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    The World Bank

    Asia Sustainable and

    Alternative Energy Program

    VietnamExpanding Opportunities or

    Energy Efciency

    March 2010

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    2010 The International Bank or Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

    1818 H Street NW

    Washington DC 20433

    Telephone: (202) 473-1000

    Internet: www.worldbank.org

    E-mail: [email protected]

    All rights reserved

    This volume is a product o the sta o the International Bank or Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank.

    The ndings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this volume do not necessarily refect the views o the

    Executive Directors o the World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee theaccuracy o the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other inormation shown on any

    map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part o the World Bank concerning the legal status o any territory

    or the endorsement or acceptance o such boundaries.

    Rights and Permissions

    The material in this publication is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all o this work without permis-

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    Photo copyrights: ASTAE

    let inside ront cover and let inside back cover: iStock photos

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    iv

    Acknowledgments

    The preparation o the report was carried out under the technical assistance project o the World Bank, P105834

    Technical Assistance or Vietnam Demand-Side Management and Energy Eciency Program. The nancial and techni-

    cal support o the Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP) and the Asia Sustainable and Alternative

    Energy Program (ASTAE) is grateully acknowledged.

    The report was prepared by a task team that included Robert P. Taylor (Senior Energy Adviser and lead author), Jas

    Singh (Senior Energy Specialist, ETWES), and Alberto U. Ang Co (Senior Energy Specialist, EASIN). Special appreciation

    and gratitude go to the World Bank team in Hanoi, Vietnam, comprising Richard Spencer (Country Sector Coordinator,

    EASVS) and Ky Hong Tran (Energy Specialist, EASVS) or providing local support, guidance, and technical assistance.

    The report beneted rom the suggestions and comments rom the ollowing peer reviewers: Gailius J. Draugelis

    (Senior Energy Specialist and Acting Country Sector Coordinator, China Energy, EASCS), Feng Liu (Senior Energy

    Specialist, ETWS), Peter Johansen (Senior Energy Specialist, ECSS2), and Lisa Da Silva (IFC Consultant, CESFS).

    The team is particularly grateul or the support o the Vietnam Ministry o Industry and Trade (MOIT), as an active and

    enthusiastic counterpart or this study, the Institute o Energy, and other members o the donor community who are

    involved in energy-eciency projects in Vietnam.

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    vv

    Acronyms and Abbreviations

    ADB Asian Development Bank

    AFD Agence Franaise de Dveloppement

    CEEP Commercial Energy Eciency Program

    CFL Compact fuorescent lamp

    CNG Compressed natural gas

    CO2 Carbon dioxide

    CPC Clean production center

    CP-EE Cleaner production and energy

    eciency

    DANIDA Danish International Development

    Agency

    DSM Demand-side management

    ECC Energy conservation centers

    ECCJ Energy Conservation Center, Japan

    EE Energy eciency

    EE&C Energy eciency and conservation

    EE&CP Energy Eciency and Conservation

    ProgramEECO MOITs Energy Eciency and

    Conservation Oce

    EMS Energy Management System

    EPC Energy perormance contracting

    ERAV Electricity Regulatory Authority o

    Vietnam

    ESCO Energy service company

    ESF Vietnam Energy Savings Fund

    EU European Union

    EVN Electricity o Vietnam

    FTL Fluorescent tube lamp

    GDP Gross domestic product

    GEF Global Environment Facility

    GOV Government o Vietnam

    GWh Gigawatt-hours

    IEA International Energy Agency

    IFC International Finance Corporation

    IMS Vietnam Institute o Material Science

    ISO International Organization or

    Standardization

    JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency

    kcal Kilo-calories

    kgoe Kilogram o oil equivalent

    kWh Kilowatt-hour

    LPG Liqueed petroleum gas

    METI Japan Ministry o Economy, Trade and

    Industry

    MOC Vietnam Ministry o Construction

    MOIT Vietnam Ministry o Industry and Trade

    MOST Vietnam Ministry o Science and

    Technology

    MW Megawatt

    NCST Vietnam National Center or NaturalScience and Technology

    PC Power distribution company

    PECSME Promoting Energy Conservation in

    Small and Medium Enterprises

    PROPARCO Promotion et Participation pour la

    Coopration Economique

    Sacombank Saigon Thuong Tin Commercial Joint

    Stock Bank

    SDC Swiss Development Cooperation

    SECO Swiss State Secretariat or EconomicAairs

    SIDA Swedish International Development

    Agency

    SME Small and medium enterprise

    T&D Transmission and distribution

    TA Technical assistance

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    2 Vietnam: Expanding Opportunities or Energy Efciency

    electricity use (15 percent). Energy use in all our o

    these target areas has been growing aster than the

    gross domestic product (GDP).

    However, achievement o meaningul energy savings in

    these target areas and other economic sectors will notjust happen by itsel. As is common in other countries,

    a host o barriers prevent cost-eective savings rom

    being realized, including lack o inormation, lack o read-

    ily available expertise, pricing issues, insucient cost-

    consciousness in some sectors, assignment o a lower

    priority to cost savings compared to expansion in invest-

    ment, transaction costs, perceived high investment

    risks, and market ailures in some sectors. As in other

    countries, specic policies, regulations, promotional pro-

    grams, capacity-building eorts, market transormation

    initiatives, nancing initiatives, and market construction

    activities are needed to achieve large-scale results.

    Meeting the Energy-Efciency Challenge

    Vietnam initiated its rst-ever comprehensive national

    energy-eciency program in 2006, ocusing especially

    on capacity building during 200610. A urther rollout o

    a wide range o activities has been planned or a sec-

    ond, 201115 phase. The drat Law on Energy Conser-

    vation and Ecient Use is currently being reviewed by

    the National Assembly. A wide range o international

    donor activities has been launched to help. The key

    or the uture is to construct a strong and sustainable

    institutional platorm rom these initiatives that candeliver large and measurable energy savings year ater

    year. Backed by concrete policies, an eective platorm

    requires institutional clarity as to who is responsible or

    what, a major eort to build capacity in the government

    and its implementing entities as well as in the market at

    large, strategic planning, sucient unding, step-by-step

    ollow-through on implementation, and ocus on achiev-

    ing measurable energy savings results.

    All countries with mixed or ully market economies that

    have had success in promoting energy eciency use a

    mix o government regulation combined with policies

    and programs to encourage energy-eciency invest-ment through the market. Vietnam will need to promote

    new administrative and regulatory measures and, espe-

    cially, to ensure that they are implemented eectively.

    Vietnam will also need to develop and implement a vari-

    ety o market-based programs to spur investment and

    behavioral change.

    Devepin and Impementin Ener-Efcienc Reuatins.

    Enactment o the proposed Law on Energy Conserva-

    tion and Ecient Use will be essential to provide the

    necessary oundation or instituting and enorcing regu-

    lations, providing legitimacy to organizations and their

    work, and assigning responsibilities and associated und-

    ing. Enactment o the law can send a clear message to

    society and the market on national intentions. I enacted,

    the real challenge o developing and implementing eec-tive regulations will then begin. This will be a huge task,

    and establishing priorities and ensuring implementation

    o the strategically most important measures will be very

    important during the next several years. Similar to the

    laws enacted in China, Japan, Thailand, and other coun-

    tries, recent drats o Vietnams law include introduction

    o a new mandatory system or energy management in

    large energy-consuming industries and buildings. The

    system would require large consumers to report on

    energy consumption and plans to improve eciency, and

    to designate internal energy managers responsible or

    energy-eciency work. Meeting the training, monitor-

    ing and reporting, and supervision requirements o such

    a system would be a large and important undertaking.

    Experience (in Japan and China in particular) shows that

    maximum government support is critical to make such a

    system productive both or enterprises and the countrys

    long-term interest.

    Uneashin Maret Frces. For Vietnam, review and adjust-

    ment o consumer energy prices to best refect true costs,

    as well as continued state-owned enterprise reorm, can

    help bring market orces to bear, especially in the industrial

    sector. However, eort is also needed to oster develop-

    ment o eective delivery systems or investment proj-ects. Experience elsewhere shows that eective delivery

    systems or energy-eciency investment projects are not

    likely to develop without some orms o initial public sec-

    tor encouragement, but once they are operational, invest-

    ment can continue sustainably with more limited public

    involvement. Examples o delivery systems or consider-

    ation include development o energy service companies

    (ESCOs), utility-executed demand-side management

    (DSM), commercial energy-eciency loan programs, and

    special public resource unds.

    Some suggestions on putting regulatory and market-

    based program concepts together in the key energy con-servation target subsectors are summarized in the next

    our sections.

