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NEA ad hoc meeting Beyond 10km Optical 100 Gb/s PHYs Pre-CFI consensus call Oct 25, 2017 1

NEA ad hoc meeting Beyond 10km Optical 100 Gb/s PHYs Pre ... · Steve Swanson Corning David Ofelt Juniper Networks ... •3 Million units

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NEAadhocmeetingBeyond10kmOptical100Gb/s

PHYsPre-CFIconsensuscall

Oct25,2017

1

Proposedagenda

2

• ApprovaloftheAgenda• ApprovaloftheOct11th minutes• IEEEpatentpolicyreminder:

• http://www.ieee802.org/3/patent.html

• IEEEParticipationRequirementsreminder• Pre-CFIConsensusdiscussion:

• Beyond10kmOptical100Gb/sPHYs

3

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

IEEE802Nov2017PlenaryOrlando,Florida

CFI-100GbE

Beyond10kmOpticalPHYs

ConsensusPresentation

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

IEEE802Nov2017PlenaryOrlando,Florida

Background(toberemovedforactualCFI)• Itisexpectedthat,ifsuccessful,thisCFIwillexpandthescopeofthecurrent“Beyond10k”StudyGroup(http://www.ieee802.org/3/B10K/index.html)

• AstrawpollormotionwillberequestedintheB10kstudygroupinNovembertoassesssupportfromthoseparticipantstoaccepttheincreasedscopeiftheCFIissuccessful.

• Untilthen,wecanonlystatewearerequestinganewStudyGroup• Weanticipatethatthiswouldresultinanexpandedscopeof:“Beyond10kmOpticalPHYsfor50Gb/s,100Gb/s,200Gb/s,and400Gb/sEthernet”

• ThisCFIisfocusedonly ontheinclusionoftheadditionaldatarateintotheB10kdiscussions

• Thereforetechnologyfeasibilityisdiscussed,buttechnologychoicesandtrade-offsremainthedomainoftheStudyGroup,nottheCFI

5

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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Supporters

6

FrankChang InphiHai-FengLiu IntelKohichiTamura OclaroRyanYu MolexScottSommers MolexCurtisKnittle CableLabsSteveSwanson CorningDavidOfelt JuniperNetworksScottSchube IntelKohichiTamura OclaroThananyaBaldwin IxiaJeffreyMaki JuniperNetworksKennethJackson SumitomoElectricMarkNowell CiscoJerryPepper IxiaKentLusted IntelIsonoHideki FujitsuPatriciaBowers SocioNextVipulBhatt FinisarDavidLewis Lumentum

JustinAbbot LumentumMattBrown MACOMAtulGupta MACOMChrisCollins MACOMTomIssenhuth IssenhuthConsultingAkinoriHayakawa FujitsuAntonioTartaglia EricssonMattTraverso CiscoMarekHajduczenia CharterCommunicationsDaveChalupksy IntelTomWilliams Acacia

Yournamehere??

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

IEEE802Nov2017PlenaryOrlando,Florida

ObjectiveforthisMeeting

• Tomeasuretheinterest instartingastudygrouptoaddress:• Beyond10kmOpticalPHYs for100GbE

• Wedon’tneedto• Fullyexploretheproblem• Debatestrengthsandweaknessesofsolutions• Chooseanyonesolution• CreatePARorfivecriteria• Createastandardorspecification

• Anyoneintheroommayspeak/vote• RESPECT…giveit,getit

7

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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WhatAreWeTalkingAbout?

ITU-Tdefined“CoreOTNTransport”carryingEthernettraffic

X,000km

OUR SCOPE OUR SCOPE

>10km>10km

>10km

OUR SCOPEScen

ario#1

Scen

ario#2

8

IEEEdefinedEthernet(100GbE)

IEEEdefinedEthernet(100GbE)

IEEEdefinedEthernet(100GbE)

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

IEEE802Nov2017PlenaryOrlando,Florida

Agenda

•MarketDrivers• TechnicalFeasibility•WhyNow?•Q&APanel• StrawPolls

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MarketDriversfor100GbEbeyond10km

