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The Ambiguity of The Ambiguity of Extended Extended Work Careers Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October 24, 2008

The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

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Page 1: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

The Ambiguity of ExtendedThe Ambiguity of ExtendedWork CareersWork Careers

David J. Ekerdt

University of Kansas

Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable

Brandeis University

October 24, 2008

Page 2: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

The New Pattern

The Reasons Why

What Kind of Story Is This?

Page 3: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 4: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

                                                                                                                                                                        

Source: Current Population Survey (CPS) | Chart Data

Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Older Workers,” July 2008.

Page 5: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Friedberg, 2007, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College

Page 6: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

                                                                                                                                                                        

Source: Current Population Survey (CPS) | Chart Data

Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Older Workers,” July 2008.Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Older Workers,” July 2008.

Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Older Workers,” July 2008.

Page 7: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

The effect of higher pensions will always be that people retire earlier from work.

Page 8: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 9: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Reasons for reversal of the early retirement trend

1. Changes to Social Security after 1983

2. Changing mix of pension types: defined benefit defined contribution

3. Falling health insurance coverage

4. Organizational restructuring

Page 10: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 11: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Munnell & Perun, 2006, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College

Page 13: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 14: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Reasons for reversal of the early retirement trend

5. Fewer physical job demands

6. Healthier workers

7. Employer demand for older workers

8. More married couples co-retiring

9. People like to work

Page 15: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Feel wealthy?

Feel welcome?

Page 16: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

What does it mean?And the story is…..

It’s good news!

It’s bad news!

It’s historic!!

Page 17: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Good news stories…

• Employers benefit

• Older workers. Of course!

• Work that matters

• A better retirement

• Saving Social Security

Page 18: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 19: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 20: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

                              

Page 21: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

“How To Fund Japan’s Ageing Society”

BBC, November 22, 2007

Page 22: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Bad news stories…

• Economic distress

• Involuntary employment

• Frustrated expectations

• Clogged promotion lines

• Less gold in gray

Page 23: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 24: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Age distribution of men and women claiming first Social Security benefits,

2006

Ages

62-64

Age

65

Age

66+

Men (%) 63 34 3

Women (%) 67 27 6

Annual Statistical Supplement, 2007, Table 6.B5

Page 25: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 26: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October
Page 27: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

People who are confident, productive, and age-resisting.

People with problems; who are a problem.

Page 28: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Something new about longevity

Page 29: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Life expectancy at 60 (2002)

Average age of labor marketwithdrawal (2005)

Men Women Total Men Women

Austria 20.2 24.1 59.8 60.3 59.4

Belgium 19.6 23.9 60.6 61.6 59.6

Denmark 19.1 22.4 60.9 61.2 60.7

Finland 19.5 24.0 61.7 61.8 61.7

France 20.8 25.8 58.8 58.5 59.1

Germany 19.8 23.9 61.3 61.4 61.1

Greece 20.6 23.2 61.7 62.5 61.0

Ireland 19.2 22.9 64.1 63.6 64.6

Italy 20.4 24.8 59.7 60.7 58.8

Netherlands 19.5 23.5 61.5 61.6 61.4

Portugal 19.4 23.3 63.1 62.4 63.8

Spain 20.6 25.2 62.4 62.0 62.8

Sweden 20.9 24.3 63.7 64.3 63.0

United Kingdom 19.9 23.2 62.6 63.4 61.9

European life expectancy at age 60 and average age of withdrawal from the labor market (Eurostat).

Page 30: The Ambiguity of Extended Work Careers David J. Ekerdt University of Kansas Ann Richards Invitational Gender and Media Roundtable Brandeis University October

Your grandparents’

later years

Yours