14

carlosslim.comComparativo de Tarifas de los Países de la OECD Ingreso Promedio por Minuto de Voz - (US$) 1Estados Unidos 0.05 2Finlandia 0.11 3México (Telcel) 0.11

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    2

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Comparativo de Tarifas de los Países de la OECD

Ingreso Promedio por Minuto de Voz - (US$)

1 Estados Unidos 0.052 Finlandia 0.113 México (Telcel) 0.114 Corea 0.115 Canada 0.126 Nueva Zelanda 0.157 Hungría 0.158 Suecia 0.159 Australia 0.15

10 Polonia 0.1711 Francia 0.1612 Turquía 0.1713 Austria 0.1814 Italia 0.1815 República Checa 0.1816 Dinamarca 0.1817 UK 0.1918 Noruega 0.1919 Portugal 0.1920 Grecia 0.2021 Alemania 0.2122 España 0.2123 Bélgica 0.2224 Irlanda 0.2225 Holanda 0.2326 Japón 0.2527 Suiza 0.29

Fuente: Merrill Lynch Wireless Matrix al 1T07

Tarifas de Interconexión CPP

País Tarifa Fijo - Móvil US$

México $0.12

Argentina $0.09

Brasil $0.20

Chile $0.21

Colombia $0.14

Perú $0.22

France* $0.12

España* $0.15

Reino Unido* $0.14

Alemania $0.12

Italia $0.15

Holanda $0.14

Grecia $0.16

Portugal $0.14

Bélgica $0.14

Irlanda $0.13

Austria $0.11

Suecia $0.12

Dinamarca $0.15

Luxemburgo $0.17

* La tarifa puede variar para llamadas realizadas durante horas pico y no pico, las tarifas que se presentan son las más bajas

Fuente: JP Morgan

Subsidiarias AMX

Merrill Lynch Wireless Matrix

Globa l Wire less Matr ix 1Q07 15 June 2007

2

Table 1: Industry snapshot by region – 1Q07 GDP per Pop Mob. % Data % Monthly EBITDA No. of CPP4 MNP5

