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LFMLFM

25 11 20

••

–––

•••

2

3

•–

LFM MSM

–•

––

•– JMA NHM

2 km 5 km

6020 2 km

5021 8 km

–

20.2 km 21.8 km

( )9

( )39

(00, 03, 06, 09, 12, 15, 18, 21 UTC)

– (3 ) (4 )

2013 11 20

4

2013 11 20

LFM

• MSM 5km 2km

•• 1 8 31 8 3

• 9

••

LFM551x 801 x 60

5

LFM

• MSM 5km 2km

•• 1 241 24

• 9

••

LFM1581 x 1301 x 60

10 29

6

• MSM 5km 2km

5 8

2k2kmLF

10km

7

•

• MSM 150

8

(LFM) (MSM)

2km (1581 x 1301) 5km(817 x 661)

60 ( 20.2km) 50 ( 21.8km)

8 208 20

LA MA

(MSM) GSM)( ) )

1 24 9 1 8 39

Kain Fritsch

MSM LFM JMA NHMMSM LFM

9

(LA) (MA)

k ( ) k ( )5km (633 521) 15km(273 221)

50 ( 21.8km) 40 ( 22.1km)

30 5030 50

3 4

1MSMMSM

03UTC03UTC

0330UTC

5km5km 5km5km 5km5km LFMLFM 2km2km0330UTC

0000 0101 0202 03 UTC03 UTC•

4• 4MSM

10

LFM MSM

GNSSSYNOPSYNOPSYNOPSYNOPMETAR

SYNOPSYNOPSYNOP

•

•

11

12

•– LFM 10kmLFM 10km

13

2013 7 23 17JST 1

•–

2012 7 14 10JST 1

•–

15

2013 7 23 17JST 1

•–

MSM

16

2012 12 30 19JST 1

•––

MSM(5km) LFM(2km)MSM LFM

MSM(5km) LFM(2km)

17

•–

2km 5km

18

2kmLFM

•–

2010 6 8

19

•– LFMLFM

–

2010 6 8

20

2010 6 8MSM LFM

•–

5km15km

55km

21

•– SYNOPSYNOP

•

a b c

•

22

2013 6 7 15JST

•–

•••

• LFM

MSM

•MSM

23

2012 7 27 03UTC MSM LFM@

24

•– LFMLFM

–

1

FT=1LFM

25

LFM10km 1 mm/h

MSM• MSM

–MSM

– MSM

FT=1LFM

26

LFM10km 1 mm/h

MSM

• MSM

LFMLFMMSM

• LFM

MSM

27

2012 7 12 06JST 1

28

••

12JST 18JST 20JST

LFM

2012 7 612, 18, 20JST1

29

1

•– LFCLFC

CAPE

•– CIN LFC

CAPECAPE

•– CAPE

•–

2011)

30

LFM• LFM

––

•

vertical transport entrainmententrainmentdetrainment

–

–

initiation / trigger

•31

•

•––

••–– CAPECAPE

–

32

33

2013 7 2812 JST

1

•

•

LFM MSM

MSM

LFM MSM

34

2013 8 911 JST

11

•

•

LFMMSM

35

LFM FT=3LFM FT=2LFM FT=1 MSM FT=6

LFM FT=6LFM FT=5LFM FT=4 MSM FT=9

2013 10 1503 JST

•

03 JST1

•

LFM FT=9LFM FT=8LFM FT=7 MSM FT=12

MSM

36

LFM MSM

• LFM––

•– MSM

–

37

LFM

MSM LFM• MSM LFM––

– 1 24 MSM

•– MSM

– MSM

•–

–

3838

•–

•–

•–

•••

39