Estacin 799Sector Pensilvania - Manzanares1. Serie histrica de trnsitoAo TPDSComposicin Aforo de camiones. % del TPDS. Factor de deterioro vehiclar !FD"#C$P C$% C&C' C( )C( %C$P %C$% %C&C' %C( %)C( C$P C$% C( )C(1989 261 62% 8% 30% 103 456 1 0 0 5.6% 25.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.00 0.10 2.80 6.70 5.30 5.901990 321 66% 7% 27% 124 429 45 0 0 5.5% 19.1% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.00 0.10 2.80 6.70 5.30 5.901991 306 69% 10% 21% 186 225 40 0 0 8.7% 10.5% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 1.00 0.10 2.80 6.70 5.30 5.901992 362 74% 7% 19% 147 299 32 0 0 5.8% 11.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 1.00 2.16 2.16 4.39 4.21 4.421993 318 64% 10% 26% 197 327 60 3 0 8.8% 14.7% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 1.00 2.16 2.16 4.39 4.21 4.421994 269 69% 7% 24% 108 315 30 2 0 5.7% 16.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 1.00 2.16 2.16 4.39 4.21 4.421995 377 71% 7% 22% 168 369 41 1 0 6.4% 14.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 1.00 2.16 2.16 4.39 4.21 4.421996 323 70% 8% 22% 154 313 27 0 0 6.8% 13.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 1.14 3.44 3.76 4.40 4.721997 339 80% 5% 15% 135 199 33 0 0 5.7% 8.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 1.14 3.44 3.76 4.40 4.721998 321 77% 4% 19% 112 280 42 0 0 5.0% 12.5% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 1.14 3.44 3.76 4.40 4.721999 321 73% 3% 24% 105 411 32 0 0 4.7% 18.3% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 1.14 3.44 3.76 4.40 4.722000 256 81% 3% 16% 121 143 23 0 0 6.8% 8.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 1.14 3.44 3.76 4.40 4.722001 253 77% 7% 16% 156 114 15 0 2 8.8% 6.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.90 1.14 3.44 3.76 4.40 4.722002 196 79% 5% 16% 157 52 7 0 0 11.4% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 1.14 3.44 3.76 4.40 4.722003 234 66% 7% 27% 84 315 50 0 0 5.1% 19.2% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 2.15 2.15 3.15 4.21 5.312004 244 69% 12% 19% 91 205 21 0 0 5.3% 12.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 2.15 2.15 3.15 4.21 5.312005 262 63% 10% 27% 113 340 37 0 2 6.2% 18.5% 2.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.90 2.15 2.15 3.15 4.21 5.312006 329 62% 11% 27% 163 445 22 0 0 7.1% 19.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.90 2.15 2.15 3.15 4.21 5.31(1) En ausencia de un !" #ara l$s %uses& '$(e 1.00.(2) )i se dis#$ne de vari$s !" #ara la clase *3*4& e(#lee el (a+$r de '$d$s.(3) ,ec$(endaci-n de la .u/a Me'$d$l-0ica #ara el !ise1$ de 2%ras de ,e3a%ili'aci-n de Pavi(en'$s 4s56l'ic$s en *arre'eras.A*+,-S-S DE .*A SE/-E 0-ST1/-CA DE T/+*S-T2 32PT 4 -*"-AS 5 P/25ECC-1* DE, *63E/2 DE E7ES SE*C-,,2S E8.-"A,E*TES DE 9: ;* DE, EST+*DA/ AAS0T2 PA/A PA"-3E*T2S F,E d?as.% Atos% =ses% Camiones=!1#C&C'!$#0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50010&00020&00030&00040&00050&00060&000)erie 3is'-rica de 7E)E M$del$ ele0id$,a/z cuadrada de 87E)E 5u'ur$. , 9 50% 7E)E 5u'ur$. , 9 70%Ao 4 1@99*ESE1. Serie histrica de trnsito0.55 1.00 '1A$@B0.55 1.00 '>A@B$0.55 1.00 &$A'&:0.55 1.00 &BA>''0.55 1.00 'BA>B:0.55 1.00 &'A::$0.55 1.00 '&A9'(0.55 1.00 '&A'@'0.55 1.00 &:ABB>0.55 1.00 &9A1&'0.55 1.00 '@A1>:0.55 1.00 $1A@&10.55 1.00 $1A'&(0.55 1.00 1$A>990.55 1.00 &$A:>90.55 1.00 $(A'&90.55 1.00 &BA&1$0.55 1.00 'BA:1((1) En ausencia de un !" #ara l$s %uses& '$(e 1.00.(2) )i se dis#$ne de vari$s !" #ara la clase *3*4& e(#lee el (a+$r de '$d$s.(3) ,ec$(endaci-n de la .u/a Me'$d$l-0ica #ara el !ise1$ de 2%ras de ,e3a%ili'aci-n de Pavi(en'$s 4s56l'ic$s en *arre'eras.A*+,-S-S DE .