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REUNIÃO GERAL DA INDÚSTRIA Inovação e Competitividade: Que Indústria no Horizonte 2030?
Desafios para a Zootecnia 2030Divanildo Outor Monteiro
divanildo@utad.pt
Demografia
Thomas Robert Malthus (1766 -1834)
Economista britânico, considerado o pai da
demografia pela sua teoria sobre o
aumento populacional, conhecida como
malthusianismo
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Demografia
O “Malthusianismo” foi a primeira teoria
populacional a relacionar o crescimento
da população com a fome, afirmando a
tendência do crescimento populacional
em progressão geométrica, e do
crescimento da oferta de alimentos em
progressão aritmética.
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Demografia
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http://www.oregonlive.com/environment/in
dex.ssf/2009/02/population_growth_the_forg
otte.html
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610/05/2018 Divanildo Outor Monteiro
http://mcleankids.wikifoundry.com/page/World+Population+Trends
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https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2127rank.html
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Evolução numérica da população humana
em grandes regiões 1999 vs. 2045 (106)
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http://logos.nationalinterest.in/2015/09/europes-changing-attitude-in-the-refugee-crisis/http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/629/629/7056601.stm
Desafios Europeus! Migrações em massa
http://www2.harpercollege.edu/mhealy/g101ilec/intro/phy/phpeo/phpeofr.htm
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Fome após a II Guerra Mundial
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_vault/2014/07/31/history_of_famine_in_europe_after_wwi_a_hunger_map_for_american_kids.html
Desafios Globais
Memória
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Desafios Globais
FAO demand doubling global
food production 2050!...
“Segurança Alimentar”
Food Security
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Produção de Alimentos
www.shellethics.com/environment/meat-soy-consumption-china/
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Produção de Alimentos
Matérias primas
proteaginosas - UE
•Soja
•Girassol
•Soja Europeia
•Outras proteaginosas
•Insectos
•Algas
•Bactérias
•Folhas
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http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics- explained/index.php/File: Changes_in_livestock_population,_EU-28,_2005-14.png#filelinks
Comércio Mundial de CarneChanges in livestock population
EU-28, 2005-14
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Farming marine fish inland will relieve pressure on the oceans
The Future of Agriculture (The Economist)
https://www.economist.com/technology-quarterly/2016-06-09/factory-fresh
Feeding carnivores like salmon on plants is one way, another, which at first sight seems exotic, is to make fish food out of natural gas. This is the proposed business of Calysta, a Californian firm. Calysta feeds methane to methanotrophs bacterias. Calysta then turns these bodies into protein pellets that are sold as fish food.
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Produção de Alimentos
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/629/629/7056601.stm
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Desafios Globais - “Intensificação”
http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/116937/icode/
Major gains in efficiency of livestock systems needed
Intensive production holds key to feeding growing cities, but improvements in natural resource
use and environmental performance are crucial
14 December 2011, Rome - By 2050 an expanded world population will be consuming two thirds more
animal protein than it does today, bringing new strains to bear on the planet's natural resources,
according to a new FAO report
"As it stands, there are no technically or economically viable alternatives to intensive
production for providing the bulk of the livestock food supply for growing cities”
Even small amounts of animal source foods can improve the nutritional status of low-income households.
Meat, milk and eggs provide proteins with a wide range of amino acids as well as micro-
nutrients such as iron, zinc, vitamin A, vitamin B12 and calcium, in which many malnourished people are
deficient.
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14 pigs/year
410 kg of feed each pig
34 kg of lean each pig
1962
25 pigs/year
273 kg of feed each pig
45 kg of lean each pig
2014
50% more pigs
33% less feed
33% more lean
Changes in Pig
Performance
in the US
50% less manure per kg of lean
Lewis, C., 2015
Produção de Carne de Porco
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Desafios Globais
“In the long run, each nation must assume the
responsibility of producing its own food supply by
efficient production, barter, or purchase and by
keeping future food-production technology ahead of
population increases and demand”
Scientific Farm Animal Production
An Introduction to Animal Science
Thomas Field & Robert Taylor, 2008
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Consumo Per capita(kg/hab.ano; INE: 1981/2013)
37,5kg
2,3kg
43,9kg
17,5kg
8,6kg
https://www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_indicadores&indOcorrCod=0000
212&contexto=bd&selTab=tab2
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Auto-aprovisionamento(%; INE: 1981/2013)
86,5%
79,2%
64,7%
47,5%
112,8%
https://www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_indicadores&indOcorrCod=00
00212&contexto=bd&selTab=tab2
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Desafios GlobaisDiminuir o desperdício
http://www.mrgscience.com/ess-topic-52-terrestrial-food-production-systems-and-food-choices.html
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Desafios GlobaisModerar o consumoConsumir melhor
"Average consumption of livestock protein in Africa is less
than a quarter of that in the Americas, Europe and Oceania,
and represents just 17 percent of the recommended
consumption level for all proteins," says FAO's report. "By
contrast, the consumption of livestock protein in the
Americas, Europe and Oceania in 2005 was between 78 and
98 percent of the total protein requirement, suggesting that
livestock products are being over-consumed."
http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/116937/icode/
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Metodologias de Avaliação do Bem-estar em Suínos
Alteramos, racionalmente, o que for necessário!...
