28
¶izR;sd euq"; dk thou ijLij vknku&iznku ls pyrk gSA¸ &,Me fLeFk varjjk"Vªh; O;kikj gsrq orZeku ifjos'k Hkkjr dks phu tSls Je&iz/ku fu;kZr iFk dk vuqlj.k djus dk ,d vHkwriwoZ volj iznku djrk gS vkSj gekjs mnh;eku ;qokvksa ds fy, vlhfer jkstxkj volj l`ftr djus dk ,d vuU; volj iznku djrk gSA ^^vlsacy bu bafM;k iQkWj n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+ mÙke oSrfud jkstxkj l`ftr dj ldrk gSA usVodZ mRiknksa dk fu;kZr] ftlds o"kZ 2025 esa oS'fod Lrj ij 7 fVªfy;u Mkyj rd igqapus dh vk'kk gS] o"kZ 2025 rd 5 fVªfy;u Mkyj vFkZO;oLFkk ds fy, ewY;&of/Zr esa o`f¼ djrs gq, blds ,d pkSFkkbZ rd ;ksxnku dj ldrk gSA blfy,] bl vè;k; esa bl lqvolj dk ykHk mBkus ds fy, ,d lqfopkfjr dk;Zuhfr dk mYys[k fd;k x;k gSA Hkkjr dh rqyuk esa phu dk mYys[kuh; fu;kZr dk;Zfu"iknu Jeiz/ku xfrfof/;ksa] fo'ks"k :i ls ^^usVodZ mRiknksa** ds laca/ esa] lqfopkfjr O;kid fo'ks"kKrk ls izsfjr gS] tgka mRiknu dk dk;Z cgqjk"Vªh; fuxeksa }kjk izpkfyr oSf'od ewY;&J`a[kykvksa (thohlh) ds ekè;e ls gksrk gSA usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa O;kid Lrj ij vlsacfyax dk;ks± dh leFkZdkjh O;oLFkk ij ckjhdh ls iQksdl djus dh vko';drk gSA pwafd Hkkjr tSls ns'k ds fy,] tgka O;kikj ds ekspsZ ij fofHkUu Lo:iksa okyh vlqj{kk dh Hkkouk ds dkj.k bl volj dk ykHk mBkuk vR;f/d dfBu fn[krk gS] gekjh O;kikfjd uhfr esa ,d leFkZdkjh xq.k gksuk visf{kr gSA oLrqr%] orZeku Hk; dh Hkkouk ds myV] lHkh lac¼ dkjdksa dks fu;af=kr djus okys lrdZ fo'ys"k.k ls irk pyrk gS fd Hkkjr us O;kikfjd djkjksa }kjk] lk>snkj ns'kksa ls] O;kikj vf/'ks"k ds varxZr fofufeZr mRiknksa ds laca/ esa 0-7 izfr'kr o`f¼ izfro"kZ vkSj dqy O;kikj ds laca/ esa 2-3 izfr'kr o`f¼ çfro"kZ dh nj ls ykHk izkIr fd;k gSA 5-1 fu;krksa esa o`f¼ Hkkjr esa tkWc l`tu ds fy, vR;f/d vko';d ekxZ ç'kLr djrh gSA mnkgj.k ds fy,] o"kZ 2001 ls 2006 rd dh 5 o"kZ dh vof/ esa gh] Je ç/ku fu;kZrksa ls phu izkFkfed f'k{kk ds Jfedksa ds fy, 70 fefy;u ukSdfj;k¡ l`ftr djus esa leFkZ gqvk gS (yksl ,oa vU; 2015)A Hkkjr esa] c<+s gq, fu;kZrksa ls ;g Li"V gksrk gS fd o"kZ 1999 vkSj 2011 ds chp dh vof/ esa yxHkx 8]00]000 tkWc dk vukSipkfjd ls vkSipkfjd esa ifjorZu gqvk gS] tks Jfed cy ds 0-8 izfr'kr dk |ksrd gS (varjkZ"Vªh; Je laxBu dh fjiksVZ] 2019)A 5-2 ;w ,l&phu O;kikj la ?k"kZds dkj.k oS f'od ew Y; J` a [kykvks a (thohlh) es aeq [; lek;ks tu fd;k tk jgk gS vkS j iQes Z vc viusiz pkyuks ads fy, oS dfYid LFkkuks a dh ryk'k dj jgh gS A ;gka rd fd O;kikj la ?k"kZ iz kja Hk gks usls igys Hkh] vkS |ks fxd mRiknks a dh va fre vls a cyh ds fy, fuEu ykxo ds LFkku ds :i es a phu dh Nfo Je es a deh vkS j etnw fj;ks aes ao` f¼ ds dkj.k rs th ls cny jgh FkhA ;s ?kVukØe Hkkjr ds le{k ,s lh leku fu;kZ rVs ª ts DVjh dksiz xfr ,oa fodkl dks lko/kuh ls vkS j foLrkjiw oZ d tkuus dk ,d viz R;kf'kr volj iz Lrq r djrsgS a A ftldk vuq lj.k djds phu usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa fu;kZr&fo'ks"kKrk }kjk jkstxkj&l`tu vkSj fodkl 05

usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

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Page 1: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