10

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IEEE802Nov2017PlenaryOrlando,Florida

Beyond10kmOpticsThroughoutTheEcosystem• Not“DataCenter”

• ExiststhroughouttheEco-System

• 3Millionunitsfor40kmandbeyondshippedannually

• Continuingbandwidthgrowthfactorsresonatethroughouttheecosystem

• BeingaddressedinB10Kstudygroupfor50Gb/s,200Gb/s,and400Gb/s

• ThisCFI’sgoalistoadd100Gb/sintothatstudygroupdiscussion

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Today’sPoint-to-PointSMFEthernetFamilyLanes 500m 2km 10km 20km 40km Upto80km

1000BASE- 1 LX LX10 /LH EX ZX

10GBASE- 1 LR ER ZR

25GBASE- 1 LR ER

40GBASE-4 PSM4 LR4 ER4

1 FR

50GBASE- 1 FR LR

100GBASE-

10 10X10

4 PSM4 CWDM4/CLR4 LR4/WDM4-10 WDM4-20 ER4/WDM4-40

<4 DR

200GBASE- 4 FR4 LR4

400GBASE-

8 FR8 LR8

4 DR4

1BlackText IEEEStandardRedText InStandardizationBlueText Non-IEEEstandardbutcompliestoIEEEelectricalinterfaces

12

LanewidthOpportunity

LongerReachOpportunity

AddressedinBeyond10kmStudyGroup

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

IEEE802Nov2017PlenaryOrlando,Florida

Keytransition: fieldaggregationof10Gendpointscreateneed@100Gb/s+

backhaul

Cable/MSOMigrationStrategy

HybridFiber-Coax(HFC)CLASSIC

FIBER(RFAnalog) COAX

OpticalNode Amp Tap HomeHub

EthernetFIBER(Digital)

100Gb/s&200Gb/s40- 80km

COAX

RemotePHYArchitecture

COAX COAX

COAX

x500

x50

DWDM Singleλ 10G

DWDM

DrivenbytherequirementtosupporthigherbandwidthsandmoreendpointstheCablemarketisundergoinganarchitecturemigration.Analogopticaldistributionlinksaremovingtodigital@100Gb/sandabovefacilitatebackhaulofaggregated10Gb/sendpoints.Note,endpointusageis<10Gbpstostartwithcapacityforgrowthoverlifetime.

AGG

switch

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HybridFiberCoaxialMarketEvolution• DistributedAccessArchitecture(DAA)Nodes: 1.2M

• Not includingChina/India• Avg.homespassed/node:500

• CurrentNodesbecomefieldaggregationpoints,spawn10x+nodes:

• à 1.2M backhaullinestofieldaggregationpoints

• Evolutiontimeframe• 10yr +

• FurtherGrowthPotential:Mobile,businessservices

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18 CY19

DAA,OpticalUnits,Earlyyears

RemoteCCAP

RemoteCMTS

R-PHY

14

EvolutionofDOCSISArchitectures:https://www.nctatechnicalpapers.com/Paper/2015/2015-evolution-of-cmts-ccap-architectures

H.I.S.(Infonetics)NodeMarketStudy2015NOTE1:Graphderives100Gopticalendpointcountsfromnodecountinoriginalmarketstudy(seeback-up)NOTE2:RemoteCCAP/CMTS/RPHYrefertoseparatebreakpointsintheMACandPHYrangeofthecablepacketcore(knownasDOCSIS).

• CMTS– CableModemTerminationSystem(IncludesDOCSISMAC/PHYandsubscribermanagement)

• CCAP– ConvergedCableAccessPlatform(IncludesDOCSISMAC/PHY)• RemotePHY– onlyDOCSISPHYincluded

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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MobileBackhaulcapacitysegmentation5Gtransport:anevolution,notarevolution

Advanced mobile broadband 2016 202180% of sites

20% of sites

Few % of sites

90 Mbps

300 Mbps

1 Gbps

300 Mbps

1 Gbps

3-10 Gbps

5G capacity drivers

Backhaul capacity requirements per radio site

CourtesyofAntonioTartaglia,Ericsson

current

projected

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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5GbackhaulCapacitythrough2021evolution,notrevolution

