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Metsä Group Results 2016 Kari Jordan President & CEO 2 February 2017
• Sales EUR 4,658 million (EUR 5,016 million)
• Comparable operating result EUR 439 million (537)
or 9.4% of sales (10.7)
• Comparable return on capital employed 10.2% (13.6)
• Profitability in comparison to the previous year was affected by
the lower market price and delivery volume of pulp and the
start-up phase of the new folding boxboard machine at Husum
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 3
Profit-making ability continued good
Metsä Group – Result 2016
• Construction of bioproduct mill at Äänekoski progressed as planned
– 84% complete at the end of the year
• Technical problems of the folding boxboard production line at Husum
were solved, and the average price of order intake reached a good level
• Installation of the extrusion coating line at Husum proceeded as
planned
• Expansion of Kerto® LVL mill at Lohja is progressing according to plan
• Metsä Wood divested its glulam business in Hartola
• Finnish sawmills were transferred from Metsä Wood to
Metsä Fibre
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 4
Events in the third quarter
Metsä Group – Result 2016
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 5
Annual sales
Metsä Group – Result 2016
EUR million
5,001 4,939 4,970 5,016 4,658
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 6
1,264 1,242 1,214 1,219 1,254 1,265
1,204 1,248 1,255
1,330
1,225 1,205 1,156 1,184
1,143 1,175
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
Q1/13 Q2/13 Q3/13 Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16
Quarterly sales
Metsä Group – Result 2016
EUR million
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 7
Comparable operating result
Metsä Group – Result 2016
EUR million
256
343
418
537
439
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 8
Operating result
Metsä Group – Result 2016
89 94
73
87
105 92
104
117
129 137
149
123 109
120
103 107 94
89
63
88
70
160
103
84
118
154
142 128
107
119
107
110
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Q1/13 Q2/13 Q3/13 Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16
Comparable operating result Operating result (IFRS)
EUR million
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 9
130
119
63
3
53
64 68 71
89 94
73
87
105
92
104
117
129 137
149
123
109
120
103 107
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Q1/1
1
Q2/1
1
Q3/1
1
Q4/1
1
Q1/1
2
Q2/1
2
Q3/1
2
Q4/1
2
Q1/1
3
Q2/1
3
Q3/1
3
Q4/1
3
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Q3/1
6
Q4/1
6
Comparable operating result
Metsä Group – Result 2016
EUR million
Change in comparable operating result
EUR million
Comparable operating result 2015 537
Sales prices -244
Sales volumes -21
Exchange rates 5
Raw materials and energy 34
Employee costs 35
Maintenance 8
Depreciation 18
Change of inventories 50
Other 17
Total -98
Comparable operating result 2016 439
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 10
Metsä Group – Result 2016
Items affecting comparability 2016
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 11
Metsä Group – Result 2016
EUR million 2016
Operating result (IFRS) 442.3
Items affecting comparability:
Metsä Board / Items related to paper production at Kyro -7.8
Metsä Tissue / Divestment of the business in Russia -4.4
Metsä Board / Loss related to divestment of Alrec Boiler Oy -1.1
Metsä Fibre / Sales gain related to Metsä-Botnia Metsät Oy 11.7
Metsä Board / Additional sales price related to Hallein 4.4
Metsä Wood / Sales gain from the glulam business 1.7
Other items, net -0.8
Items affecting comparability, total 3.7
Comparable operating result 438.6
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 12
Comparable ROCE
Metsä Group – Result 2016
7.1
9.1
11.4
13.6
10.2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
%
Target >10%
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 13
Equity ratio
Metsä Group – Result 2016
34.7 37.9 37.9
43.2 43.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
%
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 14
Interest-bearing net liabilities
Metsä Group – Result 2016
1,609 1,510
938
610
1,033
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2 000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
EUR million
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 15
Capital expenditure
Metsä Group – Result 2016
204 214
143
492
758
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
EUR million
Income statement
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 16
Metsä Group – Result 2016
EUR million 2016 2015 Change
Sales 4,657.9 5,016.0 -358.1
Other operating income 70.5 95.7 -25.2
Operating expenses -4,041.8 -4,311.4 269.6
Depreciation and impairment losses -244.3 -258.2 13.9
Operating result 442.3 542.1 -99.8
Comparable operating result 438.6 537.4 -98.8
Share of results from associated companies and joint ventures -1.1 11.2 -12.3
Exchange gains and losses -5.7 -1.2 -4.6
Other net financial items -74.9 -83.8 8.9
Result before income tax 360.6 468.4 -107.8
Key figures
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 17
Metsä Group – Result 2016
2016 2015 Change
Return on capital employed, % 10.2 13.7 -3.5
Comparable return on capital employed 10.2 13.6 -3.4
Return on equity, % 11.2 15.9 -4.7
Comparable return on equity 11.0 15.8 -4.8
