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First Think Tank Meeting Integrating the Micro-Data Base of the True European Voter COST Action IS0806 “The True European Voter’’ GREEK NATIONAL ELECTION STUDIES Preparation and Documentation of the Greek National Data File Eftichia Teperoglou Ioannis Andreadis Emmanouil Tsatsanis 19 May 2010, Mannheim

Greek National Election Studies

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First Think Tank Meeting Integrating the Micro-Data Base of the True European Voter

COST Action IS0806“The True European Voter’’

GREEK NATIONAL ELECTION STUDIES

Preparation and Documentation of the Greek National Data File

Eftichia TeperoglouIoannis Andreadis

Emmanouil Tsatsanis

19 May 2010, Mannheim

History & organization of the Greek National Election Studies (1)

1st GROUP: ‘beginning’…. 1985-1990: Pre-election studies conducted by the

National Centre for Social Research (EKKE): a state – funded social research institution

1985: Comparative Study of Political Culture in South Europe, supervised by Prof. Ilias Nikolakopoulos

1989a, 1989b, 1990: Observatory of Pre- electoral surveys (Ministry of Interior), supervised by Prof. Ilias Nikolakopoulos

2nd GROUP: 1993, 2000, 2007 Private opinion poll institutions (OPINION and MRB)

*for the post-election surveys of 2000 and 2007: copyright permission in process

History & organization of the Greek National Election Studies (2)

3rd GROUP: 1996, 2004, 2009 Panel and post electoral surveys

1996: Comparative National Elections Project (CNEP I), conducted by the National Centre for Social Research (EKKE) and OPINION, supervised by Prof. Nikiforos Diamandouros

2004: Comparative National Elections Project (CNEP II), conducted by the National Centre for Social Research (EKKE) and OPINION, supervised by Prof. Christos Lyrinzis

2009: Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES III), conducted by Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Dept. of Political Sciences and OPINION, supervised by the Laboratory of Applied Political Research

Presentation of the Greek National Election Studies

Survey Timing Mode Sample Institution

1985 16/5/198531/5/1985

Pre-election

1998 EKKE

1989a 1/6/198916/6/1989

Pre-election

1996 EKKE

1989b 19/10/19893/11/1989

Pre-election

1200 EKKE

1990 22/3/19906/4/1990

Pre-election

1200 EKKE

Presentation of the Greek National Election studies

Survey Timing Mode Sample Institution

1993 23/9/19938/10/1993

Pre-electoral

2009 OPINIONEKKE

1996 September-October

1996

panel 1196 (1st)966 (2nd)

EKKE (CNEP I)

2004 March-April 2004

panel 1639 (1st)1307 (2nd)

EKKE (CNEP II)

2009 November – December

2009

Post-electoral

1022 AUTH(CSES

module III)

Sampling method (1985-1993)

Cross-sectional Pre-electoral with face to face

interviews Multistage stratified random

sampling with quotas Strata: regions and urban/rural Quota controls: sex and age

Stratified random sampling 9 geographical regions + Athens +

Thessaloniki Urban >10000, Semi-urban 2000-10000 and

Rural <2000 All large cities >50000 included For cities 10000 – 50000 and semi-urban areas

2000-10000 systematic random sampling To reduce cost rural areas were selected in the

same region with cities already included in the sample

Proportional to 1981 census data

Second stage of sampling Building blocks selected with systematic

random sampling Sex and age quota in each region Sample is representative of the population

as far as demographic characteristics are concerned (of course for sex and age but also occupation, education, etc)

Athens (special treatment) random sampling 3 visits before replacing (35% non response,

i.e. not found-closed doors and refused to answer)

Weights for samples No weighting concerning demographic data To correctly predict the outcome of the

election: weighting according to previous vote For instance, the percentage of 1981 ND voters

in the sample of 1985 is much smaller than the vote share of ND in 1981 election

This is common in South Europe if a major party is out of government and it is not expected to win the election.

Sampling method (1996-2004)

Short term panel Pre-electoral and post-electoral

interviews Multistage sampling 1196 (1st) - 966 (2nd) (81%) 1639 (1st) - 1307 (2nd) (80%)

Sampling method (2009)

Cross-sectional Post-electoral telephone survey Multistage random sampling Stratified random sampling with

quotas Strata: Athens, Thessaloniki, urban,

semi-urban and rural Sex and age quota

0 10 20 30 40 50

election 1 [1985]

election 2 [1989a]

election 3 [1989b]

election 4 [1990]

election 5[1993]

election 6 [1996]

election 8 [2004]

election 10 [2009]

Documentation of the Greek National Data File (1): Overview of the variables

Documentation of the Greek National Data File (2): Overview of the variables

1985 1989a 1989b 1990 1993 1996 2004 2009

Total nr. variables

148 168 126 144 124 396 253 149

TEV variables

30 28 26 29 23 49 36 28

Greek Surveys and TEV holes

Missing Variables (systematic)

VALUES (specifically: growth, state, materialism –

postmaterialism )

ETHNIC, Ethnicity and immigration

Economic and non-economic evaluations

carewon

Documentation of the Greek National Data File General comments

Trend/quasi-trend/new column: fine time series CMP party code: revise the list of parties Classification of respondents based on the Erikson-

Goldthorpe-Portocarero class schema: new entry in the spreadsheet called “OCCUP” → work on the schema

Lack of demographic data in some surveys For pre-election studies:Which political party would

you vote for if the election were held tomorrow? (VOTE) = vote intention!

Specific problems of placement of variables within the codebook categories

Legitimacy vs Efficacy I will now read some views that have been expressed in

previous interviews. Could you please tell me how much you agree or disagree with the following views:

Politicians are not much interested in what common people like us think

Legitimacy vs Authoritarianism People hold different opinions about political parties.

Could you tell me how much you agree or disagree with some I am about to read?

The only function of political parties is to divide people

Specific problems of placement of variables within the codebook categories

Legitimacy vs Authoritarianism From what you know or remember from the dictatorship, you

think that: Was it both good and bad for Greece? , Was it only bad for Greece? , Was it, basically, good for Greece? (single answer)

AUTHOR Authoritarianism attitudes towards respect for authorities I will now read a list of certain institutions, groups or countries. I

would like you to tell me how much sympathy you have towards each one, ranging from 1, which means that you have "no sympathy", to 10, which means that you have "great sympathy“

Police and armed forces: we did not include it.

Specific problems of placement of variables within the codebook

categories

RELIG Religiosity (proxy variables)

How often do you pray? In your opinion, what is there, after

death? An other life, Something, but I do not know what, Nothing

Many questions not included at the TEV

political culture and cynicism reasons for party choice political participation, abstention

and reasons behind attitudes towards forms of political

protest participation in voluntary

organizations

Steps ahead and other general remarks

Revised version of the documentation after the copyright permission (include

2000 and 2007) comments, suggestions and corrections

The TEV offers the biggest challenge to finally establish the Greek National Election Study (ELNES)!