Istambul Economy

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    Istanbul an emerging IFC in the making?

    November 28, 2012

    Hakan Binbasgil

    CEO, Akbank

    Financial Times 2012 Global Summit on International Financial Centres, 27&28 November 2012, The Four Seasons Park Lane, London.

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    GDP/Capita Tripled in 10 years...

    2

    3.492

    10.673

    2002 2012

    US$

    3X

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    Strong Fiscal Discipline...

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    11,5

    2002

    Budget Deficit / GDP

    2,3

    E(2012)

    Public Sector Debt % of GDP

    %

    Source: Ministry of Finance

    74,0

    2002

    36,5

    E(2012)%

    Source: Undersecretariat of Treasury, Ministry of Development

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    Improving Current Account Deficit...

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    -10,0

    -6,7

    2011 E(2012)

    %GDP

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    Falling Unemployment Rate...

    5

    10,8

    8,8

    2004 8/2012

    %

    14,0

    2009Source: TURKSTAT

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    Favorable Demographics...(50% under the age of 30)

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    High mobility, internet and social media usage

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    65% households with internet.

    (1)

    32 mio Facebook users.

    9 mio Twitter accounts.

    89% ownership in mobile phones.

    10.6 mio mobile internet users.

    66 mio mobile subscribers.

    119 mio airline passengers.(1)

    7 mio new vehicles in 7 years.(1)

    Urbanization rate: 77%.(1)

    (1) as of 2011, other statistics are November 2012 figures

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    Sound Banking Sector...

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    CAR

    NPL

    Low leverage

    High liquidity

    No toxic assets

    No derivative products(1)

    (1) Excluding derivatives for hedging

    16 %

    2,9 %

    8 X

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    Strong Growth in Banking...

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    213

    2002

    Assets

    TLbillion

    Including participation banks

    1.308

    3Q 2012

    Loans Deposits

    49

    2002

    TLbillion 756

    3Q 2012

    138

    2002

    TLbillion 738

    2012

    CAGR 20% CAGR 32% CAGR 19%

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    Further Growth Potential in Banking...

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    356

    Assets

    Financial Intermediation Indicators

    E

    uroArea***:2011,Turkey:2011%o

    fGDP

    94

    Deposits Loans

    116

    51

    131

    52

    EuroArea***

    Turkey *19 mio people unbanked

    Household debt/GDP: 17%**

    Mortgage/GDP: 6%

    Mutual funds/GDP: 2.3%

    Pension funds/GDP: 1.1%

    * Including participation banks** Household dept includes only performing consumer lending and credit card receivables.***Euro Area: Non-MFIs sector,

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    State of the Art Technology in Banking...(Examples from Akbank)

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    Mobile Loans Web Loans SMS Loans(2005) (2006) (2007)

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    Why we think Istanbul will emerge as an IFC ?

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    Istanbul is a Major Transportation Hub...

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    20% of Turkeys population

    (greater than 19 EU countries).

    22% of Turkeys GDP.

    45% ofTurkeys exports.

    52% ofTurkeys imports.

    2.8 million students.

    44 Universities.

    200 Hospitals.

    Turkish Airlines THY,3rd largest airline in EU,flies to 189 destinations (40local).

    Istanbul has easy access to multiple markets worth

    USD 25 trillion of GDP and 1.5 billion customers in

    Europe, Eurasia, the Middle East and North Africa.

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    Thank you