin ca nhng nc ch yu da vo xut khu hng ha9cho phn ln thu nhp chnh ca h. Theo nghin cu ca IMF, c 58 quc gia c tin t hng ho nhng ng k nht l ng la c, la Canada v ng la New Zealand. Thut ng cp tin t chnh c bit thng c dng khi cp n bt k cp tin no i cng vi USD trong khi mt cp m khng bao gm ng USD c gi l tin t cho. Cp tin t chnh l by cp thanh khon cao nht: EUR / USD, USD / JPY, USD / CHF, GBP / USD, AUD / USD, NZD / USD v USD / CAD.Long/Short, Bid/Ask Trc tin, bn nn xc nh xem bn mun mua hay bn. Nu bn mun mua (c ngha l mua ng yt gi v bn ng nh gi), bn mun ng yt gi tng gi tr v sau bn s bn li vi gi cao hn. Theo cch ni ca nh u t, iu ny c gi l long hoc l t lnh mua. Ch cn nh: long = buy. Nu bn mun bn (c ngha l bn ng yt gi v mua ng nh gi), bn mun ng yt gi gim v gi tr v sau bn s mua li vi gi thp hn. iu ny c gi l short hay l t lnh bn. Ch cn nh: short = sell. Bid (gi mua) l gi m ti ngi mi gii ca bn sn sng mua ng yt gi trong trao i vi ng nh gi. iu ny c ngha gi bid l gi tt nht m ti bn (nh u t) s bn ra th trng. Ask l gi m ti ngi mi gii ca bn s bn ng tin yt gi trong trao i vi ng nh gi, c ngha gi ask l gi tt nht m ti bn s mua t th trng. Mt thut ng khc cng hay cvn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 10. hi l gi cho bn. Trong thut ng forex, s khc bit gia gi bid v gi ask c gi l spread (chnh lch). Cc cch gi khc l chnh lch gi mua-gi bn hay chnh lch mua-bn.Pips & Pipettes n v o lng th hin s thay i trong gi tr gia hai ng tin c gi l Pip. Nu cp EUR / USD dao ng t 1,2241 n 1,2242 th 0,0001 USD tng v gi tr c gi l mt PIP. Mt pip thng l s thp phn cui cng ca gi nim yt. Hu ht cc cp u theo sau 4 ch s thp phn nhng c mt s trng hp ngoi l nh cp Yn Nht (theo sau hai ch s thp phn). Gi s gi tr ng la c ang tng t US101.05 cent n US101.06c. Trn th trng ngoi hi, iu ny cho thy dao ng t $ US1.0105 n $ US1.0106. y l dao ng nh nht ca mt ng tin v n c bit n nh l mt pip.US100, 000 khi ng yt gi l la M. Khi lng n v ti khon in hnh ny c bit n nh l s lot chun hoc ti khon tiu chun. i vi la c, ng yt gi l ng la c v khi lng ca mt ti khon l $100.000 gi tr ca ng nh gi. Vi khi lng ti khon ny s tin cn thit k qu ban u l $ 1000 v gi tr ca mt pip dao ng l $ US 10 so vi ng tin . Nhiu nh cung cp dch v kinh doanh ngoi hi c nhng khi lng ti khon nh hn. Admiral Markets cung cp cc ti khon nh k qu ban u l $ 100 v gi tr ca mt pip dao ng l $ US 1 so vi ng tin . Admiral Markets cng cung cp cc ti khon siu nh trn cc ti khon tiu chun tng ng vi ch $ 1000, yu cu k qu ban u l $ 10. iu ny cho php cc nh u t vi cc ti khon nh c th tham gia giao dch m khng vt qu gii hn tn tht ti a ca h m c lin quan n khi lng lnh. Dao ng 1 pip ti lot ny l bng US 10c so vi ng tin .C nhng ti khon pro yt cc cp tin t vt qu tiu chun 4 v 2 ch s thp phn thnh 5 v 3 ch s thp phn. Chng c yt gi PIPS phn on hay c gi l pipettes. V d, nu GBP / USD dao ng t 1,51542 n 1,51543 th 0,00001 USD dao ng cao hn gi l mt PIPETTE.Ti khon tiu chun, nh v siu nh Trong th trng giao ngay, khi lng in hnh ca mt ti khon tng ng vi $10 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 11. Chng 4Cch