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    On the importance of a positive view on ageing for physical exercise

    among middle-aged and older adults: Cross-sectional and longitudinal

    findings

    Susanne Wurma; Martin J. Tomasikb; Clemens Tesch-RmeraaDeutsches Zentrum fr Altersfragen, Berlin 12101, Germany bFriedrich-Schiller-University, Jena07743, Germany

    First published on: 04 November 2008

    To cite this ArticleWurm, Susanne , Tomasik, Martin J. and Tesch-Rmer, Clemens(2010) 'On the importance of a positiveview on ageing for physical exercise among middle-aged and older adults: Cross-sectional and longitudinal findings',Psychology & Health, 25: 1, 25 42, First published on: 04 November 2008 (iFirst)

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    10.1080/08870440802311314

    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08870440802311314

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    Psychology and Health

    Vol. 25, No. 1, January 2010, 2542

    On the importance of a positive view on ageing for physical

    exercise among middle-aged and older adults: Cross-sectional

    and longitudinal findings

    Susanne Wurma*, Martin J. Tomasikb and Clemens Tesch-Ro mera

    aDeutsches Zentrum fur Altersfragen, Manfred-von-Richthofen Str. 2, Berlin 12101, Germany;bFriedrich-Schiller-University, Am Steiger 3/1, Jena 07743, Germany

    (Received 19 January 2007; final version received 20 January 2008)

    Physical activity is one of the most important health behaviours associated withthe prevention and management of chronic diseases in older adults, but thispotential is often insufficiently used. The present study examined for the first timewhether a positive view on ageing (PVA) may contribute to a higher level ofphysical activity. Analyses were based on the German Ageing Survey, alongitudinal population-based survey (N 4034) on middle-aged and olderadults (4085 years) conducted in the years 1996 and 2002. As hypothesised,middle-aged adults with a PVA not only engaged in physical activity in the formof sports more frequently; they even increased this activity provided that theywere healthy enough to do so. For older adults, PVA was particularly associatedwith more regular walking and increases of walking over time. Because walking isoften still recommended in spite of health problems, it was remarkable that evenolder people with worse health walked just as regularly as those with good health,provided that they had a positive view on ageing. The results shed some light onrecent findings about the importance of PVA for health and longevity and pointto a partial mediation between PVA and health by physical exercise.

    Keywords: positive view on ageing; physical activity; exercise; health; longitudinalsurvey

    Introduction

    Physical activity continues to be a key factor for the prevention and management of many

    risk factors, chronic diseases and functional disabilities associated with ageing up to old

    age (e.g. Blumenthal & Gullette, 2002; Paterson, Govindasamy, Vidmar, Cunningham, &Koval, 2004). Moreover, physical activity may lead to a shorter period of disability at the

    end of life (Hubert, Bloch, & Oehlert, 2002) and to a lower risk of premature mortality,

    even in the case of activities of low or moderate intensity (Fried et al., 1998; Landi et al.,

    2004; Paffenbarger et al., 1994). However, a large number of people remain sedentary.

    Already from early adulthood this portion grows steadily, meaning that older persons are

    the most sedentary segment of the adult population (European Opinion Research Group

    EEIG, 2003; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 1996). In contrast to

    *Corresponding author. Email: [email protected]

    ISSN 08870446 print/ISSN 14768321 online

    2010 Taylor & Francis

    DOI: 10.1080/08870440802311314

    http://www.informaworld.com

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    younger people, who often name lack of time as a main cause for a sedentary lifestyle,

    older people often report health problems as the main barrier to physical exercise (for a

    review: Schutzer & Graves, 2004).

    Both moderate and vigorous exercise is favoured in physical activity recommendations

    (e.g. World Health Organization, 1997). Because middle-aged adults have both fewer

    health problems and higher physical activity than older adults, recommendations for

    middle-aged adults usually refer to activities with higher energy expenditure; these are

    particularly important for weight regulation and cardiovascular health. Although, these

    health goals are also important for older adults (e.g. Goldberg & King, 2007), moderate

    physical activities have the highest priority in the recommendations for older age groups.

    This is due both to the high prevalence of a sedentary lifestyle and to a higher prevalence

    of chronic diseases and disabilities (DiPietro, 2001). Even moderate physical activity can

    yield important health benefits for maintaining functional ability and independence

    (DiPietro, 2001). By contrast, vigorous physical activities such as fast cycling or tennis are

    not always indicated for individuals with cardiovascular or musculoskeletal disorders, in

    particular if these are caused by decades of sedentary living habits and a progressive loss ofmusculoskeletal function (Blair, Kohl, Gordon, & Paffenbarger, 1992).

    Since it has been shown that health behaviour is beneficial up to old age, there is

    growing interest not only in the determinants of physical exercise for younger age groups

    but for older people as well (Morley & Flaherty, 2002). Population-based studies indicate

    that demographic variables such as gender (with less physical exercise among women),

    socio-economic status and education (with less physical exercise among people with lower

    educational levels, or incomes), and social support by friends or spouses influence the

    prevalence of physical exercise throughout the lifespan (e.g. DiPietro, 2001).

