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Denmark’s Green Future
Professor Poul Erik Morthorst Systems Analysis Division
Source: The Emissions GAP Report 2015
Global Greenhouse gas missions COP21The Emissions GAP Report 2015EU 80-95% reduction by 2050
23/6-2016
146 countries reported to COP21
Source: The Emissions GAP Report 2015
23/6-2016
Last news….
23/6-2016
Kilde: DMI, 2016
Long term Vision
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“ We can both reduce Danish emissions of greenhouse gasses significantly, and make Denmark independent of fossil fuels. This will require a total conversion of the Danish energy system”
- Danish Commission on Climate Change Policy
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1990 '95 '00 '05 '10 '14Oil Natural gasCoal and coke Renewable energy etc.
Gross energy consumption by fuelPJ
Adjusted
What do we need to do....
Source: Danish Energy Agency and Climate Commission
23/6-2016
Gross Energy Consumption 2050
Denmark has to be independent of fossil fuels by 2050
Oil36%
Natural gas18%
Coal19%
Waste2%
Renewable energy25%
Gross Energy Consumption 2013Gross Energy Consumption 2013
The Future Energy System
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Main Future Trends:
• An Energy System dominated by electricity
• Intermittent sources will have to play a large role
• Very large Wind Power Capacity • Solar??
• The Resource of Biomass is limited
• Radical change in trans-port system • Electric cars, hydrogen, bio-ethanol.....?
Foto: Elsam A/S
Wind Power
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Source: Danish Energy Agency
0,0%5,0%10,0%15,0%20,0%25,0%30,0%35,0%40,0%
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1990 '95 '00 '05 '10 '14Wind power offshore capacity, MWWind power onshore capacity, MWWind power's share of domestic electricity supply, %
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1 49 97 145 193 241 289 337 385 433 481 529 577 625 673 721
Hours in January '07
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n/P
ower
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ptio
n %
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Source: Energinet.dk
Thank you for your Attention
23/6-2016
Professor Poul Erik Morthorst The Technical University of
Denmark E-mail: [email protected]
