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Sustainable market transformation
Or how to change the rules of the game in theory and in practice?
Voedsel schaarste
“Hoe kan Douwe Egberts zijn positie inzetten om de vraag van consumenten naar duurzame koffie te vergroten? Dit
zou helpen bij het voorkomen van schaarste”
Agriculture: The most unsustainable sectors
© NewForesight 2012- all rights reserved
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
World GDP in billions of USD
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050
Pe
taca
l/d
ay
Year
Global Food Demand
1,8 2,3 2,8 3,3 3,8 4,3 4,8 5,3 5,8 6,3 6,8 7,3 7,8 8,3 8,8 9,3 9,8
1900 1915 1930 1945 1960 1975 1990 2005 2020 2035 2050
Po
pu
lati
on
(b
illio
ns)
Year
World Population Forecast
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 He
ctar
es
of
Ara
ble
Lan
d p
er
pe
rso
n
Year
Diminishing Arable Land
Colliding trends
© NewForesight 2012- all rights reserved
R- Sustainability B+ Price
Pressure to Increase income
Increase yields, quality, production
Diversify income
Increase size farms
Leave sector
Costs cutting
Branding/ Added value
R- Investments
High risk for banks
No access to finance
Consolidated buyer markets
Smallholder intensive
Unequal access to market
information
R- Price
Low differentiation
Low bargaining power
Low investment
Low price/ margins
R- Development
Ineffective governments
Low level development
Low productivity and quality
Ineffective social, environmental
policies Ineffective local
NGOs and unions
Low support for producers
Untransparent value chains
No market demand for sustainable products
Used as hidden ingredient
Unsustainable sectors
© NewForesight 2012- all rights reserved
Unsustainable sectors
© NewForesight 2012- all rights reserved
Governments not able to correct it
=
Systems fail when
Markets stimulating unsustainable behavior
+
+ +
+
4 steps to an efficient, scalable agri finance market
Independent Assessors & Accountants
Producer Organizations (agriculture, dairy/livestock, aquaculture, forestry)
Training & quality control
SCOPE Assessment
Step I
SCOPEinsight Portal
Rating Profile
Asse
ssme
nt
rep
ort
Step II
Access to inputs, markets and financial services
Banks
Traders
Input Suppliers
Insurance Companies
Step III
Access to BDS and Capacity building services
Step IV
© 2012 SCOPEinsight®. All rights reserved.
THANK YOU
www.newforesight.com
www.scopeinsight.com
Lucas_Simons