Capita (US$)1 (mn) Mobile Fixed of GDP2 (mn) YoY Prepaid (US$ bn) YoY (US$) YoY3 (Min.) YoY (US$) YoY3 of ARPU Churn Margins Players Share YoYDEVELOPED COUNTRIES 38,642 899 93.6% 58.7% 1.2% 841.6 8.7% 39% 417.6 6.0% 41.97 -2.5% 355 4.6% 0.16 -10% 19.3% 1.7% 34.1%ASIA-PACIFIC 35,286 164 85.3% 68.6% 1.3% 139.9 6.1% 17% 74.5 2.6% 44.97 -2.3% 175 -0.2% 0.22 -6% 26.8% 1.4% 25.3%Australia 36,075 21 99.7% 52.9% 1.2% 20.7 5.7% 50% 9.0 9% 36.35 2.9% 189 6.0% 0.15 -10% 22.0% 1.2% 31.1% 4 75.9% 75.9% Yes YesHong Kong 26,951 7 123.2% 53.9% 1.1% 8.5 13.5% 66% 2.0 3.4% 21.76 6.5% 475 5.3% 0.04 -2% 10.3% 3.6% 21.6% 5 57.8% 57.8% No YesJapan 35,955 128 79.6% 73.6% 1.3% 101.7 5.4% 2% 60.1 1.1% 49.76 -4.0% 139 -2.8% 0.25 -6% 29.4% 1.3% 23.0% 3 78.6% 78.6% Yes YesNew Zealand 27,777 4 100.2% 42.9% 1.4% 4.2 5.9% 68% 1.6 -0.3% 32.11 -6.0% 182 12.8% 0.15 -18% 23.1% 1.6% 40.8% 2 100.0% 100.0% Yes YesSingapore 32,324 4 109.0% 42.4% 1.3% 4.8 9.1% 40% 1.9 8.3% 32.99 -0.7% 333 7.4% 0.08 -11% 23.9% 1.1% 42.3% 3 71.2% 71.2% No YesEUROPE 35,868 402 110.4% 53.1% 1.3% 444.2 8.2% 60% 182.0 3.3% 35.34 -4.4% 153 7.0% 0.19 -12% 19.0% 1.9% 36.8%Austria 40,070 8 114.2% 45.7% 1.2% 9.4 7.3% 40% 4.1 5.9% 36.59 -6.4% 178 14.0% 0.18 -22% 18.7% 1.6% 35.6% 5 72.7% 72.7% Yes YesBelgium 38,326 10 95.9% 45.4% 1.3% 10.0 7.0% 58% 5.0 0.0% 44.33 -3.7% 152 -1.4% 0.22 -8% 18.1% 1.4% 44.2% 3 75.2% 75.2% Yes YesDenmark 52,148 5 107.3% 61.7% 0.9% 5.8 8.9% 52% 2.4 4.7% 36.65 -0.7% 175 3.3% 0.19 -6% 15.3% 2.2% 26.1% 4 77.3% 77.3% Yes YesFinland 40,551 5 114.7% 40.4% 1.2% 6.0 5.6% 5% 2.6 15.6% 39.49 7.2% 304 7.1% 0.11 1% 14.3% 1.4% 28.4% 3 81.5% 81.5% Yes YesFrance 36,399 63 79.0% 55.7% 1.2% 49.9 4.0% 34% 27.3 0.4% 46.81 -0.7% 256 5.3% 0.16 -5% 15.1% 1.9% 37.7% 3 82.5% 82.5% Yes YesGermany 36,117 83 106.9% 66.6% 0.8% 88.2 8.9% 54% 25.1 -2.8% 24.06 -10.3% 96 15.5% 0.21 -23% 21.6% 1.6% 36.5% 4 72.4% 72.4% Yes YesGreece 22,615 11 132.0% 56.8% 2.1% 14.6 15.6% 70% 5.3 1.2% 31.53 -12.6% 139 4.4% 0.20 -16% 12.6% 2.0% 36.1% 4 71.6% 71.6% Yes YesIreland 53,563 4 109.2% 49.5% 1.4% 4.6 8.1% 75% 3.1 3.8% 56.31 -4.5% 227 6.4% 0.22 -12% 26.0% 0.0% 36.4% 3 83.0% 83.0% Yes YesItaly 32,305 59 141.7% 43.1% 1.5% 83.3 12.9% 90% 28.6 2.3% 28.62 -10.7% 127 -4.5% 0.18 -8% 20.6% 1.4% 49.4% 4 73.2% 73.2% Yes YesNetherlands 41,653 16 105.4% 46.6% 1.2% 17.3 6.3% 53% 8.0 7.0% 38.64 -0.5% 149 4.6% 0.23 -5% 16.5% 2.4% 32.9% 5 73.0% 73.0% Yes YesNorw ay 71,842 5 109.3% 45.7% 0.8% 5.1 0.5% 43% 2.7 2.2% 50.71 1.7% 218 14.1% 0.19 -11% 17.2% 1.4% 38.3% 2 100.0% 100.0% Yes YesPortugal 18,785 11 124.7% 40.3% 2.0% 13.1 9.3% 79% 4.0 2.8% 25.67 -6.4% 116 1.1% 0.19 -8% 12.6% 2.1% 37.3% 3 79.9% 79.9% Yes YesSpain 28,085 45 107.1% 42.9% 1.8% 47.9 8.0% 45% 22.2 8.4% 39.72 -0.2% 162 8.9% 0.21 -9% 14.5% 2.0% 38.0% 3 76.7% 76.7% Yes YesSw eden 43,880 9 116.9% 58.2% 