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Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

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Page 1: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Future Radar and Satellite Technology

Daniel C. Miller

National Weather Service

Columbia, SC

Page 2: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

The Big Idea

New radar and satellite technology

will improve NWS operations!

Page 3: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Outline• Introduction

• Part I. Dual-Polarization Radar Technology– Benefits– What is it?– Applications– When?

• Part II. Next Generation Weather Satellite– Benefits and New Features– Applications– When?

• Conclusion

Page 4: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Part I. Dual-Polarization Radar Technology

Photo courtesy of NSSL

Page 5: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Dual-Polarization Radar TechnologyKey Benefits

• Better Determination of Precipitation Type

• Better Estimates of Rainfall Amount

• Better Detection of Hail

Page 6: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

What does Dual-Polarization Mean?

Page 7: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

What does Dual-Polarization Mean?

Page 8: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

How Is Dual-Polarization Radar How Is Dual-Polarization Radar Technology Useful?Technology Useful?

Image courtesy NSSL

Page 9: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

How Is Dual-Polarization Radar How Is Dual-Polarization Radar Technology Useful?Technology Useful?

Image courtesy NSSL

– = Size(| + –) = Shape σ(| + –) = Variety

Dual-Polarization Radartells us about the size,

shape, & variety of objects.

Page 10: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC
Page 11: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Differential Reflectivity (ZDR)

Ph

Pv Pv

Ph ~ Pv

ZDR ~ 0Ph >> Pv

ZDR >> 0

ZDR ~ 10log (Ph/Pv) (dB)

Ph

Page 12: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

ZDR Values for Hail ~ 0Ph ~ Pv

Page 13: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Differential Reflectivity (ZDR) Applications

Differential Reflectivity (ZDR) Applications

Differential Reflectivity Differential Reflectivity (Z(ZDRDR))

Reflectivity (ZReflectivity (ZHH))

Image courtesy CIMMS-OU

Page 14: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Differential Reflectivity (ZDR) Applications

Differential Reflectivity (ZDR) Applications

Differential Reflectivity Differential Reflectivity (Z(ZDRDR))

Reflectivity (ZReflectivity (ZHH))

Hail !!Hail !!Image courtesy CIMMS-OU

Page 15: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Correlation Coefficient (CC)

• A statistical correlation that describes the similarities in the backscatter characteristics of the horizontally and vertically polarized echoes.

• It is a good indicator of regions where there is a mixture of precipitation types, such as rain and snow.

Page 16: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

What precipitation is liquid,frozen, or mixed

2.42.4oo Reflectivity Product Reflectivity Product

Using CC to Differentiatebetween Rain & Snow

FrozenFrozen

LiquidLiquid

MeltingMelting

2.42.4oo Correlation Coefficient Product Correlation Coefficient Product

Image courtesy NSSL

Page 17: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Specific Differential Phase (KDP)

• Measures the rate of change of horizontally and vertically-polarized phase shift with distance

• Improves Precipitation Amount Estimates– Detects where most liquid water content is– Removes effect of hail contamination

Page 18: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

When will Dual-Polarization Radar Technology Arrive?

• 4 NWS beta test sites Fall 2010• Nationwide installation 2011-2012

– Columbia, SC (CAE)

Page 19: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Summary of Benefits with Dual-Polarization Radar Technology

• Better Determination of Precipitation Type

• Better Estimates of Rainfall Amount

• Better Detection of Hail

Page 20: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Part II. Next Generation Geostationary Operational

Environmental Satellite (GOES-R)

Page 21: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

GOES-R New Capabilities

• Higher Resolution Images

• Data Received in More Frequent Time Intervals

• A Large Suite of New Products

Page 22: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Comparison of GOES-R Imagerto current GOES

GOES-R Current

Spectral Coverage 16 bands 5 bands

Visible Resolution 0.5 km ~1 km

IR/WV resolution 2 km ~4-8 km

Full disk Every 15 min Every 3 hr

CONUS Every 5 min Every 15 min

Mesoscale Every 30 sec! N/A

Page 23: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Comparison of GOES-R Imagerto current GOES

GOES-R Current

Spectral Coverage 16 bands 5 bands

Visible Resolution 0.5 km ~1 km

IR/WV resolution 2 km ~4-8 km

Full disk Every 15 min Every 3 hr

CONUS Every 5 min Every 15 min

Mesoscale Every 30 sec! N/A

Page 24: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Example of Visible Loop Using 1-Min Images

