[123doc.vn]-Ứng Dụng Mô Hình Camels Trong Quản Trị Rủi Ro Ngân Hàng

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  • 5/19/2018 [123doc.vn]- ng D ng M H nh Camels Trong Qu n Tr R i Ro Ng n H ng - slidepdf...

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    BGIO DC V O TO

    TRNG I HC KINH TTP.HCM

    -----------------

    CNG TRNH DTHI

    GII THNG NGHIN CU KHOA HC SINH VIN

    NH KINH TTRNM 2012

    TN CNG TRNH: NG DNG M HNHCAMELS TRONG QUN TRRI RO NGN HNG

    THUC NHM NGNH: KHOA HC KINH T

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    MC LC

    LI MU...................................................................................... 1

    CHNG 1: TNG QUAN VM HNH CAMELS.................. 21.1 Scn thit phi nng cao nng lc qun trri ro ti cc NHTM Vit Nam ............... 2

    1.2 Cc yu tca m hnh CAMELS ...................................................................................... 2

    1.2.1 Yu t ..................................................... 2

    1.2.1.1 T l an ton vn ti tiu......................................................................................... 2

    1.2.1.2 Ct lng ca cc c ng c n ng ln:..................................................... 6

    1.2.1.3 H s n ti cn:........................................................................................... 6

    1.2.2 Yu t )............................................................ 7

    1.2.2.1 Ti sn c l g ? ........................................................................................................ 71.2.2.2 Cc chtiu n gi ct lng ti sn c ............................................................ 9

    1.2.3 Yu t3 m N c qun tr)................................................................ 11

    1.2.3.1 Gii tiu c n..................................................................................................... 11

    1.2.3.2 Cc p ng cc tiu tc n gi ti Vit Nam.............................................. 12

    1.2.4 Yu t4: Earn ings (Li nhun).................................................................................. 17

    1.2.4.1 Li nhun ................................................................................................................. 17

    1.2.4.2 Cc chtiu n gi............................................................................................... 17

    1.2.4.2.1 Li nhun trc thuso vi vn chshu ( ROE).....................................17

    1.2.4.2.2 Hot ng dch vca ngn hng...................................................................18

    1.2.5 Yu t5: L iquidity (tnh thanh khon)....................................................................... 20

    1.2.5.1 Khi nim ................................................................................................................. 20

    1.2.5.2 Mt stn hiu trn thtrng don tn tan kon ca ngn hng .. 21

    1.2.5.2.1 Cc tiu c n gi knng tan kon ca ngn ng tng mi cphn ti Vit Nam............................................................................................................... 22

    1.2.5.2.2 Khnng tan ton nga............................................................................... 22

    1.2.5.2.3 Tlti aca ngun vn ngn hn c sdng cho vay trung v dihn ............................................................................................................................. 23

    1.3 Cc tn im v xp loi ca m hnh CAMELS ......................................................... 24

    1.3.1 m .............................................. 24

    1.3.2 m ........................................................................... 24

    1.3.2.1 Vn t c: -3 n 1 im....................................................................................... 24

    1.3.2.2 Ct lng ti sn: 0 n 3 im......................................................................... 24

    1.3.2.3 Nng lc qun tr: 0 n 1 im.......................................................................... 25

    1.3.2.4 Li nhun: ti a 20 im...................................................................................... 25

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    1.3.2.5 Tnh thanh khon: ti a 1 im........................................................................ 26

    1.3.3 p loi........................................................................................................................ 27

    1.3.4 Ti gian tc in vic n gi p loi............................................................... 28

    CHNG 2: SO SNH M HNH CAMELS CA VIT NAMVI M HNH CAMELS CA CC NC KHC.................. 292.1 So snh m hnh CAMELS ca Mv Vit Nam ............................................................ 29

    2.1.1 M hnh ca M................................................................................................................. 29

    2.1.1.1 Mc an ton vn: ............................................................................................... 29

    2.1.1.2 Cht lng ti sn c: ............................................................................................. 31

    2.1.1.3 Nng lc qun tr: ................................................................................................... 33

    2.1.1.4 Li nhun: ............................................................................................................... 35

    2.1.1.5 Tnh thanh khon .................................................................................................... 36

    2.1.2 So snh vi m hnh CAMELS ca Vit Nam.......................................................... 38

    2.2 So snh m hnh CAMELS ca Trung Quc v Vit Nam ............................................. 38

    2.2.1 M hnh CAMEL Trung Quc:................................................................................. 39

    2.2.2 S m:............................................................................................... 42

    2.3 So snh m hnh CAMELS ca Nht v Vit Nam................................................................ 44

    CHNG 3: U NHC IM CA M HNH CAMELS... 49

    3.1 u im: .............................................................................................................................. 493.2 Nc im: ........................................................................................................................ 49

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    DANH MC TVIT TT

    VN Vit Nam

    NHTM Ngn hng Thng mi

    NHNN,

    NHTWNgn hng Nh nc, Ngn hng Trung ng

    DANH MC BNG BIU

    Bng 1: TlCAR mt sngn hng

    Bng 2: Tlnxu ca hthng NH Vit Nam qua cc nm

    Bng 3: Kt qukinh doanh ca cc ngn hng trong nm 2011

    Bng 4: So snh c cu im ca 5 chtiu trong m hnh CAMEL p dng ti Vit

    Nam v Trung Quc

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    TM TT TI

    1. L do chn ti:

    Ti chnh l mt bphn quan trng ca nn kinh t. Trong h thng ngn hng

    ng vai tr htrcho cc hot ng kinh t, huy ng vn tcc bphn tha vn

    v phn phi n cc khu vc cn vn, nh gp phn vo stng trng v thnh

    vng ca quc gia. Tuy nhin bi hc tcuc khng hong ti chnh 2007-2009 cho

    thy rng hthng ngn hng cng chnh l nguyn nhn cho khin cho khng hong

    ngy cng trnn ti thn do tnh nhy cm vi nhng bin ng. T nhn thy

    tm quan trng l phi p dng mt hthng gim st hot ng ngn hng hiu qu.

    CAMELS l m hnh nh gi xp loi hot ng ca cc ngn hng c p dng ti

    Mtnhng nm 70 v cho thy nhng kt qunht nh. V vy ti Vit Nam,

    thng c Ngn hng nh nc ra quyt nh p dng m hnh CAMELS vo vic

    xp loi ngn hng thng mi cphn. Bi nghin cu i vo tm hiu cc yu tv

    cc tiu chun nh gi trong m hnh CAMELS p dng ti Vit Nam trong tng

    quan vi m hnh CAMELS p dng ti M, Trung Quc v Nht, t cho thy cc

    khc bit trong iu kin hot ng ngn hng ti Vit Nam.

    Tuy nhin, tcuc khng hong ti chnh va qua th c ththy mt m hnh nh

    gi xp loi d c nhiu u im v pht huy hiu qutrong thi gian di cng khng

    th m bo nh gi tng qut, ton din v a ra d bo chnh xc. V vy bi

    nghin cu i vo tm hiu cc c im ca m hnh FIRST i n xut kt hp

    hai m hnh nhm pht huy nhng u im ca tng m hnh trong vic nh gi

    c chnh xc hn. Nh c th a ra cc gim st cn thit, h tr thch hp

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    nhm ngn chn cc vsp ngn hng lm nh hng n sc khe ca thtrng

    ti chnh v nim tin ca cc nh u t.

    2. Mc tiu nghin cu

    Bi nghin cu hng n vic hiu r cc c im ca m hnh CAMELS c

    linh hot p dng ti Vit Nam, khc bit c bn no so vi m hnh CAMELS gc

    ca M, so snh vi tnh hnh thc hin nh gi hot ng ngn hng ti cc nc

    khc (Trung Quc, Nht). Thng qua so snh c ci nhn khi qut hn vthc t

    p dng m hnh.

    Bi nghin cu cn hng n mc tiu ln hn l nhn ra nhng u, nhc im ca

    m hnh CAMELS. Tnhng u, nhc im c tha ra xut thch hp l

    kt hp m hnh CAMELS v m hnh FIRST khc phc c cc nhc im cam hnh CAMELS.

    3. Png pp ngin cu

    - Dch thut

    - So snh vi m hnh cc nc khc

    - Mrng lin hvi cc vn thc tin hin nay ca hthng NHTM

    4. Ni dung nghin cu

    Cng 1:Phn tch cc yu ttrong m hnh CAMELS

    Tm hiu v5 yu tc bn ca m hnh CAMELS Vit Nam:

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    -Mc an ton vn

    -Cht lng ti sn ca NHTM

    -Nng lc qun tr

    -Li nhun

    -Tnh thanh khon

    Cng 2: So snh m hnh CAMELS Vit Nam vi M, Trung Quc, Nht

    Bn

    -Gii thiu vm hnh CAMELS ca M, Trung Quc v Nht Bn

    -Nhng im khc bit khi Vit Nam p dng m hnh ny so vi m hnh ca cc

    nc khc

    Cng 3: u nc im ca m hnh

    5. ng gp ca ti

    Bi nghin cu sgip cho ngi c c mt gc nhn tng qut v cthhn trong

    vic kim tra, gim st hot ng ca ngn hng thng qua cc chsti chnh. T

    , c thgip ha ra nhng nhn nh vsc khe ca hthng ngn hng hay

    ton b nn kinh t. ti cng m ra mt hng mi trong qu trnh thm nh

    nng lc thc sca ngn hng

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    6. Hng pht trin ca ti

    M hnh CAMELS spht huy hiu quhn na khi kt hp vi nhng m hnh

    khc, v d: FRIST. Sph hp v tng quan gia 2 m hnh sgip nh qun tr

    ngn hng pht huy sc mnh ca mnh v nng cao nng lc cnh tranh trong mi

    trng kinh ty phc tp v bin ng nh hin nay.

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    1

    LI MU

    Ngn hng thng mi l mt trong cc tchc trung gian ti chnh quan trng

    nht ca nn kinh t. Vi t cch l trung gian ti chnh, NHTM l loi hnh doanhnghip kinh doanh c th v kinh doanh loi hng ho c bit l tin t. Hin nay,

    trong bi cnh Vit Nam gia nhp WTO, nn kinh tVit Nam ni chung v ngnh

    ti chnh ngn hng ni ring smca mnh mvi khu vc v trn thgii. Hi

    nhp kinh tquc tem li nhiu c hi nhng cng khng t ri ro cho h thng

    ngn hng cn non yu, v vy n lun i mt vi cc ri ro trong vn hot ng

    kinh doanh nh ri ro thanh khon, thiu vn cnh tranh, thua lv mt thphn...

    Thi gian qua, din bin phc tp ca nn kinh tnh lm pht cao km theo

    hin tng u c... lm tin cho cc ri ro dn bc l. Do vy, vic nh gi d

    bo sc khe cc tchc tn dng (TCTD) v a ra cc gii php ph hp, kp thi

    lun l yu cu khng chdnh cho cc nh qun l, c quan thanh tra gim st Ngn

    hng nh nc ( NHNN) m cn l vic v cng quan trng i vi cc nh phn tch,

    i tc kinh doanh v cc nh u t.

    Tm li, hthng ngn hng Vit Nam c sc cnh tranh cao, hot ng an

    ton v hiu quth vic nghin cu p dng cc phng php nh gi ri ro ca cc

    ngn hng thng mi l iu v cng cn thit. V l do , nhm nghin cu

    quyt nh thc hin ti nghin cu:

    NG DNG M HNH CAMELS TRONG QUN TRRI RO NGN HNG

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    2

    CHNG1: TNG QUAN VM HNH CAMELS

    1.1 Scn thit phi nng cao nng lc qun trri ro ti cc NHTM Vit Nam

    Cc Ngn hng & cc nh chti chnh phi Ngn hng trc ht l trung

    gian ti chnh Chng ng gia v ng trong vng vy ca 4 nhm nhng

    ngi c vn v cn vn trong nn kinh tgm: Hgia nh, Doanh nghip, Chnh

    phv cc nh u t nc ngoi. C thni h thng ngn hng chnh l mch

    mu ca nn kinh t. Cc ngn hng c hthng qun trcng tt, hcng c

    cng cphc vthtrng, ng thi txy dng c sbo vhn chri ro

    mc ti a i vi cc dch v.