thc giao dch FX Th trng giao ngay v CFDs Kinh doanh ngoi hi ti c xy ra trong th trng giao ngay thng qua cc cng c c gi l CFDs nhng c nhng cch khc giao dch. Trong s c nhng cng c c lit k trn cc sn giao dch chnh thc, chng hn nh tng lai tin t. Giao dch giao ngay yu cu k qu ban u v cc khon thanh ton li nhun hng ngy nu th trng di chuyn ngc hng bn (v d: gim khi bn mua). iu ny c ngha l bn cn nhiu hn bin ban u giao dch nu th trng di chuyn nhanh chng chng li bn.Giao dch FX mu Di y l mt v d ca mt giao dch c li trong th trng ngoi hi. Gi s bn ngh rng ng la c c th tng gi so vi ng la M v li sut ca c ang bt utng tr li. Trn th trng vo thi im , ng la c c yt AUD / USD 1,20781,2080 v bn t lnh mua $ A100,000 gi 1,2078. Mt vi ngy sau , ng la c di chuyn ln v bo gi mi l AUD / USD 1,3050-1,3052. Bn ng lnh bng cch bn la c ti gi $US1,3052. Li nhun ca bn l s khc bit gia hai gi la M hay ni cch khc bn li $US 972, nh minh ha di y.Ba loi phn tch th trng iu g lm tin t dao ng? nhn nh mt loi tin t nh ng la c tng gi so vi tin t khc, nh u t s dng ba loi phn tch gip h c nhng tng giao dch tt. Phn tch k thut l nghin cu s bin ng gi trn th. Phn tch c bn l a ra mt cch nhn v nn kinh t ca t nc. Phn tch tm l th trng xc nh xu hng th trng tng hay gim v c bn hin ti v tng lai. C th nh sau:1/12 Mua AUD$100,000 gi USD$1.2080USD $120,800 (value) -K qu ban uAUS $1000.00Ph05/12 Sell AUD$100,000 at $US1.3052USD $130,052 (value) +K qu ban uAUD $1000.00Ph0LiUSD $972.0011 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 12. Phn tch c bn Phn tch c bn l cch nhn vo th trng bng cch phn tch cc lc lng kinh t, x hi v chnh tr c nh hng n cung v cu ca mt ti sn. Mc ch ca loi phn tch ny l nu trin vng kinh t hin ti hoc tng lai ca mt quc gia l tt, tin t ca h cn phi tng cng. Nu nhu cu i vi hng ha hoc dch v ca mt quc gia ang tng, s ngi mun u t ang pht trin, h cn phi mua tin t ca nc trc khi h mua hng hoc u t v sau gi tr ng tin c xu hng tng. V d: u t ti c l hp dn khi nn kinh t pht trin mnh, gi c phiu trn th trng chng khon c d kin s tng, cc cng ty tr c tc tt v li sut ang tng ln. Khi nhng iu ny ang xy ra, ng la c c xu hng tng cao hn so vi cc ng tin khc. Ni chung, ng la c l mt phn nh trong s thnh vng ca quc gia. Mt s ch s kinh t cho thy nhng c im ca mt nn kinh t mnh: i sut ng USD c xu hng tng khi li L sut ang tng ln. ng trng ton cu v nhu cu cho cc T ngun ti nguyn - c sn xut cc mt hng bao gm c kim loi, than v cc sn phm nng nghip nh la m v len. Khi nhu cu i vi cc mt hng ny ang tng ln, iu ny h tr cc loi tin t. hu k kinh t - Cc ch s bao gm cc s C liu thng k nh , doanh s bn l, doanh s bn xe hi v ch s vic lm. gn sch, thm ht thng mi v thng N d - thng d cho thy s tng trng mnh m suy ra ng la c tng, cn nu thm ht th ngc li. m pht - lm pht lm gim li nhun L u t v tng lm pht s lm gim gi tr lu di ca tin t. Cc ch s lm pht bao gm ch s gi tiu dng v cc s liu thng k cung tin.Phn tch k thut Phn tch k thut l nn tng m nh u t nghin cu s bin ng gi. L thuyt l mt ngi c th nhn vo lch s bin ng gi v xc nh iu kin giao dch hin ti v kh nng bin ng gi. Th trng c s cn bng bao gm