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China Coal Industry Development Trend and Investment Strategic Decision Report, 2013-2020No comprehensive trend forecast, no gain.

(Help you to discover the unsatisfied market need of coal industry, and explicit the development

trend and prospect.)

PrefaceKey for management is decision making while key for decision making is forecast. The outstanding

corporations would prefer to spend great efforts in seeking the current demand, potential need and new requirement of the industry.

The coal market is in downturn and the coal corporations are in dilemma. Many problems still needed to be settled urgently, such as “ways to get out of the dilemma”, “handle the development trend accurately”, “predict the future market capacity”, “predict the market share of competitors” and “grab the investment opportunities”. Accordingly, the outstanding coal corporations pay more and more attention to the research of the industrial development trend, especially the in-depth research of investment opportunities and market demanding trend.

The most significant features of this report are perceptiveness and timeliness. It is with a forward-looking analysis of massive first-hand research data; it conducts an in-depth and objective analysis about the overall market capability, market size, competition structure and market demand characteristics; it gives a prudent analysis and forecast of coal industry according to the industry development track and Forward’s years of practical experience. In conclusion, it is a significant report to learn about the latest development trend, grab market opportunities, and make correct marketing decision and explicit corporations’ development trend for all coal corporations, R&D institutes, marketing corporations and Investment corporations. Besides, it is the first heavyweight report to give a comprehensive and systematic analysis about the upstream and downstream industrial chain, as well as key corporations in coal industry.

This report is useful for coal corporations, R&D institutes, marketing corporations and Investment corporations for the following reasons: it will help them to accurately know the latest development trend and timely discover the market gaps, opportunities, growth points and profit points of industrial textile industry; it will assist them to grasp the unmet market demand and development trend prospectively, form the sustainable advantages, avoid the investment risks effectively, consolidate or expand relevant strategic target markets more efficiently, and firmly grasp the competition initiative.

Here, we would like to express our sincere gratitude to State Information Center, Bureau of Statistics of China, International Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, Tsinghua University Library and Development Research Center of the State Council, for their great support when we conduct this report!

Notice: All the market data, especially corporations' ranking data in the report, only for business reference. Please do not take the data for enterprise publicity. Thank you! Or Forward shall not take any responsibility for any consequences!

Special Notes: Neglecting the subtle signals of dramatically changing external environment, and untimely update strategies along with the changing environment will lead to the loss of competition advantages. The successful corporations will keep a scientific analysis upon the external environment before making their significant operational strategies!

Forward Business Intelligence sincerely wishes every ambitious corporation can make a significant operational strategy, effectively avoid the industry risks and gain the continuous success!

Forward Business Intelligence Co., Ltd. Industry Research Center Research Team of Coal Industry

CONTENTS

Chapter I： Life Cycle and Development Trend of China Coal Industry1.1 Definition of the Industry

1.1.1 Definition1.1.2 Classification1.1.3 Analysis of the Industry Chain

1.2 Life Cycle of the Industry1.2.1 Life Cycle Theory1.2.2 Economic Characteristics of China Coal Industry(1) Growth of Coal Industrya. Corporation Scale and Growing Trend of the Industryb. Production and Marketing Scale and Growing Trend of the Industry(2) Technology Characteristics of the Industry(3) Competition Characteristics of the Industrya. Market Competition of the Industry(a) Internal Competition of the Industry(b) Competition among Different Industriesb. Analysis of the Industrial Barriers(4) Profitability of the Industry1.2.3 Life Cycle Measure to China Coal Industry

1.3 Development Trend Forecast of Coal Industry in the Future1.3.1 Development Trend Forecast in Macro Level(1) Economic Cycle in the Future(2) Proportion Ratio of Coal to Energy during 2013-20351.3.2 Development Trend Forecast in Middle Level(1) Life Cycle of Coal Industry in the Future(2) Trend Forecast of Coal Supply-Demand Gap during 2013-2035(3) Trend Forecast of Coal Price during 2013-20201.3.3 Development Trend Forecast in Micro Level(1) Trend Forecast of the Market Share in the Future(2) Trend Forecast of Market Typical Cases

Chapter II： Market Prospects Forecast of China Coal Industry during 2013-20202.1 Supply Prospects Forecast of Coal Industry during 2013-2020