RNC

BSCLRAN

AccessAggregation

Metro/

Regional

Aggregation

NationalBackbone

BasebandRadio

MobileCore

MobileCore

Router

S1

Router

Router

Router

Rou

ter

Switch/ Router

S1

Router

Rou

ter

Baseband

Baseband

Router

Router

Router

100G100GBASE-ER4/4-WDM-40100G“-ZR”100GDWDM(DirDetect orcoherent)200GDWDMcoherentforspectral

efficiencyandlower$/Gbps

10G10GBASE-LR10GBASE-ER10GBASE-ZR10GDWDM

Continuedgrowthof10Gand100Ginterfacesmoreconnections,betterutilized• 50Gand200Gmightplayalongertermrole

• Intheloweraggregationtiers,40km‘grey’direct-detectinterfacesareexpectedtohavecontinuedtraction

• Upinthetiers,80km/“-ZR”withoutexternalEDFAsexpectedtobecomepopular(coherentbeingthemostnaturalfit)

• DWDMmaycomeintothepicture,eveninlowertiers,tosolvespecificnetworkdesignchallenges(fiber exhaustproblems,“routeropticalbypass”,…)

=>opportunityforstandardinterfaceswithimprovedcoststructure

=>opportunityfornewstandardinterfaces

CourtesyofAntonioTartaglia,Ericsson

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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MobileBackhaulDemandforBeyond10kmNotallgeographiesarethesame

Source:Huang/Cheng,ChinaMobile,http://www.ieee802.org/3/ad_hoc/ngrates/public/16_07/huang_ecdc_01_0716.pdf

17

Source:B10kCFIhttp://www.ieee802.org/3/cfi/0717_1/CFI_01_0717.pdf

• PreviousB10kCFIfocusedonChineseMobileBackhaulmarketrequirements.50Gb/s&200Gb/sclearlyidentifiedasrequirements

• Differentgeographiesareseeingdifferentgrowthsonthebandwidthdriversindicating100Gb/sneeded

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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AnnualShipmentsfor40km+Applications

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

EthernetModules,1G,10G,25G,40G,and100G,40-80km• For100GbE,40km,LightCountingprojectsamarketthatwillroughlytripleinvaluefrom2017to2021.

• SONET40-80kmshipmentsrepresentanotherhalf-millionunitsin2016.SONETistransitioningtoEthernet.

• 1/2.5/10Gb/sDWDM/CWDM40km&80kmopticswillexceed1Munitsthisyearandgrowing

• Totalsareformerchantsuppliershipments.Captivesupplycouldaddanotherhalf-millionunits.

18

DatacourtesyofLightCounting

Units

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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OpticalModuleVolumes:40kmandBeyond40km

19

LightCountingforecastforopticalmodulesforEthernetandnon-Ethernetapplications• Totalsareformerchantsuppliershipments

• Themarketfor40kmand>40kmopticalmodulescontinuestogrow

• The>40kmmarketspaceforboth10Gband100Gbissignificantandgrowingfasterthanthe40km

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

1GbE40km 1GbE>40km 10GbE40km 10GbE>40km 40GbE40km 40GbE>40km 100GbE40km "100Gto400G>40km" Total1/10/40/100GbE DatacourtesyofLightCounting

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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Summary• NewmarketscomingtoEthernetwhere>10kmisimportant

• Cable/MSOnetworksmigratingarchitecturestowardsEthernet• Emergingapplicationstodrivefuturetrafficovermobilenetworks• DriversforMobileTrafficdifferindifferentregionsoftheworld.Networktopologiesaresimilar,timingarounddeploymentofrateswillfollowcapacitydemands

• Directdetect,coherentandDWDMallpotentialsolutionsthemarketislookingfor

• EstablishedEthernetmarketshowsusecasefor>10km• 3Millionunits(GbE to100GbE)for40kmandbeyondshippedannually• Bandwidthgrowththroughoutecosystem• “Geographicallychallenged”applicationsexistthroughoutEcosystem• >40kmforecastsgrowingfasterthan40km