tp hp cc thng tin mi v thng tin c bn, s chuyn ng theo mt hng, qua thi gian tm n mt im m n c th tm dng trong mt thi gian ngn cho n khi c thng tin mi hn. V tt c nhng iu ny xy ra, gi cho thy m hnh m c xu hng c lp i lp li. Xc nh cc m hnh bng cch kim tra cc th ca hnh vi gi trong qu kh c gi l phn tch k thut. Bng chng chnh cho vic s dng phn tch k thut l, v mt l thuyt, tt c cc thng tin th trng hin nay c phn nh trong gi c. Nu gi c phn nh tt c cc thng tin, th hnh ng gi l tt c nhng g12 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 13. thc s cn phi thc hin cho mt giao dch. Phn tch k thut cung cp c s m trn hu ht cc nh giao dch a ra cc quyt nh kinh doanh ca h. Khi cc yu t c bn lun lun hin th trong vic hnh thnh gi, nhiu nh u t a ra quyt nh da trn ch phn tch k thut. Biu cho php bn phn tch m hnh th trng v d liu xu hng v cung cp mt hnh nh ca cc mc gi v khi lng m bn c th s dng xc nh kh nng cc bc i tip theo cho mt loi tin t. Khng c s chc chn tuyt i no khi d bo bin ng gi. Th trng c th lm bt c iu g, v thng bt chp c logic v d bo ca cc th. ng trung bnh lm mn nhng chuyn ng trong qu kh v ch ra mt xu hng mi c th nu gi di chuyn qua ng trung bnh. u hnh o chiu - chng hn nh u v M vai, nh v y, ba nh v rounded tops. tr v khng c - cc im gi trong qu H kh m th trng gp kh khn trong vic di chuyn vt qua. c ch s sc mnh tng i - cho bit C th trng c th c coi l vng qu mua. c mc Fibonacci - cc mc cn cho thy C s tip tc chuyn ng theo hng hin ti b nh hng.Cc m hnh v cc ch bo nh u t thng s dng d bo kh nng di chuyn th trng l: ACD hay ng trung bnh phn k/hi M t: s dng nhm gip xc nh sm xu hng v s o chiu xu hng. ng xu hng cc ng c im cao cao hn v im thp cao hn (xu hng ln) hoc im cao thp hn v im thp thp hn (xu hng xung). Gi ph v qua nhng ng ny c th cho thy s khi u ca mt s thay i trong xu hng gi. h s Cyclicity - th trng tri qua giai on C tng v gim theo chu k, trong c thin hng quay tr li mc trung bnh. Ch s Cyclicity gip th hin cc chu k nh vy.13 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 14. Phn tch tm l Suy ngh v kin ca mi nh u t, c th hin thng qua cc v th h m, gip hnh thnh tm l chung ca th trng. C mt th khng i v hnh vi ca th trng, l cc nh u t c xu hng phn ng thi qu, y gi n mc cao hn so vi gi tr tht s ca chng, v sau theo hng ngc li, y chng n mc thp hn gi tr thc s. Phn tch tm l bao gm tt c cc phn ng ny. Mc d cc ch s v tm l th trng, chng hn nh ng trung bnh v ng average true range (ATR) t lu c xem nh cccng c phn tch k thut, nhng phn tch k thut ch tp trung vo bin ng gi trong qu kh. Phn tch tm l c gng hiu nhng g ang hng quyt nh ca nh u t trong hin ti v trong tng lai. Khi lng giao dch l mt trong nhng ch s c th gip xc nh hng m dng tin giao dch ang chy, v iu ny c th gip tit l nhng g th trng tin rng s xy ra, l tm l th trng. l s khc bit gia nhng g cc th cho thy th trng c th xy ra da trn hnh vi qu kh, v nhng g n thc s din ra vi mi th trng.14 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 15. Chng 5Xy dng mt k hoch giao dch Pht trin k hoch kinh doanh ca bn Kinh doanh ngoi hi c th ri ro, c bit l nu bn cha giao dch