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우리나라 국가온실가스인벤토리 개발 현황 및 신뢰도 향상 방안: 시멘트산업의 Non-CO 2 를 중심으로 1) 전의찬*이정우**이시형** <> I. 서론 II. 시멘트산업의 제조공정 및 온실가스 배출 1. 시멘트산업공정 2. 시멘트산업의 온실가스 배출원 3. 시멘트산업의 온실가스 배출현황 III. 시멘트산업의 국가 온실가스 배출계수 개발 현황 및 비교분석 1. 시멘트산업의 온실가스 배출계수 개발 2. 시멘트산업의 국가 배출계수 비교분석 IV. 온실가스 인벤토리 신뢰도 향상 방안 1. 시멘트산업의 온실가스 배출 특성을 고려한 적정 측정횟수 결정 2. 불확도 평가를 통한 신뢰도 향상 방안 . 결론 I. 서론 산업화가 진행됨에 따라 지구온난화를 유발하는 온실가스 배출량은 지속적으로 증가하는 추 세를 보이고 있으며, 이에 따라 전 세계의 온실가스 배출량은 1970년부터 2004년 사이 70%까지 증가하였다. 이와 같은 추세가 계속될 경우, 21세기말 지구의 평균기온은 현재에 비해 최대 6.4상승할 것으로 예측되고 있다(IPCC 4차 보고서, 2007). 따라서 온실가스 배출량을 감축 하기 위한 전 지구적인 노력이 시급한 시점이다. 1992년 개최된 리우환경회의에서는 전 지구적인 기후변화를 방지하기 위하여 UN기후변화협 (UNFCCC, The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change)을 체결하였고, 19973차 당사국총회(Conference of the Parties)에서는 선진국의 온실가스 감축목표치와 이행방안을 구체적으로 명시한 교토의정서(Kyoto Protocol)’를 채택하였다. 2009년 코펜하겐에서 열린 제15 * 세종대학교 환경에너지융합학과 ** 세종대학교 지구환경과학과

t g ^ ei[ZYít pÑYíp uej g Z j ñ ViüpÍf a± n®j s5s-space.snu.ac.kr/bitstream/10371/90702/1/8.우리나라_국가... · 盩: Gross悁 惭窡珝暹晉漉 樝箉戅悁 CO2 臙荕,

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  • : Non-CO2

    1)*****

    I.

    II.

    1.

    2.

    3.

    III.

    1.

    2.

    IV.

    1.

    2.

    .

    I.

    , 1970 2004 70%

    . , 21

    6.4 (IPCC 4 , 2007).

    .

    1992 UN

    (UNFCCC, The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) , 1997

    3 (Conference of the Parties)

    (Kyoto Protocol) . 2009 15

    * **

  • 144 49(2010)

    .

    2008 60

    Low Carbon, Green Growth .

    2009 12 2010 4

    . 2020

    BAU 30% ,

    Non-Annex1 .

    ,

    (, 2005).

    , ,

    , , (,

    2005).

    ,

    . (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change;

    IPCC) ,

    . ,

    (Country-specific emission factor)

    . , Non-CO2 ,

    ,

    .

    Non-CO2

    , .

    .

    1.

    , ,

    4 .

    1, 2, 3 ,

    (, , , , , ,

    ) Raw Mill .

  • 145

    (Separator) , Raw Mill .

    (Silo) .

    1,250~1,450

    . ( )

    ,

    .

    . , ,

    .

    _ ..

    ,." ~ m ll 1!:\! 1I:I !lI 2.3ll!ll n fJ ~!I!l1I!!!ll !l '!UI/. Rn.'1I !"

    a ~~

    1)1 ~ !lf! rl .)) rj 3111 .11 11 CIU:I/II JJ!!!! !ltl JJ!!!!JI!I ; ~

  • 146 49(2010)

    Source and Sink Categories to be Assessed in Key Category Analysis Gases to be

    AssessedCategory Code Category Title

    Energy

    1A2Fuel Combustion Activities - Manufacturing Industries and

    ConstructionCO2, N2O, CH4

    Industrial Processes and Product Use

    2A1 Mineral Industry - Cement Industry CO2

    * 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories

    Suggested Aggregation level of analysis for Approach

    2.

    ,

    (, 2005). CO2

    (CaCO3) . Non-CO2

    , CH4 N2O , PFCs, HFCs, SF6

    (CO2 Accournting and Reporting Standard for the Cement Industry; WBCSD, 2005).

