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The Future of M2M / IOT | M2M Forum CEE | Vienna| 9 June 2015
This a>ernoon we will share 4 perspecDves
Looking Ahead and Future Agenda
M2M Insights from 2010 for 2020
M2M Insights for the Future from Future Agenda 2.0
Areas where M2M TransformaDon is Needed
Looking Ahead and Future Agenda
Looking Forwards OrganisaDons increasingly want to idenDfy and understand
both the anDcipated and unexpected changes so that they can be bePer prepared for the future.
Future Agenda The Future Agenda is the world’s largest open foresight program that accesses mulDple views of the next decade from around the world so all can be bePer informed and sDmulate innovaDon.
FA 1.0 Top Insights for 2020 From the 2010 program, 50+ key insights on the next decade were shared widely via books and online and have been extensively used by many
organisaDons around the world. Several relate to the impact of M2M / IOT.
Ubiquitous Data Access By 2020, we will finally be connected everywhere -‐ everything that can benefit from a network connecDon will have one and
all will have the potenDal to access more informaDon.
All DigiAzed By 2020 all the world’s informaDon is digiDzed, storage is nearly free and the volume of data in the world is doubling monthly –
we can all instantly access the 21st century archive.
Dynamic Pricing Real-‐Dme data from pervasive smart meters, intelligent infrastructures
and ubiquitous tracking services create pla\orms for the dynamic pricing of resources, access and travel to manage demand.
Owning Your Digital Shadow Increasing consumer awareness of the value of their digital footprints drives the desire for greater ownership and control of personal data
-‐ balancing access with convenience and benefit.
PredicAve AnalyAcs The mining and (re)combinaDon of mulDple disparate data sources to
model and analyze current and historical facts enable more organisaDons to predict future acDons and bePer anDcipate emergent needs.
Intelligent buildings Smarter, bePer connected, self-‐monitoring homes and offices provide safer, more secure, low energy
buildings able to self-‐manage uDliDes
Drivers of Smart CiAes In the past few years we have seen clear progress on the Smart CiDes ambiDon – much of which has been focused
on collaboraDon with some key mulDnaDonals.
Intel | San Jose Intel’s collaboraDon with the city of San Jose is a demonstrator of
the capability of the ‘Internet of Things’ focused on improving air quality, noise polluDon and traffic flows via a more connected infrastructure.
Cisco | Songdo Songdo in Korea has embraced Cisco’s ‘Smart+Connected’ view of the city. Ubiquitous data sharing, automated buildings, high-‐speed networks and
pervasive interacDon are all part of the connected ideal.
Smarter CiAzens A big quesDon however concerns how much ciDes can be intelligent in
themselves vs. enabling ciDzens to be more informed, take bePer decisions and so parDcipate more in the development and execuDon of key strategies.
Future Agenda 2.0 in Numbers The first Future Agenda programme engaged many views in 25 countries.
Future Agenda 2.0 is doubling the face-‐to-‐face interacDon, engaging directly with 100,000 consumers and raising online sharing, debate and discussion.
Future Agenda 1.0 1 HOST (Vodafone) 16 TOPICS 25 COUNTRIES 50 WORKSHOPS 1500 ORGANISATIONS
Future Agenda 2.0 35 HOSTS 20 TOPICS 50 COUNTRIES 100 WORKSHOPS 2500 ORGANISATIONS
Everything Connected By 2025, people may demand mobile networks that allow them to broadcast live video feeds to thousands of other users in real-‐Dme … billions of machines
and objects will be linked by mobile broadband networks.
Intelligent Networks Self-‐aware, self-‐adapDng, intelligent networks will be able to understand
their user’s needs and automaDcally act to deliver the best, personalised experience at a substanDally reduced cost.
Knowing The Unknown By 2020 people and connected objects will generate 40 trillion gigabytes of
data that will have an impact on daily life in one way or another. This data will make known about us things that were previously unknown or unknowable.