20

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TechnicalFeasibility100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHY

21

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TheSMFOpticalLandscape*

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

10 25 40 50 100 200 400

Reach(km)

EthernetRate(Gb/s)

Leverages

10Gb/sNRZ

25Gb/sNRZ

50Gb/sPAM4

100Gb/sPAM4

400GCoherent

OC192

OC768

Other

OIF400GZR120km

10GZR

PSM4

4WDM-10

4WDM-20

4WDM-40

Coherent

Direct-Detect

*- IncludesStandardsandEffortsindevelopment**https://www.slideshare.net/ITU/itut-study-group-15-introduction.

ITU-T(G.698.2)Details&ReachUnknown**

22

2x50GPAM4

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RECONCILIATION

An Ethernet Overview of the Problem

xGMII

MAC

PCS(FEC)PMA

PMD

MDI

MEDIUM

ApproachestoLongerReach• StrongerFEC

• ImprovedTx /Rx• APD• DSP• Coherent• Other(SOA,….)

PHY

23

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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ImpactofUseofAPD(2λ @51.5625Gb/sPAM4)

Source:FrankChang,Inphi,“OFC2016:LinkPerformanceInvestigationofIndustryFirst100GPAM4ICChipsetwithReal-timeDSPforDataCenterConnectivity“,OFC’16Th1G.2

PINROSA APDROSA

Data:PRBS31Usedactualchipimplementationwithreal-timeRxDSPwith10+tapsFFE embeddedinsidethesilicon

>~6.5dBbettersensitivityinB2BthanPIN

2km/10km 40km

AVG AVG

ExtRatio:6.8/6.5dB ExtRatio:7.2/7.0dB

24

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Targeting>10kmwithCoherentTechnologyAssumptions• ModulationFormat

• 100G– QPSK@~30Gbaud• 200G– 16QAM@~30Gbaud• 400G– 16QAM@~60Gbaud

• Tx andRxpowerlevelsachievablewithhighyieldandmultipleopticaltechnologies

• Note– Longerreach,i.e.,higherlinkbudgets,canbesupportedbytransmitSOA/EDFAorwithadditionalamplification

Source:TomWilliams,Acacia

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 100 200 300 400 500

LinkBud

get(dB

)

DataRate(Gb/s)perlambda

LinkBudget

Loss@40km≈11dB*

*- http://www.ieee802.org/3/ba/public/tools/Fibre_characteristics_V_3_0.xls

25

Loss@80km≈22dB*

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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ImplementationCostConsiderations

Source:TomWilliams,Acacia

Cohe

rent

PAM4

Implementationcostsneedtobestudied–

• Inclusionofcomponents• Numberofcomponents• Operationrateofcomponents

• Specificationsofcomponents

26

Ser

Ser

FEC

FECEQ

EQ 1or2xDAC

1or2xADC

1or2

1or2

1or2

1or2

1or2

Driver Mod Laser

TIA det

Mux/demux(ifnessecary)

QPSK~30GbaudCoherent

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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TechnicalFeasibilityofBeyond10km100Gb/sOpticalPHYs• Growingevidenceofdifferentwaystosupportreachesbeyond10kmfor100GbE

• PAM4(DirectDetect)testdatafor40kmprovided• HigherPowerEMLTransmitters,APDs,AdvancedDSP,FEC

• CoherentOptics• Shippingtoday• Industrydevelopmenteffortsthatmaybeleveraged.

• ITU-T(ITU-TG.698.2)

• SametechnologyoptionsalreadyunderconsiderationinBeyond10kStudyGroup• Technologiesarealwaysevolvingtowardnarrowerlanewidths– bothelectricallyandoptically.

• Enablereductionsincost,poweretc• AlignswithhostSerDes roadmap

Realchallenge– determiningtherightsolutionfortherightreach/rate!

27

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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WhyNow?

28

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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WhyNow?

