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辽宁省信中心 汽车研究中心. Liaoning province Information Center Automobile Research Center. 中国中重型柴油机市场 季度分析报告. 2014 年第 1 季度. 目 录. 一、行业运营环境分析 二、我国汽车总体市场分析 三、我国汽车发动机市场分析 四、 一 季度柴油机行业分析 五、 一 季度中重型柴油机行业分析. 行业环境. 行业环境. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Liaoning province Information CenterAutomobile Research Center 20141
1220141
1.1 1282137.4%77763.5%575877.3%628507.8%1.4%
2014GDP7.4%,7.3%GDP:,(84%),GDP3.4,GDP3.6,GDP3.7,GDP
1.1120140.15%0.56%1.75%6.77%23472.0%16073.5%
2.8.7%0.84.5%3.1%10.0%7.8%3.3%9.9%4.5%8.1%8.9%10.4%46432497.1%0.1257734.2%38.8%0.81% 1-277939.4%73968.4%85.185.28%
3.6832217.6%16.3%3.32064414.5%4430320.9%64.8%16.4%20.2%19.1%117025.8%2825414.7%3889819.6%9574412.8%18.2%15.3%15.6%6.2%5501512.6%31.24% 1533916.8%15.5%16.8%2909025.2%27.2%201113.8%5.7%132635.2%7.7%59902.3%35216322.9%287316.6%
4.6208112.0%10.9%302759.7%81551.7%5355311.8%852812.8%64659.8%5561612.2%2840910.3%312.2%10.8%1.23%
5.5902296591.0%3002549133.4%2899747461.6%1028167.432031433259.0%1039217016.6%9923162411.3%
6.2.3%2.4%2.0%3.5%0.7%2.2%1.3%1.1%0.2%2.5%2.7%2.9%5.1%6.6%5.8%32.4%0.5%2.0%32.3%0.3%2.1%32.5%0.5%
7.322412.3%10.1%81559.8%7.2%20122014556211.1%8.6%469414.0%169332881.7%268110.1%
8.49.0%1.14.164.9%1.12.92.530.064.3%
9.3M2116.0712.1%M132.775.4%M05.835.2%374.91109.103.0125924.721.395.605612
20143CPIPPICPI0.5%2.4%PPI0.3%2.3%CPI3CPI0.3%301416
1.220141201420135%2015201310%910%20%2014112015
,
201340%1.75142433290 201337.9%1.76146043038201550,
124086332015
;(2014-2017);();;2014;;2014, 1.75%11.52%8.819.2
327
,2012PM99%201441420142720141231201511
201111201012213.520121120137120135201371201271201341201371201411
(1) (2)SCREGR+DPFEGR+DPFSCREGR+DOCEGR+DOC+POCEGR+DOC+DOCEGR+DOC(3)(4)(5)
20141201431-332003220.17216.9134.4%35.8%5.6%6.6%589.17592.239.2%3.64 3174.83171.0130.5%30.3%5.5%7.9%479.87486.959.5%10.1% SUVMPV30%5%20%
20141345.3445.9051.8%61.5%5.9%2.1%109.29105.287.8%5.1%6.1%10.6%5.3%7.3%8%4.4%
367.1833.3%2.3%39.3%0.94.19188.531.5%10.1%38.7%4.5325.8144.9%11.9%23.7%2.34.5 71.517.7%23%6.2
2014138.5559.2%0.6%4.8558.6%7.4%3.759.9%10.1%20.97.8% 201428.6642.1%4.2133.7%1-219.7650.3%13.0710.2%
535.2512.0%2.890.4%2.3
66511.24024262768531.240952758
201411-21715.3%19.2%24.4%171251034
3181.81183.7131.2%31.8%9.2%9.9%07494.26500.658%9.4%
20112012120150190020132198.4113.9%124.33%13
200620087.27%200952.93%20052006VV20085.25%20112011
2014320143
2006 20141486949782.23%
2014133171.0130.29%7.86%MPVSUV3108.8531.00%4.77%MPV16.2220.73%38.84%SUV30.8730.14%31.42%15.0736.86%22.67%1-3486.9510.09%311.514.66%MPV48.8757.77%SUV86.8437.08%39.7321.08%SUVMPV14.10%367.1833.27%2.33%39.28%0.884.109725.8144.90%11.90%23.71%2.274.49188.531.50%10.09%38.72%4.5155
20141326.2449.35%10.11%15.34%1.730.3118.3912.3149.39%1.49%16.89%2.07%0.5568.9514.16%16.08%123.9648.2615.49%0.163334.5020.17%29.4627.07%104.9321.55%89.6528.78%321.2614.756.1112.43%8.63%3.57%61.9044.0216.7912.71%9.04%3.45%3.