*A SE/-E 0-ST1/-CA DE T/+*S-T2 32PT 4 -*"-AS 5 P/25ECC-1* DE, *63E/2 DE E7ES SE*C-,,2S E8.-"A,E*TES DE 9: ;* DE, EST+*DA/ AAS0T2 PA/A PA"-3E*T2S F,E&9.'# H !Ao# *ESE F '&A1$9 H 1: K L4:.:11 H!Ao# M*ESE realErrorI de *ESEPntos at?picos!4$AG$#loC1:!*ESE real#loC1:!*ESE modelo#O # (KP ^^^^^^^^^^^QR O # (KP^^^^^^^^^^^Anlisis de residales de *ESEM6:i($ residual 20&947M/ni($ residual -19&472,an0$ 40&419;n'erval$s 104nc3$ de in'erval$ 4&042Frecencia aDsolta3enor o iCal Se Frecencia relativa-20&000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 0.000-15&000 1 1 1 1 0 1 0.056 0.056-10&000 2 0 0 0 1 2 0.111 0.000-5&000 3 3 4 3 3 1 0.167 0.1670 3 5 4 5 5 5 0.167 0.2785&000 2 2 1 2 0 2 0.111 0.11110&000 5 5 5 5 4 5 0.278 0.27815&000 1 0 1 0 3 0 0.056 0.00020&000 1 2 2 2 1 2 0.056 0.11125&000 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.000 0.00018 18 18 18 18 183odelo linealE*ESE F A G = H !Ao#3odelo loCar?tmico en 5E loC1:!*ESE# F A G =H!Ao#3odelo potencialE loC1:!*ESE# F A G =HloC1:!Ao#3odelo eTponencialE ,n!*ESE# F A G =H!Ao#3odelo rec?proco en 5E !1 U *ESE# F A G =H!Ao#3odelo ra?V c

adrada de 5E !*ESE#K:.( F A G =H!Ao#$. 3odelos de reCresin3odelo loCar?tmico en 5E loC1:!*ESE# F A G =H!Ao#/esidal0.0001 553&123 -744 -0.0750.0047 48&757&577 6&983 0.7060.0082 56&482&725 -7&515 -0.7590.0006 4&813&135 -2&194 -0.2220.0082 77&518&553 8&804 0.8900.0013 8&975&502 -2&996 -0.3030.0072 60&546&029 7&781 0.7860.0085 69&546&526 8&339 0.8430.0023 12&964&412 -3&601 -0.3640.0033 22&381&177 4&731 0.4780.0320 275&897&843 16&610 1.6780.0258 96&185&413 -9&807 -0.9910.0254 90&309&561 -9&503 -0.9600.1388 301&681&743 -17&369 -1.7550.0014 7&191&784 2&682 0.2710.0027 10&346&209 -3&217 -0.3250.0130 70&229&815 8&380 0.8470.0519 352&968&972 18&787 1.898A 4.635= -0.011/I 15.10%Error de estimacinA loC 1: !SJ# 0.1448Error de estimacin *ESE 9&8973odelo loCar?tmico 1:*ESE F '&A1$9 H 1: K L4:.:11 H!Ao# MErrorI de loC1:!*ESE#ErrorI de *ESEPntos at?picos!4$A G$#Frecencia relativa0.000 0.000 0.000 0.0000.056 0.056 0.000 0.0560.000 0.000 0.056 0.1110.222 0.167 0.167 0.0560.222 0.278 0.278 0.2780.056 0.111 0.000 0.1110.278 0.278 0.222 0.2780.056 0.000 0.167 0.0000.111 0.111 0.056 0.1110.000 0.000 0.056 0.000$. 3odelos de reCresin3odelo potencialE loC1:!*ESE# F A G =HloC1:!Ao# 3odelo eTponencialE ,n!*ESE# F A G =H!Ao#/esidal0.0000 4.616 4.677 0.0037 38&921&953 -6&239 -0.622 10.629 10.646 0.0003 553&1230.3010 4.681 4.626 0.0030 32&005&856 5&657 0.564 10.778 10.621 0.0248 48&757&5770.4771 4.511 4.597 0.0074 50&212&959 -7&086 -0.707 10.387 10.595 0.0434 56&482&7250.6021 4.565 4.576 0.0001 820&792 -906 -0.090 10.512 10.570 0.0034 4&813&1350.6990 4.670 4.559 0.0122 110&181&021 10&497 1.047 10.753 10.544 0.0435 77&518&5530.7782 4.531 4.546 0.0002 1&360&066 -1&166 -0.116 10.434 10.519 0.0071 8&975&5020.8451 4.642 4.535 0.0115 91&726&584 9&577 0.955 10.688 10.493 0.0382 60&546&0290.9031 4.638 4.525 0.0128 99&736&624 9&987 0.996 10.680 10.468 0.0453 69&546&5260.9542 4.487 4.517 0.0009 4&765&386 -2&183 -0.218 10.331 10.442 0.0123 12&964&4121.0000 4.581 4.509 0.0053 34&350&326 5&861 0.585 10.549 10.416 0.0175 22&381&1771.0414 4.692 4.502 0.0360 303&131&094 17&411 1.737 10.803 10.391 0.1699 275&897&8431.0792 4.341 4.496 0.0239 87&741&274 -9&367 -0.934 9.996 10.365 0.1366 96&185&4131.1139 4.331 4.490 0.0251 89&207&979 -9&445 -0.942 9.973 10.340 0.1347 90&309&5611.1461 4.107 4.484 0.1425 313&605&728 -17&709 -1.766 9.456 10.314 0.7360 301&681&7431.1761 4.506 4.479 0.0007 3&735&678 1&933 0.193 10.376 10.289 0.0076 7&191&7841.2041 4.405 4.475 0.0048 19&199&617 -4&382 -0.437 10.144 10.263 