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Χρήστος Τριαντόπουλος - "Είναι αλήθεια ότι τα χρήματα που δανείστηκε η Ελλάδα προορίζονται αποκλειστικά για την αποπληρωμή προηγούμενων χρεών και τη διάσωση των τραπεζών;"
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1. 1
(), , (Pagoulatos & Triantopoulos, 2014). , , , . 2007/2008 , , . , , . , , 2010, (), () () . 2010 , , , . , , . , , , / / , ( ), ( ) .
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2. : (1975-2009)
, 2009, 299,7 . ( 129,7% ), , 1980 , . , , , () (Feldstein, 1984), () (Barro, 1979), () (Feldstein, 1984; Cukierman & Meltzer, 1989), () () , . , , , ,2 . , , , , 1975-2009 7,5% ( 1).
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2 , , , 15,3% 1980, 17,1% 1990, 17,7% 2000 22,7% 2009, 4,6% 2009 ( 4,4% 2000).
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6 , , 2,5 . , , . 7, 164,5 . , 144,7 . 19,8 . . 8 , . link: http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/glance.htm. 9 2015 .
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1 2010 14,50 5,50 20,00
2 2010 6,50 2,50 9,00
3 2011 6,50 2,50 9,00
4 2011 10,90 4,10 15,00
5 2011 8,70 3,30 12,00
6 2011 5,80 2,20 8,00
1
: 52,90 20,10 73,00
2
1 / 2012 1,60 29,70 31,30
1 / 2012 4,90 4,90
1 / 2012 5,90 5,90
1 / 2012 3,30 3,30
1 / 2012 25,00 25,00
1 / 2012 4,20 4,20
1 / 2012 1,00 1,00
2 / 2012 2013 3,24 34,30 37,54
2 / 2013 2,00 2,00
2 / 2013 2,80 2,80
2 / 2013 2,80 2,80
2 / 2013 7,20 7,20
3 / 2013 1,74 4,20 5,94
3 / 2013 3,30 3,30
4 / 2013 1,8 2,50 4,30
4 / 2013 0,50 0,50
5 / 2014 3,60 6,30 9,90
5 / 2014 1,00 1,00
5 / 2014 1,00 1,00
2
: 11,98 141,90 153,88
1
2
: 52,90 32,08 141,90 226,88
1
2
: 52,90 48,10 144,70 245,70
: European Commission (2012b), IMF (2012) http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2012/pr1285.htm, European Commission (2014) : http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/assistance_eu_ms/greek_loan_facility/index_en.htm. : PSI. PSI. . . . 2010-2014, 2014 ( ) . , 2016. , 35 . 2012 , 2
(European Commission, 2012b).
http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2012/pr1285.htmhttp://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/assistance_eu_ms/greek_loan_facility/index_en.htm
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, 237,5 . 2010-2014 , 2014, 226,9 . ( 95%) . , , , , , .
4. (2010-2014)
, ( ), : , , , .10 , , , , (, 2015). , , , , . , , , , , . ,11 ( ) . , , ( 2012 ), 2014 . , , 2010-2014 89,6 . ( 2). ( )12 (22,6 . ) . 3723/2008, . , , , (. ), , , . , 2010-2014 , ,
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67. , ( ). , , , 2013-2014, 2010-2014. , , , . , , 21,1 . ( ) 45,9 . ( ).13
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,
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2009 -24,3 0,37 -24,67 11,9 -36,2 301,0 29,1
2010 -11,8 0,96 -12,76 13,2 -25,0 330,3 19,8
2011 -6,0 0,63 -6,63 15,1 -21,1 356,0 28,8
2012 -7,0 -5,26 -1,74 9,7 -16,7 304,7 23,9
2013 -15,0 -18,96 3,96 7,3 -22,3 319,1 12,7
2014 3,1 0,0 3,1 7,6 -4,5 317,7 24,9
2010-2014 -22,6 52,9 -89,6 110,1
: European Commission / AMECO (2014), (2014), (2013) (2014) : / , . (2014) 2015, , , . , , , , () 2010 (, ) 10,5 . (European Commission, 2011) () 2012, 11,3 . (debt buy-back operation), 12,6 . . , ( 2014 ), 2010 2014 89,5 . . 2014 European Commission / AMECO(2014), , , .
, , , ,
13 , , 21,1 . , 2010-2012, 2013-2014 ( ) ( 2). 7 . . , 2010-2014 52,9 . 45,9 . .
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, PSI (Private Sector Involvement), (debt buy-back operation) 2012. , . / / , 2014 repos.14 , , , , . ( )15 2010 2014 89,5 . (European Commission, 2011; , 2014). , , 2010 ( ) , , (debt buy-back operation) 2012, ( 2). . , (PSI), 2012, 106 . , 198 . , , , ( 205,6 . ), 53,5% 46,5% PSI (31,5%) (15%). , PSI , (4,8 . ), 34,6 . . , (debt buy-back operation) PSI, 2012, 21,1 . , 66,2% 31,9 . ( , 2012; European Commission, 2012a; 2012b). 11,3 . , , , . , , , 127,1 . , , , 45,9 . . , , ( 2010 2014), 135,4 . (89,5 . 45,9 . ).
14 repos, 2014, () . 15 . , , (), () , , . , , , ( ) .
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(PSI) 198,0 53,5% 106,0 34,6
(Debt buy-back) 31,9 66,2% 21,1 11,3
229,9 127,1 45,9
: (2012), European Commission (2012a), (2012b) : .
, , , , 12% - , 20%. , 2014 162% 2011, 16,5 6,3 2011, 2014 2%, 4% -2012 (, 2015). , , 2012 . , , , 20,7 . 16 ( , 2012) , , . , , , , 2007/2008, (Pagoulatos & Triantopoulos, 2009; Pagoulatos 2014). , , , , , , , , , , , .
16, , (.. , ..) , / . . (2012).
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24 , , , , , , ..
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Barro, R. (1979), On the Determination of the Public Debt, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 87, No. 5, pp. 940-971.
Cukierman, A. and A. Meltzer (1989), A Political Theory of Government Debt and Deficits in a Neo-Ricardian Framework, The American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 4, pp. 713-732.
European Commission (2011), The Economic Adjustment Programme for Greece Fifth Review, European Economy Occasional Paper No 87, October 2011.
European Commission (2012a), The Second Economic Adjustment Programme for Greece, European Economy Occasional Paper No 94, March 2012.
European Commission (2012b), The Second Economic Adjustment Programme for Greece First Review, European Economy Occasional Paper No 123, December 2012.
European Commission (2014), The Second Economic Adjustment Programme for Greece Fourth Review, European Economy Occasional Paper No 192, April 2014.
Feldstein, M. (1984), Debt and Taxes in the Theory of Public Finance, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 28, No. 2, pp. 233-245.
Pagoulatos, G. (2014), State-driven in Boom and in Bust: Structural Limitations of Financial Power in Greece, Government and Opposition, Vol. 49, No. 3, pp. 452-482.
Pagoulatos, G. and C. Triantopoulos (2009), The Return of the Greek Patient: Greece and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, South European Society and Politics, Vol. 14, No. 1, pp. 35 54.
Pagoulatos, G. and C. Triantopoulos (2014), Growth Strategy and Welfare Reform in Greece, paper presented at the Sciences Po Workshop on National Growth Strategies and Welfare State Reform at, Paris, 11 12/12/2014.
(2014), , , , .
, . (2015), : , 26, 2015.
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