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Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

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Page 1: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Protection: A Theoretical View

Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Page 2: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Introduction

Page 3: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Doctrine?

‘Command’ is defined as ' … the direction, coordination and control of military forces.'

‘Control’ is ‘the process by which a commander … organises, directs and coordinates the activities of the forces allocated to him…'

So Command = direction + coordination + control;

and Control = organisation + direction + coordination

Thus Command + = direction + coordination + 2 x control;

Control?

Page 4: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Why 'do' Force Protection?

• It keeps people alive; uninjured, healthy: – Humanitarian considerations– Morale – Commander's duty – Legal obligations

• Maintains operational effectiveness

Page 5: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Clausewitz

• How good is your early 18th Century German?

• Zweck • Mittel • Ziele

Page 6: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

• An interchange of Ends (aims) and Means

• Ways, Ends and Means?

• Also, an interchange between enemy and friendly forces

Page 7: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Forces Enemy Forces

Page 8: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims

Page 9: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Page 10: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Forces Enemy Forces

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Page 11: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Page 12: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Force Protection?

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Preventing this

Page 13: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Force Protection?

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

To enable us to do this

Page 14: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Example 1: 1982

Page 15: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Example 2: BATUS and Digital Situational Awareness (SA)

• Better SA: Knowing where my tanks and his tanks are

• ... fewer of my tanks are lost because we know where the enemy is

• ... therefore more of my tanks cross the line of departure

• ... therefore I'm more likely to win; to win quicker; and to suffer fewer casualties.

Page 16: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Example 2: BATUS and Digital Situational Awareness

• Better SA: Knowing where my tanks and his tanks are

• ... fewer of my tanks are lost because we know where the enemy is

• ... therefore more of my tanks cross the line of departure

• ... therefore I'm more likely to win; to win quicker; and to suffer fewer casualties.

All just a wee bit 'Cold War'

Page 17: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Example 2: Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) in Northern Ireland

• Improvements in countering IEDs keep soldiers alive

• ... but you can't stop terrorists inventing new kinds of bombs

• ... so you're always reacting? • The terrorist always has the initiative?

Page 18: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Example 2: Improvised Explosive Devices in Northern Ireland

• But: – Link intelligence, tactics, organisations,

scientific advice, EOD policy, training, EW, ...

– Wargame– Couple them very closely into a very

responsive system – You can then react very quickly to changes

in the threat – ... and begin to predict, and even pre-empt,

changes in the threat

Page 19: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Example 2: Improvised Explosive Devices in Northern Ireland

• And: – .... so you can begin to reduce the terrorist's

initiative – ... and he's no longer 'doing' terror – What do you call a terrorist who can't 'do'

terror?

Page 20: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Deductions

• Force Protection can have operational-level consequences

• You are removing, or at least affecting, his MEANS; and thus also his aims

Page 21: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

You are now doing this

Page 22: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

...and preventing him doing this

Page 23: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

What is this?

Page 24: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Countering IEDs

• A lot of very expensive technology? • The '10% / 30% / 60%' Rule • Deductions:

– 1: Minor unit tactics are twice as important as technology

– 2. Luck can play a significant part: if you are prepared to exploit it

Page 25: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Countering Irregular Activity

• A lot of very expensive technology? • The '10% / 30% / 60%' Rule • Deductions:

– 1: Minor unit tactics are twice as important as technology

– 2. Luck can play a significant part: if you are prepared to exploit it

Page 26: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Other Examples

• Urban and rural multiple patrolling • Helicopter top cover to rural foot patrols • Many of these measures are highly

asymmetric • They will not translate directly to other

theatres

Page 27: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Observation

Have the lessons of Northern Ireland been carried into other theatres?

Page 28: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Observation

Have the lessons of Northern Ireland been carried into other theatres?

Yes?

Page 29: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Observation

Have the lessons of Northern Ireland been carried into other theatres?

Yes? No

Page 30: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Conclusions

Page 31: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

1: The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Page 32: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

1: The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Force Protection is not just about this

Page 33: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

1: The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

It's also about this

Page 34: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

1: The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Which directly affects this

Page 35: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

1: The Dialectic

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Hence we can win

Page 36: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Deductions (2)

• Tactical Force Protection measures can have operational level consequences: They can deny the insurgent, or terrorist, the ability to achieve his aims; and hence contribute directly to operational success

Page 37: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Deductions (3)

• Issues such as minor unit tactics can be twice as important as technology

• Luck can play a significant part: if you are prepared to exploit it

• That requires suitable organisations and processes at the theatre, or campaign, level.

Page 38: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

Questions?

Page 39: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Forces Enemy Forces

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means

Page 40: Protection: A Theoretical View Lt Col (retd) Jim Storr PhD

The Dialectic

Own Forces Enemy Forces

Own Means

Own Aims Enemy Aims

Enemy Means