Koen Hoefgeest® Optie Advies

Lotto Miljonairs Cursus 2014

www.hoefgeest.nl RTL7 TXT pagina 555 1

How to Play kOENie Lotto Miljonairs?

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kOENie Lotto Miljonairs hefboomdoorrolspel

1. Op top van de Kitchin-cyclus starten met PUTS!

2. Looptijd altijd 1 maand verder dan de nearest

series. Optiepremie rond €3 tot €5 om mee te

starten. Hoge Gamma ; lage Delta .

3. Per extra maand looptijd maximaal +15 punten

verder OTM.

4. Na verdubbeling van de premie de optie doorrollen

naar dubbele aantallen om hefboom te behouden.

5. Altijd in de markt blijven met deel van de

posities! 50/50 = reddingsboei van de domme.

6. Implied Volatility < 15-20 = start en >60-80 = stop

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AEX Optiekoersen

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Implied Volatility

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* Magic Janet * * Magic BEN *

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“The Law Of Unintended Consequences”

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Frédéric Bastiat (1801-1850)

“There is only one difference between a bad economist and a good one: the bad economist confines himself to the visible

effect; the good economist takes into account both the effect that can be seen and those effects that must be foreseen.”

Friedrich August Hayek (1899-1992)

“The way to avoid the busts, is to avoid the booms that cause them.”

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (August 2012 )

“Stimulative monetary policies are commonly referred to as ‘Keynesian’. However, it is important to note that Keynes himself was not convinced of the effectiveness of easy money inrestoring real growth in the face of a Deep Slump.”

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas - Working Paper No. 126

QE drijft kapitaalmarktrente UP

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U.S. Treasury Quotes

FRED recessieklok

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Dow Jones Industrial Average 1896 - 2014

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Broadening Top Pattern

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Lengte Kitchin-cyclus DOW 1896 - 2014

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Top Kitchin-cyclus DOW 1896 - 2014

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Normale Verdeling - Gauss Curve

Kitchin-cyclus bodemkansen

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Populatie N = 27

Rekenkundig gemiddelde x = 1523

Standaard Deviatie S = 319

x ~ N (μ = 1523, σ = 319)

Kans P ( x > 1894 ) grenswaarde van z = 1,169 = 12,11%

(16 mei 2014)

Kans P ( x > 2124 ) grenswaarde van z = 1,884 = 2,98%

(1 januari 2015)

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Kitchin-cyclus topkansen

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Populatie N = 27

Rekenkundig gemiddelde x = 1039

Standaard Deviatie S = 476

x ~ N (μ = 1039, σ = 476)

Kans P ( x > 1839 ) grenswaarde van z = 1,68 = 4,65%

(22 maart 2014)

Kans P ( x > 2124 ) grenswaarde van z = 2,28 = 1,13%

(1 januari 2015)

Krantenartikelen Telegraaf 1987

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Dow Crash 1929 - 1937 - 1987

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Japanse Nikkei Crash 1990

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Crash-Fractals

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Kop-en-Schouder

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Mean Reversion

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Demografie en Deflatie

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Federal Reserve Assets & GOLD

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Greed-O-Meter

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RISK ON Sentiment

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Dow Jones Industrials

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Russell2000 U.S. Smallcap Index

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AEX-index

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Xetra DAX-index

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Mars – Uranus Crash Cycle

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DEC 25 = Geo. (normal from Earth) Mars opposes Uranus which begins the dangerous period for the Mars-Uranus Crash Cycle! (tot januari 2015)

Mars will align in opposition to Uranus on December 25th, beginning the period of stress.

Mars opposition Uranus - The Mars/Uranus Crash Cycle is in place. The greatest tension will be felt in April and May'14

Mars will remain in Libra until July 26, 2014, but the greatest tension will be felt in April and May as Uranus and Pluto tighten into a tight aspect that is one again triggered by Mars. Jupiter in Cancer also gets into the act, forming a Grand Cross that will likely bring about exuberant expressions of reaction and change.

Faites vos jeux…

“Rien ne va plus, het geld is niet meer van u NU!” ®

Belgatrust Ltd. * UK | Belgium – Koen Hoefgeest® Optie Advies E.Z. * Nederland

Have a very nice Lotto!

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