    Moreover, mechanisms of self-regulation, such as goal setting, self-monitoring and

    relapse-prevention training and in particular functional optimism (which includes bothpositive outcome expectancies and self-efficacy beliefs; Schwarzer, 1994), have been shown

    to be important psychological factors for the adoption and maintenance of physical

    exercise. Most of these findings were based on intervention studies (e.g. King, 2001;

    McAuley, Jerome, Elavsky, Marquez, & Ramsey, 2003), while large population-based

    surveys rarely examine psychological factors (Newsom, Kaplan, Huguet, & McFarland,

    2004). However, people who take part in an intervention programme generally already

    possess a basic motivation for health behaviour change, that is, these people are at least in

    a contemplation stage (Prochaska & Velicer, 1997) and thus differ from the general

    population. We, therefore, still know little about psychological factors involved in the

    promotion of regular exercise among older adults in everyday life, apart from interventionprogrammes (e.g. Lachman et al., 1997). What is it then that motivates older people to be

    physically active or even to increase their activity, independent of intervention

    programmes? The purpose of the present study is to address one of these possible

    motivators by examining whether a positive view on ageing (PVA) might promote physical

    exercise; this is explained in more detail below.

    In recent years, several longitudinal studies have shown that older people who have a

    more PVA maintain better physical and functional health than those with a more negative

    view (Levy, Slade, & Kasl, 2002; Wurm, Tesch-Ro mer, & Tomasik, 2007). Moreover,

    a PVA has repeatedly been shown to be an important determinant for longevity (e.g.

    Levy & Myers, 2005). The underlying mechanisms that make a PVA a health protectivefactor have barely been empirically examined. However, one recent study indicates

    that a PVA may in fact contribute substantially to general preventive health behaviour

    26 S. Wurmet al.

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    (Levy & Myers, 2004), and therefore suggests that analysing this association with respect

    to physical exercise is worthwhile.

    In the present study, a PVA refers to the view that ageing is accompanied by further

    developmental gains. A gain-related view on ageing cannot be taken for granted because

    younger as well as older individuals tend to view ageing as accompanied by a decrease in

    gains and an increase in losses (Heckhausen, Dixon, & Baltes, 1989). Regarding ageing asaccompanied by further gains implies that the personal future still has a positive meaning

    and that a person continues to perceive an ample time frame in his or her life for setting

    goals and making plans. Having goals and a positive future outlook might make it worth

    engaging in health behaviour such as physical exercise because the pursuit of certain goals

    (e.g. improving skills, caring for grandchildren) requires sufficiently good health. Thus,

    people with a PVA are presumably more motivated to engage in preventive health

    behaviour such as physical exercise because they experience that it is still worth doing

    something for their own health.

    By contrast, a less positive view on ageing, which includes a shorter subjective time

    perspective and a stronger focus on the present, might prevent beneficial health behaviourbecause the consequences of this behaviour lie behind the individually perceived time

    horizon (Rakowski, 1986). It is known that, even in the case of young adults, a short-time

    perspective focusing on the present is negatively associated with healthy behavioural

    practices (Hall & Fong, 2003). For older people, whose lifetime is more limited, it is even

    harder to maintain a strong positive future outlook and to believe in the future benefits of

    positive health behaviour.

    The present study investigates the importance of a PVA for physical activity in middle

    and later adulthood. Are people who view their ageing in a positive way physically more

    active than those with a less positive view on their ageing process? And does this

    association still persist when the socio-demographic, socio-economic and psychologicalvariables important for physical exercise are controlled for in the analyses?

    Ageing comes with increasing physical and social losses, and middle age seems to be the

    turning point in the ratio of gains and losses (Baltes, Lindenberger, & Staudinger, 1998).

    In line with this turning point, we included in the present study people as from midlife. The

    analysis of both middle-aged and older adults goes beyond comparable previous studies on

    physical activity in later adulthood that have primarily focused on people aged 60 or 65

    years and above (e.g. Burton, Shapiro, & German, 1999; McAuley et al., 2003). Studies on

    physical activity of older adults have often examined low to moderate-intensity physical

    activity such as walking, stair climbing or housework (e.g. Newsom et al., 2004) and

    therefore have allowed for the fact that the vast majority of older people do not engage in

    sporting activity. Due to the broadening of the perspective to middle-aged adults in the

    present study, we considered not only moderate exercise (i.e. walking) but sporting activity

    as well. Walking ranks more among the light to moderate activities and can usually be

    performed despite chronic diseases and disabilities (DiPietro, 2001). Sporting activities,

    however, predominantly rank among moderate to vigorous activities and thus require a

    sufficiently good state of health (cf. Blair et al., 1992). In the present study, we included

    both walking and sporting activities as outcome variables in order to analyse a broad

    range of physical activities. However, these two indicators probably have a different

    validity for the different age groups. Walking may not be an adequate indicator for

    strenuous physical activity in middle-aged adults and sporting activities are likely to

    overburden the physical capacities of many in old age. In the following hypotheses we thusexpected more distinct results for middle-aged adults with regard to sporting activities and

    for old-aged adults with regard to walking.

    Psychology and Health 27

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    Generally, we expected that a PVA would contribute to overcoming motivational

    barriers to physical activity. More specifically, we hypothesised on a cross-sectional level

    of analysis that a PVA would be related to higher physical activity (Hypothesis 1). Based

    on the fact that physical activity declines with increasing age, we hypothesised on a

    longitudinal level of analysis that a PVA would prevent a strong decrease in physical

    activity; that is, we expected individuals with a more PVA to have a lower decrease in their

    physical activity over time (Hypothesis 2). Finally, we expected a PVA to contribute

    particularly to a lower decrease or even stability of physical activity should individual

    health status so allow. For the cross-sectional and the longitudinal model, we therefore

    additionally tested whether health serves as a moderator of a PVA in the prediction of

    physical activity (Hypothesis 3).