0.0142 10&346&2091.2304 4.560 4.470 0.0081 46&167&806 6&795 0.678 10.500 10.238 0.0688 70&229&8151.2553 4.663 4.466 0.0388 281&552&274 16&780 1.674 10.737 10.212 0.2754 352&968&972A 4.677 A= -0.168 =/I 14.75% /IError de estimacinA loC 1: 0.1451 Error de estimacinA ,nError de estimacin *ESE 10&026 Error de estimacin *ESE3odelo potencial 3odelo eTponencial*ESE F '>A(&( H !Ao# K !4:.1B9# *ESE F '&A1$9 H E ? (41$) M$del$ l$0ar/'(ic$ en 8< l$010(7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ #$'encial< l$010(7E)E) 9 4 = >?l$010(41$) M$del$ e:#$nencial< @n(7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ rec/#r$c$ en 8< (1 A 7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$) M$del$ ra/z cuadrada de 8< (7E)E)B0.5 9 4 = >?(41$)Ao 4 1@99/esidal F *ESE real 4 *ESE modelo$. 3odelos de reCresin3odelo ra?V cadrada de 5E !*ESE#K:.( F A G =H!Ao#/esidal368&805 -607 -0.062 41&90348&072&067 6&933 0.707 41&02859&798&068 -7&733 -0.788 40&1636&567&006 -2&563 -0.261 39&30668&900&232 8&301 0.846 38&45913&099&488 -3&619 -0.369 37&62149&746&106 7&053 0.719 36&79256&566&942 7&521 0.767 35&97320&210&060 -4&496 -0.458 35&16214&231&617 3&772 0.384 34&361243&388&516 15&601 1.590 33&569117&842&107 -10&856 -1.106 32&787111&906&141 -10&579 -1.078 32&013340&800&917 -18&461 -1.882 31&2492&509&167 1&584 0.161 30&49418&577&929 -4&310 -0.439 29&74953&292&902 7&300 0.744 29&012314&348&924 17&730 1.807 28&285A 206.9= -2.148/I 15.10%Error de estimacinA !*ESE#K:.( 28.03Error de estimacin *ESE 9&8113odelo ra?V cadrada de 5*ESE F L $:B.@ G !4 $.1'9 # H !Ao#MI3odelo eleCidoErrorI de *ESEPntos at?picos!4$ A G$#/a?V cadrada de 50 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-25&000-20&000-15&000-10&000-5&00005&00010&00015&00020&00025&000M$del$ lineal< 7E)E 9 4 = > ? (41$) M$del$ l$0ar/'(ic$ en 8< l$010(7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ #$'encial< l$010(7E)E) 9 4 = >?l$010(41$) M$del$ e:#$nencial< @n(7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ rec/#r$c$ en 8< (1 A 7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$) M$del$ ra/z cuadrada de 8< (7E)E)B0.5 9 4 = >?(41$)Ao 4 1@99/esidal F *ESE real 4 *ESE modelo&. ProWeccin del trnsito para el diseo estrctral de pavimentos3odelo de proWeccinE ConXaDilidad 70%Ao *ESE ftro. / F (:% Correccin *ESE ftro. / F >:%2015 27 22&172 12&746 6&684 28&8562016 28 21&537 13&024 C74MED C74MED2017 29 20&911 13&310 C74MED C74MED2018 30 20&295 13&606 C74MED C74MED2019 31 19&687 13&909 C74MED C74MED2020 32 19&089 14&220 C74MED C74MED2021 33 18&500 14&537 C74MED C74MED2022 34 17&921 14&862 C74MED C74MED2023 35 17&350 15&192 C74MED C74MED2024 36 16&789 15&529 C74MED C74MED2025 37 16&237 15&870 C74MED C74MED2026 38 15&694 16&217 C74MED C74MED2027 39 15&161 16&569 C74MED C74MED2028 40 14&636 16&925 C74MED C74MED2029 41 14&121 17&285 C74MED C74MED2030 42 13&615 17&649 C74MED C74MED2031 43 13&118 18&016 C74MED C74MED2032 44 12&631 18&388 C74MED C74MED2033 45 12&153 18&762 C74MED C74MED2034 46 11&684 19&139 C74MED C74MEDPeriodo de diseo estrctral !aos#*ESE acmlado/ F (:% / F >:%5 104&604 139&52610 194&253 268&15912 226&184 316&91715 270&102 387&46220 333&303 498&884,a/z cuadrada de 7E)EAo"ariaDle ?l$010(41$)M$del$ e:#$nencial< @n(7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ rec/#r$c$ en 8< (1 A 7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ ra/z cuadrada de 8< (7E)E)B0.5 9 4 = >?(41$)/esidal F *ESE real 4 *ESE modeloProDaDilidad acmlada-30&000 -20&000 -10&000 0 10&000 20&000 30&0000.