Prof. E.A.E. Elsheikh (Hayati)President

University of Khartoum

Future of Universities: an overview

Agriculture

Information /service

Industry

Research &

Economy

والنهضة اإلقتصاد أساس العلمي البحثالحضارية

Knowledge

Innovation

Production Economy VS K-E

Economy Factor P- Economy K-Economy

Capital Knowledge

Market driven

Value Innovation

A skill or

a degree

Continuous

learning

Leading

strategy

Main asset

Education

Requirements

What are the challenges ?

What are the main trends?

Where are we going?

New definitions

Teacher centered Learner

centered

Fact teller Facilitator,

Designer

Listener Collaborator

71% of online use Facebook, 18% of online use Twitter, 17% use Instagram, 21% use Pinterest, 22% use LinkedIn

A huge Social Transformationin 2014: 3 billions using Internet

Engag

ing w

ith em

ploye

rs

Global

mar

ketp

lace

Compe

tition

Challenges facing universities Industry

Governm

ent

Finance

Customer-focus

The changing curriculum

Technology and education

Workforce development

Quality

and A

ccre

ditati

on

Gover

nance

Ranking

•Learning from:

“Just-in-case” to

“Just-in-time” to

“Just-for-you”

Changing features

• The digital generation will demand interactive, collaborative, nonlinear learning.

The Impact of Technology

2000 2010 2020

Speed 109 1012 1015

RAM 108 1011 1014

Disk 109 1012 1015

LAN 108 1012 1015

Wireless 106 109 1012

Some Extrapolation of the PC

• 1-D : Text, e-mail, chat-rooms, telephony

• 2-D : Graphics, video, WWW, multimedia

• 3-D : Virtual reality, Virtual communities etc

Computer-Mediated Human Interaction

The Web contains at least 1.78 billion pages

(24 April, 2014)

Internet

3 billions are using Internet

Cyberspace

• New global domain• New opportunities• Borderless communication

Ubiquitous

Ubiquitous : • anything associated

with computers,• information

technology,• the internet and • the diverse internet

culture.

yoo-bik-wi-tuhs

Calm technology and bodynets

Ability to actually visit the place we’re browsing in the internet easily.

Ability to access internet from your own brain

MIT (USA) was funded to come up with internet in the brain by 2018!

Download completedIt took 0.0003 of a sec.

Brain-Brain download

Robots and services eg Restaurants

Music

Raised in a media-rich environment– MTV, WWW,

MOOs–Home

computers, virtual reality

The Plug and Play Generation

Children will be well connected

Global changes are unprecedented, drastic and unpredictable

It will become the norm for those in their 40s, 50s and

60s to withdraw from the labor force, return to school and start a whole new career.

Michael Zey, Futurist, Nov. 2005

Two thirds of the jobs that will be available in the world by 2020 haven’t been invented yet!

Students startinga 4-year technical degree This means that…..

Half of what they learn in their 1st year will be outdated by their 3rd year of study

Science and Research: Development

Started as: thought and observation.

Reasoning and mostly passive observation

A vast amount of information

Huge information,

large knowledge bases,

distributed computing,

collaboration and

man-machine interaction make

new discoveries possible.

In 2020 the population will be 7.6 billions

In 2020 the mobiles will be 6 billions

In 2020 the internet users will be 5 billions

Present university system

based on Liberal and

General Education is not

adequate to meet the

challenges

Teaching Research Community service

Creating

Innovationapplingtransferring

preserving integratingKnowledge

University Mission!

Knowledgeserver

OR

OR

Innovation, a new mission of universities: Why? How?

• The new frontier for universities, is innovation.

Policy

making

New products

New jobs New

companies

Socio-economic

impact

Scientific Research

Inn

ova

tio

n

Outstanding University

New products

Policy and decision makers

knowledge

Firms & market

Society welfare: Improved K-

economy

Universities, schools, public

information

Policy and decision makers

Society welfare: knowledge

acquirement

Inn

ova

tio

n

E.S. Rubin, Carnegie Mellon

The Linear Model of Technological Change

Invention Adoption Diffusion Innovation

E.S. Rubin, Carnegie Mellon

A More Realistic Model

InventionAdoption

(initialdesign)

Diffusion(improved

technology)

Innovation (new or better

product)

LearningBy Doing

LearningBy Using

R&D

Rankings of universities in the world by 2020 will be based on the numbers and quality of knowledge creators they graduate!

