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Da li je promena od 1° velika? Zašto je temperatura porasla 1°? Da li smo znali da će porast poslednjih 100 godina biti 1°? Šta je budućnost posle promene od 1°?
Landscape of Change uses data about sea level rise, glacier volume decline, increasing global temperatures, and the increasing use of fossil fuels. These data lines compose a landscape shaped by the changing climate, a world in which we are now living. Jill Pelto http://www.jillpelto.com/landscape-of-change
(data: ECA&D)
Trend uzastopnih suvih
dana za sezonu
Jun-Jul-Avgust (1951-2014)
Trend godišnjeg indeksa
R95pTOT (1951-2014) [Top 5% dnevnih akumulacija]
Da li je promena od 1°C velika? Zašto je temperatura porasla 1°C? Da li smo znali da će porast poslednjih 100 godina biti 1°C? Šta je budućnost posle promene od 1°C?
Landscape of Change uses data about sea level rise, glacier volume decline, increasing global temperatures, and the increasing use of fossil fuels. These data lines compose a landscape shaped by the changing climate, a world in which we are now living. Jill Pelto http://www.jillpelto.com/landscape-of-change
Da li je promena od 1°C velika? Zašto je temperatura porasla 1°C? Da li smo znali da će porast poslednjih 100 godina biti 1°C? Šta je budućnost posle promene od 1°C?
Landscape of Change uses data about sea level rise, glacier volume decline, increasing global temperatures, and the increasing use of fossil fuels. These data lines compose a landscape shaped by the changing climate, a world in which we are now living. Jill Pelto http://www.jillpelto.com/landscape-of-change
Joseph Fourier ~1820
John Tyndall 1859
Svante Arrhenius 1896
Guy Callendar 1937
Syukuro Manabe 1966
James Hansen 1981
Od efekta staklene bašte do projekcija buduće klime
Da li je promena od 1°C velika? Zašto je temperatura porasla 1°C? Da li smo znali da će porast poslednjih 100 godina biti 1°C? Šta je budućnost posle promene od 1°C?
Landscape of Change uses data about sea level rise, glacier volume decline, increasing global temperatures, and the increasing use of fossil fuels. These data lines compose a landscape shaped by the changing climate, a world in which we are now living. Jill Pelto http://www.jillpelto.com/landscape-of-change
NMMB - model (8 km res.)
RCP8.5 scenario – R95p (top 5% precipitation) change
2041-2070 w.r.t. 1971-2000 2071-2100 w.r.t. 1971-2000
Nu
mb
er
of
days (
days/y
r)
To
tal accu
mu
lati
on
(%
)
(ORIENTGATE - RHMSS, Djurdjvic and Krzic, 2014)
Da li je promena od 1°C velika? Zašto je temperatura porasla 1°C? Da li smo znali da će porast poslednjih 100 godina biti 1°C? Šta je budućnost posle promene od 1°C?
Landscape of Change uses data about sea level rise, glacier volume decline, increasing global temperatures, and the increasing use of fossil fuels. These data lines compose a landscape shaped by the changing climate, a world in which we are now living. Jill Pelto http://www.jillpelto.com/landscape-of-change
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