    Method

    Participants and procedure

    The analyses were based on data of the German Ageing Survey. This survey is an

    ongoing nationwide and population-based study on middle-aged and older adults

    (cf. Engstler & Wurm, 2006). First, the baseline sample(age 40 to 85 years) was drawn in

    1996 by means of a national probability sampling technique with stratified sampling by

    age, gender, and place of residence (Eastern or Western Germany). About 50% of the

    persons contacted agreed to an interview (N 4838) and 83.4% of them additionally

    completed a questionnaire (N 4034). The response rate corresponds to that of other

    large survey studies in Germany (Neller, 2005). In the present study we used data

    assessed within the questionnaire, which is why we only refer to the sample ofN 4034.

    This baseline sample was on average 60.1 years old, 49% (n 2065) of whom were

    women and 66% (n 2668) lived in Western Germany. Detailed sample characteristics

    are shown in Table 1, broken down in the groups of middle-aged (4064 years) and older

    adults (6585 years). The age limits correspond to a common distinction between middle

    adulthood and third age (e.g. Schaie & Willis, 2002) and, furthermore, reflects the legal

    transition age into retirement. All analyses were computed for both age groups

    separately because middle-aged and older adults differ considerably in their physical

    activity. According to the baseline sample (N 4034), middle-aged adults reported

    higher sporting activity (t(4032) 11.86, p50.001) and lower frequency of walking

    (t(4032) 8.56, p50.001) than older adults.

    Second, in 1996 the participants of the baseline sample were asked whether they were

    willing in principle to participate again at a later point of time and 61% ( N 2972) agreedto this. The addresses of the other participants were deleted in accordance with the

    regulations of the German data protection law. Six years after the first interview, 16.3% of

    the 2972 respondents had died or moved to unknown addresses, which reduced the sample

    that could be contacted for a second time to N 2478. A total of 63.8% of persons from

    this reduced sample were in fact re-interviewed, while 36.2% refused (due to illness, or

    without giving any reason). Considering again only those people who completed both

    interview and questionnaire, the longitudinal sample consisted of N 1286 participants.

    Compared to the baseline sample, the longitudinal sample was about 3 years younger

    (MAgeT1 57.07; SD 10.81), but hardly differed in gender (52% male; n 675) and the

    place of residence (63% from Western Germany; n 816).Independent sample t-tests were computed to assess the differences in the baseline

    scores between participants of the longitudinal sample and those who dropped out after

    28 S. Wurmet al.

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    the first interview. Both groups differed significantly (p50.01) in all variables described

    in Table 1, except for gender, place of residence and frequency of walking. On average,follow-up participants had higher socio-economic status (education, income, prestige),

    more often a partner, and rated their health better. Moreover, follow-up participants

    had significantly higher optimism (hope), a more PVA and higher sporting activity. As

    can be seen in Table 1, the selective attrition applies more to the older adult group than

    to middle-aged adults. This reflects the established fact of selective attrition in

    longitudinal research on ageing (e.g. Baltes, Schaie, & Nardi, 1971; Norris, 1985). We

    get back to the implications of sample selectivity in the discussion section.

    Measures

    Physical exercise

    Participants were asked for their frequency of walking and doing sports (How often do

    you go for walks?; How often do you do sports, i.e. hiking, football, callisthenics or

    swimming?). Both questions could be answered on a 6-point scale ranging from never to

    daily. The two variables on physical exercise were the only variables assessed at two

    measurement occasions while all other variables pertain to the first measurement occasion

    only (cf. Table 1).

    Positive view on ageing (PVA)In order to assess a PVA we used a scale on the ageing-related cognition of ongoing

    development; this scale has been shown to be important for physical health over time

    Table 1. Sample characteristics: percent or means and standard deviations (in brackets).

    Baseline sample (N 4034) Longitudinal sample (N 1286)

    Middle-aged(4064 years;

    n 2544)

    Older adults(6585 years;

    n 1490)

    Middle-aged(4064 years;

    n 956)

    Older adults(6585 years;

    n330)

    Age (years) 52.2 (7.10) 72.55 (5.85) 51.98 (6.98) 71.80 (4.72)Female 48.9% 48.7% 48.4% 44.8%Western Germany 66.2% 66.1% 63.5% 63.3%Education 1.58 (0.74) 1.32 (0.63) 1.70 (0.78) 1.48 (0.70)Income (EUR) 1302.02 (752.87) 1140.52 (677.68) 1363.94 (754.30) 1251.51 (620.39)Prestige 46.78 (11.75) 44.40 (11.21) 48.74 (11.86) 47.78 (11.89)Living with partner 86.4% 64.9% 87.7% 72.7%Physical health 7.92 (1.68) 6.61 (1.96) 7.96 (1.63) 6.88 (1.93)PVAa,b 0.66 (0.61) 0.18 (0.72) 0.08 (0.56) 0.23 (0.67)Hopeb 1.11 (0.99) 0.95 (1.08) 0.01 (0.95) 0.02 (0.97)

    Sports T1 1.78 (1.67) 1.13 (1.70) 2.00 (1.70) 1.47 (1.74)Sports T2 1.98 (1.72) 1.39 (1.81)Walking T1 3.01 (1.52) 3.48 (1.73) 2.99 (1.51) 3.62 (1.64)Walking T2 3.16 (1.59) 3.28 (1.72)

    Notes: All data refer to the first wave of the survey (T1) unless otherwise noted. Education: 1 low,3high. Prestige: 18.1 low, 78.9high. Physical Health: 0 low, 10high; see sectionMeasures.aPositive View on Ageing; bLatent variable scores.