    2005 3,854

    ,

    90% . , NSP SP

    ,

    E

    ]{@ (? J.r CaSC ~~ ----------------------~

    ~

  • 147

    Lung Sampler

    2003 2004 2005

    (-CO2)

    Gross 43,943 41,201 38,539

    Net 43,089 40,001 37,420

    : : Gross CO2 , Net .

    (, 2008).

    .

    1.

    . CO2 , CO2 .

    CO2 Non-CO2(CH4, N2O) , Non-CO2

    , .

    CO2 (, ) ,

    , Non-CO2 .

    Non-CO2 2006 IPCC G/L ISO

    11564:1998 ASTM D5835-95(Reapproved 2007) EPA Method

    . ,

    . Sample Conditioner

    Tedlar Bag .

    E

    * 11: ; v

    ;;

  • 148 49(2010)

    Step 1 (concentration)

    Item Volume concentration Mass concentration Flow rate

    Sub-Item A B C

    Unit ppm kg CO2/m3 m3/hr

    Calculation A(16 or 44/22.4)106

    Step 2 (Raw Data)

    Item Net heating value Fuel consumption Heating Output

    Sub-Item D E F

    Unit TJ/Gg ton/hr TJ/hr

    Calculation EF103

    Step 3 (Emission)

    Item Non-CO2 Emission

    Sub-Item G

    Unit kg Non-CO2/hr

    Calculation BC

    Step 4 (Emission Factor)

    Item Non-CO2 Emission factor

    Sub-Item H

    Unit kg Non-CO2/TJ

    Calculation G/F

    Non-CO2

    Conditioner Lung Sampler

    .

    Non-CO2 (Flame Ionization Dectector; FID) GC-FID

    (Electron Capture Detector; ECD) GC-ECD CH4 N2O

    . Non-CO2 4

    . , 1 Non-CO2 ,

    2 , 3 Non-CO2

    4 Non-CO2 .

  • 149

    2.

    (

    , 2007) ( (CO2)

    , 2007), ( , 2009),

    ( , 2009) .

    Non-CO2 .

    1)

    2006 3

    . 5

    , Kiln Stack .

    Non-CO2 30 8 .

    1000 TOE

    . 5 , 4 , 3 , 3

    , . 1~2

    .

    2)

    GC-FID(Model CP-3800, Varian, USA) CH4

    , GC-ECD(Model CP-3800, Varian, USA) N2O .

    (IKA-C2000, Germany) (Thermo

    Finnigan-Flash EA 1112, USA) . TMS

    , Non-CO2 .

    CH4 N2O (Micro gas

    chromatograph, TCD/FID) 3 .

    , TMS

    Non-CO2 .

    3) Non-CO2

    CH4 2.65 Kg/TJ(1.53 ~ 4.87

    Kg/TJ), N2O 1.14 Kg/TJ(0.34 ~ 2.53 Kg/TJ) .

    , .

  • 150 49(2010)

    (Kg/TJ)

    CH4 N2O

    2.65 1.14

    2.83 1.37

    Non-CO2 ( )

    CH4(Kg/TJ) N2O(Kg/TJ)

    24.8 0.9 9

    + 18.9 0.47

    (10~20%)

    Non-CO2 ( )

    ,

    . CH4 2.83

    Kg/TJ , N2O 1.37 Kg/TJ .

    CH4 N2O .

    CH4 24.8 Kg/TJ, N2O 0.9 Kg/TJ .

    , CH4 23.8% 18.9 Kg/TJ

    , N2O 47.8 % 0.47 Kg/TJ .

    Non-CO2

    .

    , CH4 6.7 , N2O

    0.66 .

    . IPCC , CH4

    IPCC 65 % . N2O IPCC

    .

    Non-CO2

    .

    .

  • 151

    /(Kg/TJ)

    CH4 N2O

    IPCC1)

    2)

    3)

    4)

    2.8318.91.01.51.01.5

    1.370.47

    --

    0.83.0

    1) IPCC, 2006, 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas inventories.2) Ministry of the Environment, Japan, Greenhouse Gas Inventory Office of Japan (GIO), CGER, NIES, 2007,

    National Inventory Report of Japan.3) Department of Environmental and Water Resources Australian Greenhouse Office, 2005, NATIONAL

    GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORY 2003.4) Ministry of the Environment, Denmark, 2005, Denmark's National Inventory Report 2005.

    Non-CO2

    .

    1.

    Non-CO2

    5 20 Non-CO2 . Non-CO2

    .

