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National Program Overview. Grain Inspection ADVISORY COMMITTEE Randall Jones Deputy Administrator JUNE 18,2013. Agenda. International Affairs John Pitchford Field Management Division Update Robert Lijewski Compliance Division Update Tom O’Connor - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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United States Department of Agriculture
GRAIN INSPECTION ADVISORY COMMITTEE
RANDALL JONES DEPUTY ADMINISTRATOR
JUNE 18 ,2013
National Program Overview
2United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Agenda
International Affairso John Pitchford
Field Management Division Updateo Robert Lijewski
Compliance Division Updateo Tom O’Connor
Technology and Science Division Updateo Mary Alonzoo Dr. David Funk
• Managing Labor Costso Tom O’Connor
• Trust Fund Reviewo Denise Ruggles
3United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export Inspections
FY19
8319
8419
8519
8619
8719
8819
8919
9019
9119
9219
9319
9419
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
0520
0620
0720
0820
0920
1020
1120
12
*201
30
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
FGIS STATE OTHER PROJECTED SUM
Thousa
nd M
etr
ic T
ons
4United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export Corn : FGIS, States, & Agencies
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
14
-Oct
28
-Oct
11
-No
v2
5-N
ov
9-D
ec
23
-De
c6
-Ja
n2
0-J
an
3-F
eb
17
-Fe
b3
-Ma
r1
7-M
ar
31
-Ma
r1
4-A
pr
28
-Ap
r1
2-M
ay
26
-Ma
y9
-Ju
n2
3-J
un
7-J
ul
21
-Ju
l4
-Au
g1
8-A
ug
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
5United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export: All Grains-FGIS, States, & Agencies
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
14
-Oct
28
-Oct
11
-No
v2
5-N
ov
9-D
ec
23
-De
c6
-Ja
n2
0-J
an
3-F
eb
17
-Fe
b3
-Ma
r1
7-M
ar
31
-Ma
r1
4-A
pr
28
-Ap
r1
2-M
ay
26
-Ma
y9
-Ju
n2
3-J
un
7-J
ul
21
-Ju
l4
-Au
g1
8-A
ug
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
6United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Exports: All Grains – States & Agencies
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
14
-Oct
28
-Oct
11
-No
v2
5-N
ov
9-D
ec
23
-De
c6
-Ja
n2
0-J
an
3-F
eb
17
-Fe
b3
-Ma
r1
7-M
ar
31
-Ma
r1
4-A
pr
28
-Ap
r1
2-M
ay
26
-Ma
y9
-Ju
n2
3-J
un
7-J
ul
21
-Ju
l4
-Au
g1
8-A
ug
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
7United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export: All Grains – FGIS Only
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
14
-Oct
28
-Oct
11
-No
v2
5-N
ov
9-D
ec
23
-De
c6
-Ja
n2
0-J
an
3-F
eb
17
-Fe
b3
-Ma
r1
7-M
ar
31
-Ma
r1
4-A
pr
28
-Ap
r1
2-M
ay
26
-Ma
y9
-Ju
n2
3-J
un
7-J
ul
21
-Ju
l4
-Au
g1
8-A
ug
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
8United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export Soybeans : FGIS, States, & Agencies
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
14
-Oct
28
-Oct
11
-No
v2
5-N
ov
9-D
ec
23
-De
c6
-Ja
n2
0-J
an
3-F
eb
17
-Fe
b3
-Ma
r1
7-M
ar
31
-Ma
r1
4-A
pr
28
-Ap
r1
2-M
ay
26
-Ma
y9
-Ju
n2
3-J
un
7-J
ul
21
-Ju
l4
-Au
g1
8-A
ug
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
9United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export Wheat : FGIS, States, & Agencies
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
14
-Oct
28
-Oct
11
-No
v2
5-N
ov
9-D
ec
23
-De
c6
-Ja
n2
0-J
an
3-F
eb
17
-Fe
b3
-Ma
r1
7-M
ar
31
-Ma
r1
4-A
pr
28
-Ap
r1
2-M
ay
26
-Ma
y9
-Ju
n2
3-J
un
7-J
ul
21
-Ju
l4
-Au
g1
8-A
ug
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
10United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export: Sorghum-FGIS, States, & Agencies
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
14
-Oct
28
-Oct
11
-No
v2
5-N
ov
9-D
ec
23
-De
c6
-Ja
n2
0-J
an
3-F
eb
17
-Fe
b3
-Ma
r1
7-M
ar
31
-Ma
r1
4-A
pr
28
-Ap
r1
2-M
ay
26
-Ma
y9
-Ju
n2
3-J
un
7-J
ul
21
-Ju
l4
-Au
g1
8-A
ug
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
11United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export: All Grains- New Orleans
1-O
ct1
5-O
ct2
9-O
ct1
2-N
ov
26
-No
v1
0-D
ec
24
-De
c7
-Ja
n2
1-J
an
4-F
eb
18
-Fe
b4
-Ma
r1
8-M
ar
1-A
pr
15
-Ap
r2
9-A
pr
13
-Ma
y2
7-M
ay
10
-Ju
n2
4-J
un
8-J
ul
22
-Ju
l5
-Au
g1
9-A
ug
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