trc . Hu ht nhng ngi b mt mt tin ti cc th trng dng n by (chng hn nh th trng ngoi hi) v h khng thc hin vic nghin cu cn thit, khng c k lut giao dch v khng c k hoch kinh doanh. Khng lm theo li khuyn giao dch ca ngi khc mt cch m qung. Nu mt ai c th lm tt vi phng php ca h, khng c ngha l n s lm vic tt cho bn. Tt c chng ta u c quan im th trng, qu trnh suy ngh, mc chp nhn ri ro, v kinh nghim th trng khc nhau. C k hoch giao dch ring ca c nhn bn v cp nht n khi bn hc hi t th trng. dng cc chin lc giao dch c S chng minh hot ng tt trong qu kh. m th no bn quyt nh khi no vo L lnh (mua hoc bn) - iu ny s n t s hiu bit ca bn v chin lc giao dch c chng minh v s dng thch hp cc phn tch k thut. dng lnh dng l - dng l l rt cn S thit cho vic qun l ri ro, v i hi phi nghin cu k lng bn s dng chng mt cch thch hp vi khi lng giao dch v s tin m bn chp nhn ri ro. m th no bn quyt nh khi no L thot khi mt giao dch. y cng l kt qu ca s hiu bit ca bn v nhng chin lc giao dch v s dng phn tch k thut v cc mu biu thch hp.Tm nhng chin lc hot ng tt v sau chun b k hoch giao dch. Thc hin nghin cu v dnh thi gian m bo n bao gm tt c cc kha cnh quan trng ca vic gi an ton vn ri ro v ti a ha c hi thnh cng ca bn. K hoch kinh doanh ca bn cn phi c nhng yu t cn thit sau y: c tiu giao dch ca bn - c th l doanh M thu mc tiu hoc t l phn trm li nhun ca cc giao dch thng. Nhiu nh u t forex nhm mc tiu t mt s pips / tun nh l mc tiu giao dch ca h.15 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 16. nh ngha h thng qun l ri ro ca bn - Cc quy tc qun l ri ro c thit k bo ton vn ri ro ca bn bng cch hn ch s tin bn chp nhn ri ro trn bt k mt giao dch no.Qun l tin hp l Qun l tin mt cch tt l iu cn thit cho s thnh cng trong giao dch ngoi hi ca bn. l iu c bn. L do nhiu nh u t tim nng thua l sm l h b qua nguyn tc n gin ny, nu theo st, s gip cho bt k nh u t t nhng thit hi thm khc thng du chm ht nhng n lc giao dch ca h. Di y l mt s hng dn giao dch thnh cng sau: 1. hng mt nhiu hn 1% vn ca bn K cho mi giao dch. Quy tc ny, cng vi khi lng lnh chnh xc s trnh cho bn chu ri ro qu nhiu , v trnh cho bn thua l qu ln trong bt k mt giao dch no. 2. m hiu v cc lnh dng l v lm th T no s dng chng. Mt lnh dng l (c bit n nh mt im dng) l thot khi v th ca bn mt mc gi c th nh l mt phng tin hn ch tn tht hoc gip bo v li nhun c thc hin trn cc v th cn ang m. Xc nh mc gi dng l ca bn bng cch tham kho cc cp tin t c th m bn ang giao dch v hnh vi trong qu kh ca n, c th hin bi cc tn hiu trn biu , ch khng phi ch n ginbng cch t n chn thua l mt s tin no . c bit ch cc ngng h tr v khng c, cc ng xu hng, v bin ng gn y khi t im dng l. 3. it cch tnh t l reward- risk, l t l v B s tin li m bn c kh nng t c trn s tin l m bn c nguy c mt i. Tin li, hoc s tin c kh nng t c c da trn gi mc tiu ca tin t, l mc bn mong i t gi s t c da trn phn tch k thut. S tin ri ro l tng s tin chu ri ro thua l da vo mc gi bn t im dng, cng c tnh ton bng cch tham kho cc tn hiu v cc mu biu . Khng ging nh c phiu, c t l reward-risk l 3:1 kh nng li nhun $3 cho mi $1 chu ri ro t l chp nhn ti thiu trong th trng ngoi hi l 1:1. 