    Psychology and Health 29

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    (Wurm et al., 2007). The scale refers to the view of ageing as a time of personal growth and

    development and was assessed by the four items Ageing means to me that I continue to

    make plans, Ageing means to me that my capabilities are increasing, Ageing means to

    me that I can still learn new things, and Ageing means to me that I can still put my ideas

    into practice. Item wordings and scale development originate from Dittmann-Kohli and

    her colleagues (e.g. Steverink, Westerhof, Bode, & Dittmann-Kohli, 2001). Participants

    could endorse the items on a 4-point scale ranging from definitely false to definitely true.

    In the present study, the scale itself was obtained by calculating the latent variable score

    from a congeneric measurement model with two error terms allowed to correlate. This

    model fitted the data very well both at baseline (2(1) 1.96, p 0.16, RMSEA 0.015,

    NNFI 1.00, SRMR 0.003) and the longitudinal sample (2(1) 0.92, p 0.34,

    RMSEA 0.000, NNFI 1.00, SRMR 0.004). In the baseline sample, the factor

    loadings ranged between 0.52 and 0.78 (longitudinal sample: 0.430.77) resulting in a

    reliability of 0.74 (longitudinal sample: 0.67) according to Raykov (2004).

    Physical health

    Respondents reported whether they had any of the 11 health problems in question (e.g.

    cardiovascular diseases, circulatory problems, back or joint diseases, diabetes, gastro-

    intestinal diseases, respiratory diseases). For each person we counted a sum score based on

    the absolute number of reported illnesses. We recoded this score subsequently so that a

    high score means a low morbidity and scores near to zero mean that a person has a high

    number of coexistent diseases (multimorbidity). The sum score was chosen due to the lack

    of medical checkups and to various advantages compared to single self-reported illnesses.

    Katz and colleagues (Katz, Chang, Sangha, Fossel, & Bates, 1996) have shown that the

    best accordance between medical reports and self-reports are achieved when summary

    scores are used. Moreover, global scores of self-reported illnesses are considered as better

    proxies for (at least some) functional disability compared to single illnesses (Neugarten,

    1996). Due to the large age range of the sample (4085 years) we did not use an indicator

    that directly assesses functional disability because the vast majority of persons reported no

    general functional limitation.

    Hope

    The Dispositional Hope Scale (8 items; Snyder et al., 1991) was used to assess functionaloptimism and served as a control variable in the following analyses. According to Snyder

    and colleagues, hope is fuelled by the expectation of successful outcomes (agency facet;

    e.g. I energetically pursue my goals) and self-efficacy (pathways facet; e.g. I can think of

    many ways to get out of a jam). The items could be answered on a 4-point scale ranging

    from definitely false to definitively true. A latent measurement model was set up in

    order to compute the latent variable scores (baseline: 2 (2) 11.83, p 0.003,

    RMSEA 0.035, NNFI 1.00, SRMR 0.006; longitudinal sample: 2 (2) 0.91,

    p 0.63, RMSEA 0.000, NNFI 1.00, SRMR 0.003). Scale reliability was computed

    according to Raykov (2004) and was found to be satisfactory in the baseline ( 0.87),

    and longitudinal sample (

    0.86). The Hope scale was correlated with PVA to a mediumextent (r 0.53 in the baseline sample andr 0.46 in the longitudinal sample; cf. Table 2),

    which makes it a strong control variable.

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    Table2

    .Correlationsamongtheindicatorsforthebaselinesample(N

    4034)andlongitudinalsample(N

    1286).