    Imprvin Ener Efcienc in Existin Industria Pants. Two

    key challenges are the development and implementation

    o new energy use and conservation reporting, planning,

    and management systems or large energy-consuming

    industries (i the law is enacted), and the development

    and implementation o new nancing programs or retro-

    tting industrial energy conservation projects.

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    3Executive Summary

    Eective implementation o the new designated industry

    programs will require a huge eort by the Ministry o

    Industry and Trade (MOIT) and its provincial aliates to

    provide specic guidance on energy-use and energy con-

    servation planning requirements, to construct an eec-

    tive data management system, to dene requirementsor energy managers and supervision o compliance, to

    launch a wide range o energy auditing eorts and, espe-

    cially, to plan and deliver a variety o large-scale training

    programs. The human resource requirements within gov-

    ernment agencies to deliver this eort eectively should

    not be underestimated. Intensive review o experiences

    gained with such systems in other Asian countries is also

    recommended.

    Several international donors are working with the govern-

    ment to prepare new nancing programs or industrial

    retrot projects. Such programs can be quite construc-

    tive. One suggestion is to try to ocus on projects with

    strong nancial viability, with an aim to create project

    development and investment mechanisms that are inher-

    ently protable and hence have strong potential or being

    sustained ater donor involvement is concluded. Another

    suggestion is to ensure that technical assistance or

    project identication and development are blended well

    together with nancing programs.

    Encurain Mre Ener Efcienc in Ne Industria Pants.

    A continued industrial growth rate o 10 percent per year

    as in the past would mean that the new industrial capac-

    ity built over the next seven years will produce morethan all o Vietnams industry today. The energy-using

    characteristics o new industrial plants will be a critical

    determinant o Vietnams uture energy demand and

    import needs. In 1998, industry accounted or one-third

    o nal energy use. In 2007, it accounted or 46 percent,

    and in the uture it is likely to grow yet urther. The key

    questions are (a) what type o industrial capacity will be

    developed and (b) how energy-ecient will the adopted

    technologies be?

    Government planners and policy makers need to weigh

    more systematically the energy demand and cost impli-

    cations o developing new energy-intensive industrialcapacity. As reliance on energy rom outside and energy

    costs increase, what types and scale o new energy-

    intensive plants are in Vietnams long-term comparative

    advantage? In addition, the government should consider

    review o the energy-eciency aspects o key processes

    and certain key types o industrial equipment as part o

    the permitting process or new industrial production proj-

    ects. Adoption o wasteul, backward, and highly pollut-

    ing technology can and should be blocked.

    Improving access to nancing or more energy-ecient

    and environmentally riendly new industrial processes,

    production lines, and equipment is another important

    means to impact positively new industrial development.

    Adoption o new, more ecient, and less resource-

    intensive technology can yield substantial operating costsavings over the long term. However, upront invest-

    ment in capital and in learning something new is usu-

    ally required. The government can help by working with

    banks to develop new programs to help bank clients

    adopt greener technology or operating-cost savings.

    Increasin Ener Efcienc in Transprtatin. Use o petro-

    leum products in motorized transportation will continue

    to be the main driver o Vietnams uture oil import levels.

    Broad transportation policies and long-term development

    plans can have a key impact on overall energy use in

    transportation, especially where policies and plans aect

    (a) the role o automobiles versus motorbikes, buses,

    and light rail transport or urban and suburban passenger

    movement; (b) trucks versus coastal and inland waterway

    reight movement; and (c) automobiles versus buses,

    boats, and airplanes or intercity passenger movement.

    Fuel pricing policies also have a particularly strong impact

    on consumer choices and behavior in this sector.

    One specic measure that has yielded energy savings

    in other countries is increasing uel-eciency standards

    or motor vehicles, and strict enorcement o these

    standards. Another set o measures includes vehicle

    inspection and maintenance programs (serving multipleobjectives) and programs to promote earlier retirement

    o old, particularly inecient vehicles. Promotion o

    vehicles using alternatives to liquid petroleum uels (or

    example, hybrid electric vehicles, compressed natural

    gas, and biouels) also have produced noticeable results

    in some countries, including programs to convert publicly

    owned or captive high-use feets, such as taxis, or pro-

    grams to provide nancial incentives.

    Transrmin Marets r Husehd Eectrica Appi-

    ances. Electricity use by household electrical appli-

    ances accounted or 39 percent o total electricity use

    in Vietnam in 2007. This includes lights, air conditioners,rerigerators, water heaters, washing machines, dri-

    ers, televisions, ans, and so orth. The sector involves

    millions o consumers. Successul eorts to improve

    energy eciency in this sector have involved concerted

    eorts to transorm marketsguiding increased pen-

    etration o more energy-ecient appliances into specic

    appliance markets through regulation and selective pub-

    lic intervention, but still relying on market orces or e-

    cient and sustainable market operation. This involves (a)

    programs to provide customers with commonly available,

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    4 Vietnam: Expanding Opportunities or Energy Efciency

    credible, and correct but simple inormation about the

    eciency characteristics o the choices in ront o them;

    (b) government initiatives to work with suppliers to

    encourage expanded marketing o reputable and more

    ecient products, and to discourage particularly waste-

    ul or raudulent market oerings; and (c) programs tohelp customers cope with initial higher costs in some

    cases until market transormation can take hold.

    Vietnam has launched a number o initiatives relating to

    market transormation, but these eorts need to be con-

    solidated and more strategically designed to achieve a

    sustainable impact over the medium term. Energy-e-

    ciency labels need to be visible, understood, and cred-

    ible or consumers at large. Systematic surveys need to

    be completed to understand all aspects o the markets

    targeted or transormation, initiatives need to be devel-

    oped to work in concert to meet specic medium-term

    objectives, and subsidy programs need to be designed

    so that they can catalyze sustainable change and be

    withdrawn in due course.

    Recommendations or Follow-Up

    The necessary major strengthening o the institutional

    platorm or promoting energy eciency in Vietnam will

    require good planning, upront public investment, dedica-

    tion, and time. Planning needs to consider realistic assign-

    ment o priorities or the near termthere is insucient

    human capacity now to try to achieve everything at once.

    Responsibilities among dierent organizations, as wellas leadership and coordination mechanisms, need to be

    clear. It is also very important to systematically monitor

    and evaluate the actual energy savings achieved by di-

    erent programs that compete or management time,

    expertise, and money. Even training results can be sys-

    tematically evaluated.

    The Bank study team recommends consideration o a

    number o new or scaled-up initiatives, which are out-

    lined below and described urther in chapter 3. Many o

    these can be or already are being discussed as areas o

    uture World Bank Group support.

    Ecnmic Studies. At least three strategic areas appear to

    warrant more extensive review and analysis:

    Review o the energy implications o industrial devel-

    opment policy

    Review o consumer energy pricing

    Review o the energy implications o alternative

    transportation development scenarios.

    Devepment an Ener-Efcienc Prmtin Sstem.

    Three areas where well-targeted advisory assistance to

    the government may be especially useul include assis-

    tance on the ollowing:

    Development o Vietnams new industrial energy-

    use supervision system

    Policy development to encourage energy eciency

    in new industrial plants

    Review o scal incentive options to promote energy

    eciency.

    Ener-Efcienc Investment Prrams. New energy-e-

    ciency investment programs that the government may

    wish to consider include the ollowing:

    A clean production and energy-eciency nancing

    program or new industrial capacity

    Expanded commercial nancing or energy-e-

    ciency retrot projects

    Expanded development o the third-party energy-

    eciency service sector

    Consolidation and rollout o appliance market trans-

    ormation eorts.

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    55

    The objectives o this report are to (a) provide a general

    overview o energy demand trends in Vietnam and needs

    to urther promote energy eciency, (b) summarize the

    main current government and international donor eorts

    in the area o energy eciency in Vietnam, and (c) pro-

    vide the government with suggestions and recommen-

    dations on how to expand energy-eciency results in

    the uture. Analysis was completed in a short timerame

    by relying on readily available materials. Many topics or

    types o analytical work could not be conducted because

    systematic inormation is not yet readily availableor

    example, on the technical energy savings potential in key

    industrial or other economic subsectors. Where urtheranalytical work was considered especially important, rec-

    ommendations or undertaking it are included.