29

• OpportunitytoalignwiththeBeyond10kmStudyGroupeffortunderwayfor50GbE,200GbE,and400GbE

• Existing100GbE solutionfor40km(100GBASE-ER4)doesnotfullyaddressthemarket

• Notasolutionforupto80kmnorcompatiblewithaDWDMdeployment• Newertechnologiesavailabletopotentiallycostreduceeven40kmsolution

• Newmarketswith100GbE focus– exampleMSO• Numerousapplicationsfor>10kmOpticalPHYs

• Everywhere- ≈3Munitsshippedannuallyaddressing40+km• NotsamevolumesasDataCenter– butrelevanttooverallecosystem• 100GbE isthelatestrategrowingintothisspace

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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Supporters

30

FrankChang InphiHai-FengLiu IntelKohichiTamura OclaroRyanYu MolexScottSommers MolexCurtisKnittle CableLabsSteveSwanson CorningDavidOfelt JuniperNetworksScottSchube IntelKohichiTamura OclaroThananyaBaldwin IxiaJeffreyMaki JuniperNetworksKennethJackson SumitomoElectricMarkNowell CiscoJerryPepper IxiaKentLusted IntelIsonoHideki FujitsuPatriciaBowers SocioNextVipulBhatt FinisarDavidLewis Lumentum

JustinAbbot LumentumMattBrown MACOMAtulGupta MACOMChrisCollins MACOMTomIssenhuth IssenhuthConsultingAkinoriHayakawa FujitsuAntonioTartaglia EricssonMattTraverso CiscoMarekHajduczenia CharterCommunicationsDaveChalupksy IntelTomWilliams Acacia

Yournamehere??

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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StrawPolls

31

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StrawPoll1:Call-For-Interest

• ShouldaStudyGroupbeformedtoconsiderBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsfor100GbE?

Y: N: A:

RoomCount:

32

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

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StrawPoll2:Scope

• IwouldsupportexpandingthescopeoftheexistingBeyond10kmStudyGrouptoinclude100GbE.

Y: N: A:

RoomCount:

33

Draft0.8– 100GbEBeyond10kmOpticalPHYsCFIConsensusPresentation

IEEE802Nov2017PlenaryOrlando,Florida

Participation

• Iwouldparticipateinthe“Beyond10kmOpticalPHYs for100GbE”StudyGroupinIEEE802.3.

Tally:

• Mycompanywouldsupportparticipationinthe“Beyond10kmOpticalPHYs for100GbE”StudyGroupinIEEE802.3.Tally:

34

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FutureWork• LookforindicationfromcurrentBeyond10kStudygroupthatifthisCFIissuccessful,thatthereisinterestinexpandingthescopetoincludethiswork

• Ask802.3WorkingGrouponThursdaytoformaBeyond10km100GbEOpticalPHYsStudyGroup

• Let802.3WorkingGroupdeterminehowthiswillgoforwardifsuccessful

• Ifapproved,onFriday• 802EC

35

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Backup

36

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DigitalAccessArchitecture– moredetails

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18 CY19

DigitalAccessArchitectureOpticalUnits,Earlyyears

RemoteCCAP

RemoteCMTS

R-PHY

37

Numberof100GopticalunitsisderivedfromthenodeanalysisintheInfoneticsStudywiththeseassumptions:• ~12nodesareaggregatedontoasingle

100Gb/sdistributionlink• Eachlinkhas2endpoints• Eachnodeisconnectedtothe

aggregationpoint@10Gb/s• Currentnodebandwidthis@1-3

Gb/s• 10Gb/sprovidesfutureheadroom

• Redundancyisnotincludedinnumbersasthisisn’tauniversalarchitectureamongstMSO’s

H.I.S.(Infonetics)NodeMarketStudy2015NOTE1:Graphderives100Gopticalendpointcountsfromnodecountinoriginalmarketstudy(seeback-up)NOTE2:RemoteCCAP/CMTS/RPHYrefertoseparatebreakpointsintheMACandPHYrangeofthecablepacketcore(knownasDOCSIS).

• CMTS– CableModemTerminationSystem(IncludesDOCSISMAC/PHYandsubscribermanagement)

• CCAP– ConvergedCableAccessPlatform(IncludesDOCSISMAC/PHY)• RemotePHY– onlyDOCSISPHYincluded