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91.0M$del$ lineal ? (41$)M$del$ l$0ar/'(ic$ en 8< l$010(7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ #$'encial< l$010(7E)E) 9 4 = >?l$010(41$)M$del$ e:#$nencial< @n(7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ rec/#r$c$ en 8< (1 A 7E)E) 9 4 = >?(41$)M$del$ ra/z cuadrada de 8< (7E)E)B0.5 9 4 = >?(41$)/esidal F *ESE real 4 *ESE modeloProDaDilidad acmlada,esu(enEstadsticas de la regresin*$eEcien'e de c$rrelaci-n (Fl'i#le 0.3829449858*$eEcien'e de de'er(inaci-n ,B2 0.1466468621,B2aGus'ad$ 0.093312291Err$r '/#ic$ 9801.88774473162%servaci$nes 1847H@;);) !E "4,;47I4Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados,e0resi-n 1 264169951.524117,esidu$s 16 1537232053.76512J$'al 17 1801402005.28924Coefcientes Error tpico;n'erce#ci-n 42598.1544974323 4820.197921472641$ -738.4053209494 445.31039570724n6lisis de l$s residualesObservacin Pronstico NESE real Residuos1 41859.7491764829 -563.75346219722 41121.3438555335 6840.41221589513 40382.938534584 -7953.20996315554 39644.5332136346 -2900.97392792035 38906.1278926852 7853.42246445776 38167.7225717357 -4166.12150030717 37429.3172507863 6415.91667778528 36690.9119298369 6802.78007016319 35952.5066088874 -5285.793216030310 35214.101287938 2919.56571206211 34475.6959669886 14694.546425868612 33737.2906460391 -11806.098788896313 32998.8853250897 -11564.148217946814 32260.4800041403 -19472.131432711715 31522.0746831908 556.169316809216 30783.6693622414 -5345.375005098617 30045.264041292 6266.969530136618 29306.8587203425 16707.823101086Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crtico de F264169951.524117 2.749564852 0.116753561296077003.36032Estadstico t Probabilidad n!erior "#$8.8374285022 1.489296E-007 32379.7913804073-1.6581811879 0.1167535612 -1682.4211886075,esul'ad$s de da'$s de #r$%a%ilidadResiduos est%ndares Percentil-0.059284883 2.77777777780.7193446513 8.3333333333-0.8363675854 13.8888888889-0.3050693457 19.44444444440.8258738313 25-0.438113541 30.55555555560.6747042722 36.11111111110.7153872169 41.6666666667-0.5558593485 47.22222222220.3070244764 52.77777777781.5452933305 58.3333333333-1.2415412623 63.8888888889-1.2160974961 69.4444444444-2.047708991 750.0584873266 80.5555555556-0.5621250296 86.11111111110.6590408398 91.66666666671.7570115373 97.2222222222Superior "#$ n!erior "#&'$ Superior "#&'$52816.517614532379.791380452816.51761446205.610546709 -1682.42118861205.6105467086NESE real12788.348571421434.737107121931.191857125438.294357130666.713392932078.24432429.728571434001.601071436312.233571436743.559285738133.66741295.995714343493.69243845.233928646014.681821446759.550357147961.756071449170.24239290 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-30000-20000-1000001000020000Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos0 2 4 6 8 101214161820020&00040&00060&000Ao Crva de reCresin aYstada7E)E realPr$n-s'ic$ 7E)E realAo*ESE real0 20 40 60 80 100 120%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentil*ESE real0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-30000-20000-1000001000020000Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos0 2 4 6 8 101214161820020&00040&00060&000Ao Crva de reCresin aYstada7E)E realPr$n-s'ic$ 7E)E realAo*ESE real0 20 40 60 80 100 120%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentil*ESE realClase Frecuencia $ acumulado Clase Frecuencia $ acumulado-20&000 0 0.00% 10&000 5 27.78%-15&000 1 5.56% -5&000 3 44.44%-10&000 2 16.67% 0 3 61.11%-5&000 3 33.33% -10&000 2 72.22%0 3 50.00% 5&000 2 83.33%5&000 2 61.11% -15&000 1 88.89%10&000 5 88.89% 15&000 1 94.44%15&000 1 94.44% 20&000 1 100.00%20&000 1 100.00% -20&000 0 100.00%25&000 0 100.00% 25&000 0 100.00%+ (a+$r... 0 100.00%+ (a+$r... 0 