PPP Release NY 05221118

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    Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]

    FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 22, 2011

    INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

    IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH

    OF THE PRESS RELEASE

    Hochul leads Corwin by 6

    Raleigh, N.C. Democrat Kathy Hochul continues to appear poised for an upset victory

    in Tuesday's special election for Congress in New York's 26th Congressional District.She is polling at 42% to 36% for Republican nominee Jane Corwin and 13% for Tea

    Party candidate Jack Davis.

    Since a PPP poll of the race two weeks ago Hochul has gained 7 points of support andCorwin has gained 5 while Davis has dropped by 11. It appears that Hochul has done a

    good job of staying above the fray as the campaign has taken on an increasingly negative

    tenor in its final days. Hochul's favorability is a +14 spread at 51/37, up 8 points fromthe previous poll when it was +6 at 46/40. Corwin meanwhile has seen a 15 decline in

    her net favorability. She was already unpopular at -3 (39/42) on our previous poll but

    that is now much worse at -18 (34/52). Davis has seen the biggest decline in his imagethough. Voters were evenly split 43/43 in their assessments of him two weeks ago. Now

    his favorability spread is a horrid -39 with only 23% of voters rating him positively and

    62% with a negative opinion.

    There's still reason though to think Corwin could pull this race out. By a 41-39 marginvoters in the district would like their new member of Congress to caucus with the

    Republicans rather than the Democrats in the House. Those planning to vote for Davis

    hold that sentiment by an even wider margin at 48-20. Davis' support has been

    plummeting and if that trend continues and conservatives who don't really like Corwinhold their nose and end up voting for her anyway she still has a chance to win a narrow

    victory.

    Kathy Hoculs possible upset victory Tuesday is partially a reflection of an unusual

    three way race, said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. But its also

    indicative of the new Republican majority becoming very unpopular very fast. Barack

    Obama is more popular in this district than John Boehner.

    PPP surveyed 1,106 likely NY-26 voters on May 21st and 22nd. The margin of error for

    the survey is +/-2.9%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign orpolitical organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone

    interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the

    New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias towardRepublican candidates.

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    May 21-22, 2011Survey of 1,106 likely voters

    May 21-22, 2011Survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    New York 26th Congressional District Survey Results

    Q1 The candidates in the special election forCongress are Republican Jane Corwin, TeaParty candidate Jack Davis, Democrat KathyHochul, and Green Party candidate IanMurphy. If the election was today, who wouldyou vote for?

    36%Jane Corwin....................................................

    13%Jack Davis......................................................

    42%Kathy Hochul..................................................

    3%Ian Murphy......................................................5%Undecided.......................................................

    Q2 Who did you vote for President in 2008?

    42%John McCain...................................................

    47%Barack Obama................................................

    11%Someone else/Don't remember......................

    Q3 Do you consider yourself to be a member ofthe Tea Party?

    16%Yes..................................................................

    76%No...................................................................

    8%Not sure..........................................................

    Q4 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

    7%Very liberal......................................................

    17%Somewhat liberal............................................

    30%Moderate.........................................................

    28%Somewhat conservative..................................

    18%Very conservative...........................................

    Q5 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

    53%Woman...........................................................

    47%Man.................................................................

    Q6 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If aRepublican, press 2. If you are an independentor a member of another party, press 3.

    36%Democrat........................................................

    39%Republican......................................................

    25%Independent/Other..........................................

    Q7 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.

    90%White..............................................................

    10%Other...............................................................

    Q8 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.

    6%18 to 29...........................................................

    22%30 to 45...........................................................

    43%46 to 65...........................................................

    29%Older than 65..................................................

    Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Jane Corwin?

    34%Favorable........................................................

    52%Unfavorable....................................................

    13%Not sure..........................................................

    Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Jack Davis?

    23%Favorable........................................................

    62%Unfavorable....................................................

    15%Not sure..........................................................

    Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Kathy Hochul?

    51%Favorable........................................................

    37%Unfavorable....................................................

    12%Not sure..........................................................

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    May 21-22, 2011Survey of 1,106 likely voters

    May 21-22, 2011Survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

    of Ian Murphy?12%Favorable........................................................

    34%Unfavorable....................................................

    54%Not sure..........................................................

    Q13 Do you approve or disapprove of PresidentBarack Obamas job performance?

    42%Approve..........................................................

    51%Disapprove......................................................

    7%Not sure..........................................................