    Thi gian ti, khi hng lot cc ngn hng ngoi st "b" vo VitNam nh don, i hi vcng tc qun trscng gay gt hn i vi nh bng

    ni. skhng chl sc khng cnh tranh, m cn l sc mnh cho tnh lin

    kt bn vng ca cthtrng lin ngn hng. Mt ngn hng yu km trong qun

    trskhng chgy tn tht cho chnh ngn hng , m cn to nn nhng ri ro

    nht nh mang tnh dy chuyn cho cc n vkhc.

    1.2 Cc yu tca m hnh CAMELS

    1.2.1 Yu t1: Capital Aquac Mc an ton vn:

    Mc an ton vn thhin svn tc h trcho hot ng kinh doanh

    ca ngn hng. Ngn hng cng chp nhn nhiu ri ro th cng i hi phi c nhiu

    vn tc htrhot ng ca ngn hng v b p tn tht tim nng lin quan

    n mc ri ro cao hn. Cc ch tiu s dng phn tch vn.

    1.2.1.1T l an ton vn ti tiu

    tm hiu vtlan ton vn, u tin phi hiu vc cu vn ca ngn hng

    C cu vn:tp trung vo mc quan trng tng i ca vn t c ( bao gm

    vn cp 1 v vn cp 2):

    Vn cp 1: thc o chyu nh gi sc mnh, tim lc ti chnh ca mt

    ngn hng tquan im ca c quan qun l, c nh ngha trong Basel.

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    3

    Vn cp 1 bao gm cc loi ngun lc ti chnh c tin cy cao nht v c

    tnh thanh khon tt nht, chyu cp n vn cng. Cc v dvvn

    cp 1 c thkn: cphiu thng, cphiu u i khng hon li v khng

    tch lu, li nhun gi li. Theo ngha ny, vn cp 1 khng hon ton gingnhng c lin quan mt thit n khi nim vn c ng, y l phn chnh

    nhng khng phi tt cvn cp 1.

    Vit Nam, Vn cp 1 vc bn gm1:

    Vn iu l

    Li nhun khng chia

    Cc qudtrc lp trn c strch lp tli nhun ca tchc tn

    dng nh qudtrbsung vn iu l, qudphng ti chnh v qu

    u t pht trin.

    Vmt l thuyt, nguyn nhn dtrvn l n gip cc ngn hng phng

    vtrc nhng ri ro ngoi dkin. Khc vi ri ro ngoi dkin, ri ro lng

    trc c thng c mt phn trch ring phng nga. Cthhn, vn

    cp 1 l mt trong nhng thc o tlvn ca Ngn hng , l tlgia

    vn nng ct ca ngn hng vi tng ti sn c iu chnh ri ro. Ti sn iuchnh ri ro l tng tt ccc ti sn do ngn hng nm gic tnh ton theo

    trng si vi ri ro tn dng theo mt cng thc do c quan qun l (thng

    l Ngn Hng Trung ng) a ra. Hu ht cc ngn hng Trung ng u

    theo chun BIS - Ngn hng thanh ton quc t- t ra nhng trng sny.

    Cc ti sn nh tin mt, tin xu thng c trng sri ro l 0, trong khi cc

    khon vay khng c bo m c trng s100%. Tlvn cp 1 c tnh theo

    cng thc:

    Theo quyc ca Basel II th t l ny phi trn 4 th t chc tn dng

    c coi l vn.

    1theo Quyt nh s457/2005/Q-NHNN ngy 19 thng 4 nm 2005 ca Thng c NHNN ban hnh quy nh

    vcc tlbo m an ton trong hot ng ca cc tchc tn dng

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    4

    Vn cp 2:l thc o tim lc ti chnh ca mt ngn hng lin quan n cc

    dng ngun lc ti chnh c tin cy hng thhai (sau vn cp 1), xt t

    quan im ca c quan qun l ngnh ngn hng. Cc dng ngun lc ti chnh

    ny c tiu chun ha rt r rng trong Basel I v khng c g thay i trongBasel II. Vn cp 2 c coi l c tin cy, an ton thp hn. C quan qun

    l ca hu ht cc quc gia, kcban thng c ca FED, u p dng tiu

    chun vvn ny trong hthng php l ca mnh. C mt vi cch phn loi

    vn cp 2, nu theo chun Basel I, vn cp 2 bao gm:

    Li nhun cha cng b.

    Gi trti sn nh gi li.

    Cc khon dphng ri ro chung.

    Vn cp 2 ti a bng 100 vn cp 1.

    *u Trong vn t c khng c tnh cc khon sau:

    Ton bphn gi trgim i ca cc TSC hay chng khon u t

    do nh gi li

    Tng svn gp hoc cphn trong tchc tn dng khc Phn gp vn, lin doanh, mua c phn ca qu u t, doanh

    nghip vt mc 15% vn tc

    Lkinh doanh, kclly k

    T haich tiu vn cp I v cp II, ta tnh c t l an ton vn ti thiu

    (CAR):

    T lny thng c dng bo vnhng ngi gi tin trc ri ro ca ngn

    hng v tng tnh n nh cng nh hiu quca hthng ti chnh ton cu. Bng t

    lny ngi ta c thxc nh c khnng ca ngn hng thanh ton cc khon n

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    5

    c thi hn v i mt vi cc loi ri ro khc nh ri ro tn dng, ri ro vn hnh.

    Hay ni cch khc, khi ngn hng m bo c tlny tc l n tto ra mt

    tm m chng li nhng c sc vti chnh, va tbo vmnh, va bo vnhng

    ngi gi tin.

    Chnh v l do trn, cc nh qun l ngnh ngn hng cc nc lun xc nh r v

    gim st cc ngn hng phi duy tr mt tlan ton vn ti thiu.

    Vit Nam theo thng t s13/2010/TT-NHNN ngy 20/5/2010 tlny c quy

    nh l 9%. Theo chun mc Basel II m cc hthng ngn hng trn thgii p dng

    phbin l 8%.

    Khi tnh ton tlan ton vn ti thiu, ngi ta xt n hai loi vn: vn cp I(vn

    nng ct) v vn cp II(vn bsung), trong vn cp I c coi l c tin cy v

    an ton cao hn.

    y c thc coi l mc iu chnh tin gn hn n mc m cc ngn hng

    thgii hin nay ang p dng l 10 - 11% cho giai on n nm 2019 theo Basel

    III. Tuy nhin mc an ton ca hthng ngn hng Vit Nam vn cn thp nu so

    vi hthng ngn hng trong khu vc. Nu so snh mc bnh qun 13,1% ca ccngn hng khu vc chu Thi Bnh Dng (gm 52 ngn hng thuc 10 nc)

    vi tl12,3% ca cc ngn hng cc nc chu mi ni (14 ngn hng ca Thi

    Lan, Indonesia, Malaisia, Philipin) th tlca cc ngn hng Vit Nam hin nay cn

    thp hn nhiu chtrn 9%.

    ng1: TlCAR 1 sngn hng (%)2

    2007 2008 2009 2010

    VCB ( Vit Nam) 9,2 8,9 8,11 10

    Vietinbank ( Vit Nam) 11,62 11,45 8,06 8,02

    DBS( Singapore) 13,4 14 s16,7 18,4

    Bangkok ( Thi Lan) 14,54 13,79 15,51 16,09

    2(Ngun: Bo co ti chnh ca cc NHTM qua cc nm)

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    6

    Madiri ( Insonesia) 21,1 15,7 15,6 -

    Tbng trn, VCB v Vietinbank l 2 trong s nhng ngn hng ln ca Vit

    Nam, nhng tlan ton vn (CAR) cng chmc 8 - 9, trong khi , mt s

    ngn hng ln ti khu vc ng Nam c tlCAR cao hn rt nhiu nh ngn

    hng DBS ca Singapore t mc CAR l 18,4 nm 2010, hay ca ngn hng

    Bangkok Bank ca Thi Lan l 16,04 nm 2010.

    Cho n hin nay, vic cng bCAR cha phi l bt buc. NHNN cng cha

    bao gicho bit thng tin y vchsny ca chthng v tng TCTD. V

    vy, thtrng khng c y dliu nh gi. Lu CAR ca VN hin thi

    vn cha c tnh theo tiu chun quc tm chdng li theo tiu chun ktonVN v thNHNN cn tip tc nng dn yu cu vCAR m bo an ton hot

    ng hthng khi ngy cng nhiu NH hot ng theo hng Cty m- con v nn

    kinh t v thtrng ti chnh VN ngy cng m, hot ng NH ngy cng trnn

    ri ro hn.

    1.2.1.2 Ct lng ca cc c ng c n ng ln:

    y l vn rt ng c quan tm v nhng c ng ny l nhng ngi c

    nh hng rt ln n tnh cng nh sc kho ca t chc, mt s thay i cng

    nh suy yu v tnh hnh ti chnh ca c nhn h cng c th y t chc vo

    mt tnh th kh khn: thay i thnh vin HQT do vic bn, thoi vn,

    chuyn nhng c phn cho cc c nhn khc (c bit l i th), gy mt

    nim tin nhng c ng khc. Hn na v vn lm dng quyn hn ca

    mnh thao tng gi chng khon, c phiu cng c nh gi l hnh ngtrc tip gy thit hi n t chc hin ti. Chnh v th vic kim sot tnh hnh

    ti chnh c nhn c lin quan, nh hng ln n t chc tn dng cng phn

    no gip ta c th hiu c tnh hnh t chc tn dng hin ti.

    1.2.1.3 H s n ti cn:

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    7

    (thng thng i vi cc ngn hng Vit Nam, con s trung bnh l

    12.5)

    Vic huy ng vn cho vay l mt trong nhng hot ng chnh yu ca

    ngn hng, tuy nhin, di p lc trn li sut cng nh v kh nng thanh khon ca

    h thng, cc ngn hng thng b gii hn bi mt mc cho vay c nh, t lm

    cn c tnh ton kh nng huy ng p ng nh cu cho vay ca mnh trn c s

    m bo hot ng ca ngn hng cng nh an ton cho h thng.

    Nu vic huy ng qu nhiu tuy nhin u ra cho vay khng thc s tt

    (nhng khon li thu khng ng hn do khch hng tr hn, n c nguy c mtvn,) th vic chi tr li tin gi cho khch hng gi tin cng s dn n mt p lc

    v chi ph i vi ngn hng, n mt lc no s dn n kit qu ti chnh v khi

    v l khng th trnh khi.

    1.2.2 Yu t2: Asset Qualit Ct lng ti sn c

    Cht lng ti sn ca NHTM l 1 chtiu tng hp ni ln khnng bn vng vti chnh, nng lc qun l ca mt tchc tn dng. Hu ht ri ro trong kinh doanh

    tin tu tp trung ti sn c.

    Cht lng ti sn c l nguyn nhn c bn dn n cc vvngn hng. Nu

    thtrng bit rng cht lng ti sn km th sto p lc ln trng thi ngun vn

    ngn hn ca ngn hng, v iu ny c thdn n khng hong thanh khon, hoc

    dn n tnh trng x i rt tin ngn hng.