2006-20102010430414220112006 2014117.78%
20141 105.82 3.69% IV 20.31%3 12.73% IV IV 2013 2014 2013 51.24 4.42% 14.22 17.14% 3.16 2.31% 15.07%
2014
20072008200849920094201120122011
3.1:%
220174958916769.1636373487566714.86 0.99 71.06 1825325498650184.64 -1.03 57.79 12690295080.50 0.04 75.45 203188053312917.91420744106921120.06 0.40 11.751606953425312079.78 -0.42 6.96418389600.17 0.02 19.2187664891813.3847331181024.14 0.67 22.43139633695975.55 -0.71 10.72701490.30 0.04 25.42
3.2:%
216908559223159.1836610683368714.08 1.62 78.28 1790450505821285.41 -1.65 54.81 12529304160.51 0.04 70.05 1998804538041810.16445508103298019.20 1.82 18.711549308433646780.60 -1.82 13.483988109710.20 0.00 97.08183684915515.2348131146623.33 1.71 23.59134903750576.30 -1.69 12.8651840.37 -0.02 39.38
4.1 %
CKD000.00 0.00 -6740181392.07 -0.40 -9.95 354675800.87 -0.26 -17.15 192620.03 -0.04 -52.19 244964630.74 -0.29 -23.04 123842850.49 0.02 13.15 19504454475.19 0.08 9.19 383199651.14 -0.28 -13.76 30588641657.33 0.65 18.00 358608917710.18 1.61 27.75 18380423304.83 -1.34 -15.82 11271280483.20 -0.20 1.24 17419943292749.44 -1.36 4.62 15291327043.73 1.57 88.55 10006251432.87 -0.99 -20.10 000.00 *CKD000.00 -30812690327.88 1.22 27.17 363734875667100.00 7.50
2006-2010201039355152011201320141
4.21%
420744 1069211 956829 11.75 445508 1032980 919505 12.34 63000 165069 151172 9.19 73367 166728 140094 19.01 62794 154013 138328 11.34 73308 153048 134199 14.05 54867 144684 137562 5.18 57290 143087 138177 3.55 54121 138161 118935 16.17 52425 124589 107517 15.88 31320 80362 66920 20.09 32693 67015 59357 12.90 26992 65839 56269 17.01 26878 65620 56423 16.30 18566 49686 44572 11.47 19594 49310 45466 8.45 21676 47719 41363 15.37 21443 47765 41560 14.93 17661 47134 37818 24.63 18310 44695 36855 21.27 13807 34746 35351 -1.71 14232 33520 35989 -6.86 12517 32648 26620 22.64 11947 30729 23454 31.02 9412 24245 26345 -7.97 9850 24361 26180 -6.95
4.31%
420744 1069211 956829 11.75 445508 1032980 919505 12.34 7915 21581 20031 7.74 7968 20535 19208 6.91 ()7966 18093 16313 10.91 7966 18093 16313 10.91 6518 15455 9786 57.93 6470 15415 9694 59.02 4199 9606 9603 0.03 4244 9572 9616 -0.46 2619 7363 4639 58.72 2635 6752 5334 26.58 2229 6131 4215 45.46 2643 6561 4546 44.32 1558 4192 3903 7.40 1499 3700 3250 13.85 1007 2484 6588 -62.30 746 1885 5777 -67.37 0 0 496 -100.00 0 0 496 -100.00 -0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0.00
4.42%
4733 11810 9646 22.43 4813 11466 9277 23.60 1193 2926 2493 17.37 1285 2959 2400 23.29 737 1903 1688 12.74 812 1854 1563 18.62 661 1662 1313 26.58 571 1547 1218 27.01 324 844 674 25.22 309 795 593 34.06 340 731 461 58.57 335 731 454 61.01 237 611 566 7.95 245 608 570 6.67 205 522 304 71.71 207 434 382 13.61 165 445 340 30.88 170 423 332 27.41 191 440 256 71.88 189 438 257 70.43 154 375 321 16.82 153 374 306 22.22 102 257 262 -1.91 105 248 266 -6.77 89 231 223 3.59 93 231 222 4.05
4.52%
4733 11810 9646 22.43 4813 11466 9277 23.60 66 177 161 9.94 65 166 156 6.41 66 177 121 46.28 70 176 103 70.87 ()69 159 137 16.06 69 159 137 16.06 39 109 70 55.71 39 99 82 20.73 35 95 97 -2.06 34 79 81 -2.47 37 84 84 0.00 37 83 84 -1.19 17 47 34 38.24 20 51 36 41.67 6 14 38 -63.16 4 11 33 -66.67 0 0 3 -100.00 0 0 3 -100.00 -0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0.00
