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Separate the wheat from the chaff: how to quickly recognize the low grade traffic and to get more users for less money Vasiliy Sabirov Lead analyst

Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

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Page 1: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Separate the wheat from the chaff:

how to quickly recognize the low grade traffic

and to get more users for less money

Vasiliy SabirovLead analyst

Page 2: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Huge part of traffic is fake

20% - 60%

Page 3: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Analyze your traffic

Set your objective events & funnels.

Page 4: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Analyze your trafficShort-term signals:• Tutorial• Registration• Level 1

Page 5: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Analyze your trafficLong-term signals:• Retention• Conversion• Cumulative ARPU (LTV)• ROI 7 days etc.

Page 6: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Analyze your traffic

Track unique users, not the events.

Page 7: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Analyze your traffic

Maximumdetalization.

Page 8: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Analyze your traffic• Don’t analyze networks, go for the

sources.• Ask for ID and subID for every source.• Avoid reputational risks.• No “Other”.

Page 9: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Analyze your traffic

Page 10: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Set your benchmarksKnow your:• Retention (1, 2, 7 days etc.)• Cumulative ARPU• Conversion• ROI

Page 11: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Set your benchmarks

Page 12: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Set your benchmarks

Compare with organic traffic.

Page 13: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Set your benchmarks

Page 14: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Set your benchmarks

Page 15: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Set your benchmarks

Compare with soft launch.

Page 16: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Set your benchmarks• Nobody knows your traffic

better than you.• And it is your advantage.

Page 17: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hard

Form a regular habit procedure.

Page 18: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hard

Page 19: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hardCalculate statistical significance.

Page 20: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hardKnow your whales.

Page 21: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hardUse cohort analysis.

Page 22: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hardA: 100 regs -> $20B: 100 regs -> $25C: 100 regs -> $15

Which is better?

Page 23: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hardWork with several networks.How many? Ask your marketing manager.

Page 24: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hard

Set the limits.

Page 25: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Be ready to work hardOptimize your traffic step-by-step.1. Launch;2. Analyze;3. Optimize;4. Launch.

Page 26: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Conclusions• Analyze your traffic with max detalization.• Use short-term and long-term signals.• Know your benchmarks.• Develop a procedure.• Work with trustworthy partners, but try new ones

for experiment.• Set the limits.• Optimize traffic step-by-step.

Page 27: Vasiliy Sabirov, Lead Analyst, Devtodev

Thank you!Vasiliy SabirovLead analyst

[email protected]

vasily.sabirov

vsabirov

devtodev