100.00%02460.00%50.00%100.00%150.00%0istoCramarecuencia% acu(ulad$ClaseFrecencia02460.00%50.00%100.00%150.00%0istoCramarecuencia% acu(ulad$ClaseFrecencia,esu(enEstadsticas de la regresin*$eEcien'e de c$rrelaci-n (Fl'i#le 0.3885530291*$eEcien'e de de'er(inaci-n ,B2 0.1509734564,B2aGus'ad$ 0.0979092975Err$r '/#ic$ 0.14481725622%servaci$nes 1847H@;);) !E "4,;47I4Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados,e0resi-n 1 0.0596677886,esidu$s 16 0.3355526032J$'al 17 0.3952203918Coefcientes Error tpico;n'erce#ci-n 4.6347572407 0.071215653141$ -0.011097447 0.00657920514n6lisis de l$s residualesObservacin Residuos1 4.6236597936 -0.00775185152 4.6125623466 0.06833272933 4.6014648996 -0.09052158584 4.5903674526 -0.02518622925 4.5792700056 0.09060032086 4.5681725585 -0.03667319097 4.5570751115 0.084847288 4.5459776645 0.09244861029 4.5348802175 -0.048212983110 4.5237827704 0.057525799411 4.5126853234 0.179017025812 4.5015878764 -0.160525642213 4.4904904294 -0.15937226814 4.4793929823 -0.37257851715 4.4682955353 0.037915051216 4.4571980883 -0.051710099917 4.4461006413 0.11395232218 4.4350031942 0.2278932291Pronstico log(')NESE real*Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crtico de F0.0596677886 2.8451116412 0.11104859160.0209720377Estadstico t Probabilidad n!erior "#$65.0805972908 7.915195E-021 4.4837868003-1.6867458733 0.1110485916 -0.0250447387,esul'ad$s de da'$s de #r$%a%ilidadResiduos est%ndares Percentil-0.0551759221 2.77777777780.4863768796 8.3333333333-0.644312131 13.8888888889-0.179269871 19.44444444440.6448725482 25-0.2610314607 30.55555555560.6039237082 36.11111111110.6580282537 41.6666666667-0.3431690861 47.22222222220.4094556014 52.77777777781.2742026148 58.3333333333-1.1425851375 63.8888888889-1.1343756815 69.4444444444-2.651929438 750.2698707406 80.5555555556-0.3680607706 86.11111111110.8110868002 91.66666666671.6220923519 97.2222222222Superior "#$ n!erior "#&'$ Superior "#&'$4.7857276811 4.4837868003 4.78572768110.0028498447 -0.0250447387 0.00284984474.10681446534.33111816134.34106223424.40548798844.48666723444.50621058654.51094331384.53149936764.56005296334.56518122344.58130856984.61590794214.63842627474.64192239154.66289642334.66987032634.6808950764.6917023492log(')NESE real*0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-0.500.5Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 203.0004.0005.000Ao Crva de reCresin aYstadal$010(7E)E real)Pr$n-s'ic$ l$010(7E)E real)AoloC1:!*ESE real#0 20 40 60 80 100 120345%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentilloC1:!*ESE real#0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-0.500.5Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 203.0004.0005.000Ao Crva de reCresin aYstadal$010(7E)E real)Pr$n-s'ic$ l$010(7E)E real)AoloC1:!*ESE real#0 20 40 60 80 100 120345%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentilloC1:!*ESE real#,esu(enEstadsticas de la regresin*$eEcien'e de c$rrelaci-n (Fl'i#le 0.384095885*$eEcien'e de de'er(inaci-n ,B2 0.1475296489,B2aGus'ad$ 0.0942502519Err$r '/#ic$ 0.14511066172%servaci$nes 1847H@;);) !E "4,;47I4Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados,e0resi-n 1 0.0583067256,esidu$s 16 0.3369136662J$'al 17 0.3952203918Coefcientes Error tpico;n'erce#ci-n 4.6770111395 0.0951111004-0.1681751403 0.1010652364n6lisis de l$s residualesObservacin Residuos1 4.6770111395 -0.06110319732 4.6263853777 0.05450969833 4.5967712055 -0.08582789174 4.5757596159 -0.01057839265 4.5594617609 0.11040856546 4.5461454437 -0.01464607617 4.534886658 0.10703573358 4.5251338542 0.11329242059 4.5165312715 -0.029864037210 4.5088359991 0.072472570711 4.5018747785 0.189827570712 4.495519682 -0.154457447813 