Seminar Pengajian Strategi Presenting

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    SEMINAR PENGAJIAN STRATEGI

    19 DISEMBER 2012,

    RABU

    GROUP NAME :KOOST

    PRESENTER :

    AKMAL JUHAFIQMUHAMMAD RUSYDI

    WAN AYUNI

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    SCOPE5

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    CRISIS

    WHAT

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    Crisis?

    tense situation

    a crucial stage or turning point in the course of

    something, especially in a sequence of events

    or a disease

    an unstable period, especially one of extreme

    trouble or danger

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    Management?

    the act of managing something

    "Management is the art of getting things done

    through and with people in formally organised

    groups." (Harold Koontz)

    Management is continuous and never ending

    proses

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    Crisis management

    Mechanisms or instruments to solve a problem

    Measure to resolve, investigate and prepare in ahostile situation

    Crisis management is what to do wheneverything falls apart.

    The total crisis management effort focuses notonly on what to do in the heat of a crisis, but alsoon why crises happen in the first place and whatcan be done to prevent them (Pauchant &Mitroff, 1992)

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    Crisis management is a series of functions or

    processes to identify, study and forecast crisis

    issues, and set forth specific ways that would

    enable an organization to prevent or cope

    with a crisis (Darling, Hannu, & Raimo, 1996)

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    the making of

    Crisis management in a general sense

    emerged after World War II developing discipline also gained prominence

    as an international policy

    1962 Cuban Missile crisis encourage of themuch-studied of that concept

    And now it has been widely accepted

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    The primary requirement in terms of conflict

    prevention is to reinforce crisis management

    frameworks

    to keep disputes over territorial rights and

    marine resources from escalating into

    situations that involve human lives and

    military force

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    The first step for preventing the outbreak of

    crises should be to minimize uncertainty

    concerning the action each side would take in

    response to specific crisis situations

    the countries involved will come to an

    agreement about territorial ownership and

    resources utilization

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    SENKAKU

    ISLAND

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    GEOGRAPHY

    OF THE

    SENKAKU

    ISLAND

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    It situated in the Eastern Chinese Sea 400 km west ofOkinawa and 170 km northeast of Taiwan.

    They are separated from the Japanese Okinawa Islands by adeep (2270 meter) sea trench.

    The islands are geographically part of the Taiwanesecontinental shelf. The sea between Taiwan, China and theislands is no deeper than 200 meters.

    JAPAN position 2270-meter deep underwater OkinawaTrench separates the islands from the Japanese OkinawaIslands.

    The strategic value of the islands is attributed to theirlocation adjacent to important waters, there are two

    ownership confers:a) Either China its most north eastern territory in the East

    Chinese Sea, or

    b) Japans most southwest point of the Japanese archipelago.

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    DISPUTES

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    1970The territorial conflict over the SenkakuIslands sovereignty has dragged

    China and Taiwan began claimingsovereignty of the Senkaku islands in the afterexperts discovered oil reserves might be foundunder the sea near the islands.

    Reason that the conflict has not been settled isthe unsolved political situation of the two Chinesecountries, namely the Republic of Taiwan (PRO)and the Peoples Republic of China (PRC / Chinamainland)

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    Weather the Island were TERRA NULLIUS ?

    Japan argue that the island were terra nullius - a territorybelonging to no one.

    January 1895, during the Sino-Japanese War, Japan

    incorporates the islands citing the principle of TerraNullius of International Law.

    An official statement about its sovereignty claim, the

    Japanese government states that:

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    From 1885 on, surveys of the Senkaku Islands had

    been thoroughly made by the Government of Japan

    through the agencies of Okinawa Prefecture and byway of other methods. Through these surveys, it

    was confirmed that the Senkaku Islands had beenuninhabited and showed no trace of having beenunder the control of China. Based on this

    confirmation, the Government of Japan made a

    Cabinet Decision on 14 January 1895 to erect amarker on the Islands to formally incorporate theSenkaku Islands into the territory of Japan.

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    Japan not only said that the island was terra

    nullius but also on Chinas keeping silence to

    Japanese claim until in the 1970.

    China refuses that.

    It is because with respect to why the Chinese

    did not protest Japans claim in 1895, the Chinese

    explanation emphasizes the 1894-95 war between

    Qing and Japan

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    THIER

    ACTORS

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    Actors involved in Senkaku disputes..

    JAPANCHINA

    TAIWAN

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    In case on senkaku island.

    the two sides need to affirm the status quo

    mutually acknowledge an explicit or tacit way

    To show the status quo, both China and Japantrying to control over these island.

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    Status Quo

    JAPAN

    Japan placed under state control a lighthousebuilt by nationalists on despite rival claims

    by China and Taiwan. Japanese planes reported flames from the

    top of the rigs which occur when gas is being

    pumped from a field. This rang alarm bells in Japan as the site

    bordered disputed economic zones of twocountries.

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    CHINA

    Chinese maritime incursions into Japans

    territorial water and even more frequent

    survey activities in Japan Exclusive Economy

    Zone(EEZ)

    On September 7, 2010 a Chinese fishing

    trawler collided with 2 Japan Coast Guard

    (JCG) patrol boats in waters near the

    disputed Senkaku Island.

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    Resolution

    the two nations agreed to work towards a Maritime Searchand Rescue agreement and to improve communicationbetween the relevant authorities of Japan and Chinatowards development of a multi-layered mechanism for

    crisis management. The Japanese and Chinese governments agreed in principle

    to cooperate on Search and Rescue efforts.

    Tokyo would like to see a high level maritime dialogue thatwould include both crisis management as well as resource

    development issues in the East China Sea. To be effective this would need to include Chinas various

    maritime agencies, in addition to its diplomats, anddetermining who in China shouldand will

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    As maritime nation, Japan and China should

    work through channels such as the East Asia

    Summit and Asia Pacific Economic

    Cooperation forums to promote the formationof international agreements related to

    freedom of the seas and to establish rules for

    waterway utilization.

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    Conclusion

    The sensitivities of both actors will make such an

    incident difficult to manage should the territorial

    claims over Senkaku islands be part of the mix.

    military confrontationaccidental or otherwisebetween Chinese and Japanese navies in the East

    China Sea would pose significant challenges to

    the United States, and would bring Washingtonand Beijing into a crisis that both countries wants

    to avoid.

    R f

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    References

    Martin Lohmeyer,The Diaoyu / Senkaku Islands Dispute,Questions of

    Sovereignty and Suggestions for Resolving the Dispute,2008. M. Taylor Fravel,Explaining Stability in the Senkaku (Diaoyu) Islands

    Dispute,1995.

    Seokwoo Lee, The 1951 San Francisco Peace Treaty with Japan and The

    Territorial Disputes In East Asia, 2002.

    Koichi Sato, Chinas Territorial Claims at Sea: The East China and SouthChina Sea.

    Sheila A. Smith, Japan and the East China Sea Dispute, 2011.

    Carlos Ramos-Mrosovsky,International Laws Unhelpful Role In The

    Senkaku Islands,1996.

    See Overview of the Meetings between Foreign Minister Takeaki

    Matsumoto and Vice President Xi Jinping and State Councilor Dai

    Bingguo, July 4, 2011, available at: http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/asia-

    paci/china/meet110704.html.

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