The Future of the Intenet How will _ I_ affect my life?

The Future of the Intenet How will “I” affect my life?

Imad M TarabayChairman & CEO

Fiberlink networksimad@fiberlinknetworks.net

Cisco Expo 2001

July 10th 2001Phoenicia Hotel Beirut / Lebanon

Objective of My Presentation

1. Bring awareness to the value of internet

2. Bring awareness to the impacts internet may have on our lives 5 years ahead

3. Where are we in Lebanon today?

Misleading quotes

"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."

Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.

Misleading quotes

"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."

Ken Olson, President, Chairman & Founder of Digital EquipmentCorp., 1977

Misleading quotes

“32 bits should be enough address space for Internet”

Vint Cerf, 1977

Misleading quotes

"640K ought to be enough for anybody."

Bill Gates, 1981

It is estimated that the Internet doubles in size every 11months and the World Wide Web doubles every 53 days.

Internet TodayFACTS

The Internet Today (November 1998)!

7 new users every second are added

Doubling in data transmission every 100 days

Doubling in data storage usage every 8 months

10,000 domain names are being registered daily

Over 50 million people use the internet every week

Statistics from IITF ReportThe emerging digital

economy * To get to market of 50,000,000 people participating:

- Radio took 38 years - TV took 13 years - Internet made it in 4 years (once opened to public)

Delivered to the President and US Public on April 15th 1999 by B. Daley, Sec. Of Commerce of the Information Infrastructure Task Force.

50 Million Users(Jul 1997)

407 Million Users (NUA Nov 2000)

Internet Global Statistics

22.5 Million Hosts

(Bellcore June 1997)

115 Million Hosts

(NW/TC Jan 2001)

Worldwide Internet UsersNov 2000

• CAN/US 167.12M 41%• Europe 113.14M 28%• Asia/Pac 104.88M 26%• Latin Am 16.45M 4%• Africa 3.11M

0.8%• Mid-East 2.4 M

0.6%---------------------------• Total - 407.1 M

CAN/US

Europe

Asia/Pac

Latin Am

Africa

Mid East

(Source www.nua.ie)(Source www.nua.ie)

Internet User Trends

0500

10001500200025003000350040004500

Year

Use

rs (

Mil

lion

s)

Source: Nua Internet Surveys + vgc projections

2005 & beyond

NGI

…based on the Internet explosion needs:

Boost Infrastructure

Larger bandwidth (thirsty applications)

Robust infrastructure (no last mile congestion. That moved to “server level”

IP to every appliance (but IPs are scarce

27% left –> IP v6)

“The big picture: Power of the mouse”

• Approximately 70 units are left = 27 %– Here one unit means 1/256 of the total IPv4

address space size, i.e. /8 (=equivalent size of Class A)

• Address Usage Rate (units per a year)

4.442.081.161.22000

??2001

2.671.290.580.81999

0.771998

TotalARIN(America)

APNIC(Asia/Pacific)

RIPE/NC(Europe)

IPv4 Address Usage Estimate

IP v6 a new standard of IP #ing

•Larger address space - IP v6 is 128 bit (6x1038 / sq. meter)

•“Plug & Play” Auto configuration: Can talk to IP v4 network (32 bit)•Simplify routing without resources, create multi-level heirarchies of address allocation.•QoS and CoS (Class of Service)•DEAD:BEEF::73:FEED:F00D•Pro-Multimedia & Multi-cast•Embedded Security

IPv6 - a small step for IP but a giant leap for Telcos

1 G 2 G 3 G 10 * 4 10 * 8 10 * 10 Professionals Innovators Everyone

Email, Ftp WWW Wireless, Streaming Media

9.6 k 56 k 1 + MGovernment Internet Public Internet Global Internet

Internet Generations

Can the Internet runQuality & Security in one go?

• Internet multicast “video”, telephony and “radio”

• Transport of Internet traffic on cable, direct broadcast satellite, radio and broadcast TV

• Real-time quality of service support, VoIP

• Mutual Reinforcement among media (print, TV, radio, web, email)

Internet-enabled DevicesIn need of IP Addresses, at least!

