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340 N 12 th St, Suite 402 Philadelphia, PA 19107 215.925.2600 [email protected] www.azavea.com/hunchlab The Real-time Police Force: Pushing Situational Awareness & Predictive Information to the Field with HunchLab

The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

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http://www.azavea.com/products/hunchlab Police agencies collect a wealth of data. Every call for services and every incident of crime is captured and logged (and often automatically geocoded to a point in space). Making sense of this wealth of data is critical to police agencies being led by intelligence and analysis and not simply putting cops out into the field haphazardly. Most police forces have a process whereby this raw information is groomed into maps by a central crime analysis unit. Determining where hotspots are present and describing recent events is definitely useful, but how can we accelerate this process to adapt our analytic output in nearly real-time and then disseminate this information to the field? The answer is by automating the flow of information. We see this feature as a core strength within our product, HunchLab. New information is automatically pulled into HunchLab through integration with police agencies computer aided dispatch (CAD) and records management systems (RMS). This new information is then immediately incorporated into analytic output. New incidents can trigger early warning alerts for spikes in activity or modify short-term risk assessment in a particular police district. But it's not just about consuming this information within HunchLab itself. The system provides secure access to analytic output via APIs that can be integrated into other back-end applications, further analytic tools, and even mobile applications. http://www.azavea.com/products/hunchlab

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Page 1: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

340 N 12th St, Suite 402Philadelphia, PA 19107

[email protected]

www.azavea.com/hunchlab

The Real-time Police Force:Pushing Situational Awareness & Predictive Information to the Field with HunchLab

Page 2: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

About Us

Robert CheethamPresident & [email protected]

Jeremy HeffnerHunchLab Product [email protected]

Page 3: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Agenda

• Company Background• HunchLab

– What has happened?– What is out of the ordinary?– What is likely to happen next?

• Interfaces & Integration– Browser– REST API– Mobile

• Q&A

Page 4: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

About Azavea

• Founded in 2000

• 30 people

• Based in Philadelphia– Boston office

– Minneapolis office

• Geospatial + web + mobile– Software development

– Spatial analysis services

Page 5: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Clients & Industries

• Public Safety• Municipal Services• Public Health• Human Services• Culture • Elections & Politics• Land Conservation• Economic Development

Page 6: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

HunchLab

Page 7: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Crime Analysis – What has happened?– Mapping (spatial / temporal densities)

– Trending

– Intelligence Dashboard

Early Warning – What is out of the ordinary?– Statistical & Threshold-based Hunches (data

mining)

– Alerting

Risk Forecasting – What is likely to happen next?– Near Repeat Pattern

– Load Forecasting

Page 8: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Crime Analysis– Mapping (spatial / temporal densities)

– Trending

– Intelligence Dashboard

Early Warning– Statistical & Threshold-based Hunches (data

mining)

– Alerting

Risk Forecasting– Near Repeat Pattern

– Load Forecasting

Page 9: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Information Flow

Page 10: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Complainant

CAD

Verizon911

911 Operator

RadioDispatcher

Police Officer

District48 Desk

INCT

Daily download& Geocoding Routines

Incident ReportCompleted by Officer District X

District Y

District Z

Maps distributedThrough Intranet,

Printing, CompStat

INCT & PARS – main database sources

over 5,000 incidents daily, over 2 million annually

PARS

Page 11: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Information Flow

• The Process– Data is collected– Data is analyzed– Results are disseminated

Collection Analysis Dissemination

Page 12: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Information Flow

• Accelerating information flow with HunchLab– Collection

• Integrated with operational databases – Analysis

• Automated analytic routines– Dissemination

• Automated alerts (email, sms, etc.)• Easy-to-use interfaces for non-technical staff• Open access to analytic results through APIs

HunchLab Database

Operational Database Alerting

SystemOperational DatabaseOperational Databases

Page 13: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

web-based crime analysis, early warning, and risk forecasting

Page 14: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Crime Analysis

What has happened?

Page 15: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Intelligence Dashboard

Page 16: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Crime Analysis

Page 17: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Early Warning

What is out of the ordinary?

Page 18: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Early Warning

• Geographic Early Warning System– A system to alert staff of an unusual situation in a

particular location– Ingests data sets to automatically “cook on” and only

involves staff when a statistically unusual situation is found

HunchLab Database

Operational Database Alerting

System

Geostatistical Engine

Operational DatabaseOperational Databases

Page 19: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Early Warning

Page 20: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Demo

Page 21: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Risk Forecasting

What is likely to happen next?

Page 22: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Contagious Crime?

• Near repeat pattern analysis • “If one burglary occurs, how does the risk change nearby?”

Page 23: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Near Repeat Pattern Analysis

• How can you test your own data?– Near Repeat Calculator

• http://www.temple.edu/cj/misc/nr/

• Papers– Near-Repeat Patterns in Philadelphia Shootings (2008)

• One city block & two weeks after one shooting– 33% increase in likelihood of a second event

Jerry RatcliffeTemple University

Page 24: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Near Repeat Pattern Analysis

Page 25: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Contagious Crime?

• Near repeat pattern analysis • “If one burglary occurs, how does the risk change nearby?”

Page 26: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Improving CompStat

• Load forecasting• “Given the time of year, day of week, time of day and

general trend, what counts of crimes should I expect?”

Page 27: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

What Do We Mean By Load Forecasting?

• Load forecasting• Generating aggregate crime counts for a future timeframe

using cyclical time series analysis

Measure cyclical patterns

Identify non-cyclical trend

Forecast expected count

+

bit.ly/gorrcrimeforecastingpaper

Page 28: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Load Forecasting

Page 29: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Load Forecasting

Page 30: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Improving CompStat

• Load forecasting• “Given the time of year, day of week, time of day and

general trend, what counts of crimes should I expect?”

Page 31: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Improving CompStat

Page 32: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Interfaces & Integration

Page 33: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Web Interface

• Standards based– No Flash– No Silverlight

• Strengths– Styleable– Extendable

Page 34: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

But what’s under the hood?

HunchLab Database

Alerts

Alerting SystemGeostatistical Engine

HunchLab Web Application

Mapping & Analysis

Risk Forecasting

Admin ToolsHunch

Management

Operational DatabaseOperational Databases

GIS

Page 35: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

REST API

• HunchLab REST API– Powers all functionality in

browser application– Open– Standards-based

• JSON, XML, etc.

HunchLabEngine

REST API

Page 36: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

REST API

• HunchLab REST API– Powers all functionality in

browser application– Open– Standards-based

• JSON, XML, etc.

HunchLabEngine

REST API

Other Backend Systems

Page 37: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Mobile Interfaces

Page 38: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Mobile Interfaces

Page 39: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab
Page 40: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

Q&A

Page 41: The Real-time Police Force: Publishing Analytic Information to the Field with HunchLab

About Us

Robert CheethamPresident & [email protected]

Jeremy HeffnerHunchLab Product [email protected]