¶izR;sd euq"; dk thou ijLij vknku&iznku ls pyrk gSA¸&,Me fLeFk

varjjk"Vªh; O;kikj gsrq orZeku ifjos'k Hkkjr dks phu tSls Je&iz/ku fu;kZr iFk dk vuqlj.k djus dk ,d vHkwriwoZ volj iznku djrk gS vkSj gekjs mnh;eku ;qokvksa ds fy, vlhfer jkstxkj volj l`ftr djus dk ,d vuU; volj iznku djrk gSA ^^vlsaacy bu bafM;k iQkWj n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+ mÙke oSrfud jkstxkj l`ftr dj ldrk gSA usVodZ mRiknksa dk fu;kZr] ftlds o"kZ 2025 esa oS'fod Lrj ij 7 fVªfy;u Mkyj rd igqapus dh vk'kk gS] o"kZ 2025 rd 5 fVªfy;u Mkyj vFkZO;oLFkk ds fy, ewY;&of/Zr esa o`f¼ djrs gq, blds ,d pkSFkkbZ rd ;ksxnku dj ldrk gSA blfy,] bl vè;k; esa bl lqvolj dk ykHk mBkus ds fy, ,d lqfopkfjr dk;Zuhfr dk mYys[k fd;k x;k gSSA Hkkjr dh rqyuk esa phu dk mYys[kuh; fu;kZr dk;Zfu"iknu Jeiz/ku xfrfof/;ksa] fo'ks"k :i ls ^^usVodZ mRiknksa** ds laca/ esa] lqfopkfjr O;kid fo'ks"kKrk ls izsfjr gS] tgka mRiknu dk dk;Z cgqjk"Vªh; fuxeksa }kjk izpkfyr oSf'od ewY;&J`a[kykvksa (thohlh) ds ekè;e ls gksrk gSA usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa O;kid Lrj ij vlsacfyax dk;ks± dh leFkZdkjh O;oLFkk ij ckjhdh ls iQksdl djus dh vko';drk gSA pwafd Hkkjr tSls ns'k ds fy,] tgka O;kikj ds ekspsZ ij fofHkUu Lo:iksa okyh vlqj{kk dh Hkkouk ds dkj.k bl volj dk ykHk mBkuk vR;f/d dfBu fn[krk gS] gekjh O;kikfjd uhfr esa ,d leFkZdkjh xq.k gksuk visf{kr gSA oLrqr%] orZeku Hk; dh Hkkouk ds myV] lHkh lac¼ dkjdksa dks fu;af=kr djus okys lrdZ fo'ys"k.k ls irk pyrk gS fd Hkkjr us O;kikfjd djkjksa }kjk] lk>snkj ns'kksa ls] O;kikj vf/'ks"k ds varxZr fofufeZr mRiknksa ds laca/ esa 0-7 izfr'kr o`f¼ izfro"kZ vkSj dqy O;kikj ds laca/ esa 2-3 izfr'kr o`f¼ çfro"kZ dh nj ls ykHk izkIr fd;k gSA

5-1 fu;krkssaesao`f¼HkkjresatkWcl`tuds fy,vR;f/dvko';dekxZç'kLrdjrhgSAmnkgj.kdsfy,]o"kZ2001ls2006rddh5o"kZdhvof/esagh]Jeç/kufu;kZrksalsphuizkFkfedf'k{kkdsJfedksadsfy,70fefy;uukSdfj;k¡l`ftrdjusesaleFkZgqvkgS(yksl,oavU;2015)AHkkjresa]c<+sgq,fu;kZrksals;gLi"VgksrkgSfdo"kZ1999vkSj2011dschpdhvof/esayxHkx8]00]000tkWcdkvukSipkfjdlsvkSipkfjdesaifjorZugqvkgS]tksJfedcyds0-8izfr'krdk|ksrdgS(varjkZ"Vªh;JelaxBudhfjiksVZ]2019)A

5-2 ;w,l&phuO;kikjla?k"kZdsdkj.koSf'odewY;Ja[kykvksa(thohlh)esaeq[;lek;kstufd;ktkjgkgSvkSj iQesZvcvius izpkyuksads fy,oSdfYidLFkkuksadhryk'kdjjghgSA;gkardfdO;kikjla?k"kZizkjaHkgksuslsigysHkh]vkS|ksfxdmRiknksadhvafrevlsacyhdsfy,fuEuykxodsLFkkuds:iesaphudhNfoJeesadehvkSjetnwfj;ksaesaof¼dsdkj.krsthlscnyjgh FkhA;s ?kVukØeHkkjrdsle{k,slhlekufu;kZrVsªtsDVjhdksizxfr,oafodkldkslko/kuhlsvkSjfoLrkjiwoZdtkuusdk,dvizR;kf'krvoljizLrqrdjrsgSaAftldkvuqlj.kdjdsphu

usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa fu;kZr&fo'ks"kKrk }kjk jkstxkj&l`tuvkSj fodkl

