AZ-Gov Susquehanna (Nov. 2013)

8/13/2019 AZ-Gov Susquehanna (Nov. 2013)

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Arizona Statewide, November 2013

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table DIRECTION Page 1...Q1. Is the state of Arizona generally going in the right direction, or has it gotten on the wrong track?

Table DIRECTION Page 2...Q1. Is the state of Arizona generally going in the right direction, or has it gotten on the wrong track?

Table REGVOTE Page 3.....Q2. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or something else?

Table REGVOTE Page 4.....Q2. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or something else?

Table GOVERNOR Page 5....Q3. Thinking ahead to the Republican primary election for governor next year, if the election were being held today andthe six candidates wereKen Bennett, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Andrew Thomas, Doug Ducey, Scott Smith (ROTATE

NAMES)From the list you just heard, which candidate would be your first choice?

Table GOVERNOR Page 6....Q3. Thinking ahead to the Republican primary election for governor next year, if the election were being held today andthe six candidates wereKen Bennett, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Andrew Thomas, Doug Ducey, Scott Smith (ROTATENAMES)From the list you just heard, which candidate would be your first choice?

Table Q4 Page 7..........Q4. If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Ken Bennett, the Republican candidateand Fred DuVal, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES)

Table Q4 Page 8..........Q4. If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Ken Bennett, the Republican candidateand Fred DuVal, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES)

Table Q5 Page 9..........Q5. If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Doug Ducey, the Republican candidate,and Fred DuVal, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES)

Table Q5 Page 10.........Q5. If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Doug Ducey, the Republican candidate,and Fred DuVal, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES)

Table AGERANGE Page 11...Q6. Is your age range in years between 18 to 29, 30 to 44, 45 to 54, 55 to 64 or 65 and over?

Table AGERANGE Page 12...Q6. Is your age range in years between 18 to 29, 30 to 44, 45 to 54, 55 to 64 or 65 and over?

Table GENDER Page 13...... Are you a male or female?

Table GENDER Page 14...... Are you a male or female?

Table HISPANIC Page 15...Q7. Are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background?

Table HISPANIC Page 16...Q7. Are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background?

Table HHPARTY Page 17....HOUSEHOLD PARTY:(from record)

Table HHPARTY Page 18....HOUSEHOLD PARTY:(from record)

Table VOTED Page 19......VOTED: (from record 1 of 3 or better in G08/G10/G12)

Table VOTED Page 20......VOTED: (from record 1 of 3 or better in G08/G10/G12)

Table AREA Page 21.......AREA: (from record)

Table AREA Page 22.......AREA: (from record)


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Table DIRECTION Page 1


Q1. Is the state of Arizona generally going in the right direction, or has it gotten on the wrong track?

| PARTY | AGE BREAKS | HISPANIC?|| | | |

| | | |Total| Rep Dem Ind| 18-44 45-54 55-64 65+| Yes No|------ ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Right direction 232 125 37 67 61 38 51 82 42 19039% 51% 20% 42% 41% 37% 34% 42% 47% 37%

2. Wrong track 292 89 122 78 63 54 84 91 40 25349% 36% 66% 49% 42% 53% 56% 46% 45% 50%

3. Undecided 44 18 17 8 22 6 11 6 4 407% 8% 9% 5% 15% 5% 7% 3% 4% 8%

4. Refuse 32 13 8 8 4 5 4 18 4 275% 5% 4% 5% 3% 5% 3% 9% 4% 5%

Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc. Page 1


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Table DIRECTION Page 2


Q1. Is the state of Arizona generally going in the right direction, or has it gotten on the wrong track?

| GENDER | VOTE HISTORY| AREA BREAKS || | G08/G10/G12 | |

| | | Maricopa Pima Other Other |Total| Male Female| 1X 2X 3X| County County Northern Southern|------ ------- ------- ---- ---- ---- --------- --------- --------- ---------

Total 600 288 312 55 77 469 346 130 63 61100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Right direction 232 111 121 20 33 179 142 39 25 2539% 38% 39% 37% 43% 38% 41% 30% 40% 42%

2. Wrong track 292 149 144 26 34 232 153 81 31 2849% 52% 46% 48% 44% 50% 44% 62% 48% 47%

3. Undecided 44 18 26 6 6 32 33 5 3 37% 6% 8% 11% 8% 7% 10% 4% 4% 5%

4. Refuse 32 11 21 2 4 26 18 5 5 45% 4% 7% 4% 5% 6% 5% 4% 7% 7%



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Table REGVOTE Page 3


Q2. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or something else?



Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Republican 245 245 - - 63 45 61 77 15 23041% 100% 42% 44% 41% 39% 17% 45%

2. Democrat 184 - 184 - 30 32 50 71 45 13931% 100% 20% 32% 34% 36% 50% 27%

3. Independent/other 160 - - 160 50 25 37 49 30 13127% 100% 33% 24% 24% 25% 33% 26%

4. Refuse 11 - - - 7 - 2 1 - 102% 5% 1% *% 2%



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Table REGVOTE Page 4


Q2. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or something else?



Total 600 288 312 55 77 469 346 130 63 61100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Republican 245 109 136 10 27 207 146 47 25 2741% 38% 44% 19% 35% 44% 42% 36% 39% 44%

2. Democrat 184 84 100 22 22 139 89 48 23 2431% 29% 32% 41% 29% 30% 26% 37% 36% 39%

3. Independent/other 160 87 73 19 27 114 99 36 16 1027% 30% 24% 35% 35% 24% 29% 27% 25% 17%

4. Refuse 11 8 2 3 - 8 11 -1 - -2% 3% 1% 5% 2% 3% -0%



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Table GOVERNOR Page 5


Q3. Thinking ahead to the Republican primary election for governor next year, if the election were being held today andthe six candidates wereKen Bennett, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Andrew Thomas, Doug Ducey, Scott Smith (ROTATE


| PARTY | AGE BREAKS | HISPANIC?|| | | || | | |

Total| Rep Dem Ind| 18-44 45-54 55-64 65+| Yes No|------ ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

Total Answering 245 245 - - 63 45 61 77 15 230100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Ken Bennett 50 50 - - 11 12 9 18 2 4820% 20% 17% 27% 15% 24% 13% 21%

2. Christine Jones 10 10 - - 3 1 3 3 - 104% 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% 4%

3. Al Melvin 4 4 - - 3 1 - 1 - 42% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2%

4. Andrew Thomas 10 10 - - - 2 4 4 - 104% 4% 4% 7% 6% 4%

5. Doug Ducey 21 21 - - 6 3 6 6 2 198% 8% 9% 6% 10% 8% 13% 8%

6. Scott Smith 14 14 - - 3 5 2 4 2 126% 6% 4% 10% 3% 6% 13% 5%

7. Undecided 129 129 - - 36 20 36 38 9 12053% 53% 56% 44% 59% 50% 61% 52%

8. Refuse 7 7 - - 3 2 1 1 - 73% 3% 4% 4% 2% 2% 3%



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Table GOVERNOR Page 6


Q3. Thinking ahead to the Republican primary election for governor next year, if the election were being held today andthe six candidates wereKen Bennett, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Andrew Thomas, Doug Ducey, Scott Smith (ROTATE


| GENDER | VOTE HISTORY| AREA BREAKS || | G08/G10/G12 | || | | Maricopa Pima Other Other |

Total| Male Female| 1X 2X 3X| County County Northern Southern|------ ------- ------- ---- ---- ---- --------- --------- --------- ---------

Total Answering 245 109 136 10 27 207 146 47 25 27100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Ken Bennett 50 30 20 - 9 42 22 17 9 220% 28% 15% 32% 20% 15% 35% 38% 7%