2.1.1 Influencing Factors to the Supply of Coal Industry(1) Major External Factors-Impacts from Low Price of Import Coala. Advantages of International Import Coalb. Impacts of International Import Coal to China Coal(a) Productivity Will Be Further Surplus(b) Coal Price Will Be Decreased(2) Major Internal Factors2.1.2 Data Reasoning and Mathematical Model of the Supply Scale of Coal Industry(1) Data Reasoning of the Supply Scale of Coal Industry(2) Mathematical Model of the Supply Scale of Coal Industry2.1.3 Mathematical Model Forecast of the Supply Scale of Coal Industry during 2013-2020

2.2 Demand Prospects Forecast of Coal Industry during 2013-2020

2.2.1 Influencing Factors to the Demand of Coal Industry in the Future(1) Major External Factors-Macro-Economic Environmenta. Forecast of China Energy Consumption Elasticity Coefficient during 2013-2020b. Influence of the Development of China Macro Economic to Coal Consumption in next 8 Years(2) Major Internal Factors2.2.2 Data Reasoning and Mathematical Model of the Demand Scale of Coal Industry(1) Data Reasoning Progress of the Demand Scale of Coal Industry(2) Mathematical Model Construction of the Supply Scale of Coal Industrya. Coal Demand and BP Breakpoint Testing of GDPb. VAR Model Basing on Structural Mutation2.2.3 Mathematical Model of the Demand Scale of Coal Market during 2013-2020

2.3 Imports and Exports Prospect Forecast of Coal Industry during 2013-20202.3.1 Forecast of the Imports and Exports Scale of China Coal Industry during 2013-2020(1) Reasoning Progress of Imports and Exports Data of Coal Industry(2) Comparison of Imports and Exports Scale of Coal Industrya. Proportion of the Production and Marketing Scale to the Imports and Exports of Coal Industryb. Comparison Prediction Method to the Imports and Exports Scale of Coal Industry2.3.2 Development Trend Forecast of the Imports and Exports of Coal Industry(1) Forward's Forecast on the Imports Trend of Coal Industrya. Forward's Forecast on the Importing Price of Coal Industryb. Forward's Forecast on Coal Origin Countriesc. Forward's Forecast on Major Importing Coals (2) Forward's Forecast on the Exports Trend of Coal Industrya. Forward's Forecast on Exporting Price of Coal Industryb. Forward's Forecast on Exporting Coal Flow Directionc. Forward's Forecast on Major Exporting Coals

2.4 Profit Prospect Forecast of Coal Industry during 2013-20202.4.1 Influencing Factors to the Profit of Coal Industry(1) Trend of the Balance between Supply and Demand(2) Analysis of Production Cost Trend(3) Analysis of Price Trend(4) Analysis of Policy Trend2.4.2 Profit Scale Forecast of China Coal Industry during 2013-2020

Chapter III：Market Share Forecast of China Coal Industry in next 5 Years3.1 Forecast of the Regional Market Share of Coal Industry in next 5 Years

3.1.1 Regional Market Research of Coal Industry(1) Regional Market Share in next 5 Years(2) Trend of Coal Consumption Group in next 5 Years3.1.2 Markov Model of the Regional Market Share of Coal Industry in next 5 Years3.1.3 Forecast of the Regional Market Share in next 5 Years

3.2 Forecast of Provincial and Municipal Market Share of Coal Industry in next 5 Years3.2.1 Provincial and Municipal Market Research of Coal Industry(1) Provincial and Municipal Market Share in next 5 Years(2) Trend of Coal Consumption Group in next 5 Years3.2.2 Markov Model of the Provincial and Municipal Market Share of Coal Industry in next 5 Years

3.2.3 Forecast of Provincial and Municipal Market Share in next 5 Years3.3 Market Share of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years

3.3.1 Production Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) Analysis of the Production Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(2) Bounded Rationality Model Construction of the Production Concentration Degree of Coal

Corporations in next 5 Yearsa. Data Reasoning of the Production Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next 5 Yearsb. Bounded Rationality Model of the Production Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in

next 5 Years(3) Forecast of the Production Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years3.3.2 Sales Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) Status of the Sales Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(2) Prediction Model Construction of the Sales Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next

5 Yearsa. Data Reasoning of the Sales Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next 5 Yearsb. Bounded Rationality Model Construction to the Sales Concentration Degree of Coal

