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ΚΔΝΣΡΟ ΠΡΟΓΡΑΜΜΑΣΙΜΟΤ ΚΑΙ ΟΙΚΟΝΟΜΙΚΩΝ ΔΡΔΤΝΩΝ No 144 Ο ξόινο ηεο Ρωζίαο θαη ηεο Κίλαο ζηνλ δηεζλή θαη ειιεληθό ηνπξηζκό Νίθνο Βαγηνλήο θαη νθνθιήο θνχιηζνο Ηνχληνο 2015 Νίθνο Βαγηνλήο Δξεπλεηήο Α‟ Κέληξν Πξνγξακκαηηζκνχ θαη Οηθνλνκηθψλ Δξεπλψλ, Αζήλα e-mail: [email protected] νθνθιήο θνύιηζνο Βνεζφο Δξεπλψλ Κέληξν Πξνγξακκαηηζκνχ θαη Οηθνλνκηθψλ Δξεπλψλ, Αζήλα e-mail: [email protected]

Ο ρόλος Ρωσίας και Κίνας στον ελληνικό τουρισμό

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Ο ρόλος της Ρωσίας και της Κίνας στον ελληνικό τουρισμό (ΚΕΠΕ)

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  • No 144

    2015

    , e-mail: [email protected]

    , e-mail: [email protected]

  • 2

  • 3

    Copyright 2015

    11, 106 72

    www.kepe.gr

  • 4

    ()

    .

    1959

    ,

    ,

    .

    1964 .

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    ,

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    650.

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  • 5

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  • 6

    THE IMPORTANCE OF RUSSIA AND CHINA TOURISM MARKETS FOR

    GLOBAL AND GREEK INBOUND TOURISM

    Vayonis, N. & Skoultsos, S.

    Abstract

    In current research, Russia and China are examined as two of the most important

    emerging tourism markets for Greek inbound tourism. In the beginning of this essay

    figures of global tourism are analyzed. The analysis is focusing on Russian and

    Chinese outbound tourism and prospects for future decades. It becomes obvious that

    Russia and especially China are important tourism markets globally in terms of

    arrivals and expenditures. As a result, the specific characteristics of a growing

    proportion of international tourist trends are changing, therefore destinations have to

    adjust their policies to attract them.

    Consequently, figures from the Greek tourism market are analyzed. More

    specifically, data presented here refer to arrivals, overnight stays, tourism receipts and

    tourism expenditures per country of origin. According to the analysis, Russia has

    already surpassed other traditional markets of Greek inbound tourism such as France

    and Italy. On the other hand, China is still low in terms of arrivals. Nevertheless, the

    annual increases in the rates of Chinese figures clearly state that the Chinese market

    shows the greatest potential of all markets of Greek inbound tourism, even of Russia.

    Finally, this research comes up with conclusions and recommendations by taking

    into account both the analysis of data and a qualitative evaluation of specific

    characteristics of Russian and Chinese tourists. The latter encompasses activities

    regarding to the destination, seasonality, and tourism expenditure. Shortly, both

    markets show high level of tourism expenditure, low seasonality, especially China,

    and an increased propensity to culture and shopping.

    Keywords: Russia, China, Greek inbound tourism, emerging markets

  • 7

    1: - ................................................................... 8

    2: .......................... 9

    2.1 ................................................................. 9

    2.2 .............................. 11

    2.3 ............................................................................................... 13

    2.4 ................................................................................................. 18

    3:

    .................................................................................................................................. 27

    3.1 - ....................................................................... 27

    3.2 ................................... 30

    3.3 .................................................................................................... 32

    3.4 ................................................................................................ 33

    4: .......................................................... 36

    4.1 ........................................................................................................................... 36

    4.2 ............................................................................................................................... 40

    5: ........................................................................................................... 43

    ........................................................................................................... 44

    ................................................................................................. 44

    ....................................................................................................... 45

    ................................................................................................................................... 45

  • 8

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    1 (1996), (2002).

  • 9

    2:

    2.1

    2008-2009 ( 2.1). 2013

    1087 , 2014

    () 4% - 4,5%

    .