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    1

    PV

    A

    0.16**

    0.4

    6**

    0.0

    5

    0.0

    7*

    0.1

    2**

    0.1

    5**

    0.1

    7**

    0.0

    9**

    0.2

    5**

    0

    .10**

    0.0

    3

    2

    Physicalhealth

    0.2

    5**

    0.1

    5**

    0.0

    0

    0.0

    2

    0.0

    7**

    0.1

    8**

    0.1

    1**

    0.1

    3**

    0.3

    8**

    0

    .10**

    0.0

    5

    3

    Ho

    pe

    0.5

    3**

    0.16**

    0.0

    6*

    0.0

    1

    0.0

    7**

    0.0

    1

    0.1

    0**

    0.0

    2

    0.0

    1

    0

    .00

    0.0

    3

    4

    Gender

    0.0

    2

    0.00

    0.0

    7**

    0.0

    3

    0.1

    8**

    0.0

    3

    0.0

    5

    0.0

    0

    0.0

    5

    0

    .06*

    0.0

    8**

    5

    Pla

    ceofresidence

    0.0

    6**

    0.04**

    0.0

    4*

    0.0

    1

    0.0

    4

    0.0

    2

    0.2

    7**

    0.0

    4

    0.0

    6*

    0

    .22**

    0.0

    8**

    6

    Partner

    0.1

    7**

    0.13**

    0.1

    2**

    0.2

    2**

    0.0

    4**

    0.0

    5

    0.0

    5

    0.0

    6*

    0.2

    0**

    0

    .05

    0.0

    8**

    7

    Education

    0.1

    9**

    0.17**

    0.0

    7**

    0.0

    6**

    0.0

    1

    0.0

    7**

    0.3

    5**

    0.5

    1**

    0.2

    4**

    0

    .15**

    0.0

    8**

    8

    Inc

    ome

    0.1

    8**

    0.12**

    0.1

    6**

    0.0

    6**

    0.2

    1**

    0.0

    9**

    0.3

    4**

    0.3

    5**

    0.1

    0**

    0

    .17**

    0.0

    4

    9

    Pre

    stige

    0.1

    8**

    0.13**

    0.1

    1**

    0.0

    0

    0.0

    1

    0.1

    1**

    0.5

    1**

    0.3

    5**

    0.0

    9**

    0

    .17**

    0.0

    2

    10

    Age

    0.3

    7**

    0.41**

    0.0

    8**

    0.0

    1

    0.0

    3

    0.2

    8**

    0.2

    5**

    0.1

    3**

    0.1

    3**

    0

    .15**

    0.2

    2**

    11

    Sports

    0.2

    0**

    0.13**

    0.1

    0**

    0.0

    1

    0.1

    4**

    0.1

    1**

    0.2

    2**

    0.2

    0**

    0.2

    4**

    0.2

    2**

    0.1

    2**

    12

    Wa

    lking

    0.0

    3

    0.03*

    0.0

    7**

    0.0

    2

    0.0

    5**

    0.0

    4*

    0.0

    3*

    0.0

    1

    0.0

    2

    0.1

    6**

    0

    .10**

    Notes:Valuesforthebaselinesamplea

    rebelowthediagonal;valuesfo

    rthelongitudinalsampleareabovethediagonal.

    PVA

    positiveviewonaging.

    *p50.05

    ;**p50.0

    1.

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    Socio-demographic characteristics (SDC)

    Besides the Hope scale, socio-demographic indicators were also considered as control

    variables to allow for the above mentioned impact of SDC on physical exercise. These are

    variables on gender, living arrangement (with or without partner), place of residence

    (Eastern or Western Germany), and level of education (1

    low education, at most 9 yearsschool education, 2medium education, secondary school, 3high education, qualifying

    for university admission). Additionally, we considered the equivalent household income

    (a scale of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, OECD, on net

    household income, weighted by the number of people sharing the household, cf. Piachaud,

    1992) and a measure of occupational prestige (Treiman, 1977) that ranges from 18.1 (e.g.

    sub workers) to 78.9 (e.g. physicians).

    Age

    Finally, we also included chronological age (in years) as control variable to consideradditionally the close relation between physical exercise and age.

    Data analysis

    Pearson product moment correlations were used to examine the interrelationship between

    the study variables (Table 2). Descriptive data analysis and data screening revealed

    significant skewness for physical activity of older adults; to exemplify, 63.2% of

    participants aged 65 to 85 reported never doing sports while 39.3% of this age group

    reported walking daily in the baseline sample. We, therefore, transformed both variables

    for sports and walking logarithmically (loge transformation) which yielded a moresatisfactory distribution. Single missing values of the longitudinal as well as the baseline

    sample were supplemented by data imputation with expectation maximization method,

    which offers the advantage that there will be no systematic losses of participants who

    missed single items (Dempster, Laird, & Rubin, 1977).

    We analysed the data with LISREL 8.5 (Jo reskog & So rbom, 1996) as our computer

    programme; maximum likelihood was used as estimation method. First, we computed latent

    variable scores and scale reliabilities reported above with structural equation modelling

    (SEM). This approach offers the possibility of accounting for measurement errors in the

    manifest indicators (observed measures) and testing the assumed measurement model

    empirically. Subsequently, we computed path models using the latent variable scores topredict physical exercise (i.e. walking or sports) both without and with adjustment for the

    control variables health, hope, socio-demographic characteristics (gender, living arrange-

    ment, place of residence, level of education, income, prestige) and, age. The longitudinal

    analyses, with physical exercise at Time 2 as dependent variable, were additionally adjusted

    for physical exercise at Time 1. We preferred path analyses using latent variable scores to

    SEM because of the known theoretical and practical limitations of SEM with non-linear or

    interaction effects (Bollen, 1989). In particular, significance tests and model fit statistics are

    considered inappropriate for models involving interaction terms (Hu, Bentler, & Kano,

    1992). Simulation studies show that this problem mainly occurs when the number of

    manifest indicators is four or less (Jaccard & Wan, 1995), as was the case in the presentstudy. For the path models, the goodness of fit statistics are not described because the fit is

    perfect.

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    Results

    Cross-sectional analyses

    The cross-sectional analyses investigated the question of whether a PVA is associated with

    more regular physical exercise (Hypothesis 1). The results are summarised in Table 3. In

    line with the hypotheses, the models on the sporting activity of middle-aged and olderadults showed that a PVA significantly predicted the frequency of doing sports both for

    middle-aged (MA 0.14) and older adults (OA 0.20, ps50.001). These findings

    remained significant after adjusting the control variables health, hope, six socio-

    demographic variables and age (MA 0.08; OA 0.12; ps50.01). Hence, people with a

    more PVA do sports more frequently than those with a less PVA. We additionally

    computed a multi-group model to analyse whether PVA differs in its impact on

    sporting activity between middle-aged and older adults; this turned out not to be the case

    (2 (1) 0.40,p 0.54).

    Next, we computed the same path model but predicted walking instead of sporting

    activity. As expected, for middle-aged adults, PVA was only slightly associated with

    more frequent walking (MA 0.04, p50.05; cf. Table 3), and became non-significant

    after adjusting the analysis for all control variables (MA 0.03, p 0.17). By contrast,

    PVA was associated with more frequent walking in older adults (OA 0.15, p50.001;

    cf. Table 3), even after the adjustment of all control variables (OA 0.11, p50.01),

    which was also in line with the hypothesis. Again, we additionally computed a multi-

    group model to analyse whether both age groups differ significantly from each other.