Corporations in next 5 Years(3) Forecast of the Sales Concentration Degree of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years3.3.3 Forward's Suggestion to Increase the Market Share(1) Selection of the Optical Market Share(2) Innovation Strategy of the Industry Chain(3) Innovation Strategy of the Products(4) Brand Strategy(5) Service Strategy

Chapter IV：Development Bottlenecks and the Solutions to China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years4.1 Development Bottlenecks to China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years

4.1.1 Development Bottlenecks to Large Leading Corporations(1) Analysis of Information Construction Bottleneck(2) Analysis of the Talent Bottleneck4.1.2 Development Bottlenecks to Small Coal Corporations(1) Transportation Bottleneck(2) Merger and Reconstruction Bottleneck4.1.3 Transformation Bottlenecks to the Old Coal Corporations(1) Root Cause to the Loss of Resource-Exhaustion-Oriented Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(2) Transformation Ways to the Old Coal Corporations from Forward

4.2 Information Construction Bottlenecks and the Solutions to China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years

4.2.1 Information Construction Issue of China Coal Corporation in next 5 Years(1) External Information Issue to China Coal Corporation in next 5 Years(2) Internal Information Issue to China Coal Corporation in next 5 Years4.2.2 Information Development Trend of China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) Information Will Be the Major Force for the "Blooming Decade" to Coal Corporations(2) Selection of Coal Corporations' Information Construction Model Turn to be A Problem4.2.3 Recommended Solutions to the Information of China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) Group Control

(2) Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction(3) Safety Production(4) Smart Mine

4.3 Transportation Bottlenecks and the Solutions to China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years4.3.1 Transportation Trend of China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) Coal Supply and Demand Will Sustained Released while Railway Transportation Will Still Be

A Bottleneck in next 5 Years(2) The Western-Transformation of Coal Emphasize Will Highlight The Railway Transportation as

Bottleneck in next 5 Years(3) The Transportation Bottleneck Will Promote Coal Corporations to Engage in "Hands Down

Trade" in next 5 Years(4) The Transportation Bottleneck Will Fasten the Development of Non-Coal Industry of Coal

Corporations in next 5 Years4.3.2 Solutions to the Transportation Bottlenecks of China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) The Improving Railway Capacity Will Release Part of Transportation Pressure(2) Forward Advices to Construct Energy Transportation Channel through Many Solutions(3) Forward Advices Leading Corporations to Carry out Integration Strategy

4.4 Merger and Reconstruction Bottlenecks and the Solutions to China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years

4.4.1 Analysis of the Existing Problems to China Coal Corporations' Merger and Reconstruction in next 5 Years

4.4.2 Merger and Reconstruction Development Trend of China Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) Merger and Reconstruction Will be the Major Trend for China Coal Corporations in next 5

Years(2) Difficulties to China Coal Corporations' Merger and Reconstruction in next 5 Yearsa. Capital Issueb. Talent Issue4.4.3 Recommended Development Ways to Coal Corporations' Merger and Reconstruction in next 5

Years

Chapter V：Typical Trend of China Coal Industry in next 5 Years-Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations5.1 Development Trend Forecast of the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years

5.1.1 Status of the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations(1) Scale of the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations(2) Types of the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations5.1.2 Existing Problems to the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations(1) Analysis of the Strategic Issues(2) Analysis of the Tactics Issues5.1.3 Development Trend Forecast of the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) Two Differentiation of the Non-coal Industry of Leading Coal Corporations(2) Structure Adjustment for the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations

5.2 Selection of the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years5.2.1 Selection Principles of the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations in next 5 Years(1) Principle of Regional Market Orientation(2) Principle of Coal Corporations' Development Motivation Orientation(3) Principle of Coal Corporations' Life Cycle Orientation

(4) Principle of Sustainable Development5.2.2 Forward's Recommended Development Ideas of the Non-coal Industry of Coal Corporations in

next 5 Years5.2.3 Forward's Recommended Non-coal Industries for Coal Corporations to Develop in next 5 Years(1) Coal-Electricity-Aluminum(2) Coal-Tar-Chemical(3) Coal-Road-Harbor-Airport (4) Coal-Electricity-Harbor-Oil