    2010-2020, 3,8%.

    2.1: (.) 1995- 2013

    : (UNWTO), 2014

    , ,

    2013 (

    1.2) 563 . .

    248 . ,

    23%. 5% 15%.

    .

    588676

    807891

    1087

    0

    200

    400

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    800

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  • 10

    2.2: 2013

    : (UNWTO), 2014

    ,

    1980

    . ,

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    2030,

    , 204 . 2010

    541 . 2030, 100%

    ( 2.3).

    2.3: (.)

    : (UNWTO) (2011)

    5%

    15%

    23%

    52%

    5%

    204

    509541

    832

    0

    200

    400

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    800

    1000

    1980 1995 2010 2030

  • 11

    2.2

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    .

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    4,4%,

    3.

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    2010 2020

    - (Asia Pacific) (5% - 6%),

    (4%-6%)

    (3%-4%).

    ,

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    2013 2.1,

    , .

    ,

    2 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development OECD.

    3 UNWTO OECD (2014) . 20.

  • 12

    4. ,

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    (26% 12% ) 2012-2013,

    .

    , ,

    ... 3% (2%,

    1% 3% ). .

    ,

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    2.1: ,

    20135

    6

    1

    2

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    3 ... ...

    4

    5

    6

    : (2013) . 7, World Travel Monitor 2013, IPK International

    4 1 2013.

    5 (2013) . 7, World Travel Monitor 2013, IPK

    International. 6 .

  • 13

    2.3

    1991

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    8.

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    7 Kuznets (1963), Schroeder & Edwards (1981). 8 Desai (1987), Rosefielde(1998), Gregory Stuart(2001).

  • 14

    (real estate)

    ,

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    -

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    17098,2 . . ..

    142.865.000 8,4

    9.

    1.2:

    2010 (%) 2020 () (%)

    0-4 5,4 5,4

    5-14 9,6 11,3

    15-24 14,4 9,9

    0-24 29 (45 )

    25-34 16,3 14,7

    35-44 13,6 16,1

    45-54 15,7 13

    55-64 12,1 14,1

    25 59 53 (35 )

    65-74 7,4 9,7

    75-84 4,6 4,3

    85+ 0,9 1,4

    60 18 (11 )

    : ETC (2010)

    9 2011 -

    Federal State Statistic Service (Rosstat) (2012).

  • 15

    ,

    1, (53%)

    25 59

    35%. , ,

    (16,3%) 25 34.

    2020 25

    59 35-44

    16,1%,

    10.

    WTTC (2013), 2013 2023

    ( 2.4),

    4%, 0,6%

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    2.4: 2013-2023

    : WTTC (2013)

    10

    International Trade Administration (2011) , 2010 2011, 37 35 ,

    39 36 .

    3,4%

    4%

    0,00%

    1,00%

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    5,00%

    6,00%

  • 16

    2012,

    2,3% 6,3%. ,

    10,3%

    74,5 . 4,6%

    2.2 .,

    5% 15,3 . 11.

    201212

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    . , World Travel

    Monitor14,

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    1,3 , 3,4

    , 4,6 .

    .

    2000 - 2010

    . 2008-2012,

    7% 31,3%,

    . ,

    . , ,

    11

    OECD (2014). 12

    OECD (2014). 13

    , , (Brazil, Russia, India, China) BRICS (South Africa). 14

    ITB Berlin.

  • 17

    2.5, 2009

    .

    ,

    (well-being)15.

    2.5: 2008-2012

    : OECD (2014)

    all-inclusive ,

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    15

    ETC(2010). 16

    11 . 17

    ETC (2010).

    0

    10000

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    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    ( .) ( . $)

  • 18

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    (luxury travelers)

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    . 19 20 30

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    status 20.

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    45 ,

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    22.

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    19 96 . . ,

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    37% 24 , 51% 25 59

    17% 60 .

