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From: Kevin MacDonald Sent: Wednesday, February 10, 2016 9:52 AM Subject: Gold versus the stock market _________________________________________________________ ____________ Historically, gold and the stock market have been negatively correlated. During an equity bull market, gold tends to be in a bear market. When a bear market for stocks begins, a bull market for gold usually starts. There has been an exception to this correlation, though. Between 2003 and 2011 gold and equities both rose and fell in unison. In 2011 the negative correlation reasserted itself as gold started a new bear market while the S&P 500 continued to advance for four more years. So where does this bring us? The S&P 500 has topped out and has begun a new bear market. What is gold doing? Since it is negatively correlated to the S&P 500, it should be bottoming out and preparing for a new bull market. And it appears to be doing just that.

Gold vs stock market

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From:                              Kevin MacDonaldSent:                               Wednesday, February 10, 2016 9:52 AMSubject:                          Gold versus the stock market_____________________________________________________________________ Historically, gold and the stock market have been negatively correlated. During an equity bull market, gold tends to be in a bear market. When a bear market for stocks begins, a bull market for gold usually starts. There has been an exception to this correlation, though. Between 2003 and 2011 gold and equities both rose and fell in unison. In 2011 the negative correlation reasserted itself as gold started a new bear market while the S&P 500 continued to advance for four more years. So where does this bring us? The S&P 500 has topped out and has begun a new bear market. What is gold doing? Since it is negatively correlated to the S&P 500, it should be bottoming out and preparing for a new bull market. And it appears to be doing just that.

Kevin MacDonald, CMTPortfolio ManagerChartered Market Technician 2100, 335 8 Ave SW | Calgary, Alberta, Canada | T2P 1C9 Telephone: 403.263.8800 | Direct: 403.218-0270 | Facsimile: [email protected] | Web site: www.wolverton.ca

Page 2: Gold vs stock market

Investment Services since 1910Vancouver | Victoria | Prince George | Kelowna | Calgary | Edmonton This market comment is not an official publication of Wolverton Securities Ltd (WSL) and has been prepared by Kevin MacDonald who is a registered investment advisor. The author is not an analyst and the newsletter is not to be construed as an analyst report. Statistics, factual data and other information in this newsletter are from sources WSL believes to be reliable but their accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed nor in providing it does the author or WSL assume any liability. Neither the author nor WSL assumes any obligation to update the information or advice on further developments related to information provided herein. This newsletter is for informing private clients only and is intended for distribution only in those jurisdictions where the author and WSL are registered as a dealer in securities. Any distribution of this newsletter in any other jurisdiction is strictly prohibited. Securities mentioned in this newsletter may be highly speculative due to the nature of smaller companies and as such any amount of knowledge, experience or careful evaluation may not be able to overcome. Past and current performance numbers are no guarantee of future performance on any of the above-mentioned securities. WSL has not performed any Investment Banking work for any of the securities noted in this report. The author, WSL and its officers, directors, employees and their families may from time to time invest in the securities discussed in this newsletter.