05

Page 2: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

usvius;qokvksadsfy,vlhfertkWcvoljlftr

fd,ApwafdviusJfedksadhckgqY;rkesadksbZ Hkh

vU;ns'kphudkeqdkcykughadjldrkgS]blfy,]

gedksaJeO;kihlsDVjksaesafjDrgksusokysLFkkudks

gfFk;kysukpkfg,Ablvè;k;esa blds fy,,d

Li"Vj.kuhfrrS;kkjdjusijè;kudsaasfnzrfd;kx;k

gSA

5-3 o"kZ1991dslq/kjksadsckn]O;kikfjd(eky)

fu;kZrksaesaHkkjrdhHkkxhnkjh13-2izfr'krizfro"kZ

dhnjlsc<+hgSvkSj;go"kZ1991esa0-6izfr'kr

lsc<+djo"kZ2018esa1-7izfr'krgksx;kgSAfiQj

Hkh] o"kZ 2018 rd Hkh] Hkkjr dh fo'ocktkj esaHkkxhnkjh phu dh 12-8 izfr'kr dh Hkkxhnkjh dhrqyuk esa ux.; gSA blds vfrfjDr] ldy ?kjsywmRikndsizfr'krds:iesaO;kikfjdfu;kZrfo'odsvkSlrdhrqyukesaHkkjrdsfy,vR;kf/dek=kkesafujarjuhpsjgkgS(fp=k1(d)AO;kikfjdvk;krfu;kZrksadhvis{kkvf/drsthls(o"kZ1993&2018dsnkSjku14-9izfr'krdhnjij)c<+kgS]ftldsifj.kkeLo:iO;kikj?kkVkesao`f¼gksjghgS(fp=k1([k))Anwljhvksj]lsokvksads fu;kZrlkekU;r%vk;krksadhvis{kkvf/drsthls c<+s gSa] ftldsdkj.kpkywpkkrk?kkVsesadqNjkgrfeyhgSA

fp=k 1 (d)% Hkkjr cuke fo'o] ldy ?kjsyw mRikn esa fu;kZrksa dh fgLlsnkjh

lzksr%;w,ulhVh,Mhlkaf[;dhvkSjleh{kkifjdyuA lzksrHkkjrh;fjtoZcSadvkSjlosZ{k.kifjdyu

fp=k 1 ([k)% Hkkjr cuke fo'o] ldy ?kjsyw mRikn esa fu;kZrksa dh fgLlsnkjh

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

Perc

ent

of to

tal G

DP

World Exports (Goods)World Exports (Services) Indian Exports (goods) Indian Exports (Services)

-11%

-9%

-7%

-5%

-3%

-1%

1%

3%

5%

7%

1993-94

1997-98

2001-02

2005-06

2009-10

2013-14

2017-18

Perc

ent o

f tot

al G

DP

Trade Balance Net Invisibles CAD

5-4 bllanHkZesatksiz'umRiUugksrsgSa]osfuEugSa%&(i)rhozfu;kZro`f¼gkflydjusdsfy,fdlizdkj ds uhfrxr gLr{ksiksa ls enn feysxh\ (ii)D;kuhfr;ksadksfof'k"Vhdj.k(xguekftZu)vFkokfofof/dj.k(O;kidekftZu)dsekè;elsO;kikjo`f¼ ds fy, yf{kr fd;k tkrk gS\ (iii) ?kjsywm|ksxksadsfy,lcyLFkkuh;laidks±dksc<+koknsusdsfy,vFkokoSf'odewY;J`a[ykvksa(thohlh)esaHkkxhnkjhdsfy,ftuesaoSf'od:ilsiQSysgksrsgSa]D;k;ggekjsfgresagSa\(iv)osdkSu&dkSulsm|ksxgSaftudsiklfu;kZro`f¼vkSjjkstxkjl`tudsfy,lokZf/dlaHkkouk,agSa\vkSj(v)fueqZDrO;kijdjkjHkkjrdsfy,ykHkdkjhgSa\

5-5 bu iz'uksa ij fopkj djrs gq, bl vè;k;

esavuorjvkSjrsthls fu;kZresao`f¼vkSj bllsvPNhvkenuhdkdk;Zdjusds fy,uhfrrS;kjdjusdsekxZn'kZdfl¼karfn,x,gSaAHkkjrdks,slsvkS|ksfxdlewgksaijè;kudsafnzrdjukpkfg,ftUgsa^usVodZmRikn*dgktkrkgS]tgkamRiknuizfØ;koSf'od:ils[kafMrgksrhgSavkSjvius^mRikndlapfyr* oSf'od mRiknu usVodZ ds Hkhrj vxz.khcgqjk"Vªh;m|eksa}kjkfu;af=krgksrhgSaAusVodZmRiknksadsmnkgj.kesadaI;wVj]bySDVªkWfudvkSjbySfDVªdymidj.k]lM+ddsokguvkfn'kfeygksrsgSaAphudsvf}rh; fu;kZr fu"iknuds foijhr Hkkjreq[;:ilsJeiz/ku{ks=k]fo'ks"k:ils^usVodZmRiknksa*esacM+siSekusijvisf{krfo'ks"kKrklsizsfjrgS]tgkamRikn cgqjk"Vªh; fuxeksa ds }kjk lapkfyr oSf'odewY;Ja`[kykvksa(thohlh)esagksrkgSAfo'oHkjds

