THINK FOR THE FUTURE

What is the problem?

• burning fossil fuels energy is mainly obtained by (coal, natural gas, and petroleum), which makes up 56 % of the total energy production. (80% in central EU)

• Deforestration (20%)

Source:  Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, 2007; Jozef Stefan Institute, 2007; Statistical Office of the European Communities, 2007

4370 5275

3971 5884

3413 3581

307 37

25 340

Electricity production by fuel also in GWh for Slovenia

170

220

270

320

370

420

200000400000600000Time (YBP)

CO

2 (p

pm

)

Vostok Ice CoreDome Concordia

Carbon Dioxide Levels

0

Muana Loa ReadingsCO2 Levels Since 1958

310330350370

10203040

CO

2 (

pp

m)

0

Emissions of CO2 on world level

Countries by carbon dioxide emissions

US 22.2 % 18.4 %

EU 14.7 % RUS 5.6 %

IN 4.9 %

J 4.6 %

Emissions by sectors in EU

Data source: EEA, based on CRU

The average summer and average winter temperatures for capitals of EU

Kyoto protocol

Emissions of CO2 by years and sources in Slovenia

Research among students of our school

We found out mean value of CO2 per person anualy by using CO2 calculator.

• 1.704,5 kg CO2 by heating our homes and using electricity

• 1.657,6 kg CO2 for transportation • Average emission together 3,4 t CO2 per person

per year We did not count goods we usualy buy and

average emission is still exceeded recommanded value (2t) for 1,4 t.

Consequences of climate change

Floods in September 2007 in Slovenia

223,7 milions EUR losses

Summer storms in Slovenia in 2008

22 milions EUR economic losses of July storm

•9.270 hectares of forest (0,5 mio m3)

•26 thousand hectares field with crops and fruit gardens were destroyed by hail

•380 hectares of wineyards

•10,5 mio EUR for destroyed houses and 4,3 mio for roads

•Stroke of wind acheived speed of 120 km per hour

•Some scientists suspect tornado efect

• 20 thousand hectares of crops have been destroyed

• 11.518 totaly or partly destroyed houses

• 14.439 farm bulidings,

• 55 schools,

• 163 hospitals, fireman stations,

• 30 milions ensured losses and two times more unensured

• crops will be lower for 10%

60 milions EUR economic losses of August storm

Economic losses in 2005 and 2006

floods

hail

storm

mudslides

frost

drought

fire

hail

storm

+ 6%

+ 5 %

Ecopolitical problems in the world in the if we do not nothing to stop GHG emissions

2050s

deforestration

huricanes

new desease

decrease in agricultural productivity

rising see level

What actions takes EU?

• Average increase of temperature has not excceded 2 degrees, because it would lead to serious economic disasters (Stern review).

• A reduction of at least 20% in greenhouse gases (GHG) by 2020

• A 20% share of renewable energies in EU energy consumption by 2020.

• The EU goal of saving 20% of energy consumption by 2020 through energy efficiency

Can we change our habits to prevent bad scenario of the future?

Answer these questions

• Do you have economic bulb in your room?• How many bulbs are usually turn on in

your home?• Do you put cable out of electricity when

you stop loading your mobile phone?• Are yours computer and tv set usually in

steady position?• What kind of transport do you use every

day from home to school?

THINK FOR THE FUTURE

ACT NOW

Thank you for attention