20143420744445508
20142014106921111.75%103298012.34%
201436300062794548675412131320269922167618566176611380714.97%14.92%13.04%12.86%7.44%6.42%5.15%4.41%4.20%3.28%36480486.70%
201416506915401314468413816180362658394968647719471343474615.44%14.40%13.53%12.92%7.52%6.16%4.65%4.46%4.41%3.25%92741386.74%201424.63%7.2520%20.09%10-20%17.01%16.17%15.37%11.47%11.34%10%
201437336773308572905242532693268782144319594183101423216.47%16.45%12.86%11.77%7.34%6.03%4.81%4.40%4.11%3.19%38954087.44%
201416672815304814308712458967015656204931047765446953352016.14%14.82%13.85%12.06%6.49%6.35%4.77%4.62%4.33%3.24%89537786.68%201421.27%0.2920%10-20%19.01%16.30%15.88%14.93%14.05%12.90%10%8.45%3.55%6.86%
-
5.1%
64300 89396 153696 22.59 10666 24089 34755 37.05 31.29 12063 16828 28891 24.92 13.81 9210 14365 23575 31.05 25.53 11385 6556 17941 15.30 34.19 127 15013 15140 25.87 22.96 12267 0 12267 32.46 34.58 1502 6551 8053 14.80 73.45 0 4273 4273 5.07 55.81 2338 0 2338 23.38 29.01 1918 0 1918 -12.70 -32.02 1212 0 1212 12.33 -26.02 603 545 1148 34.11 -17.39 131 483 614 85.50 25.10 0 554 554 -17.56 -52.90 460 0 460 -76.05 64.92 3148 1679 4827 -31.71 -31.71
5.2%
321051470.02 -0.04 -52.582095230.09 0.09 5.44263214342291184.77 0.62 34.1813539325225.32 5.32 33.33192612444268474.40 -0.66 1.4417878452217.40 7.40 26.881419378781881.34 0.20 37.614337111171.82 1.82 16.19306786430010.53 0.13 18.14305886416510.51 0.12 1899.71 99.79 2998729153547.73 5.17 30.842996929078147.61 5.22 31.0299.94 99.74 6066535583558.26 5.31 28.35 6055735494658.11 5.34 28.46 99.82 99.75
-
5.5%
GVW>4025
5.6%
403675361452.96 1.12 87.1625401867419557016.04 0.49 19.87253644304532.50 2.30 1405.342599326216821.50 3.91 42.112504724927220.45 3.39 39.34 96.36 95.08
2014139.929.7153.65 %77.37%20.07%12.73%3.072.9626.73%13.03%3.603.5120.36%12.39%3.253.2314.1%12.83% 22.6520.2924.84%20.24%30.48%36.29%33.23% 2013201320143420144232720141231201511201439.496.8%0.532.041.551.5312.5%42.95%3.08%145181444211.93%4.89%42994013260521.2%15.28%10.15% 41.88%51.3%
2014IV20142014IVIV IV
IV200915IVIVGB17691-2005201011IVIV
IV20111229IV201371IV
IV201371IV
IV
1IVIV
2IV13IV
3IVIVIV2014
4232014272014123120151111IV2014IV
IV
IVIV45
SCREGRSCREGR
SCRSCRIIIEGR
1
IVIVSCR42062014IV
2IVIV2013IVIV SCR SCRSCRIV SCRIV
3IVSCRIVHOWO-T7HHOWO-T5GSITRAK-C7HSITRAK-C5HIVIV
495%IVIVIV15%CTXVV
52009IVIV2012IV2014FMIVX3000F3000M3000X3000XIVM30005
6IV SCRCursorCursor8.7L290-4001100-1600NmSCRIVCursor 1312.88L350-4801900r/min1800-2200NmSCRIV
71IV3%
82014700IVBOSCHDCUNoxSCRECU2100rpm1900rpm
9IV SCR6K106K126KDD13/156K10IVIV10.338L300-4201900r/min1400-1900Nm1100-1500r/minSCRIV6K12IVIV12.155L380-4801900r/min1800-2200N.m1000-1500r/minSCRIV
IV20149242084.42%20293720.24%IVIV
2014201511
IIIIV201371201511IIIIII
20142015IV2014
-
5.3%
42361 28047 70408-10.14 7687 11374 19061 27.07 -16.20 1088 13327 14415 20.47 38.49 11116 0 11116 15.79 9.16 4731 0 4731 6.72 3.05 1196 3065 4261 6.05 8.78 3899 0 3899 5.54 -35.26 3184 280 3464 4.92 36.65 3183 0 3183 4.52 -41.37 2335 0 2335 3.32 24.60 1445 0 1445 2.05 -57.57 793 0 793 1.13 -51.91 647 0 647 0.92 -22.61 616 0 616 0.87 -81.73 279 0 279 0.40 67.07 162 0 163 0.23 -86.56
5.4%