    18

    Rosstat, : http://news.gtp.gr/. 19

    funky young professionals. 20

    ETC (2010). 21

    2010 (1.354 .). 22

    2010 ETC (2011).

  • 19

    2.3:

    2010 (%) 2020 ()

    (%)

    0-4 6,5 6,3

    5-14 13,4 12,5

    15-24 16,9 12,6

    0-24 37 (45 )

    25-34 14,3 15,8

    35-44 17,6 13,3

    45-54 13,2 16,2

    55-64 9,9 11,7

    25 - 59 51 (35 )

    65-74 5,2 7,8

    75-84 2,5 3

    85+ 0,5 0,8

    60 17 (11 )

    : ETC (2011)

    45%, 35% 11%.

    , 2020

    25- 59 65 .

    .

    2.4,

    . ,

    .

    .

  • 20

    2.4: 2010 -201423

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    ( )

    10,5 9,3 7,5 8 9

    (%) 4,2 4,1 4,1 4 4

    (%) 3,3 5,4 2,6 2,5 3,5

    ( )

    11,4 8,5 8,4 9,3 9,8

    ( ) 30,7 19,6 7,5 10,2 12,5

    : Oxford Economics CTC (2013) . 4.

    2009, (State Council),

    . , 2012

    4%

    4,5% 201524.

    26%.

    2008-2009 ,

    . 2012, 132,4 .

    0,8% 200825.

    . 2012,

    2,96 , 12%.

    2270,6 CNY 87,6%

    .

    , 1

    -

    ... - 2012.

    102 . , 37%

    2011. ,

    23

    2013 2014 . 24

    . 25

    OECD (2014) . 347.

  • 21

    () .

    8 12 26.

    2012

    51,9

    27.

    1995,

    .

    2.6: 1995-2014

    ( ., )

    :

    (China Outbound Tourism Research Institute) (China Tourism

    Academy) China Travel Trends (2012) www.china-outbound.com (2014)

    2.6, 2013,

    - - 97,3 .

    90 . 1995.

    2014

    26

    OECD (2014). 27

    OECD (2014).

    7,1 7,6 8,2 8,4 9,210,512,1

    16,620,2

    28,9 3134,5

    4145,847,5

    57,4

    70,3

    83,2

    97,3

    112(.)

  • 22

    26,4 .,

    (COTRI),

    112 . .

    , 88 .

    201428, .

    2.7,

    1995 2014.

    , ,

    2003 - 2004 (30,1%)

    1997-1998 (2,4%).

    2.7: (%)

    1995-2014 ( )

    :

    (China Outbound Tourism Research Institute)

    (China Tourism Academy) Essential China Travel Trends 2012 www.china-

    outbound.com(2014)

    28

    . (2005). , 2013 2014.

    6,6

    7,3

    2,4

    8,7

    12,4

    13,2

    27,1

    17,8

    30,1

    6,8

    10,1

    15,9

    10,5

    3,6

    17,2 18,3

    15,5

    14,5

    13,1(*)

    0,0

    5,0

    10,0

    15,0

    20,0

    25,0

    30,0

    35,0

  • 23

    COTRI, 2013-2014

    13,1%,

    1995-

    2014 (13,2%). 2008

    ,

    3,6% 2008-2009

    17% - 19% .

    .

    ,

    ()29 2013 52

    . 1.087 .( 1.035 . 2012).

    14,1 . ,

    27,1%

    . ,

    26,8% 128,7 30.

    .

    .

    .

    ,

    . 10

    ,

    ( )

    (.. , ).

    VISA, ,

    . ,

    29

    UNTWO, World Tourism Barometer (2014). 30 Peoples Daily Online (2014).

  • 24

    , 31.

    2.8: 32

    : 33

    ,

    . ,

    34.

    .

    .

    20 ,

    , ( 2.5).

    2013 , 2012

    .

    . , 2013, 33.557.091

    . 83,2%

    (27.916.701 .) , 10,8%

    31

    Z_punkt The Foresight Company (2012). 32

    2012. 33

    Z_punkt The Foresight Company (2012). 34

    OECD (2014).

    20%

    77%

    3%

    /

  • 25

    (3.613.509 .) 35. ,

    36.