Desafios Globais
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https://modernfarmer.com/2014/06/abstinence-method/
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/629/629/7056601.stm
Desafios GlobaisEfeitos negativos nos ecossistemas
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Metodologias de Avaliação do Bem-estar em Suínos
Estamos (devemos estar)
preparados para comer
outras coisas?
Desafios Globais
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In 2013 Mark Post of Maastricht University, in the Netherlands, unveiled the first hamburger made from muscle cells grown in laboratory cultures.
Including all the set-up costs, it was said to have cost 250,000 ($350,000), or $2.5m a kilogram.
Do this successfully, Dr Post reckons, and the cost would fall to $65 a kilogram. (Mosa Meats)
Meanwhile researchers at Clara Foods, in San Francisco, are developing synthetic egg white, using transgenic yeast to secrete the required proteins.
In February this year a Californian firm called Memphis Meats followed suit with the first meatball.(Investidores: Bill Gates, Richard Branson, Cargill Inc e a Tyson Foods )
Empresas em Silicon Valley querem pôr-nos a comer carne sem matar animaisTechnology can improve not only productivity but animal welfare too
https://www.economist.com/technology-quarterly/2016-06-09/factory-fresh
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“FOOD COMES FROM FARMS”
https://youtu.be/O0zq8YHnSDY
Desafios Globais - Comunicação
Origem dos alimentos
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Desafios Globais
"Producing less meat and milk will only
mean more hunger in poor countries"
That's the conclusion of a report presented at the 239th National Meeting of the American Chemical Society in San Francisco.
Frank Mitloehner, University of California-Davis
24 Mar 2010
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Zootecnia de Precisão
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Zootecnia de Precisão
A NEW ERA OF LIVESTOCK FARMING
EU-PLF has provided a way forfarmers to maximise efficiency in a waythat encourages sustainable solutions,whilst maintaining the health and welfare of the animals
http://www.eu-plf.eu/wp-content/uploads/EU-PLF_Brochure_01.pdf
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Precision Pig Farming (PPF) ‘iFarming’Examples of Precision Livestock Farming Systems for Pigs
Monitorização da Tosse
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Zootecnia de Precisão (Frangos)
Figure 2. Distribution pattern of a broiler flock. Expected distribution indices are colored green. Unexpected distribution indices are colored yellow (small deviation) and red (large deviation).
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Zootecnia de Precisão (Porcas)
2
2,2
2,4
2,6
2,8
3
3,2
3,4
3,6
35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105 115
Qu
anti
dad
e d
e a
lime
nto
(kg
)
Dias de gestação
Primíparas Multíparas 1 Multíparas 2
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The Future Of Food Is Farming, And The Future Of Farming Is Femalehttps://www.forbes.com/sites/ronaldholden/2018/02/12/the-future-of-food-is-farming-and-the-future-of-farming-is-female/#1c30898d3845
Global climate policy impacts on livestock, land use, livelihoods, and food securityAlla A. Goluba, Benjamin B. Hendersonb,1, Thomas W. Hertela, Pierre J. Gerberb, Steven K. Rosec, and Brent Sohngend
aCenter for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907-2056; bLivestock Information, Sector Analysis and Policy Branch, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 00153 Rome, Italy; cEnergy and Environmental Analysis Research Group, Electric Power Research Institute, Washington, DC 20036; and dOhio State University, OH 43210
Digital Revolution Demands Changes To Educationhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/gradsoflife/2018/03/06/digital-revolution-demands-changes-to-education/#13cc2d3d589c
By Jackie Linden on April 22, 2018 - WattAgNet.com
Animal feed to shrink Europe’s food waste mountain European Commission guidelines
on the use of food waste in livestock feeds draw praiseLeading food and livestock feed industry organizations in the European Union have welcomed the publication of the latest guidelines from the European Commission on the use of food waste in livestock feeds.
Divanildo Outor Monteiro 4310/05/2018
Image courtesy of Shutterstock
http://www.adweek.com/digital/study-millennial-branding-american-express-generation-y/
Geração Y (Nascidos 1980-2000)
http://webershandwickseattle.com/2014/08/millennial-media-the-social-trends-of-generation-y/
https://www.trendsactive.com/#!/tag/the-me-me-me-generation/
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O colapso da civilização nas próximas
décadas é uma certeza inevitável
A shattering collapse of civilisation is a “near certainty” in the next few decades due to humanity’s continuing destruction of the natural world that sustains all life on Earth, according to biologist Prof Paul Ehrlich.In May, it will be 50 years since the eminent biologist published his most famous and controversial book, The Population Bomb.
https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2018/mar/22/collapse-civilisation-near-certain-decades-population-bomb-paul-ehrlich
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População
Humana
O Problema!
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