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    Copyright © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights resere!.McGraw-Hill/IrwinStrategic Management: Text and Cases, 4e

     

    Analyzing the External

    Environment of the Firm

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    Learning Objectives

    After reading this chapter, you should have a goodunderstanding of:

    - The importance of developing forecasts of the business

    environment.- Why environmental scanning, environmental monitoring,

    and collecting competitive intelligence are critical inputsto forecasting.

    - Why scenario planning is a useful technique for firmscompeting in industries characterized by unpredictabilityand change.

    - The impact of the general environment on a firm’sstrategies and performance.

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    Learning Objectives

    After reading this chapter, you should have a goodunderstanding of:

    - o! forces in the competitive environment can affect

     profitability and ho! a firm can improve its competitive position by increasing its po!er vis-"-vis these forces.

    - o! trends and events in the general environment andforces in the competitive environment are interrelated andaffect performance.

    - o! the internet and digitally based compatibilities areaffecting the five competitive forces and industry profitability.

    - The concept of strategic groups and their strategy and

     performance implications.

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    reating the Environmentally

    A!are Organization

    #$nsert %&hibit '.(

    2 "

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    Environmental #canning $ %onitoring

    # %&ternal )canning

    - )urveillance of a firm’s e&ternal environment:

    # *redict environmental changes to come

    # +etect changes already under !ay

    # *roactive mode

    # %&ternal onitoring

    - Trac evolution of:

    # %nvironmental trends

    # )equence of events

    # )treams of activities

    2 &

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    om'etitive (ntelligence

    # +efine and understand a firm’s industry

    # $dentify rivals’ strengths and !eanesses

    -$ntelligence gathering data/- $nterpretation of intelligence data

    # elps a firm avoid surprises

    2 )

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    *hat om'etitive (ntelligence

    (s an+ (s ,ot

    Competitive Intelligence

     Is …. (nformation that has been

    analyzed to the point !hereyou can mae a decision.

    2. A tool to alert management

    to early recognition of both

    threats and opportunities.

    3. A means to +eliverreasonable assessments.

    4. A !ay of life/ a 'rocess.

    Competitive Intelligence Is

     Not …. #'ying. )pying implies illegal

    or unethical activities. $t is arare activity.

    2. A crystal ball. 0ompetitive

    $ntelligence is good

    appro&imation of reality1 it does

    not predict the future.

    3. 0atabase search. +ata by itself

    is not good intelligence.

    4. A job for one smart 'erson.

    Adapted from %&hibit '.' What 0ompetitive $ntelligence $s and $s 2ot3

    2 1

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    Environmental Forecasting

    # *lausible pro4ections about

    - +irection of environmental change

    - )cope of environmental change

    - )peed of environmental change

    - $ntensity of environmental change

    # )cenario analysis

    2

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    estion

    Which of the follo!ing is a danger of forecasting5

    a/ anagers assume that the !orld is not open to precise

     predictions.

     b/ anagers may vie! uncertainty as blac and !hite and

    ignore grey areas.

    c/ anagers assume that the !orld is uncertain.

    d/ anagers vie! the !orld as completely unpredictable.

    2

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    #*O Analysis

    # anagers need to analyze

    - The general environment

    - The firm’s industry and competitive advantage

    # )W6T analysis

    - )trengths

    - Weanesses

    - 6pportunities- Threats

    - 7asic technique for analyzing firm and industry condition

    2 2

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    Exam'le

    # arley +avidson )W6T

    - )trengths

    # )trong 8 adaptable brand image

    - Weanesses

    # 9imited ability to develop ne! non-traditional products

    - 6pportunities

    # ro!ing leisure interest in motorcycles !orld!ide

    - Threats# +iffering foreign policies governing motorcycles

    )ource: +eveloped from !!!.harley-davidson.com

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    he 6eneral Environment

    # )egments of the general environment

    include:

    - +emographic

    - )ociocultural- 9egal;*olitical

    - Technological

    - %conomic

    - lobal# eneral environmental trends and events:

    - 9ittle ability to predict them

    - %ven less ability to control them

    - 0an vary across industries

    General

    Environment

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    0emogra'hic #egment

    # Aging population

    #

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    #ociocltral #egment

    # ore !omen in the !orforce

    # $ncrease in temporary !orers

    # reater concern for fitness# reater concern for environment

    # *ostponement of family formation

    2- "

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    7olitical8Legal #egment

    # Tort reform

    # Americans !ith +isabilities Act A+A/

    #

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    2 &

    echnological #egment

    # enetic engineering

    # %mergence of $nternet technology

    # 0omputer-aided design;computer-aided manufacturingsystems 0A+;0A/

    #

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    2 )

