Kynning um skuldaleiðréttingu heimilanna

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Staðfest

14% 14,20% 13,40%9,30%

4,30%1,30%

27,40%

39,60%37%

33,80%

23,30%

19,30%

+ = milljarðar króna á fjórum árum

- kr.

5.000.000 kr.

10.000.000 kr.

15.000.000 kr.

20.000.000 kr.

25.000.000 kr.

30.000.000 kr.

35.000.000 kr.

1.1

.19

90

1.8

.19

90

1.3

.19

91

1.1

0.1

99

1

1.5

.19

92

1.1

2.1

99

2

1.7

.19

93

1.2

.19

94

1.9

.19

94

1.4

.19

95

1.1

1.1

99

5

1.6

.19

96

1.1

.19

97

1.8

.19

97

1.3

.19

98

1.1

0.1

99

8

1.5

.19

99

1.1

2.1

99

9

1.7

.20

00

1.2

.20

01

1.9

.20

01

1.4

.20

02

1.1

1.2

00

2

1.6

.20

03

1.1

.20

04

1.8

.20

04

1.3

.20

05

1.1

0.2

00

5

1.5

.20

06

1.1

2.2

00

6

1.7

.20

07

1.2

.20

08

1.9

.20

08

1.4

.20

09

1.1

1.2

00

9

1.6

.20

10

1.1

.20

11

1.8

.20

11

1.3

.20

12

1.1

0.2

01

2

Fyrir leiðréttingu

- kr.

5.000.000 kr.

10.000.000 kr.

15.000.000 kr.

20.000.000 kr.

25.000.000 kr.

30.000.000 kr.

35.000.000 kr.

1.1

.19

90

1.8

.19

90

1.3

.19

91

1.1

0.1

99

1

1.5

.19

92

1.1

2.1

99

2

1.7

.19

93

1.2

.19

94

1.9

.19

94

1.4

.19

95

1.1

1.1

99

5

1.6

.19

96

1.1

.19

97

1.8

.19

97

1.3

.19

98

1.1

0.1

99

8

1.5

.19

99

1.1

2.1

99

9

1.7

.20

00

1.2

.20

01

1.9

.20

01

1.4

.20

02

1.1

1.2

00

2

1.6

.20

03

1.1

.20

04

1.8

.20

04

1.3

.20

05

1.1

0.2

00

5

1.5

.20

06

1.1

2.2

00

6

1.7

.20

07

1.2

.20

08

1.9

.20

08

1.4

.20

09

1.1

1.2

00

9

1.6

.20

10

1.1

.20

11

1.8

.20

11

1.3

.20

12

1.1

0.2

01

2

Fyrir leiðréttingu Eftir leiðréttingu

- kr.

5.000.000 kr.

10.000.000 kr.

15.000.000 kr.

20.000.000 kr.

25.000.000 kr.

30.000.000 kr.

35.000.000 kr.

1.1

.19

90

1.8

.19

90

1.3

.19

91

1.1

0.1

99

1

1.5

.19

92

1.1

2.1

99

2

1.7

.19

93

1.2

.19

94

1.9

.19

94

1.4

.19

95

1.1

1.1

99

5

1.6

.19

96

1.1

.19

97

1.8

.19

97

1.3

.19

98

1.1

0.1

99

8

1.5

.19

99

1.1

2.1

99

9

1.7

.20

00

1.2

.20

01

1.9

.20

01

1.4

.20

02

1.1

1.2

00

2

1.6

.20

03

1.1

.20

04

1.8

.20

04

1.3

.20

05

1.1

0.2

00

5

1.5

.20

06

1.1

2.2

00

6

1.7

.20

07

1.2

.20

08

1.9

.20

08

1.4

.20

09

1.1

1.2

00

9

1.6

.20

10

1.1

.20

11

1.8

.20

11

1.3

.20

12

1.1

0.2

01

2

Fyrir leiðréttingu Eftir leiðréttingu Eftir 5 ár með skattaafslætti3

20.000

<10 10-15 25-30 35-40 40-45 45-50 15-20 20-25 30-35 50+

5.000

10.000

15.000

25.000

20.000

<10 10-15 25-30 35-40 40-45 45-50 15-20 20-25 30-35 50+

5.000

10.000

15.000

25.000

Höfuðstóll lána

Viðskiptabankar

Sparisjóðir

Fjárfestingabankar

Lífeyrissjóðir Íbúðalánasjóður Lánveitendur

110%

afskriftir afskrifta afskrifta

fasteignalána fasteignalána fasteignalána

Hlutfall af

heildarútlánum

til fasteigna-

veðlána

+

110%

-

Sku

ldir s

em

hlu

tfall a

f faste

ign

am

ati

+

110%

-

Sku

ldir s

em

hlu

tfall a

f faste

ign

am

ati

+

110%

-

Sku

ldir s

em

hlu

tfall a

f faste

ign

am

ati

+

110%

-

Sku

ldir s

em

hlu

tfall a

f faste

ign

am

ati

+

110%

-

Sku

ldir s

em

hlu

tfall a

f faste

ign

am

ati

0,4% 2,9%

0,1% 2,6%

0,0%

ATVINNULEYSI

4,4%

0,2%

KAUPMÁTTUR LAUNA

2,1%

0,1%

VERÐBÓLGA

3,7%

2,0%

NÝBYGGINGAR

22,6%

0,2%

VÖRU- & ÞJÓNUSTU-

JÖFNUÐUR

5,5%

0,1%

NAFNGENGI ISK

0,8%

0,3%.

TEKJUSKATTUR

0,3 ma. kr.

Hagvöxtur (%)

Viðskiptajöfnuður / VLF

Aukning einkaneyslu (% af VLF)

Gengi ISK

Ársverðbólga (%)

Atvinnuleysi (%)

Íbúðafjárfesting (% br.) Kaupmáttur launatekna Tekjuskattur

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

0,1%

• 2%

0,2%

0,1%

0,1%

0,2%

0,4% 2,9%

0,1% 2,6%

0,0%

ATVINNULEYSI

4,4%

0,2%

KAUPMÁTTUR LAUNA

2,1%

0,1%

VERÐBÓLGA

3,7%

2,0%

NÝBYGGINGAR

22,6%

0,2%

VÖRU- & ÞJÓNUSTU-

JÖFNUÐUR

5,5%

0,1%

NAFNGENGI ISK

0,8%

0,3%.

TEKJUSKATTUR

0,3 ma. kr.

.