    In fact, PVA showed a significantly higher impact on walking for older adults than for

    middle-aged adults (2 (1) 3.53, p50.05, one-tailed). Together, these results

    corroborated our first hypothesis that PVA would be significantly related to sporting

    activity among middle-aged adults as well as to doing sports and walking among older

    adults.

    Table 3. Prediction of sports and walking at time 1 by PVA in unadjusted models and covariate-adjusted models.a

    Predictors at baseline

    Sports Walking

    Middle-agedadults

    Olderadults

    Middle-agedadults

    Olderadults

    R

    2

    R

    2

    R

    2

    R

    2

    Model 1: Unadjusted 0.02*** 0.04*** 0.00* 0.02***Positive view on ageing 0.14*** 0.20*** 0.04* 0.15***

    Model 2: Health 0.02** 0.04 0.00 0.03*Positive view on ageing 0.13*** 0.20*** 0.04* 0.15***

    Model 3: Hope 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.03Positive view on ageing 0.15*** 0.18*** 0.03 0.12***

    Model 4: SES 0.11*** 0.10*** 0.01*** 0.03*Positive view on ageing 0.09*** 0.14*** 0.02 0.11***

    Model 5: Age 0.12*** 0.11** 0.02*** 0.03Positive view on ageing 0.08** 0.12** 0.03 0.11**

    Note: aBaseline sample, N 4034; *p50.05; **p50.01; ***p50.001.

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    Longitudinal analyses

    By means of the longitudinal sample we subsequently examined whether PVA can predict

    an increase in physical exercise over time (Hypothesis 2). For this, we performed the samepath models as before, except that we used physical exercise at T2 as dependent variable

    while controlling for physical exercise at T1. The temporal stability for doing sports for

    middle-aged adults and walking for older adults was of medium extent (rsports T1T2 0.44,

    rwalking T1T2 0.34; ps50.001). Contrary to our hypothesis, PVA could not predict a

    lower decrease in sporting activity either for middle-aged adults (MA 0.05,p 0.07) or

    for older adults (OA 0.08, p 0.12; cf. Table 4); the additional multi-group model did

    not show significant differences in this association between the age groups (2 (1) 0.07,

    p 0.79).

    As expected and in line with the findings for the cross-sectional model, PVA could

    predict a lower decrease in walking for older adults (OA 0.11,p50.05; adjusted for allcontrol variables: OA 0.19, p50.01), but not for middle-aged adults (MA 0.00,

    p 0.92). Here, the age groups differed significantly in the multi-group model

    (2 (1) 6.85,p50.01).

    Moderator analyses

    Finally we explored whether health serves as a moderator in the relation between PVA and

    physical activity, i.e. sporting activity in middle-aged adults as well as sporting activity and

    walking in older adults (Hypothesis 3). For this, we computed the same path models as

    before, but this time we added the PVAhealth interaction in each model.We first added this interaction term in the cross-sectional analyses. In contrast to

    our expectations, the interaction term was not significant for doing sports, either for

    Table 4. Prediction of sports and walking at time 2 by PVA in unadjusted models and covariate-adjusted models.a

    Predictors at baseline

    Sports Walking

    Middle-agedadults

    Olderadults

    Middle-agedadults

    Olderadults

    R2

    R2

    R2

    R2

    Model 1: Adjusted for physical 0.20*** 0.19*** 0.16*** 0.11***Activity T1 (sports/walking)

    Positive view on ageing0.05 0.08 0.00 0.11*

    Model 2: Health 0.21** 0.19 0.16 0.15***Positive view on ageing 0.04 0.08 0.05 0.13*

    Model 3: Hope 0.21 0.18 0.16 0.16**Positive view on ageing 0.05 0.08 0.01 0.20***

    Model 4: SES 0.22** 0.21* 0.16 0.17Positive view on ageing 0.02 0.05 0.00 0.20**

    Model 5: Age 0.22 0.26*** 0.17** 0.17Positive view on ageing 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.19**

    Note: aLongitudinal sample, N 1286; *p50.05; **p50.01; ***p50.001.

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    middle-aged (MA0.10, p 0.33) or for older adults (OA 0.07, p 0.44). As

    expected, the PVAhealth interaction turned out to be significant for the frequency of

    walking for older adults (OA0.19, p50.05; adjusted for all control variables:

    OA0.20,p50.05). The direction of this interaction effect was, however, unexpected.

    Figure 1 reveals that older people with a more PVA are more likely to walk regularly when

    they are in worse health. By contrast, people with a less PVA not only tend to be less active

    in general, but also walk most rarely when they additionally have worse health.Second, we additionally tested the interaction term of PVA health in the

    longitudinal model. Following our hypothesis, we again expected a significant

    interaction for decreases in sporting activity for both middle-aged and older adults

    and in walking for older adults. As expected, the interaction effect was significant for

    decreases in sporting activity for middle-aged adults (MA 0.31, p50.05; adjusted for

    all control variables: MA 0.31, p50.05); for older adults, the PVAhealth

    interaction could not predict a lower decrease in sporting activities which is probably

    due to the overall high sporting inactivity of older adults (OA 0.18, p 0.31). The

    significant interaction for middle-aged adults is illustrated in Figure 2. The figure

    reveals that those people who have good health and additionally high PVA do not onlyhave a lower decrease in sporting activity but even an increase over time. In contrast,

    middle-aged adults with good health but a less positive view on ageing, maintain their

    low level of physical exercise. Individuals with bad health reduce their physical activity,

    regardless of their view on ageing.

