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probability
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- : .
:.
. : ....:A,B,C A : *A .A
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- :
A
P(A)=
: 0P(A)1 P(A)+P(A*)=1
.1
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AA*
B
B*
AB
ABAB* A*B
A*B*
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-20,3050
-14 12
A B
ABAB* A*B
A*B*
:A ,A* B ,B*
12
18
6
14
BB*
A121830
A*14620
262450
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A BABAB* A*B
A*B*12
18
6
14
BB*
A121830
A*14620262450
A BABAB* A*B
A*B*0.24
0.36
0.12
0.28
BB*
A0.240.360.6
A*0.280.120.4
0.520.481
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A BABAB* A*B
A*B*0.24
0.36
0.12
0.28
BB*
A0.240.360.6
A*0.280.120.4
0.520.481
BB*
AP(AB)P(AB*)P(A)A*P(A*B)P(A*B*)P(A*)
P(B)P(B*)1
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A BABAB* A*B
A*B* BB*AP(AB)P(AB*)P(A)
A*P(A*B)P(A*B*)P(A*)P(B)P(B*)1
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)-P(AB)P(AB)=1-P(A*B*)P(B)=P(AB)+P(A*B)
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A BABAB* A*B
A*B*12
18
6
14
BB* A1218
A*146
2624
. /// ?
(P=(12/26
0.24
0.28
0.52
0.36
0.12
0.48
0.6
20
30
0.4
50
1
=0.24/0.52=0.46
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A BABAB* A*B
A*B*12
18
6
14
BB* A1218
A*146
2624
?
(P =(0.12/0.4
0.24
0.28
0.52
0.36
0.12
0.48
0.6
20
30
0.4
501
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A BABAB* A*B
A*B* BB*AP(AB)P(AB*)P(A)
A*P(A*B)P(A*B*)P(A*)P(B)P(B*)1
B)P(A
P(B)P(B)P(AB)=P(AB)P(AB)+P(A*B)=1
P(AB)= ... ........
...._________
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P(AB)=P(A)B)P(A
P(B)
P(AB)=P(A)P(B)
A,B A B
= P(A)
BA P(AB)=P(A)P(B)
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AA*
BBB* B*
P(A)P(A*)
P(BA)P(B*A)P(BA*)P(B*A*)
P(AB)P(AB*)P(A*B)P(A*B*)
.*A:A *B:B
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5 .0.4 . .
P0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.4
0.40.4
0.40.4
0.40.4
0.40.4
0.4 0.4
0.4 0.4
0.40.4
0.4 0.4
0.40.4
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.60.6
0.60.6
0.60.60.6
0.60.60.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.60.6
0.6
0.6:
100.03456=0.3456
P
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P
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.03456
0.4
0.40.4
0.40.4
0.40.4
0.40.4
0.4 0.4
0.4 0.4
0.40.4
0.4 0.4
0.40.4
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.60.6
0.60.6
0.60.60.6
0.60.60.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.60.6
0.6
0.6
: 100.03456=100.420.63
P
=0.4=2
=0.6=3
10=????? 2 =10 10
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? ?n=
? ?P=
?K=
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