    Q14 Do you approve or disapprove of the job John

    Boehner is doing?28%Approve..........................................................

    45%Disapprove......................................................

    27%Not sure..........................................................

    Q15 Do you approve or disapprove of the jobCongressional Republicans are doing?

    26%Approve..........................................................

    59%Disapprove......................................................

    15%Not sure..........................................................

    Q16 Would you like the new Congressman from our

    district to caucus with the Democrats or theRepublicans in Congress?

    39%Democrats......................................................

    41%Republicans....................................................

    20%Not sure..........................................................

    Q17 Do you think the Republicans are doing a

    better job than the Democrats did while incharge of the House of Representatives, aworse job, or is it about the same?

    34%A better job.....................................................

    38%A worse job.....................................................

    27%About the same...............................................

    2%Not sure..........................................................

    Q18 Do you have more faith in Barack Obama orCongressional Republicans to lead the countryin the right direction?

    44%Barack Obama................................................

    45%Congressional Republicans............................

    11%Not sure..........................................................

    Q19 Do you approve or disapprove of GovernorAndrew Cuomos job performance?

    62%Approve..........................................................

    17%Disapprove......................................................

    21%Not sure..........................................................

    Q20 Do you approve or disapprove of SenatorChuck Schumers job performance?

    54%Approve..........................................................

    34%Disapprove......................................................

    12%Not sure..........................................................

    Q21 Do you approve or disapprove of SenatorKirsten Gillibrands job performance?

    43%Approve..........................................................

    35%Disapprove......................................................

    22%Not sure..........................................................

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    The candidates in th-

    e special election for

    Congress are Repu-

    blican Jane Corwin,

    Tea Party candidate

    Jack Davis, Democ...

    Jane Corw in

    Jack Davis

    Kathy Hochul

    Ian Murphy

    Undecided

    36% 66% 9% 38%

    13% 15% 10% 18%

    42% 12% 73% 23%

    3% 3% 3% 7%

    5% 4% 4% 14%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Corw in Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    34% 60% 10% 35%

    52% 27% 78% 45%

    13% 13% 12% 19%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberDavis Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 24% 23% 22%

    62% 63% 62% 60%

    15% 14% 14% 19%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberHochul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    51% 26% 80% 27%

    37% 60% 13% 53%

    12% 15% 7% 19%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Murphy Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    12% 8% 14% 14%

    34% 37% 32% 33%

    54% 55% 54% 52%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 7% 79% 19%

    51% 86% 15% 66%

    7% 6% 6% 15%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberBoehner Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 47% 11% 31%

    45% 24% 67% 31%

    27% 29% 22% 38%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberCongressional GOP

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    26% 50% 4% 28%

    59% 31% 87% 49%

    15% 19% 9% 22%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Should New

    Congressman

    Caucus w ith Dem s

    or GOP?

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Not sure

    39% 8% 74% 13%

    41% 73% 11% 38%

    20% 19% 15% 49%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Cong. GOP Doing

    Better/Worse/Same

    as Dems?

    A better job

    A worse job

    About the sam e

    Not sure

    34% 62% 7% 34%

    38% 8% 70% 19%

    27% 27% 22% 45%

    2% 3% 1% 3%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberMore Faith in Obama

    or Cong. GOP?

    Barack Obama

    Congressional

    Republicans

    Not sure

    44% 8% 85% 19%

    45% 80% 9% 53%

    11% 13% 6% 28%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberCuomo Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    62% 53% 73% 53%

    17% 22% 11% 19%

    21% 25% 16% 28%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Schumer Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    54% 25% 83% 47%

    34% 60% 9% 39%

    12% 15% 8% 14%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Gillibrand Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    43% 19% 69% 22%

    35% 55% 14% 47%

    22% 26% 17% 30%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    The candidates in th-

    e s pecial election for

    Congress are Repu-

    blican Jane Corwin,

    Tea Party candidate

    Jack Davis, Dem oc...

