58
China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College Entrance Exams and Admissions Hongbin Li Binzhen Wu Tsinghua University

China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College Entrance Exams and Admissions

Hongbin LiBinzhen Wu

Tsinghua University

Page 2: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

2

ChinaChina’’s Inequalitys Inequality

High and rising• Income, wealth, consumption• Inter-generational inequality

But, no one knows the country’s Gini coefficient

Another type of inequality has caught a lot of attention in recent years—educational inequality

Our focus: educational inequality reflected in college entrance exams and admissions

Page 3: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

3

ChinaChina’’s Education Systems Education System

9 years of compulsory education• 6 years of primary school• 3 years of junior high school

High school: 3 years• Sciences (physics, chemistry, biology,

difficult math)• Arts/social sciences (geography, history,

easy math)

Page 4: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

4

College Entrance Exams (CEE)College Entrance Exams (CEE)

To get into college, most students need to take the College Entrance Exams (CEE) on June 7-9• Math• Chinese• English• Composite (one of the two)

–Sciences–arts/social sciences

Fate-determining exams for Chinese

Page 5: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

5

CEE: StudentsCEE: Students

Page 6: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

6

CEE: ParentsCEE: Parents

Page 7: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

7

CEE: ParentsCEE: Parents

Page 8: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

8

I would be late!!!I would be late!!!

Page 9: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

9

Applications and AdmissionsApplications and Admissions

Before/after the exams (before/after scores known), students need to fill in their • college preferences in order• Major preferences in order

Scores are knownEach college sends an admission team to every

province (where it has admission quotas)The quotas and distribution are ultimately set by

the Ministry of Education, but colleges have some freedom

Page 10: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

10

Data: CEE Takers in 2003Data: CEE Takers in 2003

The population of all CEE takers 6.2 million students in 2003 Information

• Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, birth date, gender, ethnicity, health status, repeating taker, science, scores of College Entrance Exams (CEE)…

Admissions: university name, majorCould get access more years potentially

Page 11: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

11

Supply of Higher EducationSupply of Higher Education

Two categories of higher education• Colleges (2-3 years)• Universities (4 years)

Universities• 985 universities (in May 1998, President

Jiang’s speech: build world-class universities)

• 211 universities (21st century: invest in 100 universities)

• Other universities

Page 12: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

12

Type Number of colleges

Number of students

Percent of the population

Not Admitted 0 1960199 0.316

College 1123 2424147 0.391

University 602 1365827 0.220

211 Universities 76 284212 0.046

985 Universities 29 138686 0.022

Top 9 Universities 7 26672 0.004

Top 2 Universities 2 6497 0.001

Total 1839 6206240 1

Supply of Higher Education 2003Supply of Higher Education 2003

Page 13: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

13

Major AllocationMajor Allocation

Page 14: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

14

Variable Mean

Age 18.682

Female 0.433

Rural 0.524

Minor 0.069

Repeating students 0.224

Science (vs. arts/social sciences) 0.733

Rate of getting bonus scores 0.084

Rate of going to local colleges 0.483

Demand: Exam Takers (applicants)Demand: Exam Takers (applicants)

Page 15: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

15

Applicants vs. PopulationApplicants vs. Population

Page 16: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

16

Equilibrium (matching)Equilibrium (matching)

Rates of admissionMajor and student match

Page 17: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

17

CEE Scores: TotalCEE Scores: Total

Page 18: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

18

Majors:Majors:

Page 19: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

19

Majors: Scores (985Majors: Scores (985 Univ)Univ)

Page 20: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

20

Educational InequalityEducational Inequality

Gender biasHukou (urban vs. rural) biasAffirmative policyTraining biasHome biasHigh school bias

Page 21: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

21

性别差异性别差异————高考成绩高考成绩

Page 22: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

2222

Gender BiasGender Bias

% of females among students in top 10%; top 5%; top 1%

Page 23: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

23

Gender BiasGender Bias

Page 24: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

2424

Gender BiasGender Bias

% of females among students in top 10%; top 5%; top 1%

Page 25: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

25

Educational InequalityEducational Inequality

Gender biasHukou (urban vs. rural) biasAffirmative policyHome biasTraining biasHigh school bias

Page 26: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

26

Hukou Bias (CEE Scores)Hukou Bias (CEE Scores)