101usVodZmRiknksads{ks=kesafu;kZr&fo'ks"kKrk}kjkjkstxkj&l`tuvkSjfodkl

Page 3: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

102 vkfFkZd leh{kk 2019-20 [k.M 1

iSuy (d) fo'o fu;kZr Hkkxhnkjh iSuy ([k) fo'ks"kKrk izHkko iSuy (x) fofo/hdj.k izHkko

fp=k 2% fo'ks"kKrk vkSj fofof/dj.k izHkko] 2000 ls 2015 rd fufeZr mRikn esa Hkkjr vkSj phu ds fo'o fu;kZr cktkj Hkkx dks vi?kVu

lzksr%;w,udkWeVsªM(MCY;wVhVh,l)MkVkcsldsvk/kjijchjkef.k],jkFkvkSjxqIrk(2018)

fVIi.kh%fuEufyf[kr]gEesyvkSjDysukso(2005)]iSuy(d)esaHkkrjvkSjphudkfo'ocktkjHkkxiSuy([k)esafo'ks"kKizHkkoesavi?kVuvkSjiSuy(x)easfofo/hdj.kAfdlhfn,x,ns'kvkSjo"kZdsfy,fo'ocktkjHkkxfo'ks"kKrkdslaxrewY;vkSjfofo/hdj.kizHkkolsxq.kkdjizkIrfd;ktkrkgSA

0.006 0.016

0.053

0.247

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

2000

2003

2006

2009

2012

2015

IndiaChina

0.011 0.021

0.072

0.301

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

2000

2003

2006

2009

2012

2015

IndiaChina

0.591

0.7750.726

0.82

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

2000

2003

2006

2009

2012

2015

IndiaChina

fy,phuesamidj.kksadsiqtksZadksvk;krdjukvkSjbUgsatksM+dj(vlsacydj)midj.kcukusdkdk;ZdjphuusvHkwriwoZLrjijjkstxkjl`ftrfd;kgSAblhizdkj,dhdj.k}kjkesdbubafM;kesa^vlsacybubafM;kiQkWjnoYMZ*dhO;oLFkk'kkfeygSAbllsHkkjrviuh fu;kZrcktkj Hkkxhnkjhdks 2025rdyxHkx3-5izfr'krvkSj2030rd6izfr'krrdc<+kldrkgStksfdiw.kZ:ilsO;ogk;ZgSAblØeesaHkkjr2025rdvPNhvkenuhnsusokysyxHkx4djksM+vkSj2030rd8djksM+jkstxkjl`ftrdjsxkAusVodZmRiknksadsfu;kZr]ftldso"kZ2025rd248fcfy;uMkWyjdkgksusdhvk'kkgS]dsy{;LrjlsvFkZO;oLFkkesalfEefyro`f¼'khyewY;2025rdHkkjrdks$5fVªfy;uvFkZO;oLFkkcukusds fy,vko';do`f¼dk,d&pkSFkkbZfgLlkgksxkA

phu dh rqyuk esa Hkkjr dk fu;kZr esa fuEu&fu"iknu5-6 fudV Hkfo"; ds fy, uhfr rS;kj djus lsigys ge phu dh rqyuk esa Hkkjr dk fu;kZr esafuEu&fu"iknudjsaxsA

fo'ks"kKrk cuke fofo/hdj.k

5-7 D;k Hkkjr ds fu;kZr fu"iknu essa iQhdkiuHkkjrdhfu;kZrckLdsVesafofo/hdj.kdhdehdsdkj.k(vR;f/dekftZu)gS;k;gfo'ks"kKrkdhdehdsdkj.k(xguekftZu)dsdkj.kgSAgebliz'udktokcHkkjrvkSjphudsbunksvk;keksadsvk/kjijikusdhdksf'k'kdjsaxs(ckDl1ns[ksa)AizR;sdns'kdsfufeZrmRikndkfo'ofu;kZrHkkxfofo/hdj.kcukeladsanz.kdsizHkkoesavi?kfVrgkstkrkgS(fp=k2ns[ksa)A;gns[ktkldrkgSfdiSuy(d)]tksnksns'kksads fo'ocktkjHkkxdksn'kkZrkgs]iSuy([k)dhfejjbestgStksfo'ks"kKrkds ;ksxnkudk n'kkZrk gSA bl izdkj fo'ocktkjds Hkkx esa phu&Hkkjr xSi izk;% fo'ks"kKrk izHkkolsiw.kZ:ilslapkfyrgksrkgSAnwljhvksjmRiknvkSjcktkj(iSuy(x))dsfofo/hdj.kds:iesaHkkjrLi"V:ilsyxHkxphudsfudVvkjgkgSAlexz:ilsfuEufo'ks"kKrkdslkFkmPpfofo/hdj.kdkrkRi;Z;ggSfdHkkjrcgqrlsmRiknksa

Page 4: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

103usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa fu;kZr&fo'ks"kKrk }kjk jkstxkj&l`tu vkSj fodkl

vkSjHkkxhnkjksadslaca/esaviusfu;kZrdkdeizlkjdjrkgSftldkotglsphudhrqyukesabldkfu"iknudegksrkgSA