4. c nh khi lng giao dch ca lnh X da trn s tin bn chp nhn s mt nu lnh dng l c kch hot mc gi ch nh, v quy tc 1%. Bn nn bit trc kh nng mt ti a l bao nhiu cho mt giao dch. 5. n lu rng vn khng phi bn bit C r cc quy lut ny nh th no, cm xc c th xen vo v loi b kin thc bit. Do d khng chc chn trc khi tham gia vo mt giao dch, v xu hng gi mt v th thua l vi hy vng rng gi s quay li v chng minh bn ng, l mt trong cc li giao dch ph bin nht.16 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 17. D liu v phn mm bit liu cc quy lut vo v thot lnh trong k hoch giao dch ca bn c hot ng tt khng, bn s cn phi kim tra trn d liu giao dch thc t. Cch tt nht lm iu ny l thng qua phn mm c thit k cho mc ch ny, bng cch s dng cc d liu qu kh t cc th trng ngoi hi thc t. Admiral Markets s c th gip bn vi mt ti khon thc hnh bao gm rt nhiu cc cng c bn cn. Ch khi bn t tin rng h thng ca bn s lm vic to ra li nhun trong cc lnh thng ln hn phn thua l trong cc lnh thua qua thi gian, bn nn bt u giao dch vi tin tht.Tm l giao dch Tm l giao dch lin quan n kh nng mt nh u t qun l tin vn giao dch ca mnh v nhng ri ro lin quan n giao dch n by. Nhng nh giao dch thnh cng l nhng ngi tun th nghim ngt cc quy tc qun l tin bc m c nh gi hot ng tt. Tm l giao dch xem xt l do ti sao c s xung t, nu c, gia nhng gchng ta ngh v hiu v th trng v nhng g chng ta lm. L do nh u t - c bit l ngi mi bt u - khng tun theo cc quy tc l do h khng hiu mi quan h ring ca h vi tin bc v lng tham. Giao dch n by trong forex s th thch gip bn hiu bit chnh mnh r hn v tm hiu nhng g bn thc s ngh v tin bc v lng tham. N cng s th thch bn trong vic chp nhn trch nhim v kt qu ca bn vi nhn thc rng khng c ai khc li. Khng c s thay th cho kinh nghim trong vic hc hi v kh nng trnh giao dch qu mc, do d, v mo him qu nhiu, t vic iu chnh cc mc ct l m khng c l do chnh ng hoc t vic tip tc gi mt v th thua l vt qua mc gim ti a cho php ca bn. Tuy nhin, gi c nhn thc v cc kh nng ny v l do ca chng trong tm tr bn - tt c mi ngi s khc nhau trong vn ny - c th lm cho kinh nghim c gi tr hn. Mt cch tt bt u l cun sch ca Mark Douglas, Giao dch trong khu vc , c vit cho cc nh u t ni chung, v ph hp trc tip cho kinh doanh ngoi hi.17 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 18. Chng 6 Bt uChn mt nh mi gii forex Chn mt nh mi gii forex ph hp khng phi l d dng. Mt trong nhng cch tt nht l da vo ngh t cc nh u t khc, nhng nh mt hng dn, bn nn tm kim mt nh mi gii c cc c im sau: uy tn v cung cp kh nng x l an C ton vn cho khch hng, c bit trong vic tch ri tin ca h v vic bo m cho nhng ngun tin ny - bao gm c li nhun cha thc hin, v tin mt k qu - tch khi kh nng tn tht ti chnh t ring h. im tra xem nh cung cp dch v ngoi K hi ca bn c nm gi giy php t y ban Chng khon v u t c (ASIC), c quan qun l cho cc th trng ti chnh c khng. ung cp khng ch spread tt nht gia C gi bid v gi ask, m cn mc spread n nh, khng gin ng k trong thi gian bin ng ca th trng nn nh rng l chi ph giao dch ca bn; hng bo gi li, tr khi c nhng iu K kin ngoi l, nhng cho php bn giao dch ti mc gi bng hoc rt gn vi gi nim yt trn mn hnh; ho php bn np