    Energy-Use Trends in Vietnam

    The Increasing Energy Intensity o

    Vietnams Economy

    Vietnams energy economy has changed radically over

    the last several decades with the transormation rom an

    agricultural society relying primarily on traditional biomass

    uels to a modern mixed economy. As shown in gure

    1, commercial energy consumptionincluding hydro-

    power, natural gas, coal, and oilhas increased eight-

    old rom an extremely low base in 1980. This increase

    has been driven by the increasing popularity o modern

    commercial uel and electricity or household use, the

    development o motorized transport, and the steady and

    rapid growth o industry to become a key pillar in the

    economy. Figure 2 shows country comparisons o total

    primary energy supply.

    Commercial energy use1 has grown much aster than the

    countrys economy overall. During the nine-year period

    rom 1998 to 2007, commercial energy use grew at an

    average rate o 12.1 percent per year, while Vietnams

    GDP grew by 7.3 percent per year. The commercial

    energy-use/GDP growth elasticity registered was a very

    high 1.7. The energy intensity o Vietnams economy

    grew rom 387 kilograms o oil equivalent (kgoe) per

    US$1,000 o GDP in 1998 to 573 kgoe per US$1,000 in

    2007, in constant 2000 prices.

    1. The term commercial energyin this report reers to coal, petro-

    leum products, natural gas, and electricity. Traditional biomass uelsare excluded, since data on their use, and especially use trends over

    time, are scarce and unreliable.

    Needs and Directions or ImprovingEnergy Efciency in Vietnam

    1

    FIgURE 1: VIETNAM PRIMARy ENERgy CoNSUMPTIoN,

    1980 AND 2007

    Sources: Asia-Pacic Energy Research Centre, APEC Energy

    Supply and Demand Outlook, 2006; International Energy Agency,

    Energy Balances o Non-OECD Countries (2009 edition).

    Biomass

    Hydro

    Gas

    CoalOil

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Milliontoe

    1980 2007Year

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    8 Vietnam: Expanding Opportunities or Energy Efciency

    is now about the same as in China (282 kWh/capita), a bit

    higher than in the Philippines (186 kWh/capita), but still

    signicantly less than in Thailand (440 kWh/capita).

    Expanded motorized transportation also occurred during

    this period. While the choppiness in the annual statistics

    suggests some accounting problems with the annual

    statistics on petroleum product use by sector, it is clear

    that use o uel in transportation has also grown aster

    than GDP (gure 6). Use o transport uel grew rom 3.6

    million toe in 1998 to 7.9 million toe in 2007. A little over

    hal o uel use was diesel oil, while gasoline accountedor about 39 percent, and jet uel and uel oil combined

    accounted or about 7 percent.

    Total reight service volumes, measured in ton-kilome-

    ters, increased at an average rate o about 12 percent

    per year rom 1999 to 2005, while passenger transport

    volumes, measured in passenger-kilometers, increased

    at about 10 percent per year. In 2005, some 65 percent

    o the total reight tonnage moved was by road, but

    coastal water transport continued to account or by ar

    the greatest reight service volume, with 76 percent o

    total ton-kilometers in 2005. Passenger road transporta-

    tion increased to 34 billion passenger-kilometers in 2005,

    accounting or about 65 percent o total passenger ser-

    vice volume.

    FIgURE 5: VIETNAM RESIDENTIAl FINAl ENERgy USE, 19982007

    Source: IEA, Energy Statistics o Non-OECD Countries(2009).

    Electricity

    Gas

    Petroleum products

    Coal and peat

    GDP, constant Y2000

    7,000

    6,000

    5,000

    4,000

    3,000

    2,000

    1,000

    0

    Finalenergy

    use

    (thousan

    d

    toe)

    Year

    GDP,

    constantY2000

    ($

    bill

    ion)

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    01998 20001999 200620052004200320022001 2007

    FIgURE 6: VIETNAM TRANSPoRT FINAl ENERgy USE, 19982007

    Source: IEA, Energy Statistics o Non-OECD Countries(2009).

    Petroleum products

    GDP, constant Y2000

    9,000

    8,000

    7,000

    6,000

    5,000

    4,000

    3,000

    2,000

    1,000

    0

    Milliontoe

    Year

    1998 1999 2000 200620052004200320022001 2007

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    GDP,constan

    tY2000($billion)

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    10 Vietnam: Expanding Opportunities or Energy Efciency

    The tripling in energy consumption during the previous

    decade o 199720074 was achieved with a net reliance

    on Vietnams own energy resources during a period o

    relatively low energy costs. Beginning rom a airly low

    level o 10.8 million toe in 1998, the development o sup-

    ply capacity and logistics, while challenging, was man-ageable. A urther tripling over the next decade, however,

    would be another matter. Vietnam does not have easily

    developed domestic resources that can sustain this mag-

    nitude o growth in energy demand, and the country will

    have to rely increasingly on imports, including imports o

    steam coal and net oil imports. Such an increasing reli-

    ance will come at a time o growing global competition

    or energy supply, and virtually certain large increases in

    costs. Potential environmental consequences o such

    absolute increases in energy supply and use may also be

    at levels never witnessed in Vietnam beore.

    As discussed in the paragraphs below, more aggressive

    eorts to improve energy eciency are key to address

    these anticipated energy supply security, cost, and envi-

    ronmental concerns. However, as demonstrated in many

    examples rom other countries around the globe, energy-

    eciency improvements will not develop suciently

    through market orces alone, and require eective public

    sector intervention. These issues, and how they may be

    overcome in Vietnam, are urther discussed in chapter 3.

    Resource Constraints and Energy Security

    Vietnam has enjoyed a position as a net energy exporter,with domestic resources more than meeting its over-

    all needs. Although petroleum products have all been

    imported until substantial renery capacity came on

    stream in 2009, crude oil exports have steadily surpassed

    imports in both volume and value. Total coal production

    also has exceeded domestic use severalold. Domestic

    hydro and natural gas resources, combined with some

    local coal, have been the backbone uels or electricity

    production.

    Vietnams oil production, however, ell steadily during

    200508, while oil demand grew rapidly. As a conse-

    quence, Vietnam is expected to become a net oil importervery soon. On the coal side, Vietnam is also beginning

    large-scale steam coal importation or new coal-red

    power plants. Domestic production is dominated by

    4. Primary and nal commercial energy consumption grew by about

    2.8 times during the nine-year period rom 1998 to 2007. IEA data or

    1997 are not available, but i it is assumed that energy consumption

    grew by at least 7 percent rom 1997 to 1998, primary and nal com-

    mercial energy use at least tripled during the decade o 19972007.

    anthracite coals in the north, which provides or a mix

    o high-value metallurgical coal exports and lower-value

    coal or relatively inconvenient combustion. Domestic,

    economically exploitable coal resources are also limited.

    As a result, internationally priced and sourced coal or

    combustion will become a larger and larger componento Vietnams energy balance.

    In conclusion, Vietnam is expected to need to rely

    increasingly on energy sources rom abroad over the

    next decade, raising issues o energy supply security and

    vulnerability to international energy price fuctuations. As

    in other countries acing such issues, meeting demand

    by improving energy eciency and utilizing energy that

    is currently wasted is perhaps the best single option or

    reducing any potential vulnerability.

    Energy Costs

    The cost o energy to Vietnams consumers currently

    amounts to some US$1415 billion per year (at interna-

    tional petroleum product prices roughly associated with

    US$65/barrel o crude oil). Introduction o large-scale coal

    imports and expected increases in international oil prices

    will only make this cost rise.

    Capturing the wide variety o most nancially attractive

    energy-eciency gains is unquestionably the least-cost

    way to meet energy demand. Costs or standard, yet

    unimplemented, renovations and equipment improve-

    ments typically run at one-quarter o the cost o commer-cial energy supply, at todays prices. Improving energy

    eciency increases industrial competitiveness by lower-

    ing production costs, eases pressure on household bud-

    gets, and reduces government energy bills, which can

    ree up government resources or investment in other

    socioeconomic areas.

    Environmental Concerns

    Energy-eciency improvements are an ideal way to

    reduce pollution emissions, since they reduce the extent

    o uel combustion to begin with. Environmental concerns

    relating to increasing uel use in power plants, industry,

    and vehicles will certainly increase in Vietnam as demands

    continue to rise. Air pollution rom energy use carries a

    range o socioeconomic costs, including public health

    concerns that can maniest themselves as respiratory ill-

    nesses and premature death. Energy-eciency improve-

    ments are one o the main mitigation tools. In addition,

    shits o technology that provide energy-eciency gains

    oten also provide other environmental cobenets,

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    12 Vietnam: Expanding Opportunities or Energy Efciency

    o energy use per unit o industrial value added. Figure

    8 shows how the structure o industry has been evolv-

    ing in Vietnam since 1998.5 Figure 9 plots the growth in

    production o several key energy-intensive commodities.