5-8 dbZo"kks±dhvof/esafo'ks"kKrkizHkkofu;kZfrrekydh ek=kkvkSj@;k ewY; esa ifjorZudsdkj.k

cnyldrkgSAblfy,];gfo'ks"k:ilsek=kkvkSjewY;izHkkoesafo'ks"kKrkizHkkodksfo?kfVrdjusdsfy,gSAfp=k3n'kkZrkgSfdfo'ks"kKrkdslanHkZesaHkkjr&phudkxSi(varjky)ek=kkizHkkolsiw.kZ:ilslapkfyrgksrkgSAfupksM+dhckr;ggSfd;fn

fp=k 3% Hkkjr vkSj phu ds lanHkZ esa fo'ks"khdj.k izHkko dk ek=kk vkSj dher izHkkoksa esa fo?kVu] o"kZ 2000&2015

iSuy (d) ek=kk izHkko

lzksr%;w,u&dkWeVªsM(MCY;wvkbZVh,l)cslijvk/kfjrohokef.k],jkFkvkSjxqIrk(2018)

fVIi.kh%gesYlvkSjfDyuks(2005)dkvuqlj.kdjrsgq,fp=k2]iSuy([k)eas]n'kkZ,x,fo'ks"khdj.kizHkkodkfo?kVuÅijiSuy(d)esaek=kkizHkkovkSjiSuy([k)esaewY;izHkkoeasfd;kx;kgSAmfYyf[krns'k,oao"kdsfy,fo'ks"khdj.kizHkkodkvkdyuek=kk,oaewY;izHkkoksadslaxrewY;ksadksxq.kkdjdsfd;ktkrkgSA

iSuy ([k) ewY; izHkko

0.014 0.023

0.159

0.616

00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.8

2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

India

China

0.767 0.88

0.4560.489

00.20.40.60.8

11.21.41.6

2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

India

China

ckWDl 1% fo'ks"khdj.k ,oa fofo/rk izHkkoksa esa fo?kVu dk;Ziz.kkyh

vuqlj.kgeYlvksjfDyuks(2005)dkvuqlj.kdjrsgq,y{;xzqiD (ftlesadbZlk>snkjns'kJ 'kkfeygS)dsfy,o"kZt esamfYyf[krns'k!(gekjsekeysesaHkkjrvkSjphu)dkfo'ofu;kZrcktkj'ks;jdkfo?kVufuEukuqlkjfd;ktkldrkgSASit y{;cktkjD esa^fo'odsckdhns'k*dslkis{kns'k!dsfu;kZrcktkjesaizos'kdkizrhdgSA

tgka]Xit = y{;D dsilsdqyfu;kZrdkewY;_Xrt = y{; xzqiD dsfy,rlsdqyfu;kZrewY;_X = P mRiknesai lsj dsfy,fu;kZrewY;_N = lk>snkj&mRikn;qXeksadklstgkans'k!fu;kZrlaca/ksadkfjdkMZj[krkgS(vFkkZr,slklsVtgkax gks) Sit dksfofo/khdj.k(O;kidekftZu)vkSjfo'ks"khdj.kfd;ktkldrkgSA

Page 5: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

104 vkfFkZd leh{kk 2019-20 [k.M 1

mi;qZDrla[;k(1)gjmulk>snkj&mRikn;qXeksaesar lsdqyfu;kZrdkekigSftlesans'kr o"kZt esafu;kZrlacaèkksadkfjdkMZj[krkgSAblfy,]fo'ks"khdj.kizHkkolk>snkj&mRikn;qXeksadslkekU;lsVesar lsdqyfu;kZrksalsns'ki dsfu;kZrksadkvuqikrgSAbldkewY;ges'kkldkjkRedgksrkgSvr%;wfuVksadsÅijvkSjuhpsgksldrkgSala[;k(2)dkgjr lsdqyfu;kZrdksn'kkZrkgStcfdva'kmulk>snkj&mRikn;qXeksaesar dsfu;kZrksadktksM+gSftlesans'ki fu;kZrlacaèkksadkfjdkMZj[krkgSAblrjglsfofoèkhdj.kizHkkomulk>snkj&mRikn;qXeksaesar dsfu;kZrksadsHkkxdkekigSftlesans'ki ldkjkRedfu;kZrewY;ksadhfjiksVZnsrkgSA;gns[kktkldrkgSfdla[;k(2)dkva'kla[;k(1)dsgjdscjkcjgSAtcfdxguekftZulsns'kdhfu;kZrizksiQkbydhxgjkbZgSvkSjO;kidekftZuesamldhek=kkfufgrgksrhgSA

pwafdxguekftZuek=kk,oaewY;esaifjorZugksusdsdkj.kfu;kZrksadsewY;esaifjorZudksn'kkZrkgSvr%bldkvkSjfo?kVu]ewY;izHkkovkSjek=kkizHkkoesafd;ktkldrkgSA

1Mit = Pit ´ Qit

ewY;izHkkordsewY;ksaesalsi dsdqyHkkfjrvuqikrdkekigS]tgkaHkkjlk>snkj&mRikn;qXeksadslkekU;lsVesai vkSjr dsfu;kZrksaesap mRiknds'ks;jdky?kqx.kdh;ekugS

