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Asset Management Lecture 15

Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

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Page 1: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Asset Management

Lecture 15

Page 2: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Outline for today

Performance Attribution

Page 3: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Decomposing overall performance into components

Components are related to specific elements of performance

Example componentsBroad Allocation IndustrySecurity Choice

Performance Attribution

Page 4: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

For the managed portfolio P, set up a ‘Benchmark’ or ‘Bogey’ portfolio B:

Suppose there are n asset classes Select a benchmark index for each asset

class B has fixed weights in asset classes

Target weights

Performance Attribution

Page 5: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Calculate the return on the ‘Bogey’ and on the managed portfolio

Explain the difference in return based on component weights or selection

Summarize the performance differences into appropriate categories

Performance Attribution

Page 6: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

n

ipipip

n

iBiBiB rwrrwr

11

B: Bogey portfolio P: the managed portfolio

Formula for Attribution

)(1

11

BiBi

n

ipipi

n

iBiBi

n

ipipiBp

rwrw

rwrwrr

Page 7: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Formula for Attribution

)(

)(

Bipipi

BiBipi

BiBipipi

rrw

rww

rwrw

Contribution from asset allocation

Contribution from security selection

Total contribution from asset class i

)(1

BiBi

n

ipipiBp rwrwrr

Page 8: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Performance Attribution

Portfolio return from ith asset class = rPiWPi

)(

)(

Bipipi

BiBipi

BiBipipi

rrw

rww

rwrw

Page 9: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Example

A portfolio invests in three asset classesEquityBondsCash (money market securities)

The portfolio return over the month is 5.34%

Page 10: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Managed Portfolio Portfolio Actual Portfolio

Component Weight Return Return

Equity 0.7 7.2800% 5.0960%

Bonds 0.07 1.8900% 0.1323%

Cash 0.23 0.4800% 0.1104%

Return on Managed 5.3387%

Page 11: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Example

The choice of Bogey portfolio: a passive benchmarkPassive (index) benchmark in each asset

classPassive (“neutral”, “usual”) asset allocation

Depends on investor risk tolerance

Page 12: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Example

Bogey Portfolio Weight Return on Portfolio

Component Index Benchmark Index Return

Equity S&P500 0.6 5.8100% 3.4860%

Bonds Lehman Index 0.3 1.4500% 0.4350%

Cash Money Market 0.1 0.4800% 0.0480%

Return on Bogey 3.9690%

Excess return of managed portfolio= 5.34%-3.97%=1.37%

Page 13: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Performance Attribution Summary

Asset Allocation 0.3099%

Selection

Equity Returns Weights

Sector Allocation 1.2898% 0.7 0.9029%

Security Selection 0.1802% 0.7 0.1261%

1.4700% 0.7 1.0290%

Fixed Income 0.4400% 0.07 0.0308%

Total Excess Return on the Portfolio 1.3697%

Page 14: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Example

Actual Weight Benchmark Excess Market Performance

in Portfolio Weight Weight Return Contribution

Equity 0.7 0.6 0.1 5.8100% 0.5810%

Fixed Income 0.07 0.3 -0.23 1.4500% -0.3335%

Cash 0.23 0.1 0.13 0.4800% 0.0624%

Contribution of

Asset Allocation 0.3099%

Contribution of Asset Allocation BiBipi rww )(

Page 15: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Performance Attribution Summary

Asset Allocation 0.3099%

Selection

Equity Returns Weights

Sector Allocation 1.2898% 0.7 0.9029%

Security Selection 0.1802% 0.7 0.1261%

1.4700% 0.7 1.0290%

Fixed Income 0.4400% 0.07 0.0308%

Total Excess Return on the Portfolio 1.3697%

Page 16: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Example

Contribution of Security Selection )( Bipipi rrw

Portfolio Index Excess Portfolio Performance

Performance Performance Performance Weight Contribution

Equity 7.2800% 5.8100% 1.4700% 0.7 1.0290%

Fixed Income 1.8900% 1.4500% 0.4400% 0.07 0.0308%

Contribution of

Selection 1.0598%

Page 17: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Performance Attribution Summary

Asset Allocation 0.3099%

Selection

Equity Returns Weights

Sector Allocation 1.2898% 0.7 0.9029%

Security Selection 0.1802% 0.7 0.1261%

1.4700% 0.7 1.0290%

Fixed Income 0.4400% 0.07 0.0308%

Total Excess Return on the Portfolio 1.3697%

Page 18: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Example

Contribution to sector selection BiBipi rww )(

)( Bipipi rrw

Page 19: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Performance Attribution Summary

Asset Allocation 0.3099%

Selection

Equity Returns Weights

Sector Allocation 1.2898%

Security Selection 0.1802%

1.4700% 0.7 1.0290%

Fixed Income 0.4400% 0.07 0.0308%

Total Excess Return on the Portfolio 1.3697%

=1.47%-1.2898%

Page 20: Asset Management Lecture 15. Outline for today Performance Attribution

Performance Attribution Summary

Asset Allocation 0.3099%

Selection

Equity Returns Weights

Sector Allocation 1.2898% 0.7 0.9029%

Security Selection 0.1802% 0.7 0.1261%

1.4700% 0.7 1.0290%

Fixed Income 0.4400% 0.07 0.0308%

Total Excess Return on the Portfolio 1.3697%