    Each o these has been growing aster than industrial

    output value as a wholeindicating a movement towardmore energy-intensive basic commodity production. Sup-

    ply o these basic commodities is key to underpinning

    new construction and downstream industrial growth.

    However, it is very important or policy makers to con-

    sider Vietnams comparative position or rapid develop-

    ment o energy-intensive industries versus reliance on

    imports rom elsewhere, because o the implications or

    Vietnams energy balance and sourcing o uture energy

    supply.

    Aside rom industrial structure, industrial energy use is

    determined by uel and electricity consumption levels

    5. Assessment o the impacts o changes in industrial structure,

    however, will require subsector energy-use data, which are not cur-

    rently available.

    per unit o physical output (or example, per ton o steel,

    per 1,000 bricks, and so orth). For Vietnam, it is impor-

    tant to review how the eciency o existing capacity can

    be improved through retrots. It is even more important,

    however, to pay attention to the technologies being

    deployed in new plant, since this will play the biggest rolein determining uture unit energy consumption levels. A

    key task or the government is to assess the nature o

    energy-using technologies being deployed by companies

    in new acilities, as well as the potential gaps in energy-

    eciency characteristics compared to the best available

    and potential means to encourage such gaps to close.

    Improving the eciency o industrial uel use involves

    deployment o ecient boiler technology and its ecient

    matching with steam or hot water demands, tightening o

    steam use systems, modern kiln development, schemes

    to use waste heat and gas, and industrial cogeneration,

    as well as specic process technology advancements and

    Energy Management System (EMS) standards. Improv-

    ing the eciency o electricity use involves technologies

    FIgURE 8: gRoSS INDUSTRIAl oUTPUT IN VIETNAMS kEy INDUSTRIES, 19982007

    Source: World Bank, Vietnam Development Report 2009.

    450,000

    400,000

    350,000

    300,000

    250,000

    200,000

    150,000

    50,000

    0

    VNDb

    illionatconstant1994prices

    Year

    1998 20001999 200620052004200320022001 2007

    Oil and gas

    Rubber products and plastic

    Production and repairing other transport means

    Metallic products

    Leather tanning and processing

    Textile products

    Electricity and gas

    Chemicals

    Nonmetallic products

    Food and beverage

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    13Needs and Directions or Improving Energy Efciency in Vietnam

    such as improved and oten variable-speed motors and

    motor drive systems, ecient matching o equipment

    capacities, ecient internal electricity distribution, elec-

    tric urnace improvements and management, power ac-

    tor correction, utilization and careul capacity matching

    o cooling equipment, improved lighting technology, and

    so orth.

    Petroleum Product Use in Transport

    Accounting or one-quarter o Vietnams nal commer-

    cial energy consumption, gasoline, diesel oil, uel oil, and

    jet uel use in transportation will be the main driver o

    the countrys uture petroleum import levels. Measured

    in terms o energy used per passenger-kilometer or ton-

    kilometer o reight, the energy eciency o transpor-

    tation is determined in some ways by the specic uel

    use o vehicles, but even more so by broad patterns o

    transport modal development. Reducing energy costs

    is o course only one o many important concerns or

    transportation development strategy. For Vietnam, three

    broad transportation development trends that have an

    especially important bearing on uel eciency include

    (a) the role o automobiles versus motorbike, bus, and

    light rail transport or urban and suburban passenger

    movement; (b) truck versus coastal and inland waterway

    reight movement; and (c) automobile versus bus, boat,

    and airplane intercity passenger movement. Some o the

    narrower, more energy-specic issues include vehicle

    uel-use levels (including both vehicle technology and

    operating practices) and potential interuel substitution,

    such as the use o gaseous uels in buses or high-mileage

    automobiles, or the introduction o electric motorbikes.

    Residential and Commercial Electricity Use

    The residential electricity-use sector accounts or about

    39 percent o the countrys electricity use and 21 percent

    o total nal commercial energy demand. Involving mil-

    lions o individual consumers, this market sector requires

    unique approaches to achieve energy-eciency gains. In

    Vietnam, where heating is not a critical load, the key issues

    concern lighting technology; air conditioning technology;

    and the eciency o household appliances such as rerig-

    erators, water heaters, washing machines, driers, televi-

    sions, ans, and so orth. The basic tracks or promoting

    improved energy eciency are the provision o improved

    inormation to consumers, the introduction and enorce-

    ment o mandatory energy-eciency standards or cer-

    tain new appliances, and the introduction o incentives,

    such as rebate programs, to encourage appliance market

    transormation. Typical o East Asian nations, the urban

    areas o Vietnam account or about 70 percent o eco-

    nomic growth. The Ministry o Construction (MOC) pre-

    dicted an urbanization level o 45 percent by 2020. With

    the rapid urbanization accompanied by high economic and

    population growth, big cities in Vietnam are subject to cli-

    mate change and its associated problems. Adaptation to

    climate change and the integration o energy-eciency

    measures to urban planning and green building design

    are important elements to be developed and integrated

    into Vietnamese codes and standards.

    FIgURE 9: gRowTH IN PRoDUCTIoN oF SElECTED ENERgy-INTENSIVE INDUSTRIAl CoMMoDITIES, 19992007

    Source: World Bank, Vietnam Development Report 2009.

    Bricks

    Cement

    Glass products

    Paper and paper products

    Steel

    Industry Value Added

    4.0

    3.5

    3.0

    2.5

    2.0

    1.5

    1.0

    0

    1999

    =1

    Year

    1999 2000 200620052004200320022001 2007

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    17Recent Eorts to Promote Energy Efciency in Vietnam

    ocus strictly on maximizing energy savings results and

    the capacity enhancements, which are the highest prior-

    ity or achieving those results. Strict ocus on monitor-

    able energy savings results also can aid the government

    in determining appropriate levels o unding or vari-

    ous initiatives, allowing or increased competition andaccountability among implementing partners, and pro-

    viding clearer roles or private sector participation and

    leverage.

    Major Energy-Efciency PartnershipPrograms

    In addition to the governments VNEEP, a number o par-

    allel or supportive eorts have been initiated in direct

    cooperation with donor agencies. Some o these pro-

    grams predated VNEEP, while others were developedalongside the national program. Support has not only

    included nancial packages, but also technical assistance

    to local agencies and consultants implementing the proj-

    ects. Some o the larger-scale programs that have been

    completed or that are currently under implementation in

    Vietnam are summarized in table 2.

    Current Donor Support and Activities

    Because there is a wide variety o donor activities, coor-

    dination o donor support in the uture months and years

    is important. In October 2008, the MOIT and the World

    Bank cochaired an Energy-Eciency Donor Coordina-

    tion Meeting, which included presentations rom each

    participating donor agency on its programs and planned

    activities, as well as a roundtable discussion on ideas or

    coordination o eorts and urther sharing o inormation.

    The participants agreed that an annual donor meeting

    o this kind would be benecial in the uture. The ol-

    lowing sections summarize the major donor activities

    in the energy-eciency eld in Vietnam, based on the

    TAblE 2: MAjoR CoMPlETED AND oNgoINg ENERgy-EFFICIENCy AND CoNSERVATIoN PRogRAMS IN VIETNAM

    Prect name years Spnsr Impementin aenc

    Energy-Eciency and Conservation Program

    or Vietnam (EE&CP)

    19952001 GOV and Netherlands,

    EU, SIDA, UNDP

    MOST

    Vietnam Demand-Side Management (DSM)

    and Energy EciencyPhases 1 and 2a200010 WB, SIDA and GEF MOIT, EVN

    The Pilot Commercial Energy-Eciency

    Program (CEEP)

    200410 WB and GEF MOIT/ERAV

    Compact Fluorescent Lamp (CFL)

    Promotion Program

    200407 WB and GEF EVN and PCs

    Fluorescent Thin Tube Lamp (FTL)

    Promotion Campaign

    200407 WB and GEF EVN

    Swiss Government and UNIDO Activities

    Clean Production Center (CPC) 19982008 SDC VNCPC

    Energy-Ecient Brick Project 200104 SDC and UNIDO Entec (Swiss consultant)

    Green Credit Line 200812 SECO VNCPC and

    commercial banks

    Promoting Energy Conservation in Small and

    Medium Scale Enterprises (PECSME)

    200610 UNDP MOST

    Vietnam Energy-Ecient Public Lighting 200610 UNDP and GEF NCST, IMS

    The Study on Master Plan on Energy

    Conservation and Eective Use in Vietnam

    200809 JICA J-Power

    (Japanese consultant)

    Source: Compiled by author.

    a. The project also included a number o technical assistance eorts, including building code development (Phase 1); creation o a standards and

    labeling regime and development o select standards or electrical appliances (Phase 1); DSM planning, program design, and evaluation (Phases 1

    and 2); load research (Phases 1 and 2); analysis o time-o-use (TOU) schemes and other load management eorts (Phases 1 and 2); marketing and

    awareness raising (Phases 1 and 2); and solar water heating and appliance labeling pilot programs (Phase 2). EVN implemented an expanded TOU

    program with its own nancing in 2001.

