Issues and Strategy --- Understanding of China

2004-06-28

Dai Dong-Chang

TPRI of the Ministry of Communication

China

Facts and figures – vehicle fleet

5511040

16092053

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

Unit:10,000100million by 2020

Throughput of containers in the main ports （ 10,000TEU）

Over 30% annual increase

for the last 10 years Top of the world in terms of totalnumber

12441748

22632669

3618

4800

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Facts and figures – container transportation

Road investment in China

126151

261

322363

279

429

264

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

100 million us $

Facts and figures – road investment

30,000

25130

1474771

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

Unit: km

Expressway developmentyear

3000-4000km/year

Facts and figures – expressway construction

The way forward -- right direction ?

Crossing river by touching the stone

Comprehensive, coordinated, and sustainable development

The most important question we have to think and answer

Main issues after 20 years fast development

Speed and qualitySocial and economicRegional disparityUrban and ruralDevelopment and environmentDomestic and international

What are the main issues?

Aiming for a more comprehensive, coordinated and sustainable development

5 coordination strategy:Coordination of urban and rural development Coordination of regional developmentCoordination of social and economic developmentCoordination of human and environment developmentCoordination of domestic and global development

What strategies are taking?

What’s the concerns /actions of road sector? Keep the right pace of development (speed, quality, capacity,

long lasting and sustainable)Keep the maintenance on the right track (financing,

institutional setup, system reform)Speed up rural road construction (plan, financing, institutional

setups)Developing the national expressway system (plan, financing,

institutional setups)Develop the regional integrated road network and service

(plan, financing, mechanism)Improve the transport service with the updated infrastructures

(plan, facilitating policy, passenger and freight transport facilities)

What is the missions like in the future?

Expressway: 30,000 existing, add 3-5000 km/year, totaled 55,000km by 2010, and over 80,000km by 2020

Rural roads: add 30,000-50,000 km/year

Investment needs: about 40 billion us$/year in the next 10-15 years

key experiences / lessons to shareTo be rich, build road first (farmers in China said)Toll road – the “secret” of road development in ChinaDecentralization/centralization: incentives, accountability,

funding, efficiency; coordination, plan, standards, regulationThe role of public/private sector: public goods,

characteristics; funding, operating, cost saving, efficiency, market forces

Solve problem at the right stage: planning, design, construction, maintenance

Develop in a coordinated and systematic way: system optimization; lessons of overloading and maintenance

Programming selectively: prioritization of various needs, scarce resources, it makes difference

Thanks！