Linkability of Open Data No data will be truly anonymous: Current open data pracDce assumes that
technology will be not be able to relink it to its source. This is not the case and so, by 2025, we will see different levels of de-‐idenDficaDon.
Global vs. Local Technology is by its very nature global and data does not respect naDonal
boundaries. Can naDon states conDnue to set the rules or will tension in global interoperability drive us to design for global standards but with localised use?
Value of Data There is a huge economic incenDve to generate and collect data from whatever sources it becomes available. As more data from more things
becomes available, we can expect to see a data ‘land grab’ by organisaDons.
Data Marketplaces Data is a currency, it has a value and a price, and therefore requires a market place. An ecosystem for trading data is emerging -‐ anything that is informaDon will be represented in new data marketplaces.
Energy Efficiency – The Invisible Fuel The cheapest and cleanest form of energy is the energy we don’t use. AdopDon of effecDve energy efficiency measures and careful management of energy demand will play a key role in creaDng a clean, low cost energy future.
Smarter ConsumpAon Much technology for energy efficiency is proven and implementable today. In the future governments will first focus on geong the basics of demand side right -‐ by reducing consumpDon before invesDng heavily in renewable energy.
Rise of the Micro-‐Actors We can see a blurring of energy consumers and producers – to ‘prosumers’
who do both. Hence a move to mulDple micro-‐actors working individually and collecDvely -‐ supported by new technological developments, including storage.
Technology Takeover There is a widespread fear that the rise of robots -‐ or more exactly, a
combinaDon of compuDng power, algorithms and roboDcs -‐ will destroy the labour market, even, possibly, the very idea of labour value.
Hollowing Out the Professions Technology is challenging the white-‐collar worker and automaDng both middle and high-‐end jobs. The future will see fewer accountants, lawyers and doctors and a hollowing out of the previously ‘safe’ professions.
Skill ConcentraAons The growth of the nomadic global elite ciDzenship accelerates the
concentraDon of the high-‐skill / high-‐reward opportuniDes within a select group of globally-‐connected ciDzens, who move ahead of the urban pack.
Privacy is a Public Issue The public’s percepDon of the threats to privacy, personal freedom and autonomy is growing. Privacy has already emerged beyond a niche, specialist concern to being a mainstream public issue.
Broader Cyber Terrorism Cyber aPacks move from the virtual world to the physical -‐ aPacking planes, uDliDes and industrial systems. Some see a corresponding slow down in the adopDon of sensors and wider use of private encrypDon technologies.
Personally Curated Data ‘Personally curated’ sources of data will have higher value simply due to the fact that they will represent the actual wishes and desires of an individual,
rather than the presumed wishes and desires based on derived data.
Public Data Economically connected data can play a significant role that will benefit not
only private commerce but also naDonal economies and their ciDzens. Analysis can provide the public sector with a new world of performance potenDal.
Other Areas That Can Gain From M2M TransformaAon
Inequality On The Agenda Inequality has become a concern not just for developing countries but also for those in the West: The majority believe the most pressing problem is inequality
of wealth as well as unequal access to health and digital connecDvity.
Smart CiAes vs. FloaAng CiAes Climate change poses a worrying challenge for ciDes. 50% of ciDes are dealing
with its effects, and nearly all are at risk. Over 90% of all urban areas are coastal, puong most major ciDes on the planet at risk of flooding.
Uninsured CiAes The ten most ‘at risk ciDes’ from climate change globally already have a combined populaDon of over 150m and are projected to have grown by a
further 50% by 2025 – Few, if any, will be insured.
Calgary – Flooding Liability Following the 2013 floods, the government in Calgary, Canada, gave many
homeowners a one-‐off payment with the opDon to either rebuild or relocate. No future state help would be available.
Reducing Food Waste Postharvest losses of plant foods can be substanDal in developing countries
and amount to 30-‐50% of producDon. In developed countries we throw away a similar proporDon. The combined loss would feed about 3 billion people.
Future Agenda 84 Brook Street London W1K 5EH +44 203 0088 141 futureagenda.org
The world’s leading open foresight program
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