    Jane Corw in

    Jack Davis

    Kathy Hochul

    Ian Murphy

    Undecided

    36% 71% 28% 50%

    13% 16% 13% 13%

    42% 6% 52% 12%

    3% 2% 4% 2%

    5% 6% 3% 23%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Corw in Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    34% 65% 27% 45%

    52% 24% 61% 27%

    13% 11% 12% 27%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Davis Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 21% 24% 25%

    62% 68% 62% 50%

    15% 11% 14% 25%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Hochul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    51% 17% 61% 24%

    37% 71% 29% 51%

    12% 11% 10% 25%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Murphy Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    12% 7% 13% 6%

    34% 42% 33% 27%

    54% 51% 54% 67%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 7% 52% 17%

    51% 90% 41% 74%

    7% 2% 8% 10%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Boehner Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 51% 23% 37%

    45% 24% 52% 18%

    27% 25% 25% 44%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Congressional GOP

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    26% 49% 21% 33%

    59% 33% 66% 39%

    15% 18% 13% 28%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Should New

    Congressman

    Caucus w ith Dem s

    or GOP?

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Not sure

    39% 7% 49% 11%

    41% 78% 31% 55%

    20% 15% 20% 34%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Cong. GOP Doing

    Better/Worse/Same

    as Dems?

    A better job

    A worse job

    About the same

    Not sure

    34% 67% 25% 45%

    38% 8% 47% 14%

    27% 25% 27% 29%

    2% 0% 1% 12%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    More Faith in Obama

    or Cong. GOP?

    Barack Obama

    Congressional

    Republicans

    Not sure

    44% 8% 55% 16%

    45% 86% 32% 72%

    11% 6% 12% 12%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Cuomo Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    62% 49% 67% 43%

    17% 22% 15% 23%

    21% 29% 18% 34%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Schume r Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    54% 14% 65% 33%

    34% 75% 25% 39%

    12% 11% 10% 28%

    Base

    Tea Party ID

    Yes No

    Not

    sure

    Gillibrand Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    43% 11% 52% 19%

    35% 68% 28% 37%

    22% 21% 20% 45%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    The candidates in th-

    e special election for

    Congress are Repu-

    blican Jane Corwin,

    Tea Party candidate

    Jack Davis, Democ...

    Jane Corwin

    Jack Davis

    Kathy Hochul

    Ian Murphy

    Undecided

    36% 17% 10% 20% 56% 67%

    13% 6% 12% 13% 14% 16%

    42% 69% 74% 58% 20% 5%

    3% 6% 3% 4% 2% 4%

    5% 3% 2% 5% 7% 8%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Corw in Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    34% 18% 8% 19% 52% 63%

    52% 73% 80% 65% 34% 24%

    13% 9% 12% 16% 13% 13%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Davis Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 15% 21% 28% 24% 20%

    62% 70% 65% 57% 61% 66%

    15% 15% 14% 15% 15% 14%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Hochul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    51% 73% 79% 69% 31% 16%

    37% 21% 13% 19% 55% 69%

    12% 6% 8% 12% 14% 14%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Murph y Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    12% 21% 15% 13% 9% 7%

    34% 39% 34% 30% 35% 38%

    54% 40% 51% 57% 56% 55%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 74% 77% 56% 19% 7%

    51% 24% 20% 34% 70% 92%

    7% 2% 3% 11% 10% 2%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Boehner Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 15% 11% 15% 40% 54%

    45% 69% 68% 57% 27% 20%

    27% 16% 22% 28% 33% 25%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Congressional GOPApproval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    26% 5% 6% 14% 41% 52%

    59% 92% 88% 73% 36% 30%

    15% 3% 6% 13% 23% 19%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Should New

    Congressman

    Caucus with Dems

    or GOP?

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Not sure

    39% 75% 71% 53% 18% 4%

    41% 18% 16% 20% 60% 77%

    20% 7% 13% 26% 22% 20%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Cong. GOP Doing

    Better/Worse/Same

    as Dems?

    A better job

    A worse job

    About the same

    Not sure

    34% 16% 10% 16% 51% 65%

    38% 70% 66% 51% 19% 7%

    27% 14% 23% 32% 28% 24%

    2% - 0% 2% 2% 3%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    More Faith in Obamaor Cong. GOP?

    Barack Obama

    Congressional

    Republicans

    Not sure

    44% 82% 80% 61% 20% 8%

    45% 15% 15% 25% 64% 84%

    11% 3% 6% 14% 16% 9%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Cuomo Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    62% 86% 70% 69% 59% 40%

    17% 6% 15% 15% 14% 28%

    21% 8% 15% 16% 27% 31%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Schumer Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    54% 78% 84% 76% 36% 10%

    34% 15% 11% 13% 50% 73%

    12% 7% 5% 11% 15% 16%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Gillibrand Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    43% 67% 70% 57% 28% 9%

    35% 17% 18% 19% 45% 68%

    22% 17% 12% 24% 28% 22%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    The candidates in th-

    e s pecial election for

    Congress are Repu-

    blican Jane Corwin,

    Tea Party candidate

    Jack Davis, Dem oc...