0.8% 10.6 4.8% 53% 3.1 8.2% 27.32 1.0% 165 18.8% 0.15 -15% 7.0% 1.0% 35.1% 4 78.6% 78.6% Yes YesSw itzerland 52,802 7 103.3% 69.0% 1.2% 7.5 9.0% 43% 4.4 -0.9% 50.92 -10.5% 127 5.8% 0.29 -17% 21.0% 0.8% 40.5% 3 81.3% 81.3% Yes YesUK 37,909 61 117.0% 53.3% 1.5% 70.9 5.0% 66% 34.1 9.2% 43.20 4.2% 165 10.4% 0.19 -10% 24.7% 2.7% 22.2% 5 49.6% 49.6% No YesNORTH AMERICA 43,644 333 77.3% 60.6% 1.1% 257.5 11.2% 16% 161.0 12.3% 51.77 0.6% 802 3.2% 0.06 -8% 15.8% 1.7% 34.2%Canada 40,141 32 59.1% 65.1% 0.9% 18.8 9.3% 22% 10.9 16.4% 48.81 7.2% 397 3.0% 0.12 1% 11.4% 1.6% 45.8% 3 68.6% 68.6% No YesUS 44,015 301 79.2% 60.1% 1.1% 238.6 11.3% 15% 150.1 12.0% 52.01 0.1% 834 3.2% 0.05 -9% 16.1% 1.7% 33.3% 4 51.5% 51.5% No YesEMERGING MARKETS 2,605 4,373 39.0% 15.5% 2.1% 1,704 31.7% 80% 228.8 26.0% 11.60 -2.9% 224 9.4% 0.07 -12% 17.6% 3.1% 44.3%EMERGING ASIA 1,787 3,225 30.0% 14.9% 2.0% 969 34.9% 75% 116.5 22.6% 10.47 -7.5% 311 10.1% 0.03 -18% 21.1% 3.4% 46.6%Bangladesh 447 146 15.6% 12.5% 1.8% 23 93.3% 96% 1.1 32.5% 3.58 -45.8% 230 24.2% 0.02 -31% N.A. 2.1% 42.4% 6 76.4% 76.4% Yes NoChina 1,972 1,316 36.5% 26.6% 2.0% 481 17.3% 67% 51.3 15.3% 9.53 -2.0% 365 15.6% 0.02 -17% 23.2% 2.7% 47.4% 2 96.3% 96.3% No NoIndia 755 1,130 14.3% 3.7% 2.0% 162 67.3% 93% 17.3 55.5% 8.89 -7.0% 487 7.5% 0.02 -21% 8.7% 4.0% 39.0% 6 49.2% 49.2% Yes NoIndonesia 1,575 230 31.4% 5.7% 1.5% 72 40.0% 96% 5.6 24.5% 7.00 -8.4% N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 30.9% 8.6% 65.1% 4 79.0% 79.0% Yes NoKorea 16,895 48 84.9% 47.9% 2.5% 41 5.5% 3% 20.5 6.2% 43.64 1.0% 303 -0.6% 0.12 2% 18.7% 3.1% 28.7% 3 82.4% 82.4% Yes YesMalaysia 7,782 27 75.9% 16.8% 2.0% 21 0.2% 83% 4.2 6.6% 18.74 13.3% 185 12.4% 0.08 -10% 21.2% 3.7% 50.6% 3 71.9% 71.9% Yes NoPakistan 870 158 37.1% 3.3% 2.0% 58 113.5% 99% 2.8 37.8% 4.00 -35.5% 124 -15.1% N.A. -24% N.A. N.A. 39.5% 6 64.6% 64.6% Yes NoPhilippines 1,432 86 51.8% 3.3% 2.3% 45 23.8% 98% 2.8 11.8% 5.27 -11.2% 24 -1.2% 0.11 -12% 47.7% 3.1% 70.5% 3 94.9% 94.9% Yes NoTaiw an 16,012 23 103.4% 59.8% 1.8% 24 6.1% 23% 6.6 2.1% 23.00 -3.8% 202 -1.5% 0.11 -3% 7.8% 1.4% 48.7% 5 62.3% 62.3% Yes YesThailand 3,751 62 69.5% 10.7% 1.8% 43 34.6% 86% 4.3 -1.5% 8.04 -26.4% 293 14.0% 0.03 -35% 10.1% 2.9% 36.3% 5 79.3% 79.3% Yes NoEMERGING EUROPE 4,132 700 66.7% 17.0% 2.8% 467 29.2% 89% 66.5 29.0% 12.20 1.8% 112 7.9% 0.10 -4% 13.5% 2.6% 46.6%Algeria 3,198 34 66.8% 10.0% 2.7% 23 47.9% 97% 2.9 23.9% 11.01 -20.0% 130 -13.3% 0.08 -8% N.A. 4.4% 56.1% 3 87.3% 87.3% Yes NoCzech 13,775 11 109.9% 31.5% 2.3% 12 7.5% 59% 3.5 4.8% 23.85 -1.2% 104 16.0% 0.18 -15% 20.5% 1.4% 45.0% 3 80.1% 80.1% Yes YesEgypt 1,370 75 26.8% 14.4% 2.7% 20 49.0% 94% 2.8 35.2% 11.68 -9.3% 137 18.7% 0.08 -24% 4.2% 2.0% 46.9% 2 100.0% 100.0% Yes NoHungary 11,597 11 88.2% 33.2% 2.3% 10 5.8% 64% 2.9 5.3% 24.91 -0.9% 149 9.1% 