    2.5:

    (2013)

    37

    1. 6,752,781

    2. 4,997,216

    3. 3,440,969

    4. 3,132,728

    5. 2,815,741

    6. 1,563,044

    7. 1,476,636

    8. 889,847

    9. 682,053

    10. 648,376

    11. ... 560,055

    12. 539,853

    13. 514,540

    14. 479,557

    15. 464,238

    16. 409,232

    17. 346,500

    18. 288,097

    19. 277,680

    20. 242,275

    :

    www.travelchinaguide.com (2014)

    35 , http://visiteurope.com/ . 36 www.travelchinaguide.com (2014). 37

    Mainland . .

  • 26

    (2013)

    2.9.

    ,

    ,

    .

    2.9: 201338

    :

    38

    .

    0

    100000

    200000

    300000

    400000

    500000

    600000

    700000

  • 27

    3:

    .

    :

    , .

    (,

    , , , ...)

    ()

    (, ).

    3.1 -

    - ,

    2008-2013, 3.1,

    ,

    .

    3.1: - 2008-2013

    ( )

    :

    0

    500.000

    1.000.000

    1.500.000

    2.000.000

    2.500.000

    3.000.000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

  • 28

    ,

    309.071 2008 1.352.901 2013,

    1.152.217 964.314

    39.

    (2013) (831.113)

    28.328.

    - - .

    (2012)

    , Shengen

    40.

    ,

    .

    3.2,

    - .

    3.2: -

    ( )

    :

    39

    , - 2013. 40

    2011 15.838 , 100.000 ( www.epixeiro.gr).

    12,710,3

    7,56,4 5,4 4,6

    2,61,0 0,7 0,2

    0,02,04,06,08,0

    10,012,014,016,018,0

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

  • 29

    2008,

    15,5% 14,3% ,

    2013 12,7% 10,3% .

    . ,

    1,9% 2008, 2013

    7,5%. ,

    1,3% 2008, 4,6% 2013,

    0,04% (2008) 0,2% (2013).

    3.3,

    -

    2008-2013.

    36,7%.

    34,4% 32%.

    .

    3.3: (%)

    - 2008-2013

    :

    34,4% 32,0%36,7%

    -10,0%-5,0%0,0%5,0%

    10,0%15,0%20,0%25,0%30,0%35,0%40,0%

    2008-2013

  • 30

    337,7% 376,8% .

    (

    2013)

    (, ..). ,

    . ,

    .

    3.2

    ,

    - ( 2012),

    41 ( 3.4).

    3.4:

    2008-2012 ( )

    : (..)

    41

    .

    0

    2.000.000

    4.000.000

    6.000.000

    8.000.000

    10.000.000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

  • 31

    ,

    - ,

    ( ).

    ,

    (153.976 2012).

    3.5

    . ,

    .

    ( 246.494 2012).

    3.5: (%)

    ( )

    :

    , ( 3.6)

    18,6% 11,7%

    2008-2012. , 2013

    15,5 15,211,6

    6,75,0

    0,52,0

    0,4 0,7 0,30,0

    5,0

    10,0

    15,0

    20,0

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

  • 32

    2012

    2013 .

    3.6: (%)

    2008-2012

    :

    . ,

    98%,

    93% 55,5%,

    .

    3.3

    ( 3.7),

    ,

    (

    ), , , .

    18,6% 17,9%

    11,7%

    -10,0%

    -5,0%

    0,0%

    5,0%

    10,0%

    15,0%

    20,0%

    2008-2012

  • 33

    , ,

    ( , , ).

    , ,

    ,

    .

    3.7:

    ( )

    :

    3.4

    3.8,

    .

    ,

    .

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

  • 34

    3.8:

    2008-2013 ( . )

    :

    ( 3.9),

    ,

    .

    3.9: (%)

    2008-2013

    :

    1900,4

    1354,7 1338,6

    905,5600,4

    99,9

    568,6259,2 176,8 20,9

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    15,6%

    11,1% 11,0%

    7,5%4,9%

    0,9%

    4,7%2,1% 1,5%

    0,2%0,0%2,0%4,0%6,0%8,0%

    10,0%12,0%14,0%16,0%18,0%20,0%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

  • 35

    , ,

    . ,

    ( 3.10).