Information appliances1997 -- 3 M, 1998 -- 6 M, 2002 -- 56 M (IDC)2006 – 490 M (IDC)

• WebTV, Palm-Pilot, Nokia 9000,Sony, Nintendo, Sega games

• Wearable computers (Hardwear?, Underware?)

What are we mostly using the internet for today? E-mail

www

Chatting

E-commerce

video streaming (non-interactive)

Audio streaming

What else?

What will we use the internet for in 2005?

GEO-INDEPENDENCE

• If you own a businesstake your office worldwide – mobile officealways connected when you wantattend your board meeting while in Hawaii

• If you are employedwork/live in Lebanon (close to parents) while employed in

EU or USASOHO concept revived

• If you are a professionali-learningi-recruitment e-medicine

Imagine all this w/ net speech recognition

Imagine !• If you own a fast food / delivery restaurant

you can broadcast your instant offer to refri’s,… increase sales, lower loss of food

• If you as consumer want to eat or cookget the recipe onlinespeak (voice & video) to friend through refri to discuss cooking tipsorder your meal online w/ scheduled delivery…listen to music or watch i-TV while cooking and talking on IP-Phone,

…teach a class how to cook Thanksgiving Turkey!

• If you as refrigerator vendorperform regular maintenance onlinesell applications (ads, recipe, value added w/ FF chains)…

• Home weather internet appliance

Source: Cadence, 1998

Imagine !• Define geographical area authorized to travel – define

speed – finger print security – individualization of car services

• If ur car breaks communicates w/ closest AAA to troll it (GPS) contacts parents contacts preferred nearby mechanic advising of the problem

(sends diagnostics, checks stock for car parts, reserves them or orders from factory)…

• Or your parents are constantly aware of the whereabouts of their children, driving behavior, etc…

• If your fleet constantly communicates with base station sending & receiving status updates, pictures…

Looking for Killer Apps?

Any Time, Any Where

Vision: World at your fingertips

ADSL, Cable TV,... Service

Gateway

How will that affect ur life?

From the consumer stand point?»Ease of daily activities (all is handy, reachable, accessible, programmable & smart)»More cost savings (promotions)»ENJOY LIFE !

From the business stand point?»New services & applications»Targeted sales / market segmentation

“complexity at ease”

2050 & beyond

Interplanetary Internet:“InterPlaNet”

Planetary internets Interplanetary Gateways (out of ecliptic

design…) Interplanetary Channel Protocol

- IP encapsulated in CCSDS - .earth? .mars? IPv6?

Functional Layers of ProtocolProject is part of Mars mission plans

www.isoc.org/internet

www.gip.org (global internet project) (global internet project)

www.ipnsig.org (Interplanetary Internet) (Interplanetary Internet)

Fiberlink Networks

do not get bored

Fiberlink History

Established 1998 1st operation in April 1999 as LYNX Internet December 1999 sold to PSINet, forming

regional ISP Total focus on Corporate Applications October 2000 founders exercise option to

buy back forming Fiberlink Networks Since October 2000 till date, customer

increase 110%, revenue increase 140% March 2001 Cisco Powered Network – 1st ISP

in Region

Complete IT Solutions for Businesses

Internet Access

Dedicated Access

Global Dial-upAccess

DSL

Wireless Solutions

e-Commerce

Point-of-Sale Services

Gateway Solutions

Web Hosting

Shared Hosting

Managed Services

Collocation

ManagedApplications

Advanced Products

Virtual ISP

Security Solutions

Video Streaming

VPN

Telephony (not in Lebanon!)

Fiberlink Selected CustomersIT & EducationalNew Media & Tech & Telecom

Financial Institutions & Services

Other Sectors

Competitive Advantage:

Corporate Focused ISP

7 x 24 x 365 customer care!

Fiber optic

Network Local & Global Hosting Center

BroadbandManaged Applications

/Hosting

e-Business Solutions

Multimedia streaming services

Conclusion or Reflection?! Are we as Lebanese playing any role in this

revolution? Why not? Where is the support we are supposed to get from

Government? Will we ever work in a deregulated market? Will we ever reach world IT standards? Will we ever stop exporting talents and start

importing and attracting foreign talent?

ISPs are best positioned,…but!

Questions

http://www.fiberlinknetworks.net