    1.2.2.1 Ti sn c l g ?

    TS c c thhin bn ti sn c trn Bng cn i kton ca NHTM . Quy

    m, c cu v cht lng ti sn c s quyt nh n s tn ti v pht trin ca

    NHTM m ti sn c bao gm ti sn sinh li (Chim t80-90% tng ti sn c) v

    ti sn khng sinh li (chim t10-20% tng ti sn c). TS c bao gm

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    + Dtr(Reserves)

    + Cho vay (Loans)

    + u t (Investment)

    + Ti sn C khc (Other Assets)

    Dtr:

    Hot ng tn dng ca ngn hng nhm mc ch kim li, song cn phi bo

    m an ton givng c lng tin ca khch hng. Mun c c stin cy

    vpha khch hng, trc ht phi bo m khnng thanh ton: p ng c

    nhu cu rt tin ca khch hng. Mun vy cc ngn hng phi dnh mt phn

    ngun vn khng sdng n sn sng p ng nhu cu thanh ton. Phn vn

    dnh ny gi l dtr. Ngn hng TW c php n nh mt tldtrbt buc

    theo tng thi knht nh, vic trli cho tin gi dtrbt buc do chnh ph

    qui nh. Dtrbao gm:

    + Dtrs cp (Primary Reserves): bao gm tin mt, tin gi ti ngn hng TW,

    ti cc ngn hng khc

    + Dtrthcp (Secondary Reserves): (cp hai) l dtrkhng tn ti bng tin

    m

    bng chng khon, ngha l cc chng khon ngn hn c thbn chuyn thnh

    tin mt cch thun li.

    Cp tn dng (Credits):

    Sngun vn cn li sau khi dnh mt phn dtr, cc ngn hng thng mic thdng cp tn dng cho cc tchc, c nhn bao gm:

    - Cho vay (Loans):

    -Chit khu (Discount)

    - Cho thu ti chnh (Financial leasing):

    - Bo lnh ngn hng: (Bank Guarantee)

    - Cc hnh thc khc (Other)

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    u t Invstmnt

    Khon mc u t c vtr quan trng thhai sau khon mc cho vay, n mang li

    khon thu nhp ln v ng kca ngn hng thng mi. Trong nghip vny,

    ngn hng sdng ngun vn ca mnh v ngun vn n nh khc u t di

    cc hnh thc nh:

    - Hn vn mua cphn, cphiu ca cc Cng ty; hn vn mua cphn chc

    php thc hin bng vn ca ngn hng

    Mua tri phiu chnh ph, chnh quyn a phng, tri phiu cng ty

    Tt chot ng u t chng khon u nhm mc ch mang li thu nhp, mt

    khc nhhot ng u t m cc ri ro trong hot ng ngn hng sc phn

    tn, mt khc u t vo tri phiu chnh phth mc ri ro srt thp.

    Ti sn C khc:

    Nhng khon mc cn li ca ti sn C trong chyu l ti sn cnh nhm:

    xy dng hoc mua thm nh ca lm tr s vn phng, trang thit b, my

    mc, phng tin vn chuyn, xy dng h thng kho qungoi ra cn cc

    khonphi thu, cc khon khc

    1.2.2.2 Cc chtiu n gi ct lng ti sn c

    Cht lng cc khon cho vay v ng trc cho khch hng:

    Chtiu ny c nh gi thng qua tlnxu, vic phn loi nv lp d

    phng ca NHTM

    Phn loi nv tltrch lp dphng:

    - Nhm 1(Ntiu chun): 0%

    - Nhm 2 (Ncn ch ): 5%

    - Nhm 3 (Ndi tiu chun): 20%

    - Nhm 4 (Nnghi ng): 50%

    - Nhm 5 (Nc khnng mt vn): 100%

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    Tlnxu: l tlgia tng cc khon nthuc nhm 3, 4, 5 so

    vi tng d n

    Bng 2: tlnxu ca hthng NH Vit Nam qua cc nm 3

    2008 2009 2010

    Ton hthng ngn hng 3,5 1,9 2,5

    VCB 4,61 2,47 4,15

    Viettin bank 1,81 0,61 0,66

    BIDV 4,02 2,98 2,92

    Agribank 3,25 4,15 _

    ACB 0,89 0,41 0,37

    Sacombank 0,59 0,64 0,62

    Tlnxu ca hthng ngn hng Vit Nam nhng nm trc y khng phi

    l iu lo ngi v tlnxu ca hthng ngn hng lun thp hn 5 ( tiu chun

    quc t). Tuy nhin tnm 2009 n nm 2010 th tlnxu tng t1,9% ln

    2,5% v tip tc tng vt ln 2,91%/tng d nvo cui thng 7/2011. Khng chvy

    cc con scng bcha chc phn nh ht nxu ca cc ngn hng. Trong mt

    phn tch gn y, cc chuyn gia Trung tm thng tin v dbo kinh tx hi cho

    bit, theo tchc nh mc tn nhim Fitch Rating, tlnxu ca Vit Nam l 13%

    trong khi con sny do NHNN tnh ton chl 2,37% (tnh thi im 20/6/2011).

    Cht lng ca cc khon u t: ch tiu ny c nh gi qua t ldphng gim gi chng khon trn tng sd cc khon u t trn bng

    cn i kton

    C cu ti sn C ni bng: c thhin qua tlti sn c sinh li so

    vi tng ti sn

    3Ngun: bo co ti chnh ca cc NHTM

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    Ti sn C sinh li: l tng cc khon mc ti sn c c kh

    nng sinh li ca tchc tn dng ti thi im 31/12 nhm nh

    gi xp loi, bao gm cc khon mc sau y:

    -

    Tin, vng gi ti cc tchc tn dng khc- Cc khon cho vay

    - u t chng khon

    - Gp vn, u t di hn, bt ng sn u t

    Tlny cng cao th cng tt cho NHTM

    Cht lng cc khon cam kt ngoi bng: ch tiu ny c thhin

    qua tlphn nh cht lng cc khon cam kt ngoi bng Cc khon cam kt ngoi bng bao gm: cc khon bo lnh,

    chp nhn thanh ton v cam kt cho vay khng hy ngang v

    iu kin v c thi im thc hin cth

    Tlphn nh cht lng cc khon cam kt ngoi bng: l tl

    gia tng sd cc khon cam kt ngoi bng thuc nhm 3,4,5

    chia cho tng s d cc khon cam kt ngoi bng. T l ny

    cng nhth NHTM c nh gi cng cao

    1.2.3

    Yu t3: Management Nng lc qun tr)

    1.2.3.1

    Gii tiu c n

    Ti Vit Nam, theo Quy nh xp loi ngn hng thng mi cphn th ch

    tiu nng lc qun tr c mc im ti a l 15 im, ti thiu l 0 im.

    Nguyn tc tnh im l ly sim ti a tri sim btrtng chtiu.

    Theo iu 7 Quy nh xp loi ngn hng thng mi c phn, ngn hng

    thng mi cphn t im ti a 15 im phi tha mn y 5 iu kin :

    a) Thnh vin Hi ng qun tr, thnh vin Ban kim sot s lng theo

    quy nh.

    b) Ban hnh y , chun ha v thc hin ng cc quy chni b.

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    c) Hthng kim tra, kim ton ni btng xng vi quy m ngn hng v

    hot ng hiu qu, m bo cc ri ro quan trng lun c nhn dng, o

    lng, kim tra, kim sot mt cch lin tc.

    d) Cc thnh vin Hi ng qun tr, Ban kim sot, Ban iu hnh c nnglc, on kt, c thc chp hnh php lut, c trch nhim, thc hin ng

    nhim v, quyn hn trong vic qun tr, kim sot, iu hnh ngn hng

    thng mi cphn.

    e) m bo cc quy nh ca ngn hng nh nc v c ng, c phn, c

    phiu.

    Vi mi iu kin vi phm, ngn hng thng mi cphn sbtrmc im

    tng ng vi tng iu kin.

    1.2.3.2 Cc p ng cc tiu tc n gi ti Vit Nam

    a) N mi cphn btr3 m r rng hp khng

    m bo mt trong u kin sau :

    - Khng slng thnh vin Hi ng qun tr, thnh vin Ban kim sot

    theo quy nh ca Ngn hng Nh nc v iu l ca ngn hng thng

    mi cphn ;

    Theo iu 62 Lut cc tchc tn dng, Hi ng qun trca tchc tn dng

    l cng ty cphn phi c khng t hn 05 thnh vin v khng qu 11 thnh

    vin, trong c t nht 01 thnh vin c lp. Hi ng qun trphi c t nht

    mt phn hai tng sthnh vin l thnh vin c lp v thnh vin khng phi

    l ngi iu hnh tchc tn dng.

    C nhn v ngi c lin quan ca c nhn hoc nhng ngi i din vn

    gp ca mt cng l tchc v ngi c lin quan ca nhng ngi ny c

    tham gia Hi ng qun tr, nhng khng c vt qu mt phn ba tng s

    thnh vin Hi ng qun trca mt tchc tn dng l cng ty cphn, tr

    trng hp l ngi i din phn vn gp ca Nh nc.

    Theo Khon 2, iu 44 Lut cc tchc tn dng, Ban kim sot ca tchc tndng c t nht 03 thnh vin, s lng cthdo iu lca tchc tn dng

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    quy nh, trong phi c t nht mt phn hai tng sthnh vin l thnh vin

    chuyn trch, khng ng thi m nhim chc v, cng vic khc ti tchc

    tn dng hoc doanh nghip khc.

    -

    Khng ban hnh y , chun ha cc quy chni bvhot ng ca Hi

    ng qun tr, Ban kim sot v Ban iu hnh, kim sot ni bv cc quy

    ch cn thit khc cho hot ng ca ngn hng thng mi c phn (tn

    dng, bo lnh, hch ton kton v cc nghip vkhc) hoc c kin ca

    Thanh tra Ngn hng Nh nc (ti Kt lun ca Thanh tra trong nm nh

    gi xp loi), kim ton c lp (ti Bo co kim ton c lp, Th Qun l

    cho nm nh gi xp loi) v vic quy trnh ni b ca ngn hng khng

    hiu qudn n vic gii hn qu trnh thanh tra v kim ton.

    Theo iu 93, Lut cc tchc tn dng, tchc tn dng phi xy dng v ban

    hnh cc quy nh ni bi vi cc hot ng nghip vca tchc tn dng,

    bo m c c chkim sot, kim ton ni b, qun l ri ro gn vi tng quy

    trnh nghip vkinh doanh, phng n xl cc trng hp khn cp.

    T chc tn dng phi ban hnh cc quy nh ni b sau y:

    Quy nh v cp tn dng, qun l tin vay bo m vic s dng vn vay

    ng mc ch;

    Quy nh v phn loi ti sn c, trch lp v s dng d phng ri ro;

    Quy nh v nh gi cht lng ti sn c v tun th t l an ton vn ti

    thiu;

    Quy nh v qun l thanh khon, trong c cc th tc v cc gii hn qun

    l thanh khon;

    Quy nh v h thng kim sot ni b v c ch kim ton ni b ph hp vi

    tnh cht v quy m hot ng ca t chc tn dng;

    Quy nh v h thng xp hng tn dng ni b;

    Quy nh v qun tr ri ro trong hot ng ca t chc tn dng;

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    Quy nh v quy trnh, th tc, bao gm c nguyn tc nhn bit khch hng

    bo m ngn nga vic t chc tn dng b lm dng cho cc mc ch ra

    tin, ti tr khng b v ti phm khc;

    Quy nh v phng n x l cc trng hp khn cp.

    Theo iu 40, Lut cc tchc tn dng quy nh vHthng kim sot ni b:

    H thng kim sot ni b l tp hp cc c ch, chnh sch, quy trnh, quy

    nh ni b, c cu t chc ca t chc tn dng, chi nhnh ngn hng nc

    ngoi c xy dng ph hp vi hng dn ca Ngn hng Nh nc v

    c t chc thc hin nhm bo m phng nga, pht hin, x l kp thi r i

    ro v t c yu cu ra.

    T chc tn dng, chi nhnh ngn hng nc ngoi phi xy dng h thng

    kim sot ni b bo m cc yu cu sau y:

    Hiu qu v an ton trong hot ng; bov, qun l, s dng an ton, hiu

    qu ti sn v cc ngun lc;

    H thng thng tin ti chnh v thng tin qun l trung thc, hp l, y

    v kp thi;

    Tun th php lut v cc quy ch, quy trnh, quy nh ni b.

    b) B m km r, km b km, k

    r 4 m r r m r b

    - V c cu t chc, b my kim ton ni b khng trc thuc v chu s ch

    o trc tip ca Ban kim sot v v ch lng, thng v ph cp trch

    nhim ca b phn kim ton ni b c quyt nh bi Ban iu hnh

    (Tng gim c, Ph Tng gim c ca ngn hng thng mi c phn);

    Theo khon 1 iu 41 Lut cc t chc tn dng th T chc tn dng phi thnh

    lp kim ton ni b chuyn trch thuc Ban kim sot thc hin kim ton ni

    b t chc tn dng.