5.3 Development Experiences of Non-coal Industry of Typical Coal Corporations5.3.1 Development Experiences of Non-coal Industry of Shenhua Group Co., Ltd.(1) Briefing of Shenhua Group(2) Analysis of the Non-coal Industry to Shenhua Group(3) Non-coal Industry Planning of Shenhua Group in next 5 Years(4) Development Experiences of the Non-coal Industry to Shenhua Groupa. Accurate Positioning of Non-coal Industryb. Clearly Know the Development Trend of Non-coal Industryc. Scientific and Reasonable Investment Projects5.3.2 Development Experiences of Non-coal Industry of Yang Quan Coal Industry (Group) Co., Ltd.(1) Briefing of Yang Quan Coal Industry (Group) Co., Ltd.(2) Analysis of the Non-coal Industry to Yang Quan Coal Industry (Group) Co., Ltd.(3) Non-coal Industry Planning of Yang Quan Coal Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. in next 5 Years(4) Development Experiences of the Non-coal Industry to Yang Quan Coal Industry (Group) Co.,

Ltd.a. Precise Overall Development Ideab. Scientific Development Model of Non-coal Industry Chainc. Construct Strategic Supporting System, and Improve Corporation's Capability to Enter Non-coal

Industry5.4 Forward's Suggestion of the Development Strategy of Non-coal Industry to Coal Corporations

in next 5 Years5.4.1 Overall Idea-Screening of Non-coal Industry5.4.2 Suggestion to the Non-coal Industry in Loss5.4.3 Suggestion to the Non-coal Industry in Profit5.4.4 Suggestion to the Non-coal Industry in the Future

Chapter VI：Market Demand Characteristics and Prospects Forecast of China Coal Industry during 2013-20206.1 Data Reasoning Progress of the Segment Market Demand Scale of Coal Industry

6.1.1 Hierarchy Prediction Method6.1.2 Data Reasoning Progress of Coal Industry with Hierarchy Prediction Method6.1.3 Segment Market Structure of China Coal Industry

6.2 Market Demand of Coal in Power Sector during 2013-20206.2.1 Market Size of Coal in Power Sector during 2013-20206.2.2 Demand Characteristics of Coal in Power Sector in next 8 Years6.2.3 Market Share and Competitiveness of Major Corporations in this Segment Market in next 8

Years6.3 Market Demand of Coal in Steel Sector during 2013-2020

6.3.1 Market Size of Coal in Steel Sector during 2013-2020

6.3.2 Demand Characteristics of Coal in Steel Sector in next 8 Years6.4 Market Demand of Coal in Construction Sector during 2013-2020

6.4.1 Market Size of Coal in Construction Sector during 2013-20206.4.2 Demand Characteristics of Coal in Construction Sector in next 8 Years

6.5 Market Demand of Coal in Chemical Sector during 2013-20206.5.1 Market Size of Coal in Chemical Sector during 2013-20206.5.2 Demand Characteristics of Coal in Chemical Sector in next 8 Years

Chapter Ⅶ：Investment Decision of China Coal Industry in the Future7.1 Investment Opportunities and Threats of China Coal Industry in the Future7.1.1 Environment of China Coal Industry in the Future

(1) Analysis of the Policy Environment(2) Analysis of the Economic Environment7.1.2 Investment Opportunities and Threats of China Coal Industry in the Future

7.2 Investment Risks of China Coal Industry in the Future7.2.1 Analysis of the Economic Risk7.2.2 Risk of the Changes of Laws, Regulations and Policy Environment7.2.3 Risk of Price Fluctuation7.2.4 Other Risks

7.3 Internationalization Strategy and Oversea Market Investment Trend of China Coal Industry in the Future

7.3.1 Forward's Recommended Oversea Investment Regions in the Future(1) Analysis of the Geographic Position Basing on Coal Reserve(2) Analysis Basing on International Coal Trade(3) Forward's Recommended 13 Oversea Investment Countries(4) Forward's Recommended 15 Oversea Investment Corporations7.3.2 Forward's Recommended Oversea Investment Institutes in the Future(1) Types of Forward's Recommended Oversea Investment Institutes(2) Oversea Investment Status of China Coal Corporations7.3.3 Forward's Recommended Oversea Investment Model for China Coal Corporations(1) Six Major Principles for Oversea Investment(2) Forward's Recommended Four Models for China to Obtain Oversea Coal Resource