    Economic #egment

    # $nterest rates

    # >nemployment

    # 0onsumer *rice inde&# Trends in +*

    # 0hanges in stoc maret valuations

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    6lobal #egment

    # $ncreasing global trade

    # 0urrency e&change rates

    # %mergence of the $ndian and 0hinese economies# Trade agreements among regional blocs 2A?TA, %>,

    A)%A2/

    # 0reation of WT6 decreasing tariffs;free trade in

    services/

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    he om'etitive Environment

    # )egments of the competitive

    environment include:

    - 0ompetitors

    - 0ustomers

    - )uppliers

    # )ometimes called the tas or

    industry environment# *orter’s five forces model

    CompetitiveEnvironment

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    7orter9s Five Forces %o+el

    of (n+stry om'etition

    #$nsert %&hibit '.@

    2- 22

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    Exam'le

    # *orter’s ?ive ?orces odel: 7W

    - Threat of ne! entrants

    # ery lo!

    - Threat of substitutes

    # edium

    - *o!er of suppliers

    # edium

    - *o!er of buyers

    # edium

    -

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    he hreat of ,e! Entrants

    # *rofits of established firms in the industry may be eroded by

    ne! competitors

    # igh entry barriers lead to lo! threat of ne! entries

    - %conomies of scale- *roduct differentiation

    - 0apital requirements

    - )!itching costs

    - Access to distribution channels

    - 0ost disadvantages independent of scale

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    estion

      $f you are considering opening a ne! pizza restaurant

    in your community, !hat !ould be the threat of ne!

    entrants5 o! !ould you evaluate *orter’s other

    forces for this industry5 %&plain.

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    he :argaining 7o!er of :yers

    7uyers threaten an industry

    - ?orce do!n prices

    - 7argain for higher quality or more services

    - *lay competitors against each other 

    2- 2"

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    he :argaining 7o!er of :yers

    # A buyer group is po!erful !hen

    - $t is concentrated or purchases large volumes relative to

    seller sales

    - The products it purchases from the industry are standard or

    undifferentiated

    - The buyer faces fe! s!itching costs

    - $t earns lo! profits

    - The buyers pose a credible threat of bac!ard integration

    - The industry’s product is unimportant to the quality of the

     buyer’s products or services

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    he :argaining 7o!er of #''liers

    # )uppliers can e&ert po!er by threatening to raise

     prices or reduce the quality of purchased goods and

    services

    # A supplier group !ill be po!erful !hen

    - The supplier group is dominated by a fe! companies and is

    more concentrated than the industry it sells to

    - The supplier group is not obliged to contend !ith substitute

     products for sale to the industry

    - The industry is not an important customer of the supplier

    group

    2- 2)

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    # A supplier group !ill be po!erful !hen cont./

    - The supplier’s product is an important input to the buyer’s

     business

    - The supplier group’s products are differentiated or it has

     built up s!itching costs for the buyer 

    - The supplier group poses a credible threat of for!ard

    integration

    he :argaining 7o!er of #''liers

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    he hreat of #bstitte

    7ro+cts an+ #ervices

    # )ubstitutes limit the potential returns of an industry

    - 0eiling on the prices that firms in that industry can

     profitably charge

    - *rice;performance ratio

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    he (ntensity of ;ivalry among

    om'etitors in an (n+stry

    # Boceying for position

    # *rice competition

    # Advertising battles

    # *roduct introductions# $ncreased customer service or !arranties

    # $nteracting factors lead to intense rivalry-  2umerous or equally balanced competitors

    - )lo! industry gro!th- igh fi&ed or shortage costs

    - 9ac of differentiation or s!itching costs

    - 0apacity augmented in large increments

    - igh e&it barriers

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    =sing (n+stry Analyses> A Fe! aveats

    # ?ive ?orces analysis implicitly assumes a zero-sum

    game

    # ?ive ?orces analysis is essentially a static analysis

    - alue net

    # )uppliers and customers the vertical net/

    # )ubstitutes and complements the horizontal net/

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    he ?ale ,et

    #$nsert %&hibit '.(C

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    #trategic 6ro's !ithin (n+stries

    # T!o unassailable assumptions in industry analysis

    -  2o t!o firms are totally different

    -  2o t!o firms are e&actly the same

    # )trategic groups

    # 0luster of firms that share similar strategies

    - 7readth of product and geographic scope

    - *rice;quality- +egree of vertical integration

    - Type of distribution system

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    #trategic 6ro's !ithin (n+stries

    # alue of strategic groups as an analytical tool

    - $dentify barriers to mobility that protect a group from

    attacs by other groups

    - $dentify groups !hose competitive position may bemarginal or tenuous

    - 0hart the future direction of firms’ strategies

    - Thining through the implications of each industry trend for

    the strategic group as a !hole