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    19Recent Eorts to Promote Energy Efciency in Vietnam

    respective donors public documents, as well as notes

    gathered during the donor coordination meeting. Table 3

    provides a matrix o donor energy-eciency programs,

    both ongoing and planned.

    Asian Development Bank

    The Asian Development Bank (ADB) is now undertak-

    ing a US$1 million technical assistance program entitled

    Supporting Implementation o the National Energy-E-

    ciency Program, which aims to promote energy conser-

    vation in the industrial sector in Vietnam. The technical

    assistance includes (a) industrial survey o energy use,

    (b) energy manager training, (c) energy audits in select

    large actories, (d) training o ESCOs and energy conser-

    vation centers, and (e) development o suitable nancing

    mechanisms. Based on the ndings rom the technical

    assistance, the ADB will consider options to create an

    industrial energy-eciency nancing program. The ocus

    may be on ve subsectors, such as cement, beverages,

    chemicals, plastics, and steel. The ADB also expressed

    ideas to support EVN power plant rehabilitation and to

    help mobilize carbon nancing or the procurement and

    distribution o CFLs, solar water heaters, and more e-

    cient lighting or public buildings.

    Agence Franaise de Dveloppement

    The support o the Agence Franaise de Dveloppement

    (AFD) or Vietnams development targets is set out in

    the Partnership Framework Document signed betweenFrance and Vietnam in 2006. One o the AFDs support

    eorts within the ramework o the 200610 National

    Socio-Economic Development Plan is to develop and

    modernize nancial, banking, and nonbanking sectors.

    The AFD activities support nancial sector reorms

    and small and medium enterprise (SME) development.

    The AFD also undertakes its operations in Vietnam

    through Promotion et Participation pour la Coopration

    Economique (PROPARCO), a development nancial insti-

    tution or the private sector. Energy and environment,

    including climate change, all within the AFDs priori-

    ties in Vietnam. The AFD cosponsored a symposium on

    energy-eciency policies in Vietnam, which was held in

    Ho Chi Minh City in April 2008 as part o French Week

    in Vietnam. Other ongoing support rom the AFD to the

    energy sector in Vietnam includes hydropower invest-

    ments, load management and DSM, CO2 emission miti-

    gation eorts, and provision o modern energy access or

    all. Early ideas or uture activities include development

    o urban energy-eciency strategies and perhaps the

    establishment o credit lines to support energy-ecient

    construction in the housing sector.

    Danish International Development Agency

    The Danish International Development Agencys

    (DANIDAs) programs in Vietnam are aligned with the gov-

    ernments Socio-Economic Development Plan 200610.

    The Environment Program is intended to ocus on threethematic areas that include (a) urban and industrial envi-

    ronmental management, (b) sustainable energy, and (c)

    management o natural resources. Danish programs

    generally aim to build capacity and knowledge in Viet-

    namese institutions and to target key sectors identied

    by the Vietnamese government. DANIDA has recently

    approved a multiyear technical assistance program o

    about US$15 million to directly support MOITs energy-

    eciency program. While some details had yet to be

    worked out as o March 2009, the program is expected

    to ocus primarily on technical training or energy manag-

    ers and auditors or consultants (including a certication

    program with local universities), industrial energy audits,and economic incentives or the implementation o audit

    recommendations.

    Japan International Cooperation Agency

    Since October 1, 2008, Japans Ocial Development

    Assistance loans provided by the Japan Bank or Interna-

    tional Cooperation (JBIC) and the grant aid disbursed by

    the Ministry o Foreign Aairs are being overseen by one

    agency, the new Japan International Cooperation Agency

    (JICA). One development scheme o JICA is the Private

    Sector Investment Finance program, which supports

    private enterprises with unds provided as either equity

    investments or loans. A easibility study on a possible

    energy conservation loan under this program is under-

    way. This is likely to include nancing or the purchase

    o equipment rom a specied eligible high-eciency

    equipment list. The design is patterned ater a program

    being implemented in Japan in which government unds

    are made available to industrial enterprises. Preliminary

    plans call or the project to be implemented by the Viet-

    nam Development Bank (VDB), which will lend to enter-

    prises or their purchase o equipment.

    JICA also has undertaken a development study entitled

    Study on National Energy Master Plan in Vietnam. The

    project aims to (a) help establish the National Energy

    Master Plan up to 2025, including energy security, energy

    diversity, power import-export, rural electrication, pro-

    motion o renewable energy utilization, CO2 emission

    issues, energy conservation, investment planning, socio-

    environmental impact analysis, and international cooper-

    ation; (b) develop a national database or socioeconomic

    and energy data covering electric power, coal, oil and gas,

    renewable energy, and so orth; and (c) build capacity

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    20 Vietnam: Expanding Opportunities or Energy Efciency

    o the bodies under MOIT. JICA is currently working to

    develop a roadmap or the VNEEP to enhance program

    results and help MOIT meet its national targets.

    The Energy Conservation Center, Japan (ECCJ), has also

    been actively conducting energy conservation trainingprograms or developing countries, mainly in the Asian

    region and including Vietnam. EECJ also has provided

    expert assistance or the development o energy conser-

    vation law, including the transer o inormation on suc-

    cessul experiences in Japan. The ECCJ is developing a

    database or MOIT to acilitate the reporting and analysis

    o annual energy consumption data, which will likely be

    required or all large industrial and commercial custom-

    ers under the proposed new law.

    Swiss Development Cooperation

    In the specic area o energy eciency, the Swiss Devel-

    opment Cooperation (SDC) has been collaborating with

    UNIDO in the establishment o a national ocal point

    or the promotion and implementation o eco-ecient

    industrial production through the Vietnam Cleaner Pro-

    duction Center (VNCPC) under the Hanoi University o

    Technology. The ocus during Phase 1 (19982003) was

    on training, policy support, and dissemination o inorma-

    tion on pilot demonstration projects. Phase 2 (200508)

    sought to operationalize VNCPC ully and make it nan-

    cially sustainable. SDC has also implemented an energy-

    eciency and environmental management project in the

    brick-making industry. The SDC assisted in the identi-cation and promotion o economic and environmentally

    viable brick production processes within the ramework

    o the Nam Dinh Urban Development Project. The proj-

    ect included the upgraded design and demonstration o

    a local tunnel kiln, which may be urther replicated under

    the United Nations Development Programmes (UNDPs)

    SME Project.

    The Swiss State Secretariat or Economic Aairs (SECO)

    established a trust und with the VNCPC that provides

    partial credit guarantees and incentive grants or cleaner

    production (such as pollution prevention, energy e-

    ciency, water and material recycling, and so orth). ThisGreen Credit Line works with three commercial banks

    (Techcombank, Asia Commercial Bank, and Vietnam

    International Bank). The program targets SMEs (under

    US$5 million o registered capital and 500 employees).

    VNCPC reviews applications and, i approved, provides

    a grant incentive based on the amount o environmental

    impact reduction (that is, reduced pollution and resource

    use). Applicants can also request up to a 50 percent guar-

    antee or associated loans, i needed.

    United Nations

    The UNDP has been supporting Vietnam since 1977.

    Energy and environment is one o the ocal areas or

    the UNDPs work in the country. One key initiative is

    a UNDP project entitled Vietnam: Promoting EnergyConservation in Small and Medium-Scale Enterprises,

    with a program period rom 2005 to 2010 and budget

    o US$28.8 million, including US$5.5 million o support

    rom the Global Environment Facility (GEF). The project

    aims to address barriers blocking widespread adoption o

    energy-ecient management practices, operations, and

    technologies in SME. The project ocuses on ve SME

    production subsectors: bricks, ceramics, textiles, paper,

    and ood processing. The project is composed o six

    integrated components: (a) policy and institutional sup-

    port development; (b) communications and awareness;

    (c) technical capacity development; (d) energy-eciency

    services provision support; (e) nancing support; and ()demonstrations.