Page 27: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

27

Hukou (urban) BiasHukou (urban) Bias

Page 28: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

28

Hukou (urban) BiasHukou (urban) Bias

Page 29: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

29

Hukou Bias: Major ChoiceHukou Bias: Major Choice

Page 30: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

30

Educational InequalityEducational Inequality

Gender biasHukou (urban vs. rural) biasAffirmative policyTraining biasHome biasHigh school bias

Page 31: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

31

Ethnicity Difference: CEE ScoresEthnicity Difference: CEE Scores

Page 32: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

32

Ethnicity Difference: CEE ScoresEthnicity Difference: CEE Scores

Page 33: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

33

Affirmative PolicyAffirmative Policy

Page 34: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

34

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 35: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

35

Educational InequalityEducational Inequality

Gender biasHukou (urban vs. rural) biasAffirmative policyTraining biasHome biasHigh school bias

Page 36: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

36

Repeating Exam TakersRepeating Exam Takers

Page 37: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

37

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 38: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

38

Educational InequalityEducational Inequality

Gender biasHukou (urban vs. rural) biasAffirmative policyTraining biasHome biasHigh school bias

Page 39: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

39

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 40: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

40

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 41: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

41

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 42: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

42

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 43: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

43

Type (inclusive) Percent of local admissions

College 0.658

University 0.667

211 Universities 0.456

985 Universities 0.393

Top 9 Universities 0.388

Top 2 Universities 0.209

Local Admissions of Each TypeLocal Admissions of Each Type

Page 44: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

44

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 45: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

45

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 46: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

46

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 47: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

47

Home BiasHome Bias

GZ

HI

HE

JX

NM

QH

GXSX

YN

NX

HA

XJ

AH

GS

FJ

HL

ZJ

CQ

TJ

JS

LN

GD

SD

JL SN

SC

HN

HB

SH

BJ

05

1015

Suc

cess

ful A

pplic

ants

in th

e P

rovi

nce

(1,0

00)

0 5 10 15 20 25Admissions by Colleges Located in the Province (1,000)

Home bias: 985 Universities

Page 48: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

48

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 49: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

49

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 50: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

50

Educational InequalityEducational Inequality

Gender biasHukou (urban vs. rural) biasAffirmative policyTraining biasHome biasHigh school bias

Page 51: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

51

High schoolsHigh schools

111 118153

327

390 401 403426 427

450473

538 540 552

617643 655 656

679 685

728764

792

856

899

1001

11451171

1197 1203

200

400

600

800

1,00

01,

200

Hig

h Sc

hool

Hai

nan

Nin

gxia

Qin

ghai

Gui

zhou

Tian

jin

Jilin

Sha

ngha

i

Cho

ngqi

ng

Yun

nan

Inne

rMon

golia

Gan

su

Bei

jing

Gua

ngxi

Xin

jiang

Hei

long

jiang

Sha

anxi

Jian

gxi

Sha

nxi

Fujia

n

Zhej

iang

Liao

ning

Hub

ei

Sha

ndon

g

Heb

ei

Anh

ui

Sic

huan

Jian

gsu

Hun

an

Hen

an

Gua

ngdo

ng

Number of High Schools in a Province

Page 52: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

52

High School GiniHigh School Gini

High school Gini coefficients for different level of colleges

Eg: High school Gini for admission to Top-2 universitiesCount the number of successful

applicants of each high schoolCalculate the Gini coefficients

Page 53: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

53

Type (inclusive) Gini Coefficient

College 0.556

University 0.712

211 Universities 0.804

985 Universities 0.861

Top 9 Universities 0.929

Top 2 Universities 0.959

High School Gini: # AdmittedHigh School Gini: # Admitted

Page 54: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

54

Type Top 10% of high schools

Top 5% of high schools

College 0.365 0.222

University 0.510 0.318

211 Universities 0.664 0.456

985 Universities 0.764 0.565

Top 9 Universities 0.914 0.756

Top 2 Universities 1 0.858

Admissions from Top High SchoolsAdmissions from Top High Schools

Page 55: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

55

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 56: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

56

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 57: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

57

Home BiasHome Bias

Page 58: China’s Educational Inequality: Evidence from College ... · PDF file3 China’s Education System ... • Exam takers: high school name, location, hukou, ... Not Admitted 0 1960199

58

ConclusionsConclusions

What are important for the fate of CEE takers or college applicants?GenderHukou (rural vs. urban)Province where your hukou isHigh school you are fromTimes you have taken the

exams