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    - Ngi ph trch b phn kim ton ni b khng c trnh chuyn mn (t

    i hc tr ln) chuyn ngnh Ti chnh-Ngn hng hoc K ton-Kim

    ton; khng c 03 nm lm vic trong lnh vc ti chnh ngn hng;

    -

    Ngn hng thng mi c phn khng ban hnh quy nh chnh thc v quy

    trnh kim ton ni b p dng thng nht trong ton h thng hoc quy

    trnh kim ton ni b c ban hnh nhng khng hiu qu (nhng pht

    hin ca kim ton ni b cn thiu, chnh lch so vi Bo co kim ton

    c lp v Kt lun ca Thanh tra Ngn hng Nh nc dn n vic lm

    nh hng ti tnh trung thc hp l xt trn phng din trng yu ca Bo

    co ti chnh v tnh tun th cc quy nh php lut ca ngn hng).

    c)

    Khng m b k r 6 m

    - Ni b mt on kt: tr 3 im;

    - C thnh vin Hi ng qun tr, Ban kim sot v Ban iu hnh vi phm

    cc quy nh ca php lut v ca Ngn hng Nh nc, khng thc hin

    ng nhim v, quyn hn trong vic qun tr, kim sot, iu hnh ngn

    hng thng mi c phn, c bit trong vic ch o thc hin cc quy nhv an ton hot ng ngn hng v quy nh v ch bo co thng k p

    dng i vi cc t chc tn dng ca Ngn hng Nh nc: tr 3 im.

    d) V m , , r m, k

    m m r r

    - Khng s lng c ng theo quy nh hin hnh v c ng, c phn, c

    phiu v vn iu l ca ngn hng thng mi c phn do Thng c Ngnhng nh nc ban hnh;

    Theo Khon 6 iu 52 Lut cc t chc tn dng th T chc tn dng c phn

    phi c ti thiu 100 c ng v khng hn ch s lng ti a.

    Theo iu 55 Lut cc t chc tn dng v t l s hu c phn, Mt c ng l

    c nhn khng c s hu vt qu 5 vn iu l ca mt t chc tn

    dng.Mt c ng l t chc khng c s hu vt qu 15 vn iu l ca

    mt t chc tn dng, tr mt s trng hp lut nh.

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    Theo Ngh nh sa i, b sung mt s iu ca Ngh nh s 141/2006/N-CP

    ngy 22 thng 11 nm 2006, ngn hng thng mi c phn phi c s vn thc

    gp t mc 3000 t ng.

    -

    Vi phm mt trong cc ni dung di y H s c ng theo di khng y

    , ngi i din khng m bo t cch, vi phm quy nh v ngun vn

    gp v gii hn s hu c phn c quy nh ti quy nh hin hnh v c

    ng, c phn, c phiu v vn iu l ca ngn hng thng mi c phn

    do Thng c Ngn hng Nh nc ban hnh.

    Theo iu 12 Lut cc t chc tn dng,

    Ngi i din theo php lut ca t chc tn dng c quy nh ti iu l ca

    t chc tn dng v phi l mt trong nhng ngi sau y:

    a) Ch tch Hi ng qun tr hoc Ch tch Hi ng thnh vin ca t chc tn

    dng;

    b) Tng gim c (Gim c) ca t chc tn dng.

    Ngi i din theo php lut ca t chc tn dng phi c tr ti Vit Nam,

    trng hp vng mt Vit Nam phi y quyn bng vn bn cho ngi khc l

    ngi qun l, ngi iu hnh ca t chc tn dng ang c tr ti Vit Nam

    thc hin quyn, ngha v ca mnh.

    Theo iu 55 Lut cc t chc tn dng v t l s hu c phn, Mt c ng

    l c nhn khng c s hu vt qu 5 vn iu l ca mt t chc tn

    dng.Mt c ng l t chc khng c s hu vt qu 15 vn iu l ca

    mt t chc tn dng, tr mt s trng hp lut nh.

    - Vi phm mt trong cc ni dung di y Vic pht hnh c phiu, qun l

    theo di c ng khng thc hin ng quy nh ti quy nh hin hnh v c

    ng, c phn, c phiu v vn iu l ca ngn hng thng mi c phn

    do Thng c Ngn hng Nh nc ban hnh.

    Trng hp ngn hng thng mi c phn ang b t trong tnh trng kim

    sot c bit cho im 0 i vi ch tiu qun tr, kim sot, iu hnh.

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    Theo khon 1 iu 146, Kim sot c bit l vic mt t chc tn dng b t di

    s kim sot trc tip ca Ngn hng Nh nc do c nguy c mt kh nng chi

    tr, mt kh nng thanh ton.

    1.2.4 Yu t4: Earnings (Li nhun)

    1.2.4.1 Li nhun:

    L chsquan trng nht nh gi cng tc qun l v cc hot ng chin

    lc ca nh qun l thnh cng hay tht bi. Li nhun sdn n hnh thnh

    thm vn, y l iu ht sc cn thit thu ht thm vn v sh tr pht

    trin trong tng lai tpha cc nh u t. Li nhun cn cn thit b pcc khon cho vay btn tht v trch dphng y .

    1.2.4.2

    Cc chtiu n gi:

    Theo m hnh CAMELS ca Vit Nam, kt qukinh doanh ca ngn hng c nh

    gi da trn

    Li nhun trc thuso vi vn chshu

    Tlthu dch vtrong tng thu nhp

    Tlthu nhp rng thot ng dch vtrong li nhun trc thu

    1.2.4.2.1 Li nhun trc thuso vi vn chshu ( ROE)

    ROE = 100% x

    Chsny l thc o chnh xc nh gi mt ng vn bra v tch ly to ra

    bao nhiu ng li.TlROE cng cao cng chng tngn hng sdng hiu qu

    ng vn ca cng. y cng l chsng tin cy vkhnng sinh li ca ngn

    hng trong tng lai. Theo iu 8 Quy nh xp loi ngn hng thng mi cphn,

    kt qukinh doanh ca cc ngn hng c tnh ti a 15 im:

    Nu ngn hng c li th:

    ROE 17 : 15 im

    14 ROE < 17 : 13 im

    10 ROE < 14 : 10 im

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    5 ROE < 10 : 8 im

    ROE < 5 : 5 im

    Nu ngn hng khngc li: 0 im

    Bng 3: kt qukinh doanh ca cc ngn ng trong nm 20114

    Chtiu Vietinbank Vietcombank Bidv Sacombank

    Tng ti sn (tng) 460.421 369.200 428.000 144.000

    Vn iu l( tng) 20.229 23.174 14.970 10.740

    Li nhun trc thu 8.105 5.700 4.926 2.728

    Huy ng vn 422.955 242.300 285.000 126.000

    Tng trng huy ng

    vn

    24.4% 17% 7% 22%

    D ntn dng 430.360 210.000 279.000 78.500

    Tng trng d n tn

    dng

    24,8% 18,5% 17% -3,4%

    ROA 1,96% 1,3% - -

    ROE 25.4% 17,5% - -

    Nxu 0,74% 2.1% 2.8% 0,6%

    1.2.4.2.2 Hot ng dch vca ngn hng:

    Theo WTO, dch vngn hng l mt bphn cu thnh trong dch vti chnh

    ni chung.

    4Ngun: bo co ti chnh ca cc NHTM

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    Dch vngn hng c hai c im ni bt:

    Thnht: l cc dch vm chc cc ngn hng vi nhng u thca n mi c

    ththc hin mt cch trn vn v y .

    Thhai: l cc dch vgn lin vi hot ng ngn hng.

    Nh vy, c th cho rng ton b hot ng tin t, tn dng, thanh ton, ngoi

    hi,ca h thng ngn hng u l hot ng cung cp dch v ti chnh cho nn

    kinh t. C thphn loi dch vngn hng nh sau:

    Cc dch vtruyn thng:

    Thc hin trao i ngoi t

    Chit khu thng phiu v cho vay thng mi

    Nhn tin gi

    Cung cp cc ti khon giao dch

    Cung cp dch vy thc ...

    Cc dch vhin i:

    Cho vay tiu dng

    T vn ti chnh

    Qun l tin mt

    Cung cp cc dch vmi gii u t chng khon

    Cung cp dch vngn hng u t v ngn hng bn bun ...

    Tuy nhin, nhn vo bo co ti chnh ca cc ngn hng hin nay, ta c th

    thy li nhun ca nhiu ngn hng vn ph thuc phn ln vo ngun thu t hot

    ng tn dng. Nguyn nhn l do u t vo hot ng dch v c xem l mt

    gnh nng v tsut li nhun so vi hot ng tn dng l rt thp, chnh lch "mt

    tri, mt vc" trong khi chi ph li cao. Tuy vy, bi cnh hin ti, tn dng ca

    cc ngn hng nh ang b bp nght bi trn li sut cng vi vic hn ch tng

    trng tn dng, y sl thi im thch hp y mnh u t vo hot ng dch

    vnhm cn i ngun thu.

    Trong m hnh CAMELS VN cng c nh gi hot ng dch vca ngn hng:

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    Nu tlthu dch vtrong tng thu nhp:

    T8% trln: thng 3 im

    T2 n di 8: thng 1 im

    Di 2: khng c im thng Tlthu nhp rng thot ng dch vtrong li nhun trc thu:

    t 30% trln: thng 2 im

    t 14 n di 30: 1 im

    t di 14: 0 im

    1.2.5

    Yu t5: Liquidity (tnh thanh khon)1.2.5.1 Khi nim:

    Tnh thanh khon ca ngn hng thng mi c xem nh khnng tc

    thi (the short-run ability) p ng nhu cu rt tin gi v gii ngn cc

    khon tn dng cam kt.

    Ngn hng cn dtrthanh khon chi trnhng chi ph thng xuyn

    nh li tin gi, v nhng c sc thanh khon khng nh mong i nh mt

    cuc rt tin hng lot hay yu cu vay vn ln. Mc d khnng dtrthanh

    khon km cha hn sdn n ssp ca mt ngn hng, nhng chn chc

    ngn hng phi b ra mt khon chi ph ln ng ph vi nhng c sc v

    thanh khon. iu lm cho li nhun ca ngn hng gim ng kv co th

    dn n khnng sp hon ton.

    Cung vthanh khon: Cung thanh khon l cc khon vn lm tng khnng

    chi tr ca ngn hng, l ngun cung cp thanh khon cho ngn hng, bao

    gm:

    - Cc khon tin gi ang n.

    - Doanh thu tvic bn cc dch vphi tin gi.

    - Thu hi cc khon tn dng cp.

    - Bn cc ti sn ang kinh doanh v sdng.

    - Vay mn trn thtrng tin t.

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    Cu vthanh khon: Cu vthanh khon l nhu cu vn cho cc mc ch hot

    ng ca ngn hng, cc khon lm gim qu ca ngn hng. Thng thng,

    trong lnh vc kinh doanh ca ngn hng, nhng hot ng to ra cu vthanh

    khon bao gm:

    - Khch hng rt tin tti khon.

    - Yu cu vay vn tnhng khch hng c cht lng tn dng cao.

    - Thanh ton cc khon vay phi tin gi

    - Chi ph pht sinh khi kinh doanh cc sn phm, dch v.

    - Thanh ton ctc bng tin.

    C ba khnng c thxy ra sau y:

    Thng d thanh khon: Khi cung thanh khon vt qu cu thanh khon (NPL>0),

    ngn hng ang trng thi thng d thanh khon. Nh qun trngn hng phi

    cn nhc u t s vn thng d ny vo u mang li hiu qu cho ti khi

    chng cn c sdng p ng nhu cu thanh khon trong tng lai.