Equity ratio, % 43.9 43.2 0.7
Net gearing ratio, % 40 25 15
Interest-bearing net liabilities, EUR million 1,033 610 423
Capital expenditure, EUR million 758 492 266
Personnel at end of period 9,300 9,599 -299
Cash flow statement I
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 18
Metsä Group – Result 2016
EUR million 2016 2015
Cash flow from operating activities
Result for the period 279.9 355.7
Adjustments to result for the period 350.5 387.2
Interest received 3.0 4.0
Interest paid -54.2 -68.9
Dividends received 1.6 5.7
Taxes -115.5 -97.3
Other financial items, net 8.6 -11.9
Change in working capital -126.2 221.3
Net cash flow from operating activities 347.8 796.0
Cash flow statement II
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 19
Metsä Group – Result 2016
EUR million 2016 2015
Net cash flow from operating activities 347.8 796.0
Purchase of shares 0.0 -2.4
Investments -757.9 -491.6
Sales of assets and others 62.6 40.2
Changes in members’ capital and other capital 65.9 106.4
Interest on members’ capital and dividends paid -120.2 -94.9
Change in long-term loans and committed facilities 174.8 -180.8
Change in cash and cash equivalents -226.8 172.8
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period 1,120.8 947.9
Translation differences and others 1.1 0.1
Change in cash and cash equivalents -226.8 172.8
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period 895,1 1,120.8
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 20
Personnel at year end
Metsä Group – Result 2016
11,447 10,736 10,410
9,599 9,300
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Wood Supply and Forest Services
Wood Supply and Forest Services
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 22
Metsä Forest – Wood Supply and Forest Services
EUR million 2016 2015 Change
Sales 1,534.4 1,518.1 16.3
Other operating income 7.3 7.4 -0.1
Operating expenses -1,507.4 -1,493.1 -14.3
Depreciation and impairment losses -3.4 -3.5 0.1
Operating result 30.9 29.0 1.9
Items affecting comparability, total - - -
Comparable operating result, EUR million 30.9 29.0 1.9
% of sales 2.0 1.9 0.1
Wood supply and stumpage prices were stable in Finland
• Wood was harvested and delivered as
targeted
• A total of approximately 30.5 million cubic
metres (30.0) of wood was delivered
• Weather conditions for harvesting were
good throughout the year
• Sales of forest services grew
• Nearly 20% of the wood sourced from
private forests were bought electronically.
As to the forest management services, the
figure was about 25%
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 23
Comparable operating result EUR million
Metsä Forest – Wood Supply and Forest Services
8.6
7.0
4.5
8.1
8.7
6.9 7.0
6.3
7.8
6.5
7.7
8.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Q1
/14
Q2
/14
Q3
/14
Q4
/14
Q1
/15
Q2
/15
Q3
/15
Q4
/15
Q1
/16
Q2
/16
Q3
/16
Q4
/16
Wood Products Industry
Wood Products Industry
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 25
Metsä Wood – Wood Products Industry
EUR million 2016 2015 Change
Sales 481.6 533.6 -52.0
Other operating income 12.2 8.1 4.1
Operating expenses -440.2 -516.2 76.0
Depreciation and impairment losses -13.6 -19.0 5.4
Operating result 40.0 6.5 33.5
Items affecting comparability, total -1.3 21.4 -22.7
Comparable operating result, EUR million 38.7 27.9 10.8
% of sales 8.0 5.2 2.8
The delivery volumes of Kerto® LVL grew clearly
• The delivery volumes and sales of Kerto® LVL grew
particularly in Northern Europe, Australia and
North America
• The delivery volumes and sales of plywood decreased
• The EUR 100 million investment programme in the
plywood and Kerto® LVL operations proceeded as
planned
– The expansion of Kerto® LVL mill at Lohja is progressing
– A new birch veneer peeling and drying line will be built at
Äänekoski, and a new plywood mill in Estonia
– The customer test runs of the speciality veneer product under-
way at Suolahti
• Finnish sawmills from Metsä Wood to Metsä Fibre
• Glulam business in Hartola and project business in
Pälkäne were divested
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 26
Comparable operating result EUR million
Metsä Wood – Wood Products Industry
5.1
6.8
4.9
3.5
4.5
7.1
8.0 8.4 8.2
13.2
9.0 8.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Q1
/14
Q2
/14
Q3
/14
Q4
/14
Q1
/15
Q2
/15
Q3
/15
Q4
/15
Q1
/16
Q2
/16
Q3
/16
Q4
/16
Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 28
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
EUR million 2016 2015 Change
Sales 1,636.0 1,771.8 -135.8
Other operating income 25.8 16.2 9.6
Operating expenses -1,368.7 -1,372.8 4.1
Depreciation and impairment losses -72.3 -74.5 2.2
Operating result 220.8 340.7 -119.9
Items affecting comparability, total -6.2 - -6.2
Comparable operating result, EUR million 214.6 340.7 -126.1
% of sales 13.1 19.2 6.1
Price of pulp (PIX) 2008–2016
350
450
550
650
750
850
950
1050
350
450
550
650
750
850
950
1050
'08 ´09 ´10 ´11 ´12 ´13 ´14 ´15 ´16
Hardwood/EUR Softwood/EUR Hardwood/USD Softwood/USD
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 29
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
USD EUR
Source: Foex
Profitability was affected by
lower sales prices of pulp
• Demand-supply balance of long-fibre pulp
remained good
• In short-fibre, an increase in supply brought prices
down
• Sales and operating result decreased due to the