0.15 -9% 13.7% 1.5% 39.7% 3 77.9% 77.9% Yes YesIraq 1,534 27 34.6% 5.0% 3.7% 9 60.1% 99% 1.5 47.6% 13.78 -15.4% 170 -37.7% 0.09 21% N.A. 5.7% 42.3% 3 69.0% 69.0% Yes NoIsrael 18,450 7 121.5% 54.0% 2.7% 9 8.1% 53% 3.4 5.4% 34.05 -2.0% 336 4.4% 0.09 -8% 8.8% 1.4% 33.0% 4 66.2% 66.2% Yes NoMorocco 1,824 32 53.5% 4.2% 3.9% 17 33.1% 96% 2.2 22.1% 11.31 -7.1% N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 1.7% 51.5% 2 100.0% 100.0% Yes YesNigeria 991 143 22.1% 0.9% 3.7% 32 64.8% 100% 5.3 27.3% 17.00 -15.0% N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 3.0% 53.0% 4 72.6% 72.6% Yes NoPoland 9,629 40 95.3% 30.7% 1.8% 38 23.2% 62% 7.0 2.9% 15.74 -16.6% 92 9.1% 0.16 -24% 17.0% 2.5% 33.7% 4 67.3% 67.3% Yes NoRussia 7,033 147 105.3% 27.9% 1.5% 155 17.4% 96% 15.1 53.6% 8.17 29.0% 132 15.9% 0.05 11% 14.2% 2.4% 52.5% 4 64.4% 64.4% Yes NoSouth Africa 4,789 49 74.4% 10.3% 3.9% 36 19.2% 83% 9.1 18.0% 20.96 -1.0% 117 -3.7% 0.18 2% N.A. 4.0% 33.0% 4 91.3% 91.3% Yes YesTurkey 3,663 75 73.3% 25.9% 2.6% 55 19.7% 87% 7.1 4.1% 11.05 -9.4% 63 8.5% 0.17 -7% 13.0% 1.7% 42.3% 4 84.0% 84.0% Yes NoUkraine 2,022 49 103.7% 23.5% 3.5% 51 55.2% 94% 3.5 22.8% 5.71 -20.8% 130 1.9% 0.04 -24% 12.3% 2.6% 46.8% 5 83.5% 83.5% No NoLATIN AMERICA 6,111 448 60.0% 17.8% 1.7% 268 24.3% 83% 45.8 32.6% 14.66 5.7% 102 9.7% 0.13 -5% 11.8% 2.7% 32.1%Argentina 5,561 39 83.1% 22.6% 2.1% 33 42.2% 73% 4.5 38.7% 11.79 -3.4% 109 1.5% 0.10 -5% N.A. 2.2% 28.3% 3 69.3% 69.3% Yes YesBrazil 6,018 188 54.8% 18.2% 1.5% 103 14.5% 80% 17.4 35.6% 13.98 15.6% 75 5.4% 0.18 8% 7.7% 2.7% 24.4% 4 53.7% 53.7% Yes NoChile 8,863 16 82.3% 22.0% 1.7% 13 15.9% 78% 2.5 29.0% 15.01 7.2% 121 10.2% 0.12 -5% 17.7% 1.9% 32.4% 3 81.0% 81.0% Yes NoColombia 3,217 43 69.5% 17.0% 2.3% 30 19.1% 83% 3.2 23.7% 9.72 -2.8% 117 9.3% 0.08 -9% N.A. 2.7% 37.1% 3 92.6% 92.6% Yes NoMexico 7,814 105 56.6% 18.9% 1.5% 59 22.2% 90% 12.6 25.1% 18.13 2.6% 139 27.2% 0.11 -20% 0.0% 3.2% 44.0% 4 91.3% 91.3% Yes NoPeru 3,093 29 34.7% 8.0% 1.4% 10 62.4% 85% 1.2 44.2% 11.00 -8.5% 68 -1.4% 0.14 -19% N.A. 2.0% 29.9% 4 96.3% 96.3% Yes YesVenezuela 7,048 27 73.9% 13.5% 2.3% 20 46.8% 95% 4.3 38.8% 21.40 -2.2% 102 -1.0% 0.13 -16% 28.6% N.A. 35.9% 4 81.6% 81.6% Yes NoMATRIX TOTAL/AVG. 8,752 5,273 48.3% 22.9% 1.9% 2,546 24.1% 66% 646.4 19.4% 21.64 -2.8% 267 7.9% 0.10 -11% 18.1% 2.6% 40.9%

MOU RPM Top 2 PlayersPenetration Subscribers Service Rev.2 ARPU

Source: ML estimates. Average calculations weighted by subscribers. Notes: 1) Source: Merrill Lynch estimates and IMF World Economic Outlook Database April 2007. 2) ML estimate based on annualized average ARPU as of the most recent quarter and average subscribers over the past quarter. 3) YoY change in ARPU and RPM calculated in reported currency terms. 4) CPP = Calling Party Pays. 5) MNP = Mobile Number Portability.