    Thm ht thanh khon: Khi cu thanh khon ln hn cung thanh khon (NPL

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    - Sbin ng trong gi ccphiu: Gi cphiu ca ngn hnhang gim st c

    phi do nh u t lo ngi vmt cuc khng hong thanh khon c thxy ra i

    vi ngn hng

    - Phn b ri ro trn chng chtin gi v cc khon cho vay khc

    - Tn tht trong vic bn ti sn: Ngn hng c thng xuyn bn ti sn vi

    nhng tn -tht ng knhm p ng nhu cu thanh khon

    - Khnng p ng yu cu tn dng ca ngn hng

    - Vay vn tngn hng trung ng: Ngn hng c nm trong tnh hnh bt buc

    phi vay nhng khon ln tngn hng trung ng m bo khnng thanh

    ton

    1.2.5.2.1 Cc tiu c n gi k nng tan kon ca ngn hng

    tng mi cphn ti Vit Nam

    1.2.5.2.2 Khnng tan ton nga

    Khnng thanh ton ngay = Ti sn c c ththanh ton ngay/ Ti sn nphi

    thanh ton ngay

    Theo quy nh ca Ngn hng nh nc (Thng t s 13/2010/TT) th cc t

    chc tn dng cn phi m bo 2 tlkhnng chi trsau:

    Tlgia tng ti sn c thanh ton ngay/ Tng nphi tr: phi t ti thiu

    15%

    Tlgia tng ti sn c n hn thanh ton trong 7 ngy tip theo ktngy

    hm sau/ tng ti sn N n hn thanh ton trong 7 ngy tip theo ktngy

    hm sau i vi ng Vit Nam, ng Euro, ng Bng Anh v ng la M:

    phi t ti thiu bng 1

    Cch thc co im khnng tan ton nga:

    a- Ngn hng thng mi cphn m bo t lkhnng chi tr theo quy nh

    ca Ngn hng nh nc c im ti a 12im.

    b- Ngn hng thng mi cphn m bo t lkhnng chi tr theo quy nhca Ngn hng nh nc btrim nh sau:

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    + Vi phm 1 ln khng m bo tlkhnng chi tr: tr5 im;

    + Vi phm nhiu ln dn n vic Ngn hng Nh nc c vn bn nhc nh

    hoc x pht vi phm hnh chnh i vi ngn hng thng mi c phn v

    vic vi phm quy nh bo m tlkhnng chi tr: tr12 im.

    1.2.5.2.3 T l ti a ca ngun vn ngn hn c s dng cho vay

    trung v di hn

    Ngun vn ngn hn ca t chc tn dng c s dng cho vay

    trung hn v di hn bao gm:

    a. Tin gi khng khn, c khn di 12 thng ca tchc (kctchc tn

    dng khc), c nhn.

    b. Tin gi tit kim khng khn, c khn di 12 thng ca c nhn.

    c. Ngun vn huy ng di hnh thc pht hnh giy tc gi ngn hn.

    d. Phn chnh lch ln hn gia stin vay ca tchc tn dng khc v tin cho

    tchc tn dng vay c khn di 12 thng.

    Theo quy nh ca Ngn hng Nh nc (Quyt nh s 457/2005/Q-NHNN

    ngy 19 thng 4 nm 2005 ca Thng c Ngn hng Nh nc) th t l ti a

    ca ngun vn ngn hn ngn hng thng mi c sdng cho vay trung

    hn v di hn l 40%.

    Cch thc co im Tlti a ca ngun vn ngn hn c sdng

    cho vay trung v di hn:

    a- Khng vi phm vic m bo t l ti a ca ngun vn ngn hn c s

    dng cho vay trung v di hn: 3 im

    b- Vi phm 1 ln khng m bo t l ti a ca ngun vn ngn hn c s

    dng cho vay trung v di hn: tr2 im;

    c- Vi phm nhiu ln khng m bo tlti a ca ngun vn ngn hn c s

    dng cho vay trung v di hn: tr2 im.

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    1.3 Cc tn im v xp loi ca m hnh CAMELS

    1.3.1 C cu tn im ca tng c tiu n gi p ng:

    -Vn t c (C): -3 n 15 im

    -Cht lng ti sn (A): 0 n 35 im

    -Nng lcqun tr (M): 0 n 15 im

    - Li nhun (E): 0 n 20 im

    -Kh nng thanh khon (L): 0 n 15 im

    - nhy (S): 0 im

    1.3.2 Tang im c t co tng c tiu:

    1.3.2.1Vn t c: -3 n 15 im

    - t c 15 im trong phn ny cc NHTMCP phi hi

    + Vn iu l trong nm xp loi khng thp hn vn php nh

    +m bo an ton vn: CAR 9, s dng vn iu l ng quy nh ca NHNN

    + m bo nh hng khuyn khch tng vn hiu qu ca NHNN

    -Nu khng t c nhng ch tiu trn c th b tr 18 im (theo th t trn n 5,

    8, 5 im)

    1.3.2.2 Ct lng ti sn: 0 n 35 im

    -Cht lng cc khon cho vay v ng trc cho khch hng v cc khon cho vay

    cc TCTD khc: ti a 20 im i vi NHTMCP c s d cc khon cho vay v ngtrc khch hng v cc khon cho vay cc TCTD khc nh hn 50 tng ti sn; ti

    a 25 im i vi NHTMCP c s d cc khon cho vay v ng trc khch hng v

    cc khon cho vay cc TCTD khc chim t 50 tng ti sn tr ln.

    -Cht lng ca cc khon u t: 0 n 5 im

    -C cu ti sn c ni bng: 0 n 5 im

    + Ti sn c sinh li t 75 so vi tng ti sn c ni bng: 5 im

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    + Ti sn c sinh li di 75 so vi ti sn c ni bng, tr ti a 5 im, c th:

    T 65 -di 75: tr 2 im

    T 50 -di 65: tr 3 im

    Di 50: tr 5 im

    -Cht lng cc khon cam kt ngoi bng: 0 n 5 im khi t c

    + T l phn nh cht lng cc khon cam kt ngoi bng nh hn hoc bng 3

    Lu : nu t 3 -5 b tr 3 im.

    + Tun th quy nh ca NHNN v phn loi n, trch lp v s dng d phng

    x l ri ro tn dng i vi cc khon cam kt ngoi bng.

    Lu : nu khng tun th hay t l phn nh cht lng cc khon cam kt

    ngoi bng ln hn 5, b tr 5 im.

    1.3.2.3 Nng lc qun tr:0 n 15 im

    -Thnh vin HQT, thnh vin Ban kim sot s lng theo quy nh

    -Ban hnh y , chun ho v thc hin ng cc quy ch ni b

    Nu khng m bo mt trong hai yu t trn: tr 3 im

    -H thng kim tra, kim ton ni b tng xng vi quy m ngn hng v hot nghiu qu

    Nu b my kim tra, kim ton ni b yu km, hot ng khng hiu qu: tr

    4 im

    -Cc thnh vin qun tr, kim sot, iu hnh u phi on kt c nng lc v trch

    nhim, thc hin ng quyn v ngha v ca mnh.

    Nu khng t c tiu chun ny: tr 6 im

    Ngoi ra nu vi phm cc quy nh v c ng, c phn, c phiu: tr 2 im

    * Nu NHTMCP b t di tnh trng kim sot c bit: cho 0 im i vi ch tiu

    qun tr, kim sot, iu hnh.

    1.3.2.4 Li nhun: ti a 20 im,

    -Kt qu hot ng kinh doanh: ti a 15 im

    + Kt qu hot ng kinah doanh li, im ti a 15 im:

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    Li nhun trc thu so vi vn ch s hu bnh qun t t 17 tr

    ln: 15 im;

    Li nhun trc thu so vi vn ch s hu bnh qun t t 14 n

    di 17: 13 im; Li nhun trc thu so vi vn ch s hu bnh qun t t 10 n

    di 14: 10 im;

    Li nhun trc thu so vi vn ch s hu bnh qun t t 5 n

    di 10: 8 im;

    Li nhun trc thu so vi vn ch s hu bnh qun t di 5: 5

    im

    + Kt qu hot ng kinh doanh trong k khng c li: 0 im.

    -im thng t hot ng dch v: ti a 5 im

    + T l thu dch v trong tng thu nhp: 3 im

    t 8 tr ln: 3 im;

    t t 2 tr ln n di 8: 1 im;

    t di 2: 0 im.

    + T l thu nhp rng t hot ng dch v trong li nhun trc thu: 2 im

    t 30 tr ln: 2 im

    t 14 n di 30: 1 im

    t di 14: 0 im

    1.3.2.5

    Tnh thanh khon: ti a 15 im-Kh nng thanh ton ngay = Ti sn c c th thanh ton ngay / Ti sn n phi

    thanh ton ngay

    + NHTMCP m bo t l kh nng chi tr theo quy nh ca NHNN c im ti

    a 12 im

    + NHTMCP khng m bo t l kh nng chi tr theo quy nh ca NHNN b tr

    im nh sau:

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    Vi phm 1 ln khng m bo t l kh nng chi tr: tr 5 im;

    Vi phm nhiu ln dn n vic NHNN c vm bn nhc nh hoc x pht vi

    phm hnh chnh i vi NHTMCP v vic vi phm quy nh bo v kh nng

    chi tr: tr 12 im

    -T l ti a ca cc ngun vn ngn hn c s dng cho vay trung v di hn:

    Thc hin theo quy nh ca nh nc.

    Khng vi phm vic m bo t l ti a ca ngun vn ngn hn c s

    dng cho vay trung v di hn: 3 im

    Vi phm 1 ln khng m bo t l ti a ca ngun vn ngn hn c s

    dng cho vay trung v di hn: tr 2 im Vi phm nhiu ln khng m bo t l ti a ca ngun vn ngn hn c s

    dng cho vay trung v di hn: tr 3 im

    -Vic nh gi, xp loi ch tiu ny c ly s liu bnh qun thng/ngy theo quy

    nh v ch bo co thng k ca NHNN

    1.3.3

    p loi:

    - Tng im c tnh l im bao gm 5 mc trong phn II

    - Xp loi cc NHTMCP

    Loi A:tng im 80 tr ln, im ca tng ch tiu khng thp hn 65 s

    im ti a ca ch tiu

    Loi : tng im t 60 n 79 v im mi phn khng di 50 im ti a

    ca phn hay tng im cao hn 79 im nhng c t nht mt ch tiu c t

    50 -di 65 s im ti a ca ch tiu

    Loi C: tng im t 50 n 59 v khng c ch tiu no di 45 im ti a

    ca tng mc hay tng im im cao hn 95 nhng c t nht mt ch tiu c

    t trn 45 n di 50 s im tia ca ch tiu

    Loi : tng im di 50 hay tng im cao hn 50 nhng c t nht mt ch

    tiu thp hn 45 s im ti a ca ch tiu .

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    1.3.4 Ti gian tc in vic n gi p loi:

    a. S liu nh gi xp loi c cn c vo s liu k ton chnh thc nm nh

    gi xp loi ca NHTMCP c kim toan bi t chc kim ton c lp.

    Ring i vi ch tiu v an ton hot ng ngn hng, s liu nh gi xploi c cn c vo s liu bo co nm nh gi xp loi theo ng ch

    thng tin bo co hin hnh. Ch tiu Nng lc qun tr c nh gi chung

    cho c nm ti chnh.

    b. Thi gian xem xt, xp loi:

    i. Chm nht ngy 10 thng 5 nm sau, tng NHTMCP t nh gi xp loi

    v gi NHNN Chi nhnh tnh, thnh ph trc thuc Trung ng ni t

    tr s chnh.

    ii. Chm nht ngy 31 thng 5 nm sau, NHNN Chi nhnh tnh, thnh ph

    trc thuc Trung ng c kin nh gi kt qu t nh gi xp loi ca

    cc NHTMCP c tr s chnh t ti 9ia5 bn v ti63ng hp bo co kt

    qu nh gi, xp loi gi NHNN (Thanh tra Ngn hng Nh nc)

    iii. Thng 6 hng nm, thng c NHNN ph chun kt qu nh gi xp loi

    cc NHTMCP.