7.4 Investment of Leading Corporations of China Coal Industry7.4.1 Investment Characteristics of Top 10 China Coal Corporations(1) Investment Characteristics of China Shenhua Energy Co., Ltd.(2) Investment Characteristics of Shanxi Coal International Energy Group Co., Ltd.(3) Investment Characteristics of China Coal Energy Company Limited

(4) Investment Characteristics of Yang Quan Coal Industry （Group） Co., Ltd.(5) Investment Characteristics of Yanzhou Coal Mining Co., Ltd.(6) Investment Characteristics of Shanxi Xishan Coal and Electricity Power Co., Ltd.(7) Investment Characteristics of Jizhong Energy Resources Co., Ltd.(8) Investment Characteristics of Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power Co., Ltd.(9) Investment Characteristics of Pingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Ltd.7.4.2 Investment Trend of China's Leading Coal Corporations7.4.3 Investment Suggestions to Leading Coal Corporations

Attachment One: Summary of Basic Data of the Industry

1. Production and Marketing Scale of Coal Industry1.1 Supply Scale of Coal Industry1.1.1 Analysis of Coal Reserve1.1.2 Analysis of Coal Production Scale1.1.3 Analysis of Coal Output Value Scale1.2 Demand Status of Coal Industry1.2.1 Sales Scale of Coal Industry1.2.2 Sales Value of Coal Industry

2. Balance between Supply and Demand of Coal Industry2.1 Production and Marketing Ratio of Coal Industry2.2 Inventory of Coal Industry2.2.1 Social Inventory2.2.2 Harbor Inventory2.2.3 Power Plant Inventory

3. Operation Status of Coal Industry3.1 Business Benefit of Coal Industry3.2 Profitability of Coal Industry3.3 Operation Capability of Coal Industry3.4 Debt-paying Capability of Coal Industry3.5 Development Capability of Coal Industry

Attachment Two: Operation Status of Leading Corporations1. Operation Status of China Shenhua Energy Co., Ltd.

1.1 Revenue Capability of the Company1.2 Cost of the Company1.3 Profitability of the Company1.4 Operation Capability of the Company1.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company1.6 Development Capability of the Company

2. Operation Status of Shanxi Coal International Energy Group Co., Ltd.2.1 Revenue Capability of the Company2.2 Cost of the Company2.3 Profitability of the Company2.4 Operation Capability of the Company2.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company2.6 Development Capability of the Company

3. Operation Status of China Coal Energy Company Limited3.1 Revenue Capability of the Company3.2 Cost of the Company3.3 Profitability of the Company3.4 Operation Capability of the Company3.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company3.6 Development Capability of the Company

4. Operation Status of Yang Quan Coal Industry （Group） Co., Ltd.4.1 Revenue Capability of the Company4.2 Cost of the Company

4.3 Profitability of the Company4.4 Operation Capability of the Company4.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company4.6 Development Capability of the Company

5. Operation Status of Yanzhou Coal Mining Co., Ltd.5.1 Revenue Capability of the Company5.2 Cost of the Company5.3 Profitability of the Company5.4 Operation Capability of the Company5.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company5.6 Development Capability of the Company

6. Operation Status of INNER MONGOLIA YITAI COAL COMPANY LIMITED6.1 Revenue Capability of the Company6.2 Cost of the Company6.3 Profitability of the Company6.4 Operation Capability of the Company6.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company6.6 Development Capability of the Company

7. Operation Status of Shanxi Xishan Coal and Electricity Power Co., Ltd.7.1 Revenue Capability of the Company7.2 Cost of the Company7.3 Profitability of the Company7.4 Operation Capability of the Company7.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company7.6 Development Capability of the Company

8. Operation Status of Jizhong Energy Resources Co., Ltd.8.1 Revenue Capability of the Company8.2 Cost of the Company8.3 Profitability of the Company8.4 Operation Capability of the Company8.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company8.6 Development Capability of the Company

9. Operation Status of Shenhuo Coal & Power Co., Ltd.9.1 Revenue Capability of the Company9.2 Cost of the Company9.3 Profitability of the Company9.4 Operation Capability of the Company9.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company9.6 Development Capability of the Company

10. Operation Status of Pingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Ltd.10.1 Revenue Capability of the Company10.2 Cost of the Company10.3 Profitability of the Company10.4 Operation Capability of the Company10.5 Debt-paying Capability of the Company10.6 Development Capability of the Company

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