    Jane Corw in

    Jack Davis

    Kathy Hochul

    Ian Murphy

    Undecided

    36% 34% 39%

    13% 12% 15%

    42% 44% 39%

    3% 4% 3%

    5% 6% 4%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Corw in Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    34% 33% 35%

    52% 51% 54%

    13% 16% 11%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Davis Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 23% 24%

    62% 59% 66%

    15% 19% 10%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Hochul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    51% 53% 48%

    37% 33% 43%

    12% 14% 9%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Murphy Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    12% 11% 13%

    34% 29% 40%

    54% 61% 47%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 43% 41%

    51% 49% 54%

    7% 9% 5%

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    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Boehner Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 26% 31%

    45% 41% 49%

    27% 33% 20%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Congressional GOP

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    26% 25% 28%

    59% 58% 60%

    15% 18% 12%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Should New

    Congressman

    Caucus w ith Dem s

    or GOP?

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Not sure

    39% 40% 37%

    41% 37% 45%

    20% 22% 18%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Cong. GOP Doing

    Better/Worse/Same

    as Dems?

    A better job

    A worse job

    About the same

    Not sure

    34% 30% 38%

    38% 39% 37%

    27% 29% 24%

    2% 3% 1%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    More Faith in Obama

    or Cong. GOP?

    Barack Obama

    Congressional

    Republicans

    Not sure

    44% 45% 43%

    45% 42% 47%

    11% 13% 10%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Cuomo Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    62% 59% 65%

    17% 16% 18%

    21% 25% 18%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Schume r Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    54% 58% 49%

    34% 29% 41%

    12% 13% 10%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Gillibrand Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    43% 44% 41%

    35% 30% 41%

    22% 26% 18%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    The candidates in th-

    e special election for

    Congress are Repu-

    blican Jane Corw in,

    Tea Party candidate

    Jack Davis, Dem oc...

    Jane Corwin

    Jack Davis

    Kathy Hochul

    Ian Murphy

    Undecided

    36% 11% 61% 34%

    13% 8% 1 6% 17%

    42% 74% 16% 36%

    3% 3% 3% 5%

    5% 4% 4% 9%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Corwin Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    34% 11% 59% 30%

    52% 76% 30% 54%

    13% 13% 12% 16%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Davis FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    23% 23% 23% 24%

    62% 64% 62% 58%

    15% 12% 15% 18%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Hochul FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    51% 81% 29% 41%

    37% 13% 57% 42%

    12% 6% 1 4% 17%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Murphy Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    12% 16% 6% 14%

    34% 33% 37% 31%

    54% 51% 57% 54%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    42% 73% 17% 35%

    51% 21% 76% 56%

    7% 6% 7% 9%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Boehner ApprovalApprove

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    28% 12% 47% 23%

    45% 64% 24% 48%

    27% 24% 28% 29%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Congress ional GOPApproval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    26% 6% 5 0% 19%

    59% 84% 33% 64%

    15% 11% 17% 17%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Should New

    Congressman

    Caucus with Dems

    or GOP?

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Not sur e

    39% 75% 12% 30%

    41% 10% 70% 39%

    20% 15% 18% 31%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Cong. GOP Doing

    Better/Worse/Same

    as Dems ?

    A better job

    A worse job

    About the same

    Not sur e

    34% 12% 58% 27%

    38% 66% 14% 36%

    27% 21% 26% 35%

    2% 1% 2% 3%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    More Faith in Obamaor Cong. GOP?

    Barack Obama

    Congressional

    Republicans

    Not sur e

    44% 78% 17% 40%

    45% 14% 72% 43%

    11% 8% 1 1% 17%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Cuomo ApprovalApprove

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    62% 73% 54% 58%

    17% 10% 21% 20%

    21% 17% 25% 22%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Schume r Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    54% 78% 33% 53%

    34% 11% 51% 40%

    12% 11% 15% 7%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Gillibrand Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    43% 68% 23% 38%

    35% 15% 48% 44%

    22% 18% 29% 18%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    The candidates in th-

    e s pecial election for

    Congress are Repu-

    blican Jane Corwin,

    Tea Party candidate

    Jack Davis, Dem oc...