tgkauvpijt vkSjuvp

rit Øe'k%i vkSjr }kjkj dsfy,fu;kZrfd,x,mRiknp dk;wfuVewY;(dherksadsfy,izfri=k)gSvkSjs (j dsfy,i dsfu;kZresamRiknp dkfgLlk)vkSjs (dsfy,r dsfu;kZrksaesap mRikndhfgLlkdky?kqdj.kh;vkSlrgSA;gdk;Ziz.kkyhvarjkZ"Vªh;O;kikjesaO;kidlkfgR;dh:ijs[kkizLrqrdjrhgS(bZousVvkSjosuscYl(2002)]gesYlvkSjfDyuks(2005)]iQsyfcjes;jvkSjdksgyj(2006)gsYieSu,Vvy(2008)]vfeVhvkSjÚsad(2019)],Vu,Vvy(2007)]cslsMslvkSjizwlk(2011)]ohjkef.k],jkFkvkSjxqIrk(2018)Afp=k2vkSj3esafn,x,ifj.kkeohjkef.k],jkFkvkSjxqIrk(2018)ijvkèkkfjrgSftUgksauso"kZ2000&2015dhvofèkrd6&vadLrjijfofufeZrfu;kZrksaijMkVkiz;ksxfd;kgSAxp

ijt > o- gksusijfu;kZrlacaèkdhigpkudhtkrhgSvFkkZr;fnns'k_(HkkjrvFkokphu)o"kZt esamRiknP (vFkkZr,p,l6&vadLrjij)esalk>snkjns'kj dsfy,ldkjkRedfu;kZrewY;dhfjiksVZnsrkgSA

oSf'odewY;J`a[kykvksaesaHkkxhnkjhdkfuEuLrji;kZIrla[;kesaJfedgksusdsckotwnHkkjrdsxSj&vkW;yO;kikjfu;kZrksadhfgLlsnkjhesao"kZ2000esaJeO;kihm|ksxksadhfgLlsnkjhesao"kZ2000esa30-7»ls?kVkdjo"kZ2018esa16-3»djhcgksx;k(fp=k4(d))AHkkjrdhfu;kZriz.kkyhesarsthlsc<+usokyhoLrq,aiwath,oadkS'kyO;kihgSaA(dksíkj,Vvy]2006_iuxfj;k]2007]ohjke.fk]2012]ohjkef.kvkSj,jkFk]2020)AokLrothohlhesaHkkjrdhHkkxhnkjhiwohZvkSjnf{k.kh,f'k;kesaeq[;fu;kZrdjk"VªksadhrqyukesadejghgS(vFkwdksjkyk]2014]ohjkef.k,oaèkhj]2017)A

Hkkjreq[;fu;kZrdcuukpkgrkgSrksHkkjrdksvius

rqyukRed fgr ds {ks=k esa vf/dkf/d fo'ks"kKrk

gkflydjuhgksxhvkSji;kZrfoLrkjdjukgksxkA

oSf'od ewY; J`a[kyk esa Hkkxhnkjh dk fuEu Lrj

5-9 cM+hla[;kesaJfedksadhmiyfCèkdsckotwn]

HkkjrdsxSj&rsyO;kikjfu;kZresaijEijkxrvdq'ky

Jfediz/kum|ksxksadhfgLlsnkjhtkso"kZ2000esa30-7izfr'krFkhogo"kZ2018esa?kVdjvkèkk;kfuyxHkx16-3izfr'krjgxbZ(fp=k4d)AHkkjrdhfu;kZroLrqvksaesaiwathvkSjxgu(dkspj,oavU;]2006_iuxf<+;k]2007]chjkef.k]2012d]chjkef.kvkSjvU;]2020dkHkhvoyksdudjsa)dkS'kyntZdhxbZ gSaA okLroesa] iwoZvkSj nf{k.k iwoZ ,f'k;k

Page 6: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

105usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa fu;kZr&fo'ks"kKrk }kjk jkstxkj&l`tu vkSj fodkl

fp=k 4 (d)% Hkkjr ds xSj&rsy O;kikfjd fu;kZrksa dk la?kVu

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fp=k 4 ([k)% phu ds xSj&rsy O;kikfjd fu;kZrksa dk la?kVu

29.3%

53.0%

30.7% 16.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Capital IntensiveNatural Resource IntensivePrimaryUnskilled Labor Intensive

51.1%

72.7%

35.5%

20.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Capital IntensiveNatural Resource IntensivePrimaryUnskilled Labor Intensive

esathohlhesaHkkjrdhHkkkxhnkjheq[;fu;kZrdjk"Vªksadhrqyukesa]vis{kkd`rdejgh(vkFkqdksjkyk]2014_ohjkef.kvkSjèkhj]2017_ohjkef.k]2019)A

5-10 blds foijhr] phudk fu;kZr la?kVu] iwathO;kih m|ksxksa (fo'ks"kdj bysDVªkWfuDl vkSj fo|qre'khujhesaikjaifjdJfedO;kihm|ksxksavkSjmRiknuizfØ;kvksadsJfed O;kihvoLFkkvksa esavR;fèkd>qdkodksn'kkZrkgSAdbZo"kks±dsnkSjkublesadehdsgksrsgq,Hkhvdq'kyJfedO;kihmRiknudkvuqikrHkkjrdhrqyukesaphudsfu;kZrlewgesavfèkdgS(fp=k4([k)AviusO;kikjmnkjhdj.kdsizFken'kd (1980&1990)ds nkSjku phuds fu;kZr esao`f¼eq[;r%vdq'kyJfedO;kihmRiknksaesabldsfo'ks"khdj.kijvkèkkfjrFkh_phudsfu;kZrlewgesabldhfgLlsnkjho"kZ1980esa27-8izfr'krlsc<+djo"kZ1990esa46-5izfr'krgksxbZAnwljhvksj]Hkkjrdsfu;kZrlewgesavdq'ky&JfedO;kihmRiknksadk

vuqikro"kZ2000lsle;iwoZfxjkoVeglwldjuslsigys]o"kZ1980&2000dhvofèkesayxHkx30izfr'krjgk(ohjkef.k]2012[k)A