lower sales volumes and prices of pulp
• Metsä Group’s Finnish sawmills were transferred
to Metsä Fibre
• Construction of the bioproduct mill at Äänekoski
on schedule and on budget
– Investment in the bioproduct mill totalled EUR 508
million in 2016
– 84% per cent was complete at the end of the year
– Focus shifting to testing and commissioning
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 30
Comparable operating result EUR million
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
58,4
43,9
53,1
69,0
82,0
95,6
83,4 79,7
61,2
53,2
46,4
53,7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Q3/1
6
Q4/1
6
Paperboard Industry
Paperboard Industry
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 32
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
EUR million 2016 2015 Change
Sales 1,720.3 2,007.5 -287.2
Other operating income 40.2 47.7 -7.5
Operating expenses -1,525.9 -1,752.8 226.9
Depreciation and impairment losses -102.3 -103.5 1.2
Operating result 132.3 199.0 -66.7
Items affecting comparability, total 5.2 -19.2 24.4
Comparable operating result, EUR million 137.5 179.9 -42.4
% of sales 8.0 9.0 -1.0
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 33
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1050
1100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Folding boxboard White-top kraftliner
Prices of folding boxboard and white-top kraftliner
in Europe 2010–2016
Sources: Pöyry Management Consulting and FOEX Indexes
Ltd
EUR/tonne
Demand for fresh fibre paperboards continued good
• Folding boxboard and white fresh fibre
linerboard volumes were up by 12% in 2016
• Sales declined due to the planned major
decrease of fine paper volumes
• Wallpaper base business was discontinued
• Operating result weakened by the start-up of
the folding boxboard machine at Husum
• Result development of the Finnish mills stable
– Five mills reached new annual production records
• Construction of the extrusion coating line at
Husum is progressing as planned
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 34
Comparable operating result EUR million
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
36.1
28.3
35.2 36.9
43.2
47.0
54.6
35.1 35.0 35.8 34.0 32.8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q1
/14
Q2
/14
Q3
/14
Q4
/14
Q1
/15
Q2
/15
Q3
/15
Q4
/15
Q1
/16
Q2
/16
Q3
/16
Q4
/16
Tissue and Cooking Papers
Tissue and Cooking Papers
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 36
Metsä Tissue – Tissue and Cooking Papers
EUR million 2016 2015 Change
Sales 990.8 1,015.8 -25.0
Other operating income 3.5 4.8 -1.3
Operating expenses -893.3 -938.5 45.2
Depreciation and impairment losses -39.7 -40.5 0.8
Operating result 61.3 41.6 19.7
Items affecting comparability, total 1.7 13.5 -11.8
Comparable operating result, EUR million 63.1 55.1 8.0
% of sales 6.4 5.4 1.0
The operating result of Tissue and Cooking Papers
improved
• Operating result improved thanks to a better
product mix, increased efficiency, and lower
production and transport costs
• Sales declined due to the discontinuation of
consumer business in Russia and exchange
rate changes
• Paper machine at Raubach and the
greaseproof paper machine at Mänttä were
renewed
• Several new products were brought to the
market in 2016
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 37
Comparable operating result EUR million
Metsä Tissue – Tissue and Cooking Papers
11.8
9.7
19.6
21.1
15.8
7.6
13.2
18.6
13.5 13.2
15.8
20.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q1
/14
Q2
/14
Q3
/14
Q4
/14
Q1
/15
Q2
/15
Q3
/15
Q4
/15
Q1
/16
Q2
/16
Q3
/16
Q4
/16
Summary
Outlook for the business areas 1/2
Wood Supply and Forest Services
• Wood demand focuses on regeneration and thinning sites to be harvested when the ground is
unfrozen and, in terms of energy wood, crown wood
Wood Products
• Market demand for wood products is picking up, improving the order book for all sheet products
• Construction in the UK market is expected to remain at a good level
Pulp and Sawn Timber
• Global demand for pulp has continued to increase slightly, and there are no signs of considerable
negative changes in the market conditions
• Demand in Asia will support the market balance of spruce sawn timber
• Oversupply in pine sawn timber will continue, particularly due to the market situation in North Africa
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 39
Summary
Outlook for the business areas 2/2
Paperboard
• Demand for premium fresh fibre paperboards is expected to remain good in Europe and the
Americas
• Market prices of folding boxboard and white fresh fibre linerboard are expected to remain stable
• Paperboard deliveries in January–March 2017 are expected to grow from the previous quarter
• Growth is supported by Husum's new folding boxboard production, marketed primarily to the
Americas
Tissue and Cooking Papers
• In the tissue and cooking paper markets, demand is expected to remain stable in all market areas
• Demand for tissue paper is expected to increase particularly in eastern Central Europe, and
demand for cooking papers in Asia
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 40
Summary
• Metsä Group’s comparable operating
result is in the first quarter of 2017
expected to be roughly at a similar
level as in the fourth quarter of 2016
2 February 2017 Metsä Group 41
Near-term outlook
Summary