    Jane Corw in

    Jack Davis

    Kathy Hochul

    Ian Murphy

    Undecided

    36% 36% 34%

    13% 13% 16%

    42% 43% 33%

    3% 3% 7%

    5% 5% 10%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Corw in Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    34% 35% 31%

    52% 52% 52%

    13% 13% 17%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Davis Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 23% 22%

    62% 63% 55%

    15% 14% 23%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Hochul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    51% 50% 54%

    37% 38% 33%

    12% 12% 13%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Murphy Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    12% 12% 12%

    34% 33% 41%

    54% 55% 47%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 42% 42%

    51% 52% 48%

    7% 7% 11%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Boehner Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 29% 26%

    45% 45% 44%

    27% 27% 30%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Congressional GOP

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    26% 27% 21%

    59% 59% 57%

    15% 14% 22%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Should New

    Congressman

    Caucus w ith Dem s

    or GOP?

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Not sure

    39% 39% 36%

    41% 41% 36%

    20% 19% 28%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Cong. GOP Doing

    Better/Worse/Same

    as Dems?

    A better job

    A worse job

    About the same

    Not sure

    34% 35% 24%

    38% 37% 42%

    27% 26% 29%

    2% 2% 5%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    More Faith in Obama

    or Cong. GOP?

    Barack Obama

    Congressional

    Republicans

    Not sure

    44% 44% 44%

    45% 45% 37%

    11% 11% 18%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Cuomo Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    62% 63% 52%

    17% 16% 25%

    21% 21% 23%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Schume r Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    54% 54% 48%

    34% 34% 37%

    12% 11% 15%

    Base

    Race

    White Other

    Gillibrand Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    43% 43% 38%

    35% 34% 43%

    22% 23% 18%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    The candidates in th-

    e s pecial election for

    Congress are Repu-

    blican Jane Corwin,

    Tea Party candidate

    Jack Davis, Dem oc...

    Jane Corw in

    Jack Davis

    Kathy Hochul

    Ian Murphy

    Undecided

    36% 47% 41% 34% 33%

    13% 9% 20% 12% 11%

    42% 25% 31% 47% 45%

    3% 6% 4% 3% 3%

    5% 13% 3% 4% 8%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Corw in Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    34% 52% 32% 33% 35%

    52% 31% 55% 55% 51%

    13% 17% 13% 12% 15%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Davis Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 28% 26% 22% 22%

    62% 52% 63% 64% 61%

    15% 21% 11% 14% 17%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Hochul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    51% 45% 44% 54% 52%

    37% 48% 43% 34% 35%

    12% 7% 13% 12% 13%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Murphy Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    12% 18% 14% 11% 10%

    34% 36% 34% 35% 33%

    54% 46% 52% 55% 57%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 39% 34% 44% 44%

    51% 57% 62% 48% 47%

    7% 4% 4% 8% 9%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Boehner Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 25% 32% 28% 27%

    45% 50% 39% 47% 45%

    27% 25% 29% 25% 28%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Congressional GOP

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    26% 29% 26% 25% 28%

    59% 57% 57% 61% 57%

    15% 14% 16% 14% 16%

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    May 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely votersMay 21-22, 2011survey of 1,106 likely voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Should New

    Congressman

    Caucus w ith Dem s

    or GOP?

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Not sure

    39% 32% 34% 42% 41%

    41% 43% 45% 41% 38%

    20% 25% 21% 18% 22%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Cong. GOP Doing

    Better/Worse/Same

    as Dems?

    A better job

    A worse job

    About the same

    Not sure

    34% 39% 38% 33% 31%

    38% 25% 28% 43% 40%

    27% 32% 33% 23% 26%

    2% 4% 1% 2% 2%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    More Faith in Obama

    or Cong. GOP?

    Barack Obama

    Congressional

    Republicans

    Not sure

    44% 44% 35% 47% 47%

    45% 48% 55% 43% 39%

    11% 7% 10% 10% 15%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Cuomo Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    62% 44% 49% 65% 72%

    17% 15% 31% 14% 10%

    21% 41% 21% 21% 18%

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    May 21-22 2011May 21-22 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd.3020 Highwoods Blvd.

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Schume r Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    54% 44% 41% 56% 63%

    34% 37% 45% 34% 26%

    12% 19% 14% 10% 11%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Gillibrand Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    43% 44% 29% 48% 45%

    35% 37% 46% 35% 27%

    22% 19% 25% 18% 28%