    A CH4

    J

    14.00

    12.00

    . c4

    10.00 C 8.00. i c

    6.00 c

    U ------

    -------------

    4.00 ----

    ---- ----

    ----

    ----

    -----

    -----

    2.00

    0.00 Continuous Time

  • 152 49(2010)

    CH4

    (Kg CH4/TJ)N2O

    (Kg N2O/TJ)

    2.83 1.37

    1 4.87 2.53

    1.53 0.34

    1

    A N2O

    1 . 1

    , CH4 1.7 ,

    0.54 . N2O 1.8

    0.25 .

    Non-CO2 , ,

    ,

    .

    2.

    (Uncertainty) ,

    .

    , , , , ,

    1.80

    1.60 . N20

    1.40

    . I .' ..... :'1 ---------- ---------- --0.

    40 1 1 ......... .+. . ............ ----,.* ----- ---- -- -. . . . v

    0.20

    0.00

    ~onttiinnuuOL

  • 153

    (IPCC Guideline, 2006)

    , .

    IPCC G/L 5000 95 % lower, upper

    . 95%

    2.5~97.5% .

    1 . 2.5% 0.7 97.5% 1.3

    1.0 30% . 1

    . 2.5% 0.5 97.5% 2 -50~

    +100% .

    Non-CO2 20 % -66~

    +200 % , . Non-CO2

    .

    (IPCC Guideline, 2006)

    Lack of completeness

    Miss ing da ta I Model

    \v lt" Misre porting or ~ / \ L - . . . I _ Lack of da ta misclass ifi ca tion """" r ulcertaintv l ~

    " .... l Lack Measurement error . l - . ~ represenetativeness 01 da ta

    Statistical random sampling error

    -Em(] r-Em(

    2 5 th

    Percentile

    o 2 E x ample E mission F actor

    3

  • 154 49(2010)

    (IPCC Guideline, 2006)

    95% 1) 2003 GHG

    2)

    3)

    4)

    CH4

    50 Normal C, CS CS Winiwater and Rypdal, 2001

    -75 to +10 T1, T2, CS CS, PS Monni et al, 2004

    -50 to +100 Lognormal T2, CS D, CS, PS Rypdal, 1999

    Order ofmagnitude - T1 D, CS EIA, 1999

    N2O

    20 Normal C, CS CS Winiwater and Rypdal, 2001

    -75 to +10 Beta T1, T2, CS CS, PS Monni et al, 2004

    -66 to +200 Beta T1, CS D, CS Rypdal, 1999

    -55 to +200 - T1 D, CS EIA, 1999

    1) 95% , 2) UNFCCC Annex 1 2003

    .3) : T1(IPCC Tier 1), T2(IPCC Tier 2), T3(IPCC Tier 3), C

    (CORINAIR), CS(Country-specific)4) : D(IPCC default), C(CORINAIR), CS(Country-specific), PS

    (Plant-specific)

    Non-CO2

    -tm=-pmpga

    3

    Example Emission Factor

  • 155

    V.

    Low Carbon, Green Growth ,

    .

    ,

    .

    , .

    CO2 Non-CO2 , CO2

    . Non-CO2 , ,

    . Non-CO2

    CH4 6.7 , N2O

    0.66 .

    .

    Non-CO2 ,

    ,

    . ,

    , Non-CO2

    .

    2010 (KETEP)

    (No. 20100092).

    , 2007, (CO2) , , 23(2): 158-168.

    , 2009,

    , .

  • 156 49(2010)

    , 2008, CO2

    , , 24(2): 189-195., 2008, Good Practice ,

    .

    , 2008, 1 , .

    , 2009, 2 , .

    , 2005, Follow-up , .

    , 2003, .

    , 2007, , .

    , 2010, , ., 2004, , .KS M 0031: 2002 .

    KS E 3707: 2001 .

    KS M 2057: 1997 - .

    Center for Global Environmental Research, 2010, National Greenhouse Gas inventory Roport of

    Japan, Center for Global Environmental Research.

    IPCC, 2006, 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories Volume 1, IPCC.

    IPCC, 2006, 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories Volume 2, IPCC.

    Martin Schneider, 2006, Climate Change - and CO2 reduction a Challenge for the cement industry,

    VDZ, Dusseldorf, Germany.

    US EPA, 2004 Environmental Technology verification report, Swine waste electric power and heat

    porduction-martin machinery internal combustion engine, pp. s-5.

    US EPA, 2000 Air-sampling method 1, 2, 3, 18.

    Wight G.D., 1994 Fundamentals of Air sampling, Lewis Publishers, 135-184.

    WBCSD, 2005, CO2 Accounting and Reporting Standard for the Cement Industry, WBCSD.

    WBCSD, 2009, Cement Technology Roadmap, WBCSD.

    . . . . .