5-11 ;|fiiwathO;kihmRiknksadhphuds fu;kZrlewg esa Hkkjrds fu;kZr lewg ls mPprjvuqikrgS] fiQj Hkhnks fo"ke&iSVuks± ijcynsukegRoiw.kZgSA igyk ;g gS fd] ns'k ds ikjaifjd vdq'kyJfed O;kih mRiknksa ds yxHkx nks n'kdksa (o"kZ1980&2000)rd]dhfrZeku&izeq[k fu;kZro`f¼dscknphuls iwath O;kih mRiknksads fu;kZrks± esa o"kZ2000rdo`f¼gqbZAbldsfoijhrHkkjresa,slhdksbZlaØkafrughavkbZAnwljk;ggSfd]Hkkjrdsizfrdwy]phu ls iwath O;kih mRiknksa dh fu;kZr o`f¼ (thohlh)esafgLlsnkjhdsmPpLrj}kjkgqbZgSAo"kZ1990dsn'kdrdphudhfu;kZrlaoèkZuuhfr;kaT;knkrjblds?kjsywm|ksxksadksoSf'odJ`a[kykvksadsvarxZr,dhd`rdjusdhdk;ZuhfrijvkfJrjghgSaA

ckWDl 2% O;kikj&mRiknksa dk ?kVd l?kurk oxhZdj.k

fp=k4(d)esalwfprewY;ksadkizkDduyfguywisuvkSjoSuejsfoftd(2008)}kjkvuqdwfyrvarjkZ"Vªh;O;kikjdsanz(vkbZVhlh)ds?kVdizcyrkoxhZdj.kdkiz;ksxdjdsfd;kx;kgStksekudvarjkZ"Vªh;O;kikjds3vadh;LrjijikapfoLr`r?kVdizcyrk{ksf.k;ksadseè;varjdjrkgSA=kh&vadh;@3fMftVLrjijdqy240mRiknksadksikapJsf.k;ksa

Page 7: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

106 vkfFkZd leh{kk 2019-20 [k.M 1

fp=k 5(d)% vk; Lrj ds vuqlkj O;kikfjd Hkkxhnkj] Hkkjr

Ïksr%;w,u&dkWeVsªM(MCY;wvkbZVh,l)

fp=k 5([k)% vk; Lrj ds vuqlkj O;kikfjd Hkkxhnkj] phu

56.3%

40.2%

14.5% 16.6%

22.4% 37.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018Sh

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in to

tal m

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andi

se e

xpor

ts

High income OECDOther high incomeLow & middle income

62.0%

49.7%

20.7%

14.2%13.8%

31.4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018Shar

e in

tota

l mer

chan

dise

exp

orts

High income OECDOther high incomeLow & middle income

esackaVkx;kgS%&izkFkfed(83mRikn)]izkd`frdlalk/u&iz/ku(21mRikn)]vdq'kyJe&iz/ku(26mRikn)]ekuoiwath&iz/ku(43mRikn)]izkS|ksfxdh&iz/ku(62mRikn)]rFkkvoxhZd`r(5mRikn)A foLr`roxhZdj.k (http:www2.ecob.uu.nl/marrewikl/eta/intensity.htm)ijmiyC/gSAiwath&iz/kuJs.khesaekuo&iwath&iz/kuIylrduhdh@VsDukythmRiknlfEefyrgSaA

^^fjiQkbaMisVªksfy;emRiknksa**(,lvkbZVhlh334)dkfu;kZr]4dvkSj4[kesafn[kk,x,pkjdkjd&iz/kuJsf.k;ksaesalsfdlhesaHkh'kkfeyughagSAè;kunsafd]vkbZVhlhoxhZdj.kdsvuqlkj],lvkbZVhlh&334^^izkFkfed**Js.khdkgh,dHkkxgSAo"kZ2000dh'kq:vkrlsgh]ifj"d`risVªksfy;emRiknksadsdqyO;kikfjdfu;kZresaHkkjrdsfu;kZrdhfgLlsnkjhesaegRoiw.kZo`f¼ntZdhxbZ]tksfdo"kZ2000ds3-3izfr'krlsc<+djo"kZ2018esa14-6izfr'krgksxbZAfu;kZro`f¼ntZdhxbZ]tkso"kZ20003-3izfr'krlsc<+djo"kZ2018esa14-6izfr'krgksxbZAfu;kZro`f¼eq[;:ilsHkkjrdhfuth{ks=kdhrsyfjiQkbufj;ksa}kjklapkfyrdhxbZAHkkjrdPpsrsydkvk;krdjrkgSvkSjblm|ksxesaoSY;w(ewY;&fuekZ.kJa[kyk)ds'kks/upj.kesaekfgjgSApwafdisVªksfy;e'kks/u,dvR;f/diwath&iz/kuizfØ;kgS]blfy,blmRikndksizkFkfedJs.khdsctk;iwath&iz/kuJs.kh'kkfeydjukmfprgS(ohjkef.k]2012,)Ablidkj;fn,lvkbZVhlh334dksiwath&iz/kuekuktkrkgS]tksHkkjrdsdqyekyfu;ksZresaiwath&iz/kumRiknksadkfgLlko"kZ2000ds31-6izfr'krlsc<+djo"kZ2018esayxHkxnksxqukvFkkZr59-9izfr'krgkstkrkgSAphudsfy,];gcgqriQdZughadjrkgSD;ksafdbldsfu;kZrlewgesa,lvkbZVhlh334ds:iesa,dNksVhlhfgLlsnkjh(yxHkx1izfr'kr)gSA