    Other ongoing activities or activities under advanced

    preparation include a US$3.0 million UNDP-GEF public

    lighting eciency project with the National Center or

    Natural Science and Technology (NCST) and the Insti-

    tute o Material Science (IMS); a US$4.5 million UNIDO

    national clean production program or Vietnam with

    Hanoi University o Technology (counded with SDC as

    noted previously); a proposed US$6.8 million regional

    energy-eciency appliance labeling and standards pro-

    gram, which includes Vietnam among other countries;

    and a proposed US$3.0 million UNEP-GEF incandescentlamp phaseout program. Planned UNDP-UNIDO support

    rom 2010 and beyond includes possible initiatives on

    energy-eciency building codes, capacity building or

    implementation o the energy conservation law, promo-

    tion o Energy Management Standards via the proposed

    International Organization or Standardization (ISO) 50001

    Management Standard, and assistance or the coordina-

    tion o climate change adaption and mitigation eorts.

    The World Bank Group

    The International Development Association (IDA) has

    been supporting energy-eciency eorts in Vietnam

    since 1997. Its program began with a US$3.6 million

    technical assistance grant provided by the Swedish

    International Development Agency (SIDA) administered

    by IDA, or: (a) DSM planning and pilots with EVN; (b)

    initiation o load management and research unctions,

    also with EVN; (c) development o initial equipment stan-

    dards with MOST; and (d) development o a commercial

    building code with the MOC. Based on the results o this

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    2323

    Options or Further ImprovingEnergy Efciency in Vietnam

    Previous chapters reviewed energy demand trends

    in Vietnam, discussed the need to expand eorts to

    improve energy eciency, and outlined Vietnams cur-

    rent eorts to ramp up energy-eciency initiatives.

    This chapter briefy discusses the overall challenge o

    implementing eective energy-eciency initiatives and

    explores options and priorities or the uture to overcome

    those barriers. The chapter then describes how a com-

    bination o regulation and market-based initiatives might

    be applied to realize improved energy eciency in each

    o the our strategic sectors in Vietnam identied earlier.

    A nal section provides recommendations or action dur-

    ing the next three years.

    Making Energy-EfciencyImprovements Happen

    Achieving greater energy eciency has become a central

    tenet in the energy policy o many countries or a good

    reason: it helps enhance energy supply security, it is

    environmentally riendly, and it is substantially more cost

    eective than energy supply. In most cases, it also yields

    protable lie-cycle nancial returns to energy users.

    However, experience across the globe has shown that

    the huge potential or cost-eective, energy-eciency

    investment is dicult to capture. Relying on mar-

    ket orces alone is insucient. Even where market

    economies are very advanced, many energy-eciency

    investments with strong lie-cycle returns remain unim-

    plemented. Although the use o market orces is impor-

    tant and critical or sustained progress on improving

    energy eciency, strong government leadership is also

    required. Government leadership is needed to put stan-

    dards and regulations in place where there are market

    ailures, to promote economic policies that encourage

    investment in operating cost savings as much as pos-

    sible, to help provide inormation and raise awareness, to

    nurture the development o a domestic energy-eciency

    service industry, to launch and nurture market transor-

    mation initiatives or key energy-using equipment or

    appliances, and to promote and oster the development

    o nancing mechanisms and public-private alliances that

    can eectively help deliver increased energy-eciency

    investment. The need or strong and sustained govern-

    ment leadership is especially evident in Vietnam, espe-cially at the current time.

    Barriers to Achieving Energy Efciency

    lac Inrmatin. Perhaps the most basic requirement

    or achieving greater energy eciency is or energy

    users to be aware o potential energy savings and their

    nancial benet, and how to attain them. Although a

    good start has been made and the VNEEP recognizes its

    importance, Vietnam is still a long way rom meeting this

    requirement. Many consumers, especially in commercial

    or industrial establishments, actually have little concrete

    idea o the potential or energy savings in their busi-nesses, and how much money could be saved through

    improved management or modest investment. Despite

    some progress o late, there remains little reliable and

    comparable inormation on the actual energy-use pat-

    terns o dierent types o appliances or new equipment

    that consumers can readily see and properly consider.

    Business enterprises are typically not very knowledge-

    able about the types o retrot projects that could save

    3

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    24 Vietnam: Expanding Opportunities or Energy Efciency

    them on energy costs, new and more ecient technolo-

    gies, or even where they might nd out more about these

    things. As VNEEP progresses in uture years, consumers

    will also need more specic inormation on implementa-

    tion and nancing options.

    Insufcient Readi Avaiae Expertise. A related issue

    concerns the availability o expertise. Clients need to

    be able to tap appropriate expertise to advise on energy

    savings options, complete customized energy-use audits

    on site, identiy projects and sources o nancing, and

    assist in developing and implementing complex projects.

    Such expertise needs to be readily available locally and

    easy or clients to contact and engage. Clients also need

    some way to gauge whom they can trust. Experts with

    established track records in actually implementing proj-

    ects are especially valuable or providing advice derived

    rom actual experience rather than theoretical calcula-tion. Expanding and improving the qualications o local

    expertise is another area where Vietnam needs to make

    major improvements i a meaningul share o the poten-

    tial or energy eciency is to be captured. Vietnams gov-

    ernment has made this a priority, but it takes concerted

    eort over a sustained period to achieve real results.

    Ener Pricin. In any market economy, higher energy

    prices are an exceptionally powerul orce to attract

    attention to energy eciency and to increase incentives

    or action. In Vietnam, prices paid or energy are low rela-

    tive to those in most other countries. The actual level o

    electricity taris has allen in real terms over the pastseveral years, despite an increases in January 2007 o

    an average o 8 percent to VND 873/kWh and a urther

    increase o an average o 9.1 percent to VND 948/kWh in

    2009. Domestic coal prices are well below levels in other

    countries. Although solid returns on a wide range o

    energy-eciency investments still exist, incentives and

    investment results could be sharply improved i energy

    prices better refected international levels.

    Cst-Cnsciusness. Even i price signals are strong, con-

    sumers need to be interested in reducing operating costs,

    although this is not always the case. Where enterprise

    operation culture in a planned economy remains strong,

    as in some state-owned enterprises, reducing operating

    costs, such as energy or water utility costs, may not be a

    priority to managers, even i quite protable. In addition,

    when economic growth is robust, commercial and indus-

    trial establishments may naturally place greater empha-

    sis on the expansion or introduction o new products to

    increase market share, and investments or long-term

    payo in operating cost savings may be assigned lower

    priority or the time being.

    linerin generic Prems ith Ener-Efcienc Prects.

    Even i consumers are aware o opportunities, expertise

    is available, and the economic environment is support-ive, problems inherent in these types o operating cost

    saving projects still remain and, unless addressed, con-

    tinue to hinder realization o the available potential. Ben-

    ets in the orm o calculated cost savings streams, as

    opposed to highly visible new production assets, appear

    nebulous and inherently risky to many. At micro decision-

    making levels, energy costsaving characteristics o new

    equipment may be relatively insignicant compared to

    other concerns. When purchasing new rerigerators, or

    example, buyers are unlikely to push energy-eciency

    demands on producers hard enough to cause market

    transormation, relative to other demands, such as rerig-erator appearance, convenience items, layout, and so

    orththe energy expenditures involved in operating one

    rerigerator are just not big enough (although the energy

    costs are large in the aggregate or the country). In some

    cases, or example, where oce or living space is rented,

    one party may be responsible or purchasing equipment

    while the party responsible or paying energy bills is di-

    erent, causing a problem o split incentives. Then there

    is the problem o transaction costs. Unless addressed,

    the eorts required by an energy user on his own to nd

    good inormation, obtain advice, consider options, design

    projects, and then implement the measures may add up

    to too much eort and cost or the many small projectstypical o the energy conservation business. I projects

    require substantial outside expertise or outside nanc-

    ing, the contractual hurdles involved increase transaction

    costs and implementation diculties even more. Unless

    specic programs and packaging mechanisms are put in

    place, beneting rom scale economies in aggregation,

    these problems cause potential energy-eciency inves-

    tors to require exceptionally high implicit discount rates

    or to orgo the potential savings altogether.

    behavira Inertia. There are also inherent behavioral

    issues associated with the acceptance o change. For

    some, there is comort in doing what you know even

    i other ways may be better. Others perceive the adop-

    tion o new practices as having unoreseen risks. Engi-

    neers design in ways in which they are accustomed,

    procurement ocers like to work with existing suppli-

    ers that understand their needs, and technicians preer

    to work with equipment they know how to operate and

    maintain.

