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Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell 2015-10-06

Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

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Page 1: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Source apportionment of the Fine

Particulate Matter in Beijing during

extremely heavy Haze Episodes

Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

2015-10-06

Page 2: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Beijing on Jan. 23, 2013

Page 3: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Simulation System WRFV3.4/CAMx5.4

Mechanism Land surface mechanism: PL-X Radiation mechanism: rrtmg Gas-phase/aerosol CB05&AERO5

Modeling domain China and Jing-Jin-Ji region

Horizontal Resolution: 36km×36km 12km ×12km

Vertical layers 14 layers

Time Period: January 2013

Source Apportionment Receptor: urban center of Beijing 15 emission regions

Species PM2.5

1. Model setup

Page 4: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell
Page 5: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

2. Evaluation of Model Performance

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Date

Observed_PKUObserved_IAPSimulated

(a) Beijing

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24Date

observedSimulated

(b)Tianjin

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Date

Observed

Simulated

(c)

Jinan

Page 6: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

City Predicted

average

(μg/m3)

Measured

average

(μg/m3)

Number

of data

pairs

BIAS

(μg/m3)

ERROR

(μg/m3)

RMSE

(μg/m3)FBIAS FERROR IOA

Beijing 163.68 180.32 483 -16.64 109.92 149.19 3.71% 67.98% 0.647

Tianjin 150.56 176.05 427 -25.50 74.72 99.02 -7.07% 49.01% 0.678

Jinan 174.03 252.08 418 -78.05 103.46 131.56 -34.55% 47.15% 0.526

Quantitative evaluation of predicted PM2.5 concentrations with hourly observations

Page 7: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Average modeled ground-level concentrations of PM2.5 in the second domain for January 06-23 2013(LT)

3.1 modeled concentrations of PM2.5

3. Results and discussions

Page 8: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Temporal variation of contributions from different emission regions to PM2.5 concentrations at the urban center of Beijing during January 06-23, 2013(LT)

3.2 Temporal variation of source apportionment results

Page 9: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Hourly distribution of velocity field and PBL on January 12, 2013(LT)

(a) 17:00 (b) 18:00 (c) 19:00 (d) 20:00

Page 10: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Trajectories analysis

Page 11: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Con

tribu

tion

perc

ent

Date

BeijingHenanShandongZhangjiakouChengdeCangzhouLangfangQinhuangdaoBaodingTangshanHengshuiHandanXingtaiShijiazhuangTianjinOthers within D2Out side of D2

Temporal contribution percentages of emission regions toPM2.5 concentrations in central Beijing during January 06-23,2013(LT)

Average contribution percentages of different emission regions to PM2.5 concentrations in central Beijing during January 06-23, 2013.

Page 12: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

3.3 Contribution evolution during local dominated haze episodes

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

1/10 15:00

1/10 17:00

1/10 19:00

1/10 21:00

1/10 23:00

1/11 1:00

1/11 3:00

1/11 5:00

1/11 7:00

1/11 9:00

1/11 11:00

1/11 13:00

1/11 15:00

1/11 17:00

1/11 19:00

1/11 21:00

1/11 23:00

PM2.

5Cc

once

ntra

tion

(ug

m-3)

Time

Total Beijing BC JJJ_nonBeijing Other in D2

P1 P2 P3 P4 P5 P6

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

1/10 15:00

1/10 17:00

1/10 19:00

1/10 21:00

1/10 23:00

1/11 1:00

1/11 3:00

1/11 5:00

1/11 7:00

1/11 9:00

1/11 11:00

1/11 13:00

1/11 15:00

1/11 17:00

1/11 19:00

1/11 21:00

1/11 23:00

Cco

nce

ntr

atio

n p

erc

ent

Time

Beijing BC JJJ_nonBeijing Other in D2

P1 P2 P3 P4 P5 P6

Page 13: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

3.4 Contribution analysis in a non-local dominated case (January 13, 2013(LT))

Page 14: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

(a) Beijing (b) JJJ_nonBeijing

(c) other in D2 (d) Boundary Condition

Page 15: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Average wind velocity field and PBL distribution in simulation domain during 10:00 - 15:00 on January 13, 2013

Page 16: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Contribution percentages from regions

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

11%

12%

10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00

Cont

ributi

on p

erce

nt

Time

TangshanTianjinShijiazhuangLangfangBaodingCangzhouXingtaiHandanHengshuiZhangjiakouChengdeQinhuangdaoShandongHenanother

on January 13,2013(LT)0% 2% 4% 6% 8%

TianjinShijiazhuang

XingtaiHandan

HengshuiTangshan

BaodingQinhuangdao

LangfangCangzhouChengde

Zhangjiakou

Contribution percent

Nam

e of

cit

y

Page 17: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

4. Conclusions

Controlling local emissions will be the most important step and should be given priority for Beijing government to mitigate the extremely heavy haze pollution.

it is impossible to eliminate the haze episodes in Beijing without controlling emissions in other cities in Jing-Jin-Ji region, even in long-range cities.

The big contributors from outside Beijing are Shandong, Tangshan, Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, Baoding, Cangzhou.

Page 18: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Acknowledgments:

•Tsinghua University

•Georgia Tech

•Peking University

Page 19: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Shanghai Municipality is devoted to establishing the city into both an innovation center of science and technology and a professional hub of global innovation. In order to fulfill its role, Shanghai University has been actively recruiting overseas elites and planning its Overseas Job Fair in 2015.

Page 20: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

LevelBackground Requirement

Job Description Remuneration

Tier One

Professors with outstanding academic achievements and international reputation

Establish world-class research platforms, undertake national key research projects, carry out high-end international cooperation, apply for being recruited in China’s “1,000-Talent Plan”, the professorship of Yangtze River Scholar, etc

Annual salary: RMB 0.8-1.5 millionHousing subsidy:  RMB 1.5-2.3 millionResearch fund: RMB 1-5 million

Tier Two

Associate professors, heads of R&D departments of top multi-national corporations

Lead the related disciplines, undertake national key research projects, carry out high-end international cooperation, apply for being recruited in China’s “1,000-Talent Plan” meant for young researchers,National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars, and Shanghai “1,000-Talent Plan”, etc

Annual salary: RMB 0.5-1 millionHousing subsidy:  RMB 1.3-1.8 millionResearch fund: RMB 1-2 million

Tier Three

Assistant professors, post-doctors, PhD holders from prestigious overseas universities

Apply for and undertake national research projects, publish quality research papers, apply for the professorship of Oriental Scholar (including Young Oriental Scholar), etc

Annual salary: RMB 0.2-0.5 millionHousing subsidy:  RMB 0.2-0.8 millionResearch fund: RMB 0.3-1.5 million

Please register on http://en.shu.edu.cn/Default.aspx?tabid=23926. You can also send your C.V. to [email protected]. They will contact you via your email address.

Page 21: Source apportionment of the Fine Particulate Matter in Beijing during extremely heavy Haze Episodes Yangjun Wang, Shuxiao Wang, Yongtao Hu, Ted Russell

Thank you !