4.4896735599 -0.158555398514 4.4842608962 -0.377446430915 4.4792218269 0.026988759616 4.4745080924 -0.06902010417 4.4700802194 0.089972743818 4.4659055098 0.1969909136l$010(41$)Pronstico log(')NESE real*Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crtico de F0.0583067256 2.768981207 0.11556619090.0210571041Estadstico t Probabilidad n!erior "#$49.1741880555 6.864717E-019 4.4753846136-1.6640256029 0.1155661909 -0.3824238698,esul'ad$s de da'$s de #r$%a%ilidadResiduos est%ndares Percentil-0.4340393285 2.77777777780.3872031886 8.3333333333-0.6096682682 13.8888888889-0.0751423592 19.44444444440.7842741737 25-0.1040366677 30.55555555560.7603156618 36.11111111110.8047592971 41.6666666667-0.2121356526 47.22222222220.5148003261 52.77777777781.348417676 58.3333333333-1.0971701949 63.8888888889-1.1262795029 69.4444444444-2.6811460382 750.1917114584 80.5555555556-0.4902761377 86.11111111110.6391107343 91.66666666671.3993016339 97.2222222222Superior "#$ n!erior "#&'$ Superior "#&'$4.8786376653 4.4753846136 4.87863766530.0460735891 -0.3824238698 0.04607358914.10681446534.33111816134.34106223424.40548798844.48666723444.50621058654.51094331384.53149936764.56005296334.56518122344.58130856984.61590794214.63842627474.64192239154.66289642334.66987032634.6808950764.6917023492log(')NESE real*0.0000 0.2000 0.4000 0.6000 0.8000 1.0000 1.2000 1.4000loC1:!Ao# %rXco de los residalesloC1:!Ao#/esidos0.0000 0.5000 1.0000 1.5000loC1:!Ao# Crva de reCresin aYstadal$010(7E)E real)Pr$n-s'ic$ l$010(7E)E real)loC1:!Ao#loC1:!*ESE real#0 20 40 60 80 100 120345%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentilloC1:!*ESE real#0.0000 0.2000 0.4000 0.6000 0.8000 1.0000 1.2000 1.4000loC1:!Ao# %rXco de los residalesloC1:!Ao#/esidos0.0000 0.5000 1.0000 1.5000loC1:!Ao# Crva de reCresin aYstadal$010(7E)E real)Pr$n-s'ic$ l$010(7E)E real)loC1:!Ao#loC1:!*ESE real#0 20 40 60 80 100 120345%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentilloC1:!*ESE real#,esu(enEstadsticas de la regresin*$eEcien'e de c$rrelaci-n (Fl'i#le 0.3885530291*$eEcien'e de de'er(inaci-n ,B2 0.1509734564,B2aGus'ad$ 0.0979092975Err$r '/#ic$ 0.33345405542%servaci$nes 1847H@;);) !E "4,;47I4Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados,e0resi-n 1 0.3163525356,esidu$s 16 1.7790657128J$'al 17 2.0954182484Coefcientes Error tpico;n'erce#ci-n 10.671922932 0.163980101241$ -0.0255528161 0.01514917954n6lisis de l$s residualesObservacin Residuos1 10.6463701159 -0.01784929782 10.6208172998 0.1573419243 10.5952644838 -0.20843365424 10.5697116677 -0.05799343595 10.5441588516 0.2086149486 10.5186060355 -0.08444314277 10.4930532194 0.19536808218 10.4675004033 0.21287079179 10.4419475872 -0.111014496210 10.4163947712 0.132458048111 10.3908419551 0.41220193512 10.365289139 -0.369623950813 10.3397363229 -0.366968208614 10.3141835068 -0.857893739315 10.2886306907 0.087302631616 10.2630778746 -0.119066905117 10.2375250585 0.262384917918 10.2119722425 0.5247435521Pronstico +n)NESE real*Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crtico de F0.3163525356 2.8451116412 0.11104859160.111191607Estadstico t Probabilidad n!erior "#$65.0805972908 7.915195E-021 10.3243006465-1.6867458733 0.1110485916 -0.0576676421,esul'ad$s de da'$s de #r$%a%ilidadResiduos est%ndares Percentil-0.0551759221 2.77777777780.4863768796 8.3333333333-0.644312131 13.8888888889-0.179269871 19.44444444440.6448725482 25-0.2610314607 30.55555555560.6039237082 36.11111111110.6580282537 41.6666666667-0.3431690861 47.22222222220.4094556014 52.77777777781.2742026148 58.3333333333-1.1425851375 63.8888888889-1.1343756815 69.4444444444-2.651929438 750.2698707406 