The Future of The City-Region (Oxford Univ. 2013)

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The lecture presented at the Institute for Science, Innovation and Society at Oxford University, in June 2013, arguing the case for a 'clean, green, and smart' strategy of technological development, and a 'long and flat' strategy of physical development, for New Zealand's largest metropolitan area, Auckland.

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The Future of the City-Region:Clean, Green, Smart,

Long and Flat

Presentation to theInstitute for Science, Innovation and SocietyOxford University20 June 2013byDushko BogunovichAssoc Professor of Urban DesignDepts of Architecture and Landscape ArchitectureUnitec Institute of Technology, Auckland, New Zealanddushko@unitec.ac.nz

Unitec – main campus, Mt Albert, Auckland

• “has

“Has anyone seen any cities around here?”

city - region

city - regionculture - nature

• “The term city region has been in use since about 1950 by urbanists, economists and urban planners to mean a metropolitan area and hinterland…”

city-region

• The main proposition: that the ‘sustainable city’ paradigm is tired, and needs to be replaced with a new concept, one that acknowledges the advancing global environmental change (climate change+biodiversity decline), as wel as the ever larger spatial scale of the urban phenomenon >>>

>>> therefore: ‘resilient region’

• inside which, in many cases, is a ‘linear city’

Auckland: a city nested in spectacular landscape

Auckland – the city and the suburbs

Representations of cities often facus on the downtown or CBD.

The city as a ‘spectacle of verticality’

In reality, most of Auckland looks like this…..

… and like this.

The Auckland Plan (2011)

• The first task the newly amalgamated and elected council and mayor undertake…

Auckland amalgamation in 2010: A city becomes a region

The Auckland Plan

..… by pursuing the policy of urban containment, i.e. by ‘curbing the sprawl’. The “compact city” model was adopted: 70% - 30% split between in-city and out-of-city development (inside/outside RUBs)

…..

The main driver of the spatial strategy: containment of urban sprawl

Based on the rationale that ‘compact city’ is good because it:• enhances the social nature of the city;• stimulates the exchange of ideas > helps the knowledge economy;• reduces the transport distances > lowers the GHG emissions

The implementation of that plan – via ‘intensification’

MULs becomeRUBs

Two problems with ‘urban boundaries’ and ‘intensification’…

How do you contain a city in the 21st century?

How do you ensure intensification looks good?

70% - 30% split?(70% inside RUBs, 30% outside RUBs)

Unlikely!

More likely, the reverse: 30% - 70%

An Alternative Vision (2012)

• Accepting of the world-wide trend of simultaneous concentration of population at the national scale AND dispersion of the population at the regional scale…

UK: population concentration in SE England

London:deconcentration of population in all directions

Does comparing UK to NZ make sense?

The Big Banana

A combination of global trends and local circumstances is telling us that a different approach is necessary. Decentralisation and low density are driven by powerful forces (culture, technology) and therefore inevitable. It is too hard to contain these trends. And to some degree, they might be even desirable…There is a ‘logic’ in NZ’s northward population drift… climate, landscape, connectivity, economies of scale…

The ‘Banana theory’… (DB, 1995)

The ‘Little Banana’ …

The ‘Big Banana’

Auckland – the bigger picture: the city > the region > the super-region…

obvious linearityThe reason: the origins of the current metropolis are in the conurbation that

grew over some 100 years along a single traffic corridor..

The Auckland conurbation:from Manuaku toTakapuna, And beyond…

Drivers and shapers of future growth are strong… as the natural landscape both attracts and resists further urbanisation

The direction of growth is very clear….

…and the overall linearity very pronounced.

It is an expanding metropolis, but not really ‘sprawling’…. Auckland is growing in a linear fashion, in the shape of corridors, rather than ‘carpet sprawl’.

Urban sprawl of this type is extremely unlikely in Auckland !

Also – new, green technologies make it possible to reduce the suburbs’ heavy energy dependence and massive carbon footprint. Instead of being insatiable consumers of resources, the suburbs could become net producers. Self-sufficiency in food, water, sanitation, stormwater management, power, some fuel & fibre is a welcome prospect, but this is possible only when the intensity of development (‘density’) low.Compact city cannot be self-sufficient.

AN ALTERNATIVE TO A SINGLE COMPACT CITY:Polycentric development, with a range of densities, and with excellent connectivity between the nodes. Retaining a reasonable level of mobility, while building up resource self-sufficiency.

The peri-urban landscape of Munich

What should determine the extent (boundaries) of development?

Auckland:a city-region shaped by water and terrain

Auckland – City on the water

Water and linear growth: the coastal condition for amenity, and the linearity for efficiency.

AUCKLAND:

THE SUPER-EFFICIENT LIFESTYLE CAPITAL OF THE WORLD

A vision for Auckland

Concept& Reality

T

• The physical geography (‘landscape’) is one strong driver of the future form…

• The other is the continuing evolution of the technology of urban infrastructure (IS)…

• ‘clean’ IS • ‘green’ IS• ‘smart’ IS

• ‘clean’ IS – renewables, green-tech, eco-tech..• ‘green’ IS – ‘working nature’: ecolog. services• ‘smart’ IS – IT and CT (ICT): efficiencies

Green Infrastructure

Green Infrastructure: Chicago plan

World-leading cities now have green infrastructure plans

Urban farming

Smart Infrastructure

The ‘smart city’ component

enabling more intelligent decisions in the daily functioning of individuals, households and businesses

• Small device + big network = huge impact

Decentralisation: an all powerful force; could have a profound effect on the configurationof urban infrastructure...

s

‘academic satellites’ of London

Clean-techComes to Oxford

Clean Infrastructure

• Energy• Water• Waste

aspiration

reality

Zero Energy House built in Pt Chevalier, Auckland, 2012

NZ’s First ZEH

Pt Chev, July 2012

Urban form: long and flat

Urban infrastructure: clean, green and smart

Finally….

• Conclusion• Relevance• Repecussions

Conclusion • Auckland 2040 will be a linear city, with a 100 km long ‘infrastructure spine’ running

through its middle. On both sides of the spine, there will be suburbs, with town and suburban centres. The spine itself is like a necklace - a corridor of fast-transit and other high order infrastructure connects a dozen of city-hubs. On the spine’s flanks, both along the sea and the land side, are the suburbs, with various densities. They are endowed with all the local and natural amenities and supported by a mix of green and technical infrastructure, with varying degrees of independence/reticulation.

Relevance• The new urban sustainability paradigm sees horizontality as a strength, not a

weakness. It is about a regional approach, smarter use of low density areas, and hybrid infrastructure. In other words, about creating a symbiotic relationship between the city and its region; pursuing polycentric development with multiple densities across the entire region; and an integrated mix of green, blue and grey infrastructure.

Repercussion• Most of the global urban landscape in the 21st century will be suburban and peri-urban. However

this is not the parasitic suburbia of the 20th century, completely dependent on urban infrastructure. This is a productive, low-density landscape, consisting of partly autonomous properties, which are supported by a highly decentralized, ‘smart’, ‘clean’ and literally green infrastructure.

end