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    25Options or Further Improving Energy Efciency in Vietnam

    Overcoming Barriers to Energy Efciency

    All countries with mixed or ully market economies that

    have had some success in overcoming barriers to improv-

    ing energy eciency use a mix o government regula-

    tion combined with policies and programs to encourageimproved uptake o energy-eciency investment through

    the market. Some common regulations include require-

    ments to provide monitorable inormation on energy

    use, requirements or standardized energy consump-

    tion labeling on energy-intensive equipment, enactment

    o mandatory energy-eciency standards or certain

    equipment (such as rerigerators), implementation o

    programs or either voluntary or mandatory government-

    industry agreements on improving industrial plant energy

    eciency, and outlawing o specied particularly energy

    inecient equipment models or subscale industrial pro-

    cesses. Some common public programs to help spark

    greater market investment include public support orpublic-private partnership nancing schemes, provision

    o targeted concessional nance or tax breaks, programs

    to develop and launch an energy-eciency perormance

    contracting industry by ESCOs, and more. In countries

    where inormation and expertise are basically available

    and economic environments are generally supportive,

    orceul and sustained government action on both regu-

    lation and promotion o market-based solutions is still

    needed to overcome the more generic energy-eciency

    investment barriers described above.

    Devepin and Impementin Ener-Efcienc Reuatins.

    The most important measure that Vietnam can take in

    the short term to address current barriers to energy

    eciency is enactment o the proposed Law on Energy

    Conservation and Ecient Use. The law is especially

    important because it can provide the oundation or the

    regulations that are needed to address specic problems

    undermining Vietnams ability to achieve greater energy

    eciency. The law can bring stronger legitimacy to orga-

    nizations and their work, and provide or assignment o

    responsibilities and associated unding. Enactment o the

    law can send a clear message to society and the market

    on national intentions. The law can mandate new relation-

    ships among the government, industry, and large com-mercial enterprises to encourage more ecient use o

    energy, mandate improved systems to provide consum-

    ers with objective inormation, and lay a oundation or

    developing minimum energy-eciency standards or key

    types o equipment. It is important to maintain fexibility

    or adjustments based on evolving experience, and hence

    leave many specics or associated regulations. Based

    on Chinas experience with its rst energy conservation

    law in the 1990s; however, it is also useul or the law to

    provide clear authority or the enorcement o regulations

    and assessment o penalties or noncompliance.

    Development and especially implementation o the rst

    set o regulations based on the law, i enacted, will bea very large undertaking over the next three years. It is

    important or the design o specic regulations and their

    rollout to be careully aligned with the governments

    capacity to assist in their implementation and to enorce

    them. Overambitious, all-encompassing regulations that

    cannot be practically implemented with existing sta and

    organizational capacity may undermine credibility and be

    counterproductive.

    Uneashin Maret Frces. While regulation is important

    or drawing attention to energy waste, ensuring unbiased

    inormation fow, and overcoming certain specic marketailures, the use o market orces is critical or realizing

    large-scale, ecient, and sustainable investment in more

    ecient energy-use systems. For Vietnam, rom an over-

    all policy perspective, the review o consumer energy

    prices and adjustment to best refect true costs, as well

    as continued state-owned enterprise reorm, can make a

    major dierence in helping bring market orces to bear,

    especially in the industrial sector. However, eort is also

    needed to oster development o eective investment

    project delivery systems. Experience elsewhere shows

    that eective delivery systems or energy-eciency

    investment projects are not likely to develop without ini-

    tial government encouragement, but once operational,investment can continue sustainably with more lim-

    ited public involvement. Given the scale o investment

    needed, reliance on market-based mechanisms is essen-

    tial to achieving long-term energy-eciency goals. Some

    o the more common energy-eciency investment deliv-

    ery systems are outlined below.

    Ener Service Cmpanies. For the energy-eciency invest-

    ment market to unction, entities that understand the

    technology and cost-saving potential are required to help

    identiy opportunities, complete good easibility studies,

    and assist in project implementation. Such companies or

    institutes may be called third-party service providers,

    project agents, or other terms. For Vietnam, continued

    development o a local industry o these types o compa-

    nies will be critical i energy-eciency investment is to

    increase sharply.

    Many people reserve the term ESCO or energy ser-

    vice companies that engage in energy perormance

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    27Options or Further Improving Energy Efciency in Vietnam

    Specia Puic Resurce Funds. Some governments estab-

    lish special-purpose unds, parastatal energy-eciency

    investment companies, or other long-term special pro-

    grams designed to catalyze energy investment in the

    market with the use o public unds. Two examples that

    involved the creation o new legal entities include IndiasRenewable Energy Development Agency (a national para-

    statal company that also engages in energy-eciency

    loans) and the development o Energy-Eciency Utili-

    ties by several state governments in the United States.

    Objectives best ocus on maximum monitorable results in

    increased energy-eciency investment per unit o public

    resources. While some programs have clearly been suc-

    cessul, there are many inherent challenges, including

    maintenance o program stability because o continuing

    nancing uncertainties, complex and sometimes uneasy

    or unhealthy relations with the banking industry, and pro-

    gram management capacity requirements. I Vietnam

    chooses to consider such an option, it may be best to

    dene upront (a) very clear and narrow objectives, and a

    sophisticated system or how results will be measured;

    (b) specics o program management and implementa-

    tion, including the contracting o capacity rom outside

    the government; and (c) medium-term dedicated nanc-

    ing sources.

    Putting Regulation and Market-BasedPrograms Together in Key Sectors

    Improving Energy Efciency in ExistingIndustrial Plants

    While many cost-eective energy-ecient technologies

    and process improvements are available and appropri-

    ate or existing Vietnamese industry, inorming industry

    managers, incentivizing owners, packaging projects,

    and identiying and implementing them have been more

    problematic. On the regulatory side, some important and

    useul measures listed in recent drats o the energy

    conservation law include new mandatory energy-use

    reporting systems, requirements or developing internal

    energy management programs in designated enterprises,

    requirements or designated enterprises to implementve-year energy-eciency improvement plans agreed

    with and monitored by the government, and provisions

    allowing the government to ban particularly wasteul

    equipment and energy-use practices. The reporting,

    energy management, and energy-eciency planning

    requirements can provide a critically needed platorm or

    increasing inormation on the specic energy-eciency

    opportunities, both in industrial enterprises and in govern-

    ment entities. They can also provide a powerul impetus

    or organizing greater attention in enterprises to poten-

    tially protable opportunities or energy-eciency invest-

    ments and operational modications, and or instituting

    improved energy management practices that can have a

    big payo over the medium term. However, implementa-

    tion will be a major eort requiring ocused attention atmany levels or quite a ew years. Countries with strong

    experience in recent years in these particular regulatory

    and monitoring areas include China, Japan, and a num-

    ber o European Union countries. China also began to

    achieve good results in 200608 in its banning o particu-

    larly energy-wasting, subscale industrial technologies,

    but its experience has shown that rigorous enorcement

    at local levels is critical.

    Regulatory measures can attract needed attention within

    industrial enterprises, but measures to help make it

    easier or them to implement money-making energy-

    eciency projects in line with market orces are needed

    to then deliver concrete energy savings in existing plants

    (provided that the plants continue to operate). This

    requires additional inormation programs, steady and

    major capacity-building programs or energy managers

    and third-party service providers, and eorts to expand

    project nancing channels and amounts. Programs to

    provide enterprises with inormation on opportunities

    or example, through the dissemination o case studies,

    technical resources, and analytical tools; delivery o train-

    ing courses; and so orthoten get the best results i

    the ocus is on how enterprises can save money rom

    energy conservation. Training and increasing hands-on experience is needed, especially among third-party

    service groups, to help eciently identiy and package

    nancially attractive technology choices and renovations.

    Financing or energy-eciency projects is typically di-

    cult to arrange through standard channels. Although

    the business can be protable or banks in due course,

    eorts are needed to help jump-start loan programs that

    can eciently accommodate good energy conservation

    retrot projects.

    A number o international donors are working with the

    government to prepare new programs or preparing

    and/or nancing industrial energy-eciency retrot proj-ects, and such programs can be quite constructive. One

    suggestion is to try to ocus exclusively on capturing

    a good share o the available nancially attractive proj-

    ects, avoiding less economic investments, and aiming

    to create and link project development and investment

    mechanisms that are inherently protable or the nanc-

    ing and host entities and that can be sustained ater

    donor nancing is exhausted. Another suggestion is to

    ensure that technical assistance or project identication

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    29Options or Further Improving Energy Efciency in Vietnam

    Electrical Appliances

    Electrical appliances in residences used 39 percent o all

    electricity consumed in Vietnam in 2007. The IEA esti-

    mates that electricity savings o some 2538 percent in

    residential appliances could be achieved internationally.