80.5555555556-0.3680607706 86.11111111110.8110868002 91.66666666671.6220923519 97.2222222222Superior "#$ n!erior "#&'$ Superior "#&'$11.019545217610.3243006465 11.01954521760.0065620099 -0.0576676421 0.00656200999.45628976759.97276811439.995665188210.144010969510.33093309110.375933322310.386830829610.434162892810.499909976510.511718231810.548852819210.628520818210.680371195110.688421301610.736715794610.752773799610.778159223810.8030438901+n)NESE real*0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-101Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 208.00010.00012.000Ao Crva de reCresin aYstada@n(7E)E real)Pr$n-s'ic$ @n(7E)E real)Ao,n!*ESE real#0 20 40 60 80 100 12081012%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentil,n!*ESE real#0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-101Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 208.00010.00012.000Ao Crva de reCresin aYstada@n(7E)E real)Pr$n-s'ic$ @n(7E)E real)Ao,n!*ESE real#0 20 40 60 80 100 12081012%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentil,n!*ESE real#,esu(enEstadsticas de la regresin*$eEcien'e de c$rrelaci-n (Fl'i#le 0.3689187193*$eEcien'e de de'er(inaci-n ,B2 0.1361010214,B2aGus'ad$ 0.0821073353Err$r '/#ic$ 1.34980552342429E-0052%servaci$nes 1847H@;);) !E "4,;47I4Grados de libertad,e0resi-n 1,esidu$s 16J$'al 17Coefcientes;n'erce#ci-n 2.23665502357036E-00541$ 9.73606609778868E-0074n6lisis de l$s residualesObservacin Pronstico ( , NESE real1 2.33401568454825E-0052 2.43137634552614E-0053 2.52873700650402E-0054 0.0000262615 2.7234583284598E-0056 2.82081898943768E-0057 2.91817965041557E-0058 3.01554031139346E-0059 0.00003112910 3.21026163334923E-00511 3.30762229432712E-00512 3.40498295530501E-00513 3.50234361628289E-00514 0.00003599715 3.69706493823867E-00516 3.79442559921655E-00517 3.89178626019444E-00518 3.98914692117233E-005Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F4.592623129282E-010 4.59262312928171E-010 2.52068401192.915159921707E-009 1.82197495106671E-0103.374422234635E-009Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad6.637833392755E-006 3.3695558343 0.00390296196.132312952542E-007 1.5876662155 0.1319247584Residuos Residuos est%ndares8.752660473009E-007 0.0668395243-3.463817958881E-006 -0.2645137965.548534028250E-006 0.42371273999.546774272808E-007 0.0729037591-5.848577808452E-006 -0.44662552581.202189866837E-006 0.0918049993-6.374300445882E-006 -0.4867722344-7.163563285759E-006 -0.54704414031.479636243315E-006 0.1129921387-5.879069565750E-006 -0.448954023-1.273871897064E-005 -0.97278983791.154732752413E-005 0.88180945791.162980688846E-005 0.88810797884.219913669611E-005 3.222529003-5.796873161968E-006 -0.44267711031.366555729738E-006 0.1043567669-1.137893421207E-005 -0.8689501348-1.815927504203E-005 -1.3867295655Valor crtico de F0.1319247584n!erior "#$ Superior "#$ n!erior "#&'$0.000008295 3.643813E-005 0.000008295-3.26385662678918E-0072.273599E-006-3.263857E-007,esul'ad$s de da'$s de #r$%a%ilidadPercentil ( , NESE real2.7777777778 2.033750E-0058.3333333333 2.084995E-00513.8888888889 0.00002138619.4444444444 2.173219E-00525 2.280750E-00530.5555555556 2.299184E-00536.1111111111 2.421542E-00541.6666666667 2.622355E-00547.2222222222 2.721565E-00552.7777777778 2.753893E-00558.3333333333 2.941038E-00563.8888888889 3.083590E-00569.4444444444 3.117378E-00575 3.260865E-00580.5555555556 3.931081E-00586.1111111111 4.559716E-00591.6666666667 4.665324E-00597.2222222222 7.819618E-005Superior "#&'$3.64381284E-0052.27359888E-0060 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-0.0000500.00005Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos02468 