vk;kfrriqtks±vkSjvo;oksadkiz;ksxdjusesa]phu

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dslkFk oSf'odewY;J`a[kykvksa esa fuEu LrjdhHkkxhnkjhusfu;kZrksadhHkkjrdhHkkSxksfydfn'kkvksaesa ikjaifjdvehj ns'kksads cktkjksa lsvU;xarO;ksadhvkSjvleku:ilscgykogqvkgS(chjekuh]2012d] ohjekuh vkSj ,jFk] 2020)A mPp&vk;vksbZlhMhcktkjksaesa2018esaphuhdh49-7izfr'krrkjgh(fp=k5[k)tcfdblhvof/kdsHkkjrdh

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107usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa fu;kZr&fo'ks"kKrk }kjk jkstxkj&l`tu vkSj fodkl

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5-13 mPpvk;okysns'kksadscktkjksaesaHkkjrdkizos'kuLi"V:ilsdegSvkSjgkydsn'kdksadsnkSjkublesavkuqikfrdvarjlsfxjkoVgqbZgS_bldhfo'ks"kKrkdsfod`riSVuZdksè;kuesaj[krsgq,blckr dks le>uk dfBu ugha gSA fodkl'khy ns'k]

fo'ks"kdj thohlh esa de Hkkxhnkjh okys ns'k /uhns'kksads]xq.korrk@czkaMdsizfrtkx:d]cktkjksaesaviusiwathiz/kumRiknksadkfu;kZrdjusesavY;f/ddfBukbZ dk vuqHko djrs gSaA iwath iz/ku mRiknksads foijhr]mPpvk;okysns'kHkkjrdsvdq'kyJe&iz/kumRiknksadsfy,lkisf{kd:ils,do`gÙkjcktkjmiyC/djkrsgSa(fp=k6]iSuy(d))Aoghnwlhvksj]phuhmRikn]pkgsosiwathiz/kumRiknds:ieasgh;kvdq'kyJe&iz/kumRiknds:iesamPpvk;kokysrFkk fuEueè;evk;okys]nksuksa

fp=k 6% lk>snkj ns'kksa ds lewgksa esa Je&iz/ku mRiknksa ds fgLls ds vuqikr ds :i esa iwath iz/ku fu;kZrksa dk fgLlk

iSuy (d)% Hkkjr

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iSuy ([k)% phu

0.7 0.7

1.9

1.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

High Income OECD

Low & Middle Income

0.9 0.9

1.2

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0.4

0.6

0.8

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1.420

00

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2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

High Income OECDLow & Middle Income

ns'kksadscktkjksaesaleku:ilsviuhiSBcukusesaliQygksrsgSaA(fp=k6]iSuy([k))Aphudslaca/esa;gizR;kf'krHkhgSD;ksafdØsrkpkgsdksbZHkhgks]fo'ocktkjksadsfy,;g,dvlsacyhlsavjds:iesadk;ZdjrkgSA

5-14 dqy fu;kZrksa] fo'ks"kKrk izHkko] fofo/hdj.k&izHkko]ek=kk&izHkkovkSjdher&izHkkodsMkWyjewY;dslanHkZesaphuvkSjHkkjrdschpvarjdhlhekdksfp=k7(d)esan'kkZ;kx;kgS;sizkDdyumllek{;.kfo'ys"kdlsizkIrfd,tkusgSatksnksns'kksaesalsizR;sddsf}i{kh;O;kikjizokgksadksizHkkfordjus okys fofHkUu dkjdksa ds izHkkoksa dks fu;af=kr

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ckn Hkkjr&phu O;kikj varj

743%

374%

103%

907%

-113%-200%

0%

200%

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800%

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37%

-41%

228%

6%

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800%

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_________________________

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Page 10: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

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$21.81

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United States

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Greater Use of Imported Inputs

Scale and Productivity Effect for Producing for

the World

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Share of Foreign

Value Added in Gross Exports

increases

$ value of gross exports

rises significantly

$ value of Domestic

Value Added increases

significantly

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iSuy (d) iSuy ([k) iSuy (x)

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1

2

3

4

5

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2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

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2014

2016

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USD

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24.514.6 13.7

33.329.8 28.7

36.649.8 50.9

5.6 5.8 6.7

0%

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2000 2010 2018Rest of the world AsiaEurope Americas

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20%

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Page 15: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

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Page 16: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

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2013

2014

2015

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2000

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Page 17: usVodZ mRiknksa ds {ks=k esa 05 fu;kZr&fo'kskKrk }kjk … · 2020-01-28 · n oYMZ** dks ^esd bu bafM;k* ds lkFk ,dhd`r djds] Hkkjr o"kZ 2025 rd 4 djksM+ vkSj o"kZ 2030 rd 8 djksM+

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