    6

    However, capturing the savings potential involves some

    dierent challenges rom those in industry or transpor-

    tation. In industry, energy-eciency initiatives ocus

    especially on helping enterprises identiy and implement

    relatively customized solutions. With household electri-

    cal appliances, however, a limited number o appliance

    types dominate electricity use (or example, lamps,

    rerigerators, air conditioners, water heaters, and rice

    cookers), but a very dispersed supply and use chain that

    involves millions o customers, many retailers, and quite

    a ew dierent product suppliers.

    Because o the nature o the market, programs to improveeciencies or electrical appliances are usually done on

    a national scale and oten by individual appliance. Many

    countries aim to transorm existing markets, that is,

    to guide the increasing penetration o more energy-e-

    cient appliances into specic appliance markets through

    regulation and selective public intervention, yet they

    still rely on market orces or ecient and sustainable

    market operation. This involves (a) programs to provide

    customers with commonly available, credible, and cor-

    rect but simple inormation about the eciency charac-

    teristics o the choices in ront o them; (b) government

    initiatives to work with suppliers to encourage expanded

    marketing o reputable and more ecient products, anddiscourage particularly wasteul or raudulent market

    oerings; and (c) programs to help customers cope with

    the initial higher costs o some more ecient appliances

    until market transormation can take hold. Good results

    require careul planning, a mix o tools, and long-term

    dedication.

    The main initiatives undertaken in the appliance market

    transormation arena in Vietnam so ar are on the dis-

    semination o CFLs and some initial activities on market

    labeling, establishment o appliance testing protocols,

    establishment o a local testing acility, and some devel-

    opment o several national standards (see Chapter 2).

    EVNs program or bulk purchase and distribution o CFLs

    has been quite successul in terms o volumes achieved

    and increasing awareness. Now may be the time or the

    6 IEA.Experience with Energy Eciency Regulations or Electrical

    Equipment IEA inormation paper, OECD/IEA, August 2007.

    government to establish promotional programs that can

    build on recent gains and be sustained over the long term

    through local retail outlets, and or renewed eorts on

    FTLs and electronic ballasts. It also is a good time to put

    more aggressive and comprehensive programs in place

    or larger household appliances. For the uture, Vietnamneeds to develop more consolidated and deliberate pro-

    grams ocused on ensuring long-term results.

    Good market transormation programs require upront

    public investment to gain understanding o the specic

    target markets beore attempting to transorm them.

    Consumer purchase behaviors and concerns when buy-

    ing new appliances, the realities o retail systems and

    locations, consumer nancing patterns, supplier chains

    and selling strategies, and the characteristics and prices

    o the main products currently on the market are all

    important to understand beore embarking on major mar-

    ket transormation initiatives. Unless built on such spe-

    cic understanding, program designs are likely to result

    in too much wasted eort.

    Expansion and upgrading o programs to provide readily

    available and credible inormation to consumers about var-

    ious appliance products on the market is especially impor-

    tant now. Many poor-quality products are on the market,

    and unsubstantiated claims about energy eciency and

    critical product characteristics abound. It is dicult or

    consumers to know with condence which claims are

    correct and which are bogus, and hence when payment

    o higher costs upront will pay o. To solve this problem,however, will require greater public investment, planning,

    and time to develop and institute testing programs, to

    develop well-designed appliance labels and other inorma-

    tion, and especially to increase the visibility o such inor-

    mation and consumer condence that it is correct.

    Development and implementation o either voluntary

    or mandatory energy-eciency standards or key appli-

    ances has been eective in a number o countries and is

    being considered in Vietnam. However, standards must

    be strictly enorced or they lose their meaning. I compli-

    ance is voluntary, consumers must still have condence

    rom the compliance system that products claiming tomeet voluntary standards actually do. Compliance moni-

    toring systems also require public investment and time

    to develop and implement properly.

    Energy-ecient appliances typically cost more than ine-

    cient ones, even i they pay o through savings later,

    and the issue o higher upront costs needs to be dealt

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    30 Vietnam: Expanding Opportunities or Energy Efciency

    with as programs are launched. Government-supplier

    negotiations can oten help to bring down costs, with

    technology transer agreements, and/or bulk procure-

    ment or other discount deals in which suppliers oer

    lower prices or arrangements resulting in larger-scale

    sales. Still, consumer subsidies may be justied to jump-start market transormation to more ecient appliances,

    at least until the market penetration begins to see ur-

    ther economies o scale and/or consumers more clearly

    see the longer-term payos. Common subsidy mecha-

    nisms include partial rebates or the purchase o speci-

    ed more ecient models, or the provision o low-cost

    nancing or large appliances. Such subsidies are best

    designed rom the beginning with plans or their gradual

    phaseout. Most countries rely on existing appliance retail

    systems or distribution, although electricity utilities may

    collaborate with the programs (or example, in market-

    ing and distribution o rebate coupons and so orth) as

    part o DSM program agreements or under specic gov-

    ernment contract. Because appliance markets are large

    and diuse, government programs must be designed to

    minimize unintended distortions in the market, especially

    competition with and undermining o existing supply

    channels. Waste by providing incentives to those con-

    sumers already planning to purchase ecient equipment

    on the market also needs to be minimized.

    Recommendations orFollow-Up Actions

    With the new energy conservation law up or consid-

    eration by the National Assembly, growing experience

    through the implementation o the VNEEP, and a sup-

    portive donor community, the overall environment or

    scaling up the governments eorts to promote greater

    energy eciency is very good. What is most important at

    this point is laying solid oundations or institutional sys-

    tems and programs that can make major energy savings

    contributions over the long haul, and grow stronger and

    stronger over time. However, achievement o real and

    sizable energy-eciency gains is not easy. While some

    quick gains may occasionally be achieved, the best

    and most lasting results usually stem rom programs

    that are built with sucient and growing local capacity

    or delivery. This requires good planning, upront public

    investment, dedication, and time. Some countries have

    grabbed onto program ideas introduced rom elsewhere,

    which sound simple and easy, and introduced them with

    high expectations without sucient groundwork, adap-

    tation to local circumstances, consideration o possible

    unintended consequences, or consideration o the need

    or human resource investment in program delivery.

    Results then tend to be poor and zzle out. It is certainly

    not the case that all programs must wait or complete,

    ull-scale planning beore anything can be started. Small-

    scale piloting and trial eorts are excellent ways to test

    ideas and begin to adapt them to realities on the ground.It is oten useul, however, or pilots to have a strategic

    ocus set in a broader, deliberate plan and, i evaluations

    show promise, or scale-up eorts to be designed with

    deliberate ocus on long-term sustainable results.

    Although donor unds may provide some large nancing

    sources or a ew years or some activities, the current

    public und budget o US$2 million per year or imple-

    mentation o the VNEEP means that the government

    must prioritize its activities careully. Increasing leverage

    is also criticalor example, to use public unds as seed

    money or ideas that can be scaled up by others, espe-

    cially the private sector.

    In prioritizing among competing program requests or

    public unds, the Bank study team strongly recommends

    greater attention to evaluation o the actual energy sav-

    ings results that may be achieved. The success o the

    VNEEP should be assessed with respect to the spe-

    cic, quantied role it has played in helping to meet the

    governments energy savings goals. It is true that many

    public investments in the early years may need to con-

    centrate on human resource capacity building, although

    assessment o direct energy savings rom capacity build-

    ing investment is dicult. However, even in this case,greater rigor is possible. For example, what specic pro-

    grams are sta to be trained or and expected to contrib-

    ute to, and how much energy savings might evolve rom

    a specic program i successul? Ater the training, did

    those sta really apply the skills they learned in the spe-

    cic program? What other actors must be addressed or

    those skills to produce concerted, new energy savings,

    and have those actors been addressed?

    With the new law moving orward and new implementa-

    tion regulations in the preparatory phase, it would also

    appear to be a good time to review how government

    institutional responsibilities and the coordination between

    dierent parties can be urther crated to best serve the

    long-term needs. A common observation expressed by

    oreigners reviewing Vietnams energy-eciency pro-

    gram is that it is too ragmented institutionally, with

    overlapping or unclear responsibilities and insucient

    coordination and direction. While there are many issues

    and actors to consider, the current juncture may provide

    a good opportunity or adjustments.

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    31Options or Further Improving Energy Efciency