12United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export: All Grains- League City
1-O
ct1
5-O
ct2
9-O
ct1
2-N
ov
26
-No
v1
0-D
ec
24
-De
c7
-Ja
n2
1-J
an
4-F
eb
18
-Fe
b4
-Ma
r1
8-M
ar
1-A
pr
15
-Ap
r2
9-A
pr
13
-Ma
y2
7-M
ay
10
-Ju
n2
4-J
un
8-J
ul
22
-Ju
l5
-Au
g1
9-A
ug
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
13United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export: All Grains- Portland
1-O
ct1
5-O
ct2
9-O
ct1
2-N
ov
26
-No
v1
0-D
ec
24
-De
c7
-Ja
n2
1-J
an
4-F
eb
18
-Fe
b4
-Ma
r1
8-M
ar
1-A
pr
15
-Ap
r2
9-A
pr
13
-Ma
y2
7-M
ay
10
-Ju
n2
4-J
un
8-J
ul
22
-Ju
l5
-Au
g1
9-A
ug
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
14United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export: All Grains- Toledo
1-O
ct1
5-O
ct2
9-O
ct1
2-N
ov
26
-No
v1
0-D
ec
24
-De
c7
-Ja
n2
1-J
an
4-F
eb
18
-Fe
b4
-Ma
r1
8-M
ar
1-A
pr
15
-Ap
r2
9-A
pr
13
-Ma
y2
7-M
ay
10
-Ju
n2
4-J
un
8-J
ul
22
-Ju
l5
-Au
g1
9-A
ug
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000 5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
15United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Export: All Grains- Olympia
1-O
ct1
5-O
ct2
9-O
ct1
2-N
ov
26
-No
v1
0-D
ec
24
-De
c7
-Ja
n2
1-J
an
4-F
eb
18
-Fe
b4
-Ma
r1
8-M
ar
1-A
pr
15
-Ap
r2
9-A
pr
13
-Ma
y2
7-M
ay
10
-Ju
n2
4-J
un
8-J
ul
22
-Ju
l5
-Au
g1
9-A
ug
2-S
ep
16
-Se
p3
0-S
ep
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
5-yr Avg 2011/12 2012/13
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
16United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Canadian Port Grain Inspection by FGIS
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
12011/122012/135 YR AVG
Th
ou
san
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
17United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Domestic Inspections State and Agencies
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep -
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
5 YR AVG FY 2012 FY 2013
Cu
mu
lati
ve
: T
ho
us
an
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
18United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Pulse Inspections
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013
Thou
sand
Met
ric
Tons
Projection
19United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Rice Inspections
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013
Thou
sand
Met
ric
Tons
Projected
20United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Containerized Inspections
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5-yr Avg
2012/13
2011/12
Cu
mu
lati
ve:
Th
ou
san
d M
etr
ic T
on
s
21United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Containerized Inspections
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Actual data
Fiscal Year
Thousa
nd M
etr
ic T
ons
22United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Market Overview
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (Projected
)
Corn 86.0 86.4 88.2 91.9 97.2 97.3
Soy 75.7 77.5 77.4 75.1 77.2 77.1
Wheat 63.2 59.2 53.6 54.4 55.7 56.4
Sorghum
8.3 6.6 5.4 5.5 6.2 7.6
Rice 3.0 3.1 3.6 2.7 2.7 2.6
U.S. Planted Acreage (Millions of Acres)
23United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Market Overview
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (Proj)
Corn 307.1
332.5 316.2 313.9 273.8 355.7
Soybean
80.7 91.4 90.6 84.2 82.1 92.3
Wheat 68.0 60.4 6.01 54.4 61.8 56.6
Sorghum
12.0 9.7 8.8 5.4 6.3 10.8*
Rice 9.2 10.0 11.0 8.4 9.0 8.6
U.S. Production (Million Metric Tons)
*Based on average yield on 7.62 MAc
24United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
U.S. Drought
25United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Market Overview
Corn: Feed and Residual Use, Ethanol, and Exports
Source: USDA-ERS Feb. 2013
26United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Market Overview
Consumption of Corn for Ethanol: Million bushels
Source: USDA-ERS 04-15 -2013
02/ 03 03/04 04/ 05 05 /06 06 /07 07 /08 08 /09 09 /10 10/11 11 /12 12/ 130
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
27United States Department of AgricultureGrain Inspection Advisory Committee Meeting, June 2013
Market Overview
02/ 03 03/04 04/ 05 05 /06 06 /07 07 /08 08 /09 09 /10 10/11 11 /12 12/ 130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Consumption of Corn for Ethanol: % of Production
Source: USDA-ERS 04-15 -2013
Questions?