v rt tin thun tin v C nhanh chng; phn mm giao dch p ng nhanh, C nhiu tnh nng v d s dng; ung cp h tr k thut v h tr ti khon C d dng, t vn tt, c bit l sau khi m ti khon.Tm hiu v h thng giao dch Cc sn giao dch bao gm hai loi chnh. Bn c th ti v phn mm v chy n trn my tnh ca ring bn, hoc bn giao dch thng qua internet bng cch s dng phn mm iu khin t xa. Internet platforms (webbased) cung cp cho bn s linh hot ca giao dch t bt k my tnh no. Phn mm m bn ti v c sn trn my tnh gip bn c th s dng bt k lc no, nhng bn s phi ti v v ci t li nu bn thay i my tnh khc. Tuy nhin, cc nn tng da trn web khng nht thit phi tt hn. iu quan trng hn l nhng tnh nng m h cung cp v cc cng c biu , cc tnh nng giao dch, d s dng, mc d c mn hnh v tc thc hin. Trc khi bt u giao dch, cn dnh mt thi gian tm hiu lm th no phn mm hot ng bng cch giao dch vi khi lng nh nht c th, hoc nu c th giao dch trn ti khon thc hnh m khng cn tin tht. iu ny s gip ngn chn s xut hin cc li giao dch v khng quen vi cch thc phn mm hot ng.18 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 19. Ti khon Demo v ti khon tht S dng mt ti khon thc hnh (demo) l mt trong nhng cch tt nht chun b cho giao dch vi tin tht. Tuy nhin, c s khc bit m bn nn lu khi thc hin qu trnh chuyn i t mt ti khon thc hnh sang mt ti khon tht: gun cp d liu b chm hn so vi ngun cp d liu thc: Mt s ti khon thc hnh s N dng thng tin gi b chm trong h thng giao dch demo ca h, m c th nh hng n thi gian ca cc giao dch v bt k tc ng no t cng b tin tc c bn. ch lnh c thc hin: nn tng Demo c th thc hin mt s lnh khc vi cch chng C c thc hin trong mt ti khon tht - c bit l im dng l v im gii hn. iu quan trng l phi hiu vic thc thi c th khc nhau nh th no. c tnh nng sn c: h thng Demo thng ch bao gm cc tnh nng c bn, v bn s C nhn c quyn truy cp y tt c cc tnh nng ch sau khi m ti khon trc tip. V d gm cc cng c biu v cc ch s c sn, v bn nn chc chn rng bn hiu nhng g s c c vi mt ti khon trc tip. Cm xc: Bi v bn khng giao doanh vi tin tht trong mt ti khon thc hnh, cm xc ca bn s khng l mt yu t c tnh n. Hy chc chn rng bn pht trin mt k hoch giao dch theo k lut, v vy bn s khng cho cm xc xen vo.19 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com 20. Chng 7Cc thng tin khcNu khng c cc thng tin cn thit v k hoch v chin lc giao dch, kinh doanh ngoi hi l mt canh bc hn mt ngun thu nhp. S dng cc ngun ti liu sau gip bn tm hiu thm.Cc sch v ngoi hiSiti utili sull Analisi Tecnica www.incrediblecharts.com www.esignal.com www.investopedia.comCurrency Trading for Dummies By Mark Galant and Brian Dolanvn.fxservice.com/analytics/Market Wizards By Jack D. Schwagervn.fxservice.com/fundamental/Essentials of Foreign Exchange Trading By James Chen Technical Analysis of the Currency Market: Classic Techniques for Profiting from Market Swings and Trader Sentiment By Boris Schlossbergvn.fxservice.com/technical/K hoch giao dch Art of Trading By Christopher Tate Better trading By Daryl Guppy (Australia)Tm l giao dch Trading in the Zone By Mark Douglas (USA)20 vn.fxservice.com phone +852 8192 7767 e-mail: hochiminh@admiralmarkets.com