1214176949560.81 -1.34 -56.057531198283.25 3.25 26.36 1012323174191.21 0.23 43.9775919880.33 0.33 -57.93810263665771.08 -0.54 -22.394022560.37 0.37 -41.746810749234093.83 -1.07 -8.9204639750.65 0.65 14.52 18385423616.94 -2.73 -16.2618380423306.93 -2.67 -15.8299.97 99.93 830810973317.97 -2.51 2.36828510964717.95 -2.20 3.999.72 99.92 2669315209424.90 -5.24 -3.61 2666515197724.88 -4.88 -2.47 99.90 99.92
-
5.7%
14524 567 15091-5.18 4433 0443329.38 -12.18 1464 2114859.84 311.36 1367 013679.06 -22.51 1291 012918.55 -22.37 1150 011507.62 -39.44 808 08085.35 -2.53 560 516114.05 -22.26 536 05363.55 151.64 472 04723.13 85.83 60 3854452.95 -15.88 384 03842.54 1820.00 381 03812.52 -52.32 368 03682.44 -48.02 347 03472.30 24.82 323 03232.14 #DIV/0!580 1106904.57 -9.69
5.8%
12165838430.63 -0.01 14.820160.00 0.00 70010125264106811.75 -0.55 -11.131355510.09 0.09 0.736922145242.38 -0.56 -5.48354675801.24 -0.51 -17.1551.23 52.19 1355670.09 -0.01 3.28192620.04 -0.06 -52.1914.07 46.21 7057150912.47 -0.57 -5.18 356578421.28 -0.57 -19.13 50.52 51.96
2014132.973.0354.44%68.03%13.59%14.25%1.841.823.23%18.96%1.131.238.06%9.37% 7.046.6710.14%8.88%60.33%39.67%
32.9697.81%2.448943558053167.84%0.32%4.44%2879185860.12%13.62%15601306
20143124148.978.48%315.98 30.81%33 32 5.5%20133.4%2013122.82013 6128.6%20131.3 23153.41.655.053.82.3 60%
2014120 GB/T29912
2014 AAA
2014(2014-2020)316 831
20142014 LNGLPGLNG
20142014 10%2014LPI201254%4.18%2014218.210%10.49%201425%
-
5.9%
10489 448314972-5.06 38710387125.85 -4.51 4342073250716.74 11.13 02071207113.83 15.06 1171011717.82 -10.13 91409146.10 -25.08 74207424.96 -42.03 64506454.31 4.54 56905693.80 -2.40 37503752.50 45.91 35603562.38 -32.45 34003402.27 25.00 28402841.90 -28.46 261701961.31 83.18 16101611.08 0.00 108391470.98 -44.74 4931306234.16 -7.01
5.10%
910105424040.39 -0.04 7.03 39713760.23 0.23 203.7589163243320.71 -0.26 -14.4959617980.29 0.29 125.678117337530.61 -0.25 -17.1743713090.21 0.21 -51.13859104891.72 -0.54 -44.14244964631.06 -0.55 -11.4363.46 61.62 143044830.73 -0.02 14.16123842850.70 -0.02 13.1586.57 95.58 5289149722.45 -0.56 -5.06 3687107481.76 -0.57 -31.23 69.71 71.79
20142014131452414802 5.48%5.01%1589051.74%12.70%2 272553.08%22.83%28.83%3 69226792171.03%26.73%163.46%24.99%
123--20132014110
2014 20141314524148025.48%5.01%48879.25%14078.81%1347246.27%12911230132013
20142014
5.11201436
%%()437881081949192617.70 462531102598810025.15 157934087543144-5.26 156923757437750-0.47 190024471261352-27.12 2360254438516075.49 ()12517326482662022.64 11947307292345431.02 ()27906739609510.57 2742663660479.74 27656345335789.01 27656345335789.01 ()1558419239037.40 14993700325013.85 12593364260429.19 67015182959-48.70
5.11201436
%%51758065597435.00 51758065597435.00 1428375436423.08 1428372336422.22 13962154146846.73 14112189136160.84 43511311485-23.84 42310591780-40.51 527986-8.14 225973-19.18 1079582622522516564.21 11362926629422935416.11
201420%201120%2014115%80%(1%)80%99%20%20%
IV20151120092010IVIV2012201320137IVIVIV2014423(201427)20141231201511IV
2014
201420142015IVIII2IIIII
201377.4120%201371IV20142013IV(2015)20142015420143;201320142010
*THE END MOTOR.CHINAAUTO.NET 2014430Motor.Chinaauto.Net
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