How institutions approach changes will determine whether they remain competitive

or if they will cease to exist

Transformation !

A massive restructuring of the higher education is coming up

Evolution or Revolution?

interdisciplinaryDisciplinary

Research

Big thinkSmall think

Architecture + Engineering

LawMedicineBusiness

TeamIndividual

AnalysisCreation

InnovationStimulating reality

Transformation !

Future Research Strategies

Maintaining excellence in research

Knowledge production and certification

University-Industry relations and innovation

Interdisciplinary research

A changing environment and new demands for

research training

Universities driving regional development

Enhancing internationally competitive research

Research for service

Attract the finest talents

ExcellenceMajor challenge for University in a

global competition

1Innovation

Commitment to excellence

through

QualityIntegrity

Excellence: Excellent Outstanding

"Knowledge is like light.Weightless and tangible, it can easily travel the World, enlightening the lives of people everywhere.“

World Bank World Development Report

2 Knowledge production and certification

4 main research products of Knowledge

Codified knowledge: Universities produce codified knowledge, mainly through articles and other publications..

Embodied knowledge: In the K- economy the role of human resources is crucial. Training & education are main activities of universities

Collective “goods”: It is expected that research contributes or will contribute more actively to the production of collective goods, wellbeing and public policies (e.g. in health, environment, security, etc.)

Innovation: universities contribute to technology transfer and innovation processes. There is a large range of relationships between universities and innovators: through research contracts, technological programmes, patenting etc.

Efficiency of knowledge transfer process

While the majority of universities proudly reproduce knowledge

workers,future progress in the world will

depend on the knowledge creators.

University-industry relations & innovation

4

IndustryInsufficient mutual appreciation of the

opportunities

Solid and long-term U-I relations is a central issue for a successful knowledge

transfer strategy.

Industry

University-Industry-Government Relations

An Statistic Model of University-Industry-Government Relations

Academia Industry

State

A "laissez-faire" Model of  University-Industry-Government Relations

Academia Industry

State

The overlay of communications and expectations at the network level guides the reconstruction of institutional arrangements

University-Industry-Government Relations

The Triple Helix Model of University-Industry-Government relations

Tri-lateral networks and hybrid organizations

IndustryState

Academia

Interdisciplinary

Basic Research

Applied Research

No longer appropriate

Multidisciplinary

TrandisciplinaryInterdisciplinary

Research

5

Disciplinary Multidisciplinary

TrandisciplinaryInterdisciplinary

Interdisciplinary Research

Physicians

Nursing

Physics

Engineer

Mathematician

Sociologist

economist

entomologistinformation technology

A changing environment and new demands for research training

6

ITGlobal competitionIntegration of

disciplinesIncreasing Cost Innovations

CulturalEconomicalEnvironmental

changes

For new demands of research training, we need:

Greater transparency

Facilitate mobility

Material & moral support

Incentives

Create guidelines

Revision of current programs

Broadening skills

Improve quality standards

Career

development

1

Development of current practices

2

University and regional development7

Hub

Faculty in a region

University Branch

Internationally competitive research

• In a world where new ideas, new processes and new technologies and innovation, with unprecedented speed, We must be highly competitive.

8

Branding !

Brand is important for the university and customers.

Brand creates trust.

Built on differentiation.

Built on superiority..

EvolutionEs

sence

Emotion

Experie

nce

Branding

Research for the service

• There is a strong need for more basic research on production and innovation in the services sector.

• How to measure the innovation in the service sector ? (patents!)

• Change in training for young researchers.

• Change in training for service workers

9

Attracting the finest talents

International universities compete for the best brains worldwide

10

http://www.consulfrance-chicago.org

Attracting international talent is a key priority of French immigration policy.

How can Europe’s universities attract the finest talents from around the world?

2020

http://ec.europa.eu/research/conferences

To offer financial and moral support (including full cost recovery and generous endowments).

Attracting the finest talents10

Sooner Later

Sooner

Later

Business

Satellite

ContinuousEducation

Exchange

Bookless

Access without exam

No University

Multi-cultural

ExperienceDegrees

Student led

Corporate Owned

SplitTeaching/Research

Multi mode

No calendar

No Bowl

All have access

Mentor

Star Prof

Intel Inside

SpecialInterestGroup

Holodeck

Grasshopper

© UHCL Futures Studies Department

22 possible future of universities

Thank you