    Discussion

    The present study provides evidence that a PVA may in fact contribute to a higher level of

    physical exercise. This finding is in line with a previous study on general health behaviour

    (Levy & Myers, 2004). To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to examine theimportance of PVA for physical exercise. Moreover, the study considered not only older

    adults but middle-aged adults as well. Thus we could analyse whether PVA is already

    Low positiveView on aging

    High positive1.2

    1.3

    1.4

    1.5

    1.6

    Predictedvaluewa

    lkingT1(log)

    Bad health

    Good health

    Older adults (65 85 years)

    Figure 1. Cross-sectional interaction effect of a PVAhealth on walking in older adults (database:baseline sample). Note: The figure depicts the values for the frequency of walking at T1 as predicted

    by a PVA, health and the interaction between a PVA and health. Both a positive view on ageing (lowvs. high) and health (good vs. bad) were separated by median split for reasons of visual clarity.

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    important for physical exercise at the beginning of a time in which people become more

    aware of their own ageing (Whitbourne, 2001), which was in fact the case.

    The complementary analyses on doing sports and walking suggest that PVA may

    counteract motivational barriers against physical exercise (Schutzer & Graves, 2004). PVA

    was not related to walking in middle-aged adults. This was in line with the hypothesis that

    the motivational barrier against walking would be rather low in middle adulthood because

    functional disabilities which impede walking are not very common at this age. However,

    middle-aged adults with high PVA not only did sports more frequently (cross-sectional

    level), they even increased their sporting activity provided that they were healthy enough

    to do so (longitudinal level). Thus, a PVA emerged as important for physical activities with

    higher energy expenditure; these are highly recommended in midlife to promote weight

    regulation and cardiovascular health. While middle-aged adults with high PVA and good

    health increased their sporting activity over time, those with worse health reduced this

    activity independent of their view on ageing (cf. Figure 2). This finding could reflect the

    uncertainty of individuals with health problems about whether (and how much) physicalactivity is still beneficial in the light of their diseases.

    Risk factors such as a sedentary lifestyle are often difficult to change and changes are

    moderate even in patients who have enrolled in psychoeducational programmes

    (e.g. Dusseldorp, van Elderen, Maes, Meilman, & Kraaij, 1999). In contrast to healthy

    individuals who decide to change their behaviour, patients are told to change their

    sedentary lifestyle but may not be convinced of the need (Johnston, 1999). The present

    findings suggest that attitudes towards health behaviour change differ between individuals

    with a more or less positive view on ageing. Individuals with a more PVA not only have

    higher functional optimism (cf. Table 2), they additionally have further plans and goals for

    the future. These might make it worth engaging in health behaviour because the pursuit ofgoals (e.g. travelling, hobbies, caring for grandchildren) requires sufficiently good health.

    This is in line with studies on the importance of hoped-for selves on health behaviour

    Time 1 Time 20.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1.0

    1.1

    SportT1(log),predicted

    valuesportT2(log)

    Bad health, low PVA

    Bad health, high PVA

    Good health, lowPVA

    Good health, highPVA

    Middle-aged adults (40 64 years)

    Figure 2. Longitudinal interaction effect of a PVAhealth on changes of sporting activity inmiddle-aged adults (database: longitudinal sample). Note: The figure depicts the values for thefrequency of doing sports at T2 as predicted by overall mean frequency of sporting activity at T1,a PVA, health and the interaction between a PVA and health. Both a PVA (low vs. high) and health(good vs. bad) were separated by median split for reasons of visual clarity.

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    (e.g. Hooker & Kaus, 1992; Oullette, Hessling, Gibbons, Reis-Bergan, & Gerrard, 2005).

    In the light of their impact on motivation towards health behaviour change, conceptions

    and misconceptions about ageing should be considered in the context of rehabilitation and

    intervention programmes.

    Also in line with our hypotheses was the finding that for older adults, PVA was

    associated with higher physical activity, that is, doing sports and walking (cross-sectional

    level). It was a remarkable result that even those older people with worse health walked

    just as regularly as those with good health, provided that they had a PVA (cf. Figure 1).

    This finding exceeded our expectations and emphasises the importance of a positive view

    on ageing. Regular walking is often still recommended in spite of health problems,

    ailments or frailty. This means, it is normally a more adaptive behaviour than a sedentary

    lifestyle, even for ill or frail older people (Landi et al., 2004; WHO, 1997). Moreover, PVA

    could predict an increase in the frequency of walking (longitudinal level). Hence, for older

    adults, PVA was particularly associated with more regular walking. Moderate activities

    such as walking are often considered to have top priority for older adults because they

    promote functional ability and are even possible in cases of chronic disease and disabilities(DiPietro, 2001). Taken together, the findings for middle-aged and older adults in the

    present study support the assumption that PVA contributes to physical exercise in later

    adulthood.

    The findings can be incorporated in the larger theoretical context of self-regulation

    which places special emphasis on the importance of optimism and goal setting (e.g. De

    Ridder & De Wit, 2006). Studies on optimism have repeatedly shown that people with a

    more favourable expectation about the future have more beneficial health behaviour, and

    are able to adapt better to negative conditions (e.g. Aspinwall, Richter, & Hoffman, 2001;

    Taylor, Kemeny, Reed, Bower, & Gruenewald, 2000). However, favourable beliefs about

    the future do not necessarily imply that people have gain-related goals. An optimistic viewof the future may also mean that a person is confident of maintaining his or her skills or

    social relationships, or that a person is confident of successfully coping with losses.

    Moreover, the present study did not focus on health goals but rather on the expectation

    that ageing is accompanied by further development.