2. Christine Jones 10 4 6 3 1 6 7 2 1 -4% 3% 5% 28% 2% 3% 5% 4% 5%

3. Al Melvin 4 2 3 - - 4 1 3 - -2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 7%

4. Andrew Thomas 10 7 3 - 1 9 9 - - 14% 7% 2% 3% 5% 6% 4%

5. Doug Ducey 21 12 9 1 1 19 18 2 1 -8% 11% 7% 9% 2% 9% 12% 5% 3%

6. Scott Smith 14 7 7 1 2 11 10 1 1 26% 7% 5% 7% 6% 5% 7% 2% 3% 7%

7. Undecided 129 46 83 6 15 108 76 22 13 1953% 42% 61% 56% 54% 52% 52% 46% 51% 71%

8. Refuse 7 1 6 - - 7 3 1 - 33% 1% 4% 3% 2% 1% 12%



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Table Q4 Page 7


Q4. If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Ken Bennett, the Republican candidateand Fred DuVal, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES)

| PARTY | AGE BREAKS | HISPANIC?|

| | | || | | |


Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Ken Bennett 230 158 23 43 48 46 52 84 28 20138% 64% 13% 27% 32% 45% 35% 43% 31% 39%

2. Fred DuVal 195 23 125 43 45 30 51 69 38 15833% 10% 68% 27% 30% 29% 34% 35% 42% 31%

3. Undecided 171 62 36 72 57 25 45 44 24 147

28% 25% 19% 45% 38% 25% 30% 22% 27% 29%

4. Refuse 4 2 1 2 - 1 2 0 - 41% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% *% 1%



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Table Q4 Page 8


Q4. If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Ken Bennett, the Republican candidateand Fred DuVal, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES)

| GENDER | VOTE HISTORY| AREA BREAKS |

| | G08/G10/G12 | || | | Maricopa Pima Other Other |


Total 600 288 312 55 77 469 346 130 63 61100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Ken Bennett 230 109 121 14 28 188 131 47 30 2338% 38% 39% 26% 36% 40% 38% 36% 47% 37%

2. Fred DuVal 195 115 81 20 21 154 99 59 20 1733% 40% 26% 37% 28% 33% 29% 45% 32% 29%

3. Undecided 171 61 109 20 27 123 112 25 13 21

28% 21% 35% 37% 36% 26% 32% 19% 20% 34%

4. Refuse 4 2 1 - 1 3 4 -1 1 -1% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% -0% 1%



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Table Q5 Page 9


Q5. If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Doug Ducey, the Republican candidate,and Fred DuVal, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES)

| PARTY | AGE BREAKS | HISPANIC?|

| | | || | | |


Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Doug Ducey 214 146 16 47 49 42 45 78 30 18236% 60% 9% 29% 33% 41% 30% 39% 34% 36%

2. Fred DuVal 195 23 120 49 41 29 56 69 36 16033% 9% 65% 30% 27% 28% 38% 35% 40% 31%

3. Undecided 185 73 48 64 60 29 47 50 24 162

31% 30% 26% 40% 40% 28% 31% 25% 27% 32%

4. Refuse 5 4 1 1 - 2 2 1 - 61% 1% *% 1% 2% 1% *% 1%



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Table Q5 Page 10


Q5. If the election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Doug Ducey, the Republican candidate,and Fred DuVal, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE NAMES)

| GENDER | VOTE HISTORY| AREA BREAKS |

| | G08/G10/G12 | || | | Maricopa Pima Other Other |


Total 600 288 312 55 77 469 346 130 63 61100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Doug Ducey 214 108 106 10 26 177 122 44 25 2336% 38% 34% 19% 34% 38% 35% 34% 39% 38%

2. Fred DuVal 195 108 87 16 28 152 92 63 21 1933% 38% 28% 29% 36% 32% 27% 49% 34% 31%

3. Undecided 185 68 118 28 23 135 127 23 16 19

31% 24% 38% 52% 29% 29% 37% 18% 26% 31%

4. Refuse 5 3 2 - - 5 5 -1 1 -1% 1% 1% 1% 2% -0% 1%



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Table AGERANGE Page 11


Q6. Is your age range in years between 18 to 29, 30 to 44, 45 to 54, 55 to 64 or 65 and over?



Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. 18-44 150 63 30 50 150 - - - 19 13025% 26% 16% 31% 100% 21% 25%

2. 45-54 102 45 32 25 - 102 - - 25 7717% 18% 18% 16% 100% 28% 15%

3. 55-64 150 61 50 37 - - 150 - 20 13025% 25% 27% 23% 100% 22% 26%

4. 65+ 197 77 71 49 - - - 197 26 17233% 31% 39% 30% 100% 29% 34%

5. Refuse 1 - - - - - - - - -*%



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Table GENDER Page 13


Are you a male or female?



Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Male 288 109 84 87 75 51 74 88 49 23848% 44% 46% 54% 50% 50% 49% 45% 55% 47%

2. Female 312 136 100 73 75 51 76 109 41 27152% 56% 54% 46% 50% 50% 51% 55% 45% 53%



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Table GENDER Page 14


Are you a male or female?



Total 600 288 312 55 77 469 346 130 63 61100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Male 288 288 - 22 37 230 167 72 24 2548% 100% 40% 48% 49% 48% 55% 38% 41%

2. Female 312 - 312 33 40 239 179 58 39 3652% 100% 60% 52% 51% 52% 45% 62% 59%



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Table HISPANIC Page 15


Q7. Are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background?



Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Yes 90 15 45 30 19 25 20 26 90 -15% 6% 24% 19% 13% 24% 13% 13% 100%

2. No 509 230 139 131 130 77 130 172 - 50985% 94% 76% 82% 86% 76% 87% 87% 100%

3. Refuse 1 - - -0 2 - - -2 - -*% -0% 1% -1%



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Table HHPARTY Page 17


HOUSEHOLD PARTY:(from record)



Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Republican 254 203 12 33 65 48 60 82 21 23342% 83% 7% 21% 43% 47% 40% 41% 23% 46%

2. Democrat 197 15 156 23 35 35 52 75 43 15433% 6% 85% 14% 23% 34% 35% 38% 48% 30%

3. Independent 149 26 15 104 50 19 39 40 26 12325% 11% 8% 65% 33% 19% 26% 21% 29% 24%



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Table VOTED Page 19


VOTED: (from record 1 of 3 or better in G08/G10/G12)



Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. 1X 55 10 22 19 24 8 9 13 11 439% 4% 12% 12% 16% 8% 6% 7% 12% 9%

2. 2X 77 27 22 27 29 11 15 22 18 5913% 11% 12% 17% 19% 11% 10% 11% 20% 12%

3. 3X 469 207 139 114 97 83 127 162 61 40778% 85% 76% 71% 65% 81% 84% 82% 68% 80%



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Table VOTED Page 20


VOTED: (from record 1 of 3 or better in G08/G10/G12)



Total 600 288 312 55 77 469 346 130 63 61100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. 1X 55 22 33 55 - - 37 5 6 79% 8% 11% 100% 11% 4% 9% 11%

2. 2X 77 37 40 - 77 - 46 16 7 913% 13% 13% 100% 13% 12% 10% 14%

3. 3X 469 230 239 - - 469 263 109 51 4678% 80% 77% 100% 76% 84% 80% 75%



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Table AREA Page 21


AREA: (from record)



Total 600 245 184 160 150 102 150 197 90 509100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1. Maricopa County 346 146 89 99 97 58 84 105 36 30858% 60% 49% 61% 65% 57% 56% 53% 40% 60%

2. Pima County 130 47 48 36 31 23 36 40 26 10522% 19% 26% 22% 21% 23% 24% 20% 29% 21%

3. Other Northern 63 25 23 16 6 9 13 35 9 54Counties 11% 10% 12% 10% 4% 9% 9% 17% 10% 11%

4. Other Southern 61 27 24 10 15 11 17 18 18 42Counties 10% 11% 13% 6% 10% 11% 11% 9% 20% 8%



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AZ-Gov Susquehanna (Nov. 2013)