Courtesy Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR Madison, WI

Page 25: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Comparison of GOES-R Imagerto current GOES

GOES-R Current

Spectral Coverage 16 bands 5 bands

Visible Resolution 0.5 km ~1 km

IR/WV resolution 2 km ~4-8 km

Full disk Every 15 min Every 3 hr

CONUS Every 5 min Every 15 min

Mesoscale Every 30 sec! N/A

Page 26: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC
Page 27: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC
Page 28: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC
Page 29: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

GOES-R New Capabilities (Cont’d)

• Provide Better Detection and Measurements of:

– Cloud Structure• Type, Height, Phase, & Temperature

– Other Atmospheric Elements:• Wind, Moisture, & Temperature• Lightning

Page 30: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Some Applications of New GOES-R Data:

• Improved Convective Initiation Predictions

• Identification of Severe Weather Precursors

• Improved Rainfall Amount Estimates

• Better Estimates of Tropical Cyclone Intensity

• Identify Areas of Turbulence and Icing

• Improved Input to Numerical Weather Prediction Models

Page 31: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Some Applications of New GOES-R Data:

• Improved Convective Initiation Predictions

• Identification of Severe Weather Precursors

• Improved Rainfall Amount Estimates

• Better Estimates of Tropical Cyclone Intensity

• Identify Areas of Turbulence and Icing

• Improved Input to Numerical Weather Prediction Models

Page 32: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

How will GOES-R improve warning lead times?

• Rapid Cloud top cooling detection

Page 33: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Convective Initiation

• Detections of Rapid Cloud Top Cooling– can precede precipitation reaching the surface by 30-

60 minutes– precedes first cloud-to-ground lightning strikes

Images Courtesy CIMSS-UW Madison

Page 34: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

How will GOES-R improve warning lead times?

• Rapid Cloud top cooling detection

• Severe Thunderstorm Structures Better Detected and Monitored

Page 35: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Severe Thunderstorm Structures Better Detected and Monitored

• Overshooting tops– Collapse of overshooting top

can precede severe weather/tornado on ground

Page 36: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Severe Thunderstorm Structures Better Detected and Monitored

• Overshooting tops– Collapse of overshooting top

can precede severe weather/tornado on ground

Page 37: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Severe Thunderstorm Structures Better Detected and Monitored

• Overshooting tops– Collapse of overshooting top

can precede severe weather/tornado on ground

• Enhanced-V Signature– Usually related to

Supercell/Severe Weather

Page 38: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Severe Thunderstorm Structures Better Detected and Monitored

• Overshooting tops– Collapse of overshooting top

can precede severe weather/tornado on ground

• Enhanced-V Signature– Usually related to

Supercell/Severe Weather

Page 39: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

How will GOES-R improve warning lead times?

• Rapid Cloud top cooling detection

• Severe Thunderstorm Structures Better Detected and Monitored

• Better Rainfall Estimates

• Real-Time Lightning Monitoring (GLM)

Page 40: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Geostationary Lightning Mapper

• Real-Time detection of lightning across most of the Western Hemisphere

• Flash Rate and Trends• IC/CC as well as CG lightning

Page 41: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

When?

• GOES-R Launch scheduled for Fall 2015

Page 42: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

When?

• GOES-R Launch scheduled for Fall 2015

• Operational with products available 2016

Page 43: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

When?

• GOES-R Launch scheduled for Fall 2015

• Operational with products available 2016

Page 44: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Summary of GOES-RNew Capabilities and Applications

• Higher resolution images received in more frequent time intervals

• A large suite of new products and applications

Page 45: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Conclusion

• New radar and satellite technology will result in improved forecast and warning operations.

Page 46: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Conclusion

• New radar and satellite technology will result in improved forecast and warning operations.

Page 47: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Links

• Dual-Polarization Radar– NWS ROC http://www.roc.noaa.gov/WSR88D/– NSSL http://www.cimms.ou.edu/~schuur/radar.html

• Next Generation Weather Satellite (GOES-R)– http://www.goes-r.gov/

Page 48: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC
Page 49: Future Radar and Satellite Technology Daniel C. Miller National Weather Service Columbia, SC

Daniel C. MillerNational Weather Service2909 Aviation WayWest Columbia, SC 29170803.822.8133

[email protected]

Thank You!