    Thus, the finding is striking that such a PVA could predict physical exercise even if the

    analyses were controlled for hope, that is, for functional optimism. This reveals that a

    PVA cannot be equated with optimism and emphasises that gain-related goals continue to

    be important up to old age. We have to keep in mind that the striving for personal

    development mainly characterises the goal orientation of younger adults, while already

    from middle adulthood there is a motivational shift toward conservation and loss-prevention (Heckhausen, 1997). Substantial reasons for this shift are the age-related

    increase in physical and social losses and the shorter future time perspective (Carstensen,

    Issacowitz, & Charles, 1999), but also the fact that older adults are more likely to have

    already achieved their personal goals than younger adults. Hence the finding that a PVA

    can motivate older people to physical exercise suggests that it remains important up to old

    age to see the gains in life regardless of the age-related shift from striving for gains to

    balancing losses.

    LimitationsWe would like to point to some limitations concerning the generalisation of the present

    study. First, all data used here are based on self-reports and thus might be biased. It would

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    be preferable to have additional data about physical exercise, although there is evidence

    for the validity of self-reports on physical activity (Miller, Freedson, & Kline, 1994).

    Second, sporting activity and walking were measured with single-item questions only.

    Several studies point to a sufficient validity of single-item measures of physical activity

    (e.g. Schechtman, Bazlai, Rost, & Fisher, 1991); however, the reliability of these measures

    cannot be estimated and thus is questionable. Moreover, the present study used only ashort-term recall for the frequency of physical exercise. However, it has been shown that

    the regularity of physical exercise is more important (Pate et al., 1995) and easier to

    promote (Schwarzer, 2004) than the intensity. Finally, it would have been desirable to have

    additional medical data; but self-reported health indicators turned out to conform to a

    great extent with the health status evaluated by a physician (Bush, Miller, Golden & Hale,

    1989; Kehoe, Wu, Leske, & Chylack, 1994).

    A second limitation refers to the sample attrition of the longitudinal sample. Compared

    to the original population-based survey, the longitudinal sample was selected in favour of

    healthier and better-educated people who exercised more often (cf. Method section). Even

    though we cannot rule out the possibility that the longitudinal findings are in part due tothe biased sample, two findings suggest that the findings can be generalised. First, the

    present study has shown converging findings for the original survey sample and the

    longitudinal sample which consistently point to the impact of a PVA on physical exercise

    in later adulthood. Second, several ageing studies have examined the question of how

    much the findings differ between a selected longitudinal sample and the corresponding

    original baseline sample with estimated follow-up data for those people who dropped out

    (Kempen & van Sonderen, 2002; Wurm, et al., 2007). These studies also report converging

    findings between the different samples, and suggest that attrition not always seems a

    serious problem when associations between variables (and not descriptive outcomes) are in

    the focus.Finally, the variance explained in the regression models at baseline and follow-up was

    relatively small. This could qualify the importance of a PVA for physical activity. First of

    all, however, one should consider the 6-year period between baseline and follow-up. Any

    changes in physical activity predicted by a PVA are, therefore, probably sustainable so

    that cumulative benefits are very likely. Most importantly, we should bear in mind that the

    small effects in physical activity as predicted by a PVA might be sufficient to cause a

    substantial improvement in physical health. Numerous studies demonstrate the benefits of

    even small increases in physical activity for health and longevity (Myers, et al., 2002; Pate

    et al., 1995). Based on recent studies, Warburton, Nicol and Bredin (2006, p. 801) therefore

    conclude that . . . an increase in energy expenditure from physical activity of 1000 kcal

    (4200 kJ) or an increase in physical fitness of 1 MET (metabolic equivalent) per week was

    associated with a mortality benefit of about 20%. The effect of physical activity is graded,

    that is, even small improvements in physical activity are associated with a significant risk

    reduction. For example, an intervention study for patients with diabetes showed that

    patients who walked at least 2 h a week had a 39% lower mortality rate compared with

    inactive individuals (Gregg, Gerzoff, Caspersen, Williamson, & Narayan, 2003). These

    findings show that even small effects can result in important health benefits.

    Conclusions and future directions

    Besides these limitations, further aspects should be addressed in future studies.One issue concerns the number of and the time interval between follow-up surveys.

    While intervention studies are often limited to a short follow-up period of less than half a

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    year, the present study referred to a time interval of 6 years. The fact that a PVA predicted

    physical exercise over this long time interval is remarkable. But in future studies it would

    be desirable to have more information about physical activity at more regular intervals.

    This would also allow testing physical exercise as mediator between PVA and health.

    Concerning the contribution of a PVA on health behaviour, future studies should also

    extend their focus additionally to other health behaviour such as the use of preventive

    medical checkups. The enhancement of health by physical exercise implies a value placed

    on prospective gains, while illness-detection implies a value placed in avoiding losses

    (Bailis, Fleming, & Segall, 2005). It has been shown that subjective risk factors cannot

    predict physical exercise (Schwarzer, 2004). But for medical checkups and other health

    behaviour aimed at averting losses, perceiving potential risks could be more beneficial than

    having a positive view on ageing; an optimistically biased risk perception could prevent

    this kind of health behaviour, which is also termed as defensive optimism (Schwarzer,

    1994). The question of whether a PVA also promotes other aspects of a healthy lifestyle

    should therefore be examined in future studies. But at least with regard to physical exercise

    interventions and related public health programmes, it seems to be worthwhile to considera PVA as an additional motivator. In this context we have to keep in mind that such a

    positive view cannot be taken for granted, not only because of the age-related losses but

    also due to prevailing ageism and age stereotypes.

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