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Mapping circular migration with register statistics Tomas Johansson Statistics Sweden

Mapping circular migration with register statistics Tomas Johansson Statistics Sweden

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Mapping circular migration with register statistics

Tomas Johansson

Statistics Sweden

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Sweden

• Population 2013• 9 644 864• 16 % foreign born

• Immigrants 2013• 115 845

• Emigrants 2013• 50 715

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Introduction

• Parliamentary Committee• 2009 – 2011• Examine circular migration and development

• SOU 2010:40 (Mapping of circular migration)• SOU 2011:28 (Proposals)

• Used data from Statistics Sweden

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Definition of circular migrants

• A person that in migration purpose had crossed the Swedishborder at least twice 1969 – 2009• The statistics is dependent on

national registration• persons with the intention of

staying in Sweden for a year or more shall be registered

• persons with the intention of live outside Sweden for a year or more shall be deregistered

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Data material in the study• Historic Population Register (HPR)

• Period January 1, 1969 – December 31, 2009• Births, live births and stillborns• Deaths• Immigrations• Emigrations• Migrations within Sweden• Changes in civil status• Changes in citizenship

• Total Population Register • December 31, 2009

• Education register• December 31, 2009

• Occupational register • December 31, 2009

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Focus of the mapping

• Persons that during the period 1969-2009 has met the conditions to qualify as circular migrants• Year of immigration and emigration,• first and last migration, • country of birth, • age group, • gender, • total number of migrations and • region of origin/destination

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Focus of the mapping

• Circular migrants that were registered as living in Sweden on December 31, 2009• Total number of migrations, • the year of first and last migration, • gender, • region of birth, • age group, • occupation and • level of education

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Results of the mapping

• Number of circular migrants and migrations by sex and continent of birth 1969-2009

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Results of the mapping

• Number of circular migrants and migrations by sex and continent of birth 1969-2009

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Results of the mapping

• Number of circular migrants and migrations by sex and continent of birth 1969-2009

About 54 percent are men

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Results of the mapping

• Number of circular migrants and migrations by sex and continent of birth 1969-2009

More women than men

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Results of the mapping

• Number of circular migrants and migrations by sex and continent of birth 1969-2009

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Results of the mapping

• Number of circular migrants and migrations by sex and continent of birth 1969-2009

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

The largest group is persons born in the other Nordic countries• Foreign born circular migrations by continent of

birth

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Globalization has made its mark

• Number of circular migrations by continent of birth and year, foreign born persons

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Globalization has made its mark

• Number of circular migrations by continent of birth and year, foreign born persons

Nordic countries 65 %

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Globalization has made its mark

• Number of circular migrations by continent of birth and year, foreign born persons

Nordic countries 65 %

Nordic countries 32 %

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Usually few migrations

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and number of migrations, 1969-2009

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Usually few migrations

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and number of migrations, 1969-2009

77 percent of all circular migrants has 2 migrations

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Usually few migrations

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and number of migrations, 1969-2009

Highest number of migrations per person, 2.51

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Usually few migrations

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and number of migrations, 1969-2009

Highest number of migrations per person, 2.51

Highest proportion of many migrations, 1.2 %

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Subsequent years

• Percentage of circular migrants by time between first and last circular migration in the period 1969 – 2009

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30+

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Migrants Year

%

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Subsequent years

• Percentage of circular migrants by time between first and last circular migration in the period 1969 – 2009

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30+

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Migrants Year

%50 percent of all circular migrants has done their migrations within 3 calendar years

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Subsequent years

• Percentage of circular migrants by time between first and last circular migration in the period 1969 – 2009

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30+

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Migrants Year

%50 percent of all circular migrants has done their migrations within 3 calendar years

7 percent has done all of their migrations within the same year

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Circular migrants in Sweden

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and age group, December 31 2009

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Circular migrants in Sweden

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and age group, December 31 2009 Highest proportion of circular

migrants is in age group 19-64

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Circular migrants in Sweden

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and age group, December 31 2009 Highest proportion of circular

migrants is in age group 19-64

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Circular migrants in Sweden

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and age group, December 31 2009 Highest proportion of circular

migrants is in all ages

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Circular migrants in Sweden

• Number of circular migrants by region of birth and age group, December 31 2009 Highest proportion of circular

migrants is in age group 65 -

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Education by region of birth

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Nordiccountries

EU27exceptNorden

Rest ofEuropé

Afrika Northamerika

Southamerika

Asia Others

Unknown Low Medium High

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Education by region of birth

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Nordiccountries

EU27exceptNorden

Rest ofEuropé

Afrika Northamerika

Southamerika

Asia Others

Unknown Low Medium High

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

What’s in the pipeline?

• Delegation for Migration studies• increase the opportunities to use research findings• strengthen the analytical and evaluation capacity in

Sweden in the field of migration

• New mapping• Statistics Sweden in collaboration with Swedish

Migration Board

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

New mapping

• Suggestions to the Swedish government• Personal identification numbers also for short term

migrants (duration of each stay in Sweden is between 3 and 12 months

• New migration register• All migrations (both immigrants/emigrants and short term

migrants)• Information about the migrant

• sex, age, purpose of migration, occupation, length of residence permit, country of birth, country of origin/destination and more

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

References

• Nylin, A-K (2012): Background and definitions on circular migration, Statistics Sweden

• Statens offentliga utredningar (2010): Delbetänkande av kommittén för cirkulär migration och utveckling, SOU 2010:40 (includes a english summary)

• Statistics Sweden (2006), Historic population register, 2006:3

• Statistics Sweden (2014), Migrationsstatistik i Sverige – nuläge, behov och förslag till förbättringar

International Workshop on Methodological Challenges for the Study of Return and Circular Migration

Thank you!