1012141618200.0000E=005.0000E-051.0000E-04Ao Crva de reCresin aYstada1 A 7E)E realPr$n-s'ic$ 1 A 7E)E realAo1 U *ESE real0 20 40 60 80 100 12000.000050.0001%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentil1 U *ESE real0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-0.0000500.00005Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos02468 1012141618200.0000E=005.0000E-051.0000E-04Ao Crva de reCresin aYstada1 A 7E)E realPr$n-s'ic$ 1 A 7E)E realAo1 U *ESE real0 20 40 60 80 100 12000.000050.0001%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentil1 U *ESE real,esu(enEstadsticas de la regresin*$eEcien'e de c$rrelaci-n (Fl'i#le 0.3885877632*$eEcien'e de de'er(inaci-n ,B2 0.1510004497,B2aGus'ad$ 0.0979379778Err$r '/#ic$ 28.03226720632%servaci$nes 1847H@;);) !E "4,;47I4Grados de libertad,e0resi-n 1,esidu$s 16J$'al 17Coefcientes;n'erce#ci-n 206.85128651541$ -2.14835830544n6lisis de l$s residualesObservacin Pronstico )NESE real*-'1 204.70292820962 202.55456990423 200.40621159884 198.25785329335 196.10949498796 193.96113668257 191.81277837718 189.66442007169 187.516061766210 185.367703460811 183.219345155412 181.070986849913 178.922628544514 176.774270239115 174.625911933716 172.477553628217 170.329195322818 168.1808370174Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F2236.1823314119 2236.1823314119 2.845710807212572.9280755926 785.808004724514809.1104070046Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad13.7852095067 15.0053059705 7.600373E-0111.2735363154 -1.686923474 0.1110138879Residuos Residuos est%ndares-1.4887660203 -0.054743516716.4471562795 0.6047795036-20.3236511676 -0.7473223611-6.5717575907 -0.241650545920.1300720602 0.7402042506-9.5659060733 -0.351748583617.579757136 0.646426446818.8869932537 0.6944949151-12.3969211994 -0.45584803369.9107310884 0.364428167838.524296 1.4165795117-32.9791509604 -1.2126786058-32.5165593153 -1.1956686169-63.6886894985 -2.34190113874.4780913717 0.1646642028-12.9836842879 -0.477423939120.2284956042 0.743823389446.3294933199 1.7035849538Valor crtico de F0.1110138879n!erior "#$ Superior "#$ n!erior "#&'$177.627947831 236.0746251991177.627947831-4.8481346892 0.5514180783 -4.8481346892,esul'ad$s de da'$s de #r$%a%ilidadPercentil )NESE real*-'2.7777777778 113.08558074068.3333333333 146.406069229213.8888888889 148.091835889619.4444444444 159.493869340325 175.119140566830.5555555556 179.104003305336.1111111111 180.082560431141.6666666667 184.395230609247.2222222222 190.55769092752.7777777778 191.686095702658.3333333333 195.278434549263.8888888889 203.214162189369.4444444444 208.551413325375 209.39253551380.5555555556 214.510330337386.1111111111 216.239567048191.6666666667 219.001726183797.2222222222 221.7436411554Superior "#&'$236.07462519910.55141807830 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-100-50050100Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos02468 1012141618200.0200.0400.0Ao Crva de reCresin aYstada(7E)E real)B0.5Pr$n-s'ic$ (7E)E real)B0.5Ao!*ESE real#K:.(0 20 40 60 80 100 1200200400%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentil!*ESE real#K:.(0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20-100-50050100Ao %rXco de los residalesAo/esidos02468 1012141618200.0200.0400.0Ao Crva de reCresin aYstada(7E)E real)B0.5Pr$n-s'ic$ (7E)E real)B0.5Ao!*ESE real#K:.(0 20 40 60 80 100 1200200400%rXco de proDaDilidad normal3estra percentil!*ESE real#K:.(!is'ri%uci-n n$r(al acu(ula'iva*$nEa%ilidad , (%)50 0.000060 0.253370 0.524475 0.674580 0.841685 1.036487.5 1.150390 1.281691 1.340892 1.405193 1.475894 1.554895 1.644996 1.750797 1.880898 2.053799 2.326399.9 3.090299.99 3.719099.999 4.2649