    3.10: (%)

    2008-2013

    :

    ,

    2008 2013 (61,5%).

    27,3%.

    .

    2013 234,2% 2008

    1000%.

    27,5%, 16,3%

    (- 0,8%).

    -10,0%0,0%

    10,0%20,0%30,0%40,0%50,0%60,0%70,0%

    2008-2013

  • 36

    4:

    ,

    ,

    .

    . ,

    ,

    . ,

    . -

    .

    ,

    42 ..

    . ,

    .

    ,

    .

    4.1

    ,

    ,

    .

    42

    16/06/2014, 180 , (www.imerisia.gr)

  • 37

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    ( 4.1).

    4.1: (2008-2013)

    :

    ,

    ,

    . ,

    ( 4.2), 2008

    . 3 4

    0,0

    20,0

    40,0

    60,0

    80,0

    100,0

    120,0

    140,0

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

  • 38

    95- 100 . 2

    1

    .

    4.2:

    :

    , ,

    .

    ,

    1 4 . 2014

    43.

    tour-operators44 ,

    43

    , 25% (www.capital.gr 2014). 44 2014 tour-operator Neva, Expo-tour, WindRose World, Labirint Intaer.

    0,0

    20,0

    40,0

    60,0

    80,0

    100,0

    120,0

    140,0

    160,0

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    ' ' ' '

  • 39

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    45,

    ,

    64% 56%

    18-34 35-55 . ,

    ,

    39% 41% . ,

    . ,

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    , .

    45 500 ,

    18-34 35-55,

    . ,

    Embassy of Greece in the Russian Federation (2014).

  • 40

    46,

    .

    4.2

    ,

    .

    , , - -

    . ,

    47.

    ,

    .

    .

    - (luxury brands)

    48.

    .

    40% 30%

    49.

    46

    : , , . 47

    ETC (2011). 48

    (. ) 49

    World Travel Monitor IPK International ITB (2013)

  • 41

    4.1:

    50

    (2007-2008)

    8.09% 2011: 2 -8

    2012: 22-28

    8.37% 2011: 3-5

    2012: 5-7

    8.13% 2011: 1-3

    2012: 1-3

    7.95% 2011: 6

    2012: 6

    8.16% 2011: 12

    2012: 30

    7.31% 2011: 1-7

    2012: 1-7

    9.08%

    8.51%

    8.29%

    8.81%

    8.47%

    8.84%

    : ETC(2011)

    , ,

    51.

    ( 4.1) ,

    (

    50

    overseas trips 51

    2012. www.travelchinaguide.com (2012)

  • 42

    )

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    . ,

    52,

    . ,

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    ,

    .

    .

    Visitgreece 53,

    .

    52

    . 53

    www.visitgreece.gr.cn

  • 43

    5:

    . ,

    .

    . ,

    tour operators

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    ,

    . ,

    ,

    ,

    .

  • 44

    China Travel Trends (2012). Essential China Travel Trends, Dragon Edition,

    Dragon Trail, COTRI PATA.

    CTC (2013). China market profile, Canadian Tourism Commission.

    Desai P. (1987). The Soviet Economy: Problems and Prospects. Oxford. Blackwell.

    Embassy of Greece in the Russian Federation (Department of Tourism) (2012).

    Research of the behavior of visiting Russian tourists (Report Presentation).

    Embassy of Greece in the Russian Federation.

    ETC (2010), Market Insights: Russia, European Travel Commission.

    ETC (2011), Market Insights: China, European Travel Commission.

    Federal State Statistic Service (Rosstat) (2012). Russia 2012: Statistical Notebook,

    Moscow.

    Gregory P. Stuart R. (2001). Russian and Soviet economic performance and

    structure. New York. Addison-Wesley.

    International Trade Administration (2011), 2011 Market Profile: Russia, Office of

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