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    CHNG2: SO SNH M HNH CAMELS CA VIT NAM VI M HNHCAMELS CA CC NC KHC

    2.1 So snh m hnh CAMELS ca Mv Vit Nam

    2.1.1 M hnh ca M

    M hnh ny da trn bo co ti chnh, ngha l thng qua thanh tra ti chv

    da trn thang im t1 - 5 cc nh qun l a ra nh gi, xp hng ngn hng.

    C 6 nhn tm m hnh CAMELS a ra l: vn, cht lng ti sn, qun l, li

    nhun, thanh khon v nhy cm ri ro i vi th trng. Da trn m hnh

    CAMELS cc ngn hng ra thnh 5 nhm:

    Nhm 1: lnh mnh vmi mt

    Nhm 2: lnh mnh vc bn

    Nhm 3: c biu hin mt vi yu km cn quan st

    Nhm 4: c biu hin thiu an ton

    Nhm 5: hot ng cc k thiu an ton

    Da trn vic phn loi , Cc Dtrlin bang Mcng cc c quan chnh phs

    tp trung vo nhm ngn hng no "sc khe yu" a ra bin php phng nga

    ph sn.

    Mc ch ca m hnh CAMELS M: dbo khnng gp kh khn ca cc

    ngn hng, t htrtrnh ph sn.

    2.1.1.1Mc an ton vn:

    Cn cnh gi da trn:

    Tnh cht v tlnhng ti sn xu so vi tng ngun vn, dtrca

    ngn hng v c ngi cho vay cui cng c uy tn m bo kh

    nng thanh khon

    Cu trc bng cn i kton, kcnhng khon nv ti sn ngoi

    bng, ri ro thtrng v ri ro tp trung

    Tnh cht cc hot ng kinh doanh v ri ro ca nhng hot ng

    i vi ngn hng

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    Tc tng trng vn, ti sn ca ngn hng trong qu khv trin

    vng tng lai

    Li nhun v sphn chia ctc

    Tlan ton vn theo ng lut nh Khnng tip cn ngun vn thtrng

    Nng lc ca bphn qun l trong vic gii quyt cc vn trn

    nh gi vmc an ton vn

    Cp 1:

    - Tlan ton vn ti thiu phi cao hn yu cu lut nh

    - Li nhun cao

    -

    Kim sot tc tng trng tt

    - La chn mc an ton vn ph hp

    - Mc ctc hp l v c khnng huy ng ngun vn mi

    - Slng ti sn xu t

    Cp 2: gn ging nh cp 1 nhng c mt vn cn vi im yu.

    VD:

    -

    Tlan ton vn ti thiu cao hn quy nh nhng tlti snxu tng i cao

    - Bmy qun l khng c khnng duy tr ngun vn hp l

    i ph vi ri ro

    Cp 3: t c nhng yu cu vmc an ton vn v khnng

    thanh khon nhng c vi yu km nghim trng:

    - Tlti sn xu vt qu 25% tng ngun vn

    -

    Li nhun thp- Khng c khnng huy ng thm ngun vn mi t c

    nhng yu cu mi

    - Phi gim st bmy qun l v cng trong vic gii quyt

    cc vn ca ngn hng

    Cp 4: Ngn hng gp kh khn torng vic bo m mc an ton

    vn

    - Pht sinh thit hi trong tt clnh vc hot ng

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    - Tlnkhng thu hi c vt qu 50% tng ngun vn

    - Sdng vn khng hiu qu

    - Khng tun thlut nh

    -

    B my qun l cn c nhng bin php mnh gii quytnhng vn trn nu khng mun i n ph sn

    Cp 5: Ngn hng mt khnng thanh khon

    - Phi b lut nh gim st cht ch gim nh thit hi cho

    ngi gi tin v chn

    - Khnng bmy qun l c thtngn nga ssp ca ngn

    hng l cc kthp

    -

    Chc cng mi c thngn c tnh trng ph sn

    2.1.1.2 Cht lng ti sn c:

    Cn cnh gi:

    Tlti sn xu trn tng ti sn

    Tlnqu hon v nti cu trc

    Khnng qun l ti sn v thu hi nxu Tlcc khon cho vay v cho vay ni b

    Sa dng ha danh mc u t

    Squn l danh mc cho vay, cc chnh sch v quy trnhring ca ngn

    hng, hthng thng tin qun l

    Tldtrso vi tng d nca ngn hng trn bng cn i kton

    Tc tng trng tn dng so nng lc ca ngn hng

    ng gi vcht lng ti sn c: Cp 1 :

    - Tlti sn xu so vi tng ngun vn t2%-3%

    - Kim sot c nqu hn v ngia hn theo ng lut nh

    - Vic cp tn dng ni bphi m bo ri ro thp nht

    - Danh mc cho vay hiu qu, gim st cht chnhng khon n

    xu

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    - T ldtrso vi tng d nca ngn hng trn bng cn i

    kton phi m bo ng quy nh ca CBI

    - Ti sn phi tn dng khng c du hiu bthit hi

    Cp 2: gn ging cp 1 nhng c mt vi im yu km khngtrng yu v bmy qun l hon ton c th tgii quyt m khng

    cn bgim st

    Ti sn xu khng vt qu 10% vn nhng:

    - Ngn hng gp vn vi tlnqu hn v vi ngi cho vay

    cui cng

    - C mt vi yu km trong vic thm nh tn dng v kim sot

    quy trnh cp tn dngca ngn hng

    - Cc khon tn dng cp cho ni bkhng ng quy nh nhng

    c thddng khc phc

    - Thu hi t cc ti sn phi tn dng thp v ri ro cao hn mc

    bnh thng nhng kho c du hiu bthit hi

    Cp 3: nhiu yu km hn cp 2 v cn c gim st theo lut

    nh m bo rng bmy qun l c thgii quyt cc kh khn cangn hng:

    - Tlnqu hn vnti cu trc cao

    - Ngi cho vay cui cng khng an ton

    - Tiu chun thm nh tn dng khng hiu qu

    - Cc chnh sch, quy trnh khng c thc hin nghim tc

    - Cp cc khon tn dng cho ni bkhng hp l

    -

    Ti sn phi tn dng c ri ro cao hn bnh thng v c du hiubthit hi

    Cp 4: Ngn hng gp vn nghim trng vmc an ton vn

    c thi ph vi ri ro tcc hot ng kinh doanh ca ngn hng:

    - Bthit hi nhiu tcc khon tn dng

    - Cc khon tn dng xu gia tng v c th dn ti mt thanh

    khon

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    - Nghi ng s thit hi t tn dng vt qu khnng ca ngi

    cho vay cui cng v trthnh mi e doti ngun vn

    - Ti sn phi tn dng gy s thit hi nghim trng vvn v c

    thdn n mt thanh khon- Quy trnh v chnh sch khng ng n

    Cp 5: Tlti sn tn dng v ti sn phi tn dng xu cao, gy thit

    hi cho ngun vn:

    - Tlti sn xu so vi ngun vn trn 50%

    - Khnng bmy qun l ci thin c tnh trng ngn hng l

    rt thp

    -

    Cn c gim st nghim ngt hn chsthit hi vn hn

    na v bo vnhng ngi gi tin v chn

    - Lut cho php CBI cngi gim st v htrngn hng

    2.1.1.3

    Nng lc qun tr:

    Cn cnh gi:

    Ban qun trngn hng c khnng qun tr, iu hnh, kim sot cchot ng kinh doanh ; nhn dng, o lng, kim sot ri ro, hoch

    nh cc khoch v c khnng thch nghi, ng ph vi nhng thay

    i.

    Ban hnh y , chun ha v thc hin cc quy chqun l ni b,

    cc quy nh van ton hot ng ngn hng, quy nh vchbo

    co thng k p dng i vi cc tchc tn dng, hthng qun trri

    ro.

    Hthng kim ton ni bhot ng hiu qu.

    Chlng thng, m tcng vic.

    Ri ro ngn hng v hot ng tng th.

    ng gi vnng lc qun tr:

    Cp 1: cho thy khnng qun trvng mnh

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    - Nhn dng c cc ri ro lin quan n hot ng ngn hng

    - Nhn thc c v phn ng vi nn kinh tbin ng

    - Thc hin tt cc chc nng qun trbao gm hoch nh, kim

    sot, gim st- Hthng kim ton ni btng xng vi quy m ngn hng

    - Ban hnh y , chun ha v thc hin cc quy chni b

    - Cc thnh vin Ban qun trc trch nhim v on kt

    - Nhn vin tt cmi vtr c thc trch nhim.

    Cp 2: c trnh qun trtng tmc 1, chkhc bit mt s

    cc yu tkhng quan trng khng cn gim st thng xuyn v c th

    khc phc c. Tnh hnh ti chnh ca ngn hng nn c nhn

    mnh.

    Cp 3: Ngn hng thhin mt vi yu km quan trng. Cn thit

    phi c cc gim st thng xuyn xem xt ban qun trc kp thi

    a ra hnh ng cn thit gii quyt vn ny sinh hay khng

    - Thnh vin ban qun trkhng thc hin ng nhim v, quyn

    hn- Vi phm cc quy nh ca php lut v quy chni b

    - Hthng nh gi, qun trri ro yu km

    - Tnh hnh hot ng ti chnh km hiu qu

    - Khng ban hnh y , chun ha cc quy chni b, quy nh

    vquy trnh kim ton ni b

    Cp 4: ngn hng cn nhiu yu km nhiu mt:

    -

    Quy ch, quy inh, chnh sch bt hp l- Thnh vin ban qun trli dng chc v, quyn hn

    - Vi phm cc quy nh, php lut

    - Bqua cc hot ng kim tra, gim st thng xuyn

    - Hot ng yu km c thdn n ph sn

    - Cc hot ng qun trcn phi c thay thhoc y mnh .

    Cp 5: cn phi c nhng hnh ng ngay lp tc cu vn tnh

    hnh:

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    - Hot ng yu km trong tt ccc lnh vc

    - Hot ng ti chnh yu km

    - Tn ti nguy c ph sn

    -

    Ban qun trc nguy c cao bthay th.

    2.1.1.4

    Li nhun:

    Cn cnh gi:

    Li nhun b p cc thit hi tim tng, bo m mc an ton

    vn v chi trmc ctc hp l

    Cc ngun thu nhp rng v tnh n nh ca chng

    Chi ph hot ng

    Mc phthuc vo cc ngun thu tgiao dch chng khon v cc

    hot ng ri ro cao

    Sphthuc vo cc ngun thu tcc hot ng khng thng xuyn

    ca ngn hng

    Mc dphng an ton

    Snh hng ca ri ro thtrng ln thu nhp nh gi li nhun:

    Cp 1:

    - Li nhun to ngun dtran ton, tip tc tng trng vn

    v chia mc ctc hp l cho cc cng

    - Ngn sch di do, c khoch kim sot thu nhp v chi ph

    - Thu nhp v chi ph chuyn bin theo hng tch cc

    -

    Sphthuc vo cc ngun thu khng mang tnh tnh thng xuynl rt thp

    Cp 2: vc bn ging cp 1 nhng c mt sim yu km hn:

    - Hi phthuc vo cc ngun thu khng thng xuyn

    - Cn gia tng ngn sch, ln khoch v kim sot qu trnh

    Cp 3: ngn hng c nhiu yu km vcc tiu chun nh gi

    - Sgim st l cn thit m bo bmy qun l thc hin cc

    bin php cn thit ci thin li nhun ngn hng

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    - Li nhun khng to mc vn an ton

    Cp 4:Ngn hng gp nhiu vn nghim trng. D cho c li

    nhun rng th cng khng trch lp dtrv tip tc tng trng

    ngun vn- Cn c gim st cht chtrnh tht thot vn

    - Cn c nhng hnh ng ngay lp tc ci thin li nhun v gim

    chi ph, trnh dn n mt thanh khon

    - Mt vi hot ng ca ngn hng c thbnh ch

    Cp 5: Ngn hng ang b thit hi rt nng v c thdn n mt

    thanh khon. Cn c nhng hnh ng ngay lp tc v phi c sgim

    st tCBI

    2.1.1.5 Tnh thanh khon

    Cn cnh gi:

    Qutin mt v cc ti sn c tnh lng cao thc hin cc ngha

    vngn hn

    Sbin ng tin gi v nhu cu vay Li sut, cc ti sn v ngha vti hn

    Khnng tip cn thtrng tin tv cc qukhc

    a dng ha cc ngun lp qu

    Sphthuc vo thtrng lin ngn hng

    Khoch dphng

    ng gi tnh thanh khon:

    Cp 1:- Ti sn c tnh lng cao p ng nhu cu vay trong trng

    hp tin gi gim st

    - Phthuc t vo thtrng lin ngn hng

    - C khoch dphng

    Cp 2: c mt vi im yu hn cp 1 nhng c thkhc phc

    c

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    - Ngn hng p ng yu cu vthanh khon nhng khng c k

    hoch cng nh skim sot hiu qu

    - Khi gp vn v thanh khon, ngn hng c th t khc phc

    nhng vn cha thphng nga nhng ri ro nh k- Bmy qun l khng nhn thc c nhng vn lin quan n

    thanh khon

    Cp 3: Ngn hng c yu km vnhiu mt

    - Cn sgim st cht ch

    - Vic qun l tnh thanh khon yu km dn n nhiu trng hp

    gp ri ro vthanh khon

    Cp 4: Ngn hng gp vn trm trng vthanh khon

    - Cn tng cng khnng hn na p ng cho cc ngha v

    sp ti

    - Cn c cc khoch dphng iph vi cc tnh hung bt

    ng

    Cp 5: Ngn hng cn sgip tbn ngoi p ng nhu cu

    thanh khon nu khng mun i n ph snf/ Mc nhy cm vi ri ro th trng: Mc d CBI khng c thang im c th

    cho yu tny nhng n vn c nh gi da trn cc cn csau:

    nhy cm ca ngn hng i vi nhng thay i bt li trong li

    sut, tgi hi oi, gi chng ha v gi trti sn cnh

    Khnng bmy qun l nhn din, dbo v kim sot c ri ro th

    trng

    g/ Chstng hp

    Nh trnh by trn,mi yu tc nh gi tcp 1 ti 5. Sau , da vo

    nhng nh gi trn, chstng hp c tnh ton v cc ngn hng c xp hng

    t1 n 5. Chstng hp khng phi c tnh bng trung bnh cng shng ca

    cc yu ttrn m phi c tnh ton da trn mi lin kt gia cc yu tv tng

    thri ro ca ngn hng

    nh gi tng th

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    Cp 1: Ngn hng an ton vmi mt, n nh, qun trtt, tun th

    ng lut nh v hon ton c khnng chu ng c suy thoi kinh

    t

    Cp 2: Ngn hng vc bn l an ton, khng c bt kyu tnoc xp hng thp hn 3 v tun thng lut nh, chc mt vi yu

    km tn ti nhng ban qun tr sn lng cng nh c kh nng khc

    phc. Nhng ngn hng loi 2 cng kh n nh v c th chu ng

    c hu ht cc t suy thoi kinh t

    Cp 3: ngn hng c yu km mt vi lnh vc v nu khng c

    khc phc kp thi c nh hng nghim trng n kh nng thanh

    khon. Nhng ngn hng ny d btn thng khi gp phi nhng bin

    i bt li

    Cp 4: nhng ngn hng ny c bit khng an ton, c nhng vn

    ti chnh nghim trng v bmy qun l yu km. Tnh thanh khon

    cu ngn hng b e da nu ko c nhng hnh ng tc thi hay b

    gim st

    Cp 5: khnng ngn hng ph sn l rt cao. Bmy qun l honton khng c khnng ci thin tnh hnh. Scu tr tbn ngoi l

    cn thit nu ngn hng khng mun i n ph sn

    2.1.2 So snh vi m hnh CAMELS ca Vit Nam

    M hnh M:

    Xp hng cc tchc tn dng t1-5

    Khng tnh im chi tit cho tng yu tm chnh gi theo 5 cp Phthuc nhiu vo ngi nh gi

    M hnh Vit Nam

    Xp hng cc tchc thnh loi A, B,C, D

    Tnh im cng v trcho tng khon mc chi tit

    Khch quan hn nhng rc ri hn

    2.2 So snh m hnh CAMELS ca Trung Quc v Vit Nam

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    M hnh Camels c p dng xp loi cc ngn hng thng mi cphn ti Vit

    Nam t nm 2008. Trong khi Trung Quc hon thnh vic trin khai p dng

    phng php qun tr ri ro da trn h thng xp hng ni b theo nguyn tc

    CAMELS trong ton hthng ngn hng tcui nm 2010.

    2.2.1 M hnh CAMEL Trung Quc:

    Chtiu C (vn): l nhn t nh gi nng lc ca ngn hng v vn cn thit

    chng trc cc ri ro v nng lc qun trnhm xc nh, o lng, theo di, v

    kim sot cc ri ro .

    Cc chsnh lng nh gi vn (ti a 60 im):

    ChsMc im ti

    a

    Tlquy

    nh

    Tlan ton vn chung (CAR) 30 im 8%

    T l an ton vn i vi vn ch s hu (Core

    CAR) 30 im 6%

    Cc chsnh tnh nh gi vn(ti a 40 im):

    C cu v cht lng ngun vn: 6 im

    Trng thi ti chnh ca ton bngn hng v nh hng ca n ti ngun vn:

    8 im

    Cht lng ti sn v tc ng ca n ti ngun vn: 8 im Khnng tng vn ca ngn hng: 8 im

    Qun l ngun vn ca ngn hng: 10 im

    Chtiu A (ch ng ti sn):l nhn tphn nh mc ri ro tn dng i km

    vi hot ng cho vay, danh mc u t v cc khon mc ngoi bng ca ngn

    hng.

    Cc chsnh lng (ti a 60 im):

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    ChsMc im

    ti aTlqu nh

    Tlnc vn 15 im Di 5%

    Tlltrn khon vay 10 im Di 2%

    T lcp tn dng ti a i vi 01 khch hng

    hoc 01 nhm khch hng

    10 im

    01 khch hng

    10%

    01 nhm khchhng15%

    Tltrch lp dphng chung 20 im 100%

    Tlltrn ti sn phi tn dng 5 im Di 1%

    Cc chsnh tnh (ti a 40 im):

    Chiu hng thay i i vi ti sn c vn v nhng tc ng: 5 im

    Tltp trung tn dng vo mt lnh vc v tc ng ca n: 5 im

    Quy trnh, hthng v hiu quca cng tc qun trri ro tn dng: 10 im

    Mc hon thin v hiu quca hthng phn loi ri ro tn dng: 10 im

    Hin trng cho vay c bo lnh, cho vay thchp v cng tc qun l chng: 5

    im

    Thc tcng tc qun l ri ro i vi ti sn phi tn dng: 5 imChtiu M (qun tr):phn nh nng lc ca hi ng qun tr, lnh o cp cao v

    quy trnh xc nh, o lng, gim st v kim sot ri ro. Chtiu ny gm 2 bch

    snh gi tnh hp l v hiu quca cng tc qun trtrong ngn hng v hthng

    kim sot ni b.

    Cc chtiu nh gi cng tc qun tr(50 im):

    C cu tchc: 10 im.

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    C chra quyt nh: 10 im.

    C chchp hnh: 10 im.

    C chgim st: 10 im.

    C chthc y ng lc lm vic v trch nhim gii trnh: 10 im.

    Cc chtiu nh gi hthng kim sot ni b(50 im):

    Vn ha v mi trng kim sot ni b: 10 im.

    Xc nh v nh gi ri ro: 10 im.

    Hnh vi kim sot v phn chia nhim v: 10 im.

    Cng b, cung cp v chia sthng tin: 10 im.

    Gim st v khc phc sai st: 10 im.

    Chtiu E (kt qukinh doanh):Phn nh gi tr, chiu hng v cc nhn tc th

    nh hng ti tnh bn vng v cht lng ca kt qu hot ng ca t chc tn

    dng.

    Cc chsnh lng (60 im):

    Chs Mc im tia

    Tlqu nh

    Khnng sinh li ca ti sn 15 im 1%

    Kh nng sinh li ca ngun

    vn15 im 20%

    Tlthu tli sut 15 im 95%

    Tlph tn tti sn 15 im0,75%. T2% trln sb0

    im

    Cc chsnh tnh (40 im):

    Hin trng v chiu hng ca ph tn, thu nhp v khnng sinh li: 15 im.

    Cht lng li nhun v tc ng ca n ti spht trin ca ngn hng v d

    trdn tch i vi khon ltrn ti sn: 15 im.

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    Ngn qucui cng v hthng thanh ton cui cng, tnh hon thin v hiu

    quca cng tc qun l ti chnh: 10 im.

    Chtiu L (thanh khon):Phn nh stng xng gia ngun thanh khon hin ti

    v trong tng lai ca ngn hng vi cc thng lqun l ngun vn.

    Cc chsnh lng (60 im):

    Chs Mc im ti a Tlqu nh

    T l thanh khon (Liquidity ratio t l o

    lng khnng thc hin ngha vnngn hn)20 im 35%

    Tlthm dng dtri vi ng ni t (RMB

    excess reserve ratio)10 im 5%

    T lcp tn dng so vi tin gi bng ni tv

    ngoi t10 im Di 65%

    Tlcp tn dng so vi tin gi bng ngoi t 5 im Di 70%

    Tlcho vay rng trn thtrng lin ngn hng 10 im Di -4%

    Cc chsnh tnh (40 im):

    Cu trc, xu hng thay i v tnh bn vng ca ngun vn: 5 im.

    Chnh sch qun l ti sn c v ti sn nv thc trng phn bvn: 5 im.

    Qun l thanh khon ca ngn hng (trong gm cc yu tsau: c bphn

    phtrch qun l thanh khon, dbo nhu cu, chnh sch qun l, v cng tcqun l thanh khon hng ngy): 20 im.

    Nng lc ca ngn hng trong vic p ng nhu cu thanh khon di dng ti

    sn nc sdng trong giao dch (active liabilities): 5 im.

    Nng lc ca ngn hng trong vic xc nh, gim st v kim sot trng thi

    thanh khon mt cch hiu qu: 5 im.

    2.2.2

    So sn cc tn im:

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    im ging nhau:

    M hnh xp hng CAMEL c ci tin tHthng xp hng tchc tn dng thng

    nht (the Uniform Financial Institution Rating SystemUFIRS), c p dng ti M

    ktngy 13/11/1979. Mc tiu ban u ca vic p dng m hnh l nh gi 5

    ch tiu cho bit tnh trng hot ng ca ngn hng bao gm: vn t c (C), cht

    lng ti sn (A), nng lc qun tr (M), kt qu kinh doanh (E), kh nng thanh

    khon (L). Chtiu th6 nhy cm vi cc ri ro thtrng (S) - c bsung

    vo nm 1997. Tuy nhin, cho n nay th m hnh CAMELS c p dng ti c

    Vit Nam v Trung Quc chnh gi 5 ch tiu u CAMEL. Trong tng lai nu

    iu kin hot ng ngnh ngn hng ti Vit Nam hay Trung Quc ri ro hn th vic

    cp nht chtiu th6 l c th.

    im khc nhau:

    Mc d u nh gi hot ng ca cc ngn hng da trn 5 chtiu nhng cch tnh

    im ca Vit Nam v Trung Quc khng ging nhau. Tng sim nh gi xp loi

    ti a cho mt ngn hng thng mi cphn ti Vit Nam l 100 im, tng chtiu

    c cc mc im ti a khc nhau. Trong khi , cc ch tiu trong CAMEL ti cc

    ngn hng Trung Quc c tnh theo n vphn trm (),tng im ti a cho h

    thng xp hng ni bl 100%, mc im tuyt i ca tng chtiu l 100 im v

    c ly trng stnh tl tng ng.

    Bng 4: So sn ccu im ca 5 chtiu trong m hnh CAMEL p dng ti

    Vit Nam v Trung Quc

    VIT NAM TRUNG QUC

    Vn tc (C) 15 im 20%

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    Cht lng ti sn (A) 35 im 20%

    Nng lc qun tr(M) 15 im 25%

    Kt qukinh doanh (E) 20 im 20%

    Khnng thanh khon(L) 15 im 15%

    Tng 100 im 100%

    T trng im skhc nhau 3 ch tiu u vn tc (C), cht lng ti sn (A),

    nng lc qun tr (M) 2 quc gia cho thy mi quc gia c nhng nh gi khc

    nhau vmc quan trng ca tng ch tiu. Trong khi Vit Nam nh gi cao ch

    tiu cht lng ti sn (A) v 2 chtiu cn li ngang bng nhau th Trung Quc li

    dnh 25% t trng cho nng lc qun tr(M). Theo nhng nh gi gn y th ch

    tiu nng lc qun trngy cng ng vai tr quan trng trong hiu quhot ng ca

    mt ngn hng.

    Ngoi ra ty theo iu kin v tnh hnh hot ng ring c ca mi quc gia m tiu

    ch nh gi tng chtiu v cch cho im khc nhau.

    2.3 So snh m hnh CAMELS ca Nht v Vit Nam

    M hnh CAMELS ca Nht cngphn loi ngn hng thnh 5 nhm:

    Nhm 1: rt an ton

    Nhm 2 : an tonNhm 3: vn

    Nhm 4: khng an ton

    Nhm 5: khng an ton nghim trng

    M hnh gm cc yu t

    C (capital) - Khnng tcn i vn: y l phn vn chshu ca ngn

    hng v kh nng ca ngn hng p ng cc mn vay ngy cng m rng

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    cng nh cc nh hng pht trin ti sn tim nng m ngn hng cn t

    c. Hthng phn tch CAMEL xem xt khnng ca ngn hng trong vic

    huy ng thm vn chshu trong trng hp thua lv khnng cng nh

    chnh sch thit lp dtrtrong trng hp c ri ro hot ng.

    Cc chtiu sdng phn tch vn

    C cu vn, tp trung vo mc quan trng tng i ca vn cp1, cp 2:

    Vn cp 2 ti a bng 100% vn cp 1

    Cht lng ca cc cng c nh hng ln

    Tun thquy nh vmc vn ti thiu cn thit (CAR)(8%)

    Hsn by ti chnh L = tng nphi tr/Vn chshu (avg 12.5) Hsto vn ni b(internal capital generation) ICG (%) = Li nhun khng

    chia/Vn cp 1 (>12%)

    Cht lng v khnng ti chnh ca cc cng

    Stham gia ca cc cng trong ban gim c v quyn biu quyt

    Nhng thay i nh dkin trong c cu vn gp

    Chsvn dtr= Dtrmt vn thc t/Dphng mt vn iu chnh theo

    CAMEL

    A (assets) - Cht lng ti sn.

    Cht lng ni chung ca cc mn vay v cc ti sn khc, bao gm cc khon cho

    vay c shtng. iu ny i hi vic xem xt phi xem xt sph hp ca h

    thng phn loi cc mn vay, qu trnh thu thp thng tin v cc chnh sch

    xo n.

    Danh mc cho vay/tng TS = D ntn dng/Tng TS c

    Tc tng trng tn dng (credit growth rate) = [D ntn dng cui k- d

    ntn dng u k]/ D ntn dng cui k

    Ttrng d ntheo ngnh = D ntn dng theo ngnh /d ntn dng

    Tlnxu/tng d n

    Tlnqu hn/Tng d n( 5%)

    Ncc nhm/tng d n

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    M (management)Qun l:

    Cc chnh sch vqun l con ngi, cc chnh sch qun l chung ca tchc,

    cc h thng thng tin, cc ch kim sot v kim ton ni b, cc khoch

    chin lc v ngn sch u c xem xt mt cch ring rphn nh ton b

    cht lng ca hot ng qun l

    Phn tch nhn sv phong cch lm vic ca

    Hi ng qun tr

    Ban qun l

    Mi quan hgia hai bn

    E (earnings)Li nhun:

    y l nhn tquan trng ca vic phn tch doanh thu v chi ph, bao gm c

    mc hiu quca hot ng v chnh sch li sut cng nh cc kt quhot

    ng tng qut c o lng bng cc chs.Phn tch khnng to thu nhp

    b p chi ph v tng vn bn vng

    Cc chtiu sdng

    ROA (>1%)

    ROE ( 15-20%)

    Tlthu nhp li cn bin (NIM) = (Thu li cho vay v u t CK Chi trli

    tin gi v nkhc) /Tng ti sn sinh li bnh qun

    Tlthu nhp ngoi li cn bin (NNIM) = (Thu ngoi liChi trngoi li) /

    Tng ti sn sinh li bnh qun

    Chnh lch li sut = Thu tli / TS sinh li bnh qun Chi trli/Nphi trbnh qun

    Tsut chi ph huy ng vn = (li nvay + li tin gi ) / tng TS bnh qun

    Chschi ph hot ng = cc chi ph hot ng / tng TS bnh qun

    Chstlc hot ng OSS= Tng thu nhp ti chnh / Tng chi ph ti chnh

    Chstlc ti chnh FSS = Tng thu nhp ti chnh/(Tng chi ph ti chnh+

    Chi ph vn + chi ph hot ng + dphng ri ro)

    Cc chsvhiu quhot ng

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    Chi ph tnh trn mt n v cho vay = chi ph hot ng/S tin gii ngn

    trong k

    Chi ph trn mt khon cho vay = chi ph hot ng/s khon cho vay mi

    trong k Slng khch hng vay trn mt cn btn dng.

    Cc chsvcht lng danh mc cho vay.

    Hsdphng ri ro tn dng

    Danh mc cho vay gp ri ro

    Tlmt vn.

    Cc du hiu cnh bo

    Li nhun gim, hoc pht sinh l

    Li nhun tng bt thng thng qua cc giao dch nh thanh l ti sn, mua

    bn chng khon, tin t...

    L (liquidity)tnh lng:y l nhn tc sdng khi phn tch khnng

    ca tchc trong vic xc

    \nh nhu cu ti trcho dn ni chung cng nh nhu cu vn cho vay ni ring. Cu

    trc nv vn chshu ca tchc, khnng thanh ton ca cc ti sn ngn hn

    cng l mt nhn t rt quan trng trong vic nh gi tng quan khnng qun l

    tnh lng ca tchc.

    Khnng thanh khon:

    Tlthanh khon ca ti sn = Ti sn thanh khon/tng TS (20- 30%)

    Hsm bo tin gi = Ti sn thanh khon/Tng Tin gi (30- 45%)

    Hsthanh khon ngn hn = ti sn thanh khon/tng nngn hn (30%)

    Tld ncho vay v tin gi = tng d ncho vay/tng tin gi (80-100%)

    Mc cng nv ngha vthanh ton cng n

    Bin ng tin gi v rt vn

    Cc khon phi tr

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    Cc khon trch trc

    Cng ntim tng (ti khon ngoi bng)

    Du hiu cnh bo sm:

    - Mc phthuc ngy cng tng vo nngn hng, c bit vi li sut cao

    hn

    - Khch hng tin gi rt nhiu

    - Tsut thanh khon gim

    - Tng cc khon chm trhoc kh i

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    CHNG 3: U NHC IM CA M HNH CAMELS

    3.1 uim:

    L cng chiu qu nh gi, xp hng ngn hng trong giai on kinh t hinhp hin ti, lm c s nh gi mc cnh tranh cng nh kh nng hot

    ng hiu qu ca cc ngn hng khi gia nhp vo mi trng ton cu. Da vo

    nhng ch tiu ca m hnh, ta c th nhn ra c nhng im yu km trong

    tnh hnh ti chnh ca mi ngn hng t tm cch khc phc, ci thin n

    theo mun ch quan ca ngi u hnh.

    Vic p dng m hnh Camels trong giai on hin ti gp phn trch lc ra c

    nhng ngn hng yu km, t khoanh vng qun l, khng gy tc ng mnh

    n h thng ngn hng, gi cho n c an ton, lnh mnh lm nn tng vng

    chc cho s pht trin ca nn kinh t Vit Nam.

    y l mt m hnh c p dng kh lu i ti nhng quc gia c nn kinh

    t pht trin nn c tnh n nh kh cao v nhng ch tiu c thay i linh

    hot d ph hp qua cc thi k pht trin ca nn kinh t, t c th thy c

    tnh linh hot ho quyn trong tnh n nh, gip m hnh ngy cng hon thinhn.

    3.2 Ncim:

    Vic ch s dng cc ch tiu ti chnh da trn phn tch BCTC ca m hnh

    nh gi tnh hnh ti chnh ca ngn hng c th gp mt s rc ri do s khc

    nhau, th thut trong vic la chon ch k ton, t dn n vic nh gi

    khng chnh xc, khng phn nh ng bn cht thc t, ci m c th ngn hng

    ang c tnh che y.

    Trong m hnh ch tp trung ch yu vo cc ch tiu v ti chnh, nhng thc t

    vn tn ti nhng yu t phi ti chnh nh qun l, mc nhy cm i vi ri

    ro ca th trng nn c th y lm mt trong nhng nhc im kh ln ca m

    hnh CAMELS. Trong giai on hi nhp hin nay, yu t qun l c nh gi

    cao v ngy cng tr nn quan trng. V th, ngy nay, c nhng m hnh ra i

    da trn vic khc phc nhng nhc im ca m hnh Camels, t to nn

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    mt s kt hp hon ho, gip cho vic p dng m hnh nh gi v ngn hng

    ngy cng c chnh xc v hu hiu hn.

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    KT LUN

    Cng vi spht trin kinh tkhng ngng th hthng ngn hng lun gp mt vai tr quan

    trng, v ngn hng l trung gian huy ng v iu phi ngun vn chnh ca cnn kinh t.Stng trng v pht trin n nh ca hthng ny tc ng trc tip v mnh mn s

    tng trng ca cnn kinh t. Chnh v th, hthng ny hot ng hiu qunht, th

    vic qun trhot ng ngn hng l v cng thit yu. M hnh CAMELS l mt m hnh

    nh gi nng lc hot ng ngn hng kh phbin hin nay. M hnh ny da trn cc ch

    svmc an ton vn, cht lng ti sn, nng lc qun tr, kt qukinh doanh, tnh

    thanh khon, mc nhy cm i vi ri ro thtrng. Tuy nhin, mi quc gia sc

    nhng tiu ch nh gi khc nhau nhng vn m bo sph hp ca m hnh. M hnh da

    trn nhng chsti chnh nn phn nh kh chnh xc tnh hnh ngn hng. Nhng bn cnh

    , do khng ch trng n nhng yu tphi ti chnh v sdng nhng phng php k

    ton khc nhau c thdn n nhng sai lch. Do , cn p dng m hnh CAMELS linh

    hot c tht c kt quchnh xc nht, phn nh nng lc ca ngn hng

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    DANH MC TI LIU THAM KHO

    Quyt nh s 457/2005/Q-NHNN ngy 19 thng 4 nm 2005 ca Thng c

    NHNN

    Lut cc tchc tn dng

    Quy nh xp loi ngn hng thng mi cphn

    Patrick Y. Traumant ( 2006) CAMELS rating, USAID- funded economic

    governance II project

    ng Hu Mn Nng cao nng lc cnh tranh ca cc ngn hng thng mi, ihc Nng

    Uyen Dang The Camelrating system in banking supervision , Arcada university of

    applied science

    Cole, Rebel A. and Gunther, Jeffery W. A Camel ratings shelf life, DePaul

    university

    Kawashima, keisuke Camel management system

    Ngn hng Nh nc Vit Nam Qun trri ro theo nguyn tc CAMELS trong h

    thng ngn hng Trung Quc

    Alexis Derviz Predicting bank Camels and S&P rating

    R. Alton Gilbert, Andrew